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September 8, 2010 9:39 AM EDT
Updated: Sep 8, 2010 6:31 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,340.69 -107.24 -1.03%
S & P 1091.84 -12.37 -1.15%
NASDAQ 2208.89 -24.86 -1.11%
NYSE 6959.94 -95.09 -1.35%
Russell 2000 629.29 -14.07 -2.19%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.5962% -0.1063% -3.93%
FTSE 5408.65 +0.83 +0.02%
NIKKEI 225 9024.60 -201.40 -2.18%

 

After running across the trading range last week, the S & P ended Friday on the high, but just below its 200-day moving average at 1115, its breakdown point at 1121, and its intraday high of 1130. Facing technical resistance, a very short-term overbought condition, no significant economic data, a holiday shortened week, pre-election jitters, and a strong dollar, the market was destined to see a little bit of a pullback. The action in the Dollar proved to be the main catalyst. Once again, the Dollar wasn’t strong because of a positive outlook on the US economy. Instead, it rallied by default. The Euro was getting hurt after an article in the WSJ reported that European Banks had not adequately been tested by the “stress test” and that many were exposed to sovereign debt risk. This isn’t new news, but it was still rather negative considering the overall void of news with which investors were faced. All the usual trades went south. There was pressure on crude and the Energy sector. The “risk trade” was being unwound. Fears that another May-type decline might push the consumer away hurt the consumer sensitive sector groups. Proof that the Dollar wasn’t stronger for the Dollar’s strength is that it fell versus the Yen. In fact, the Dollar fell to a 15 year low versus the Yen. Volume was worse than pathetic. After a nice flurry of trading at the start of the month, we’re right back into a “wait and see” type market. There are times where complacency can serve you well. This is not one of those times. We want to scale into buying on weakness.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,341 10,014 10,455 9,622 10,719 ADV 801 622
S & P 1092 2149 1115 1010 1130 DECL 2217 1987
COMP 2209 2114 2272 2061 2305 TRIN 2.01 0.73
NDX 1857 1767 1900 1700 1920 UVOL 125,423k 472,130k
10-Yld 2.596 2.563 2.822 2.468 2.950 DVOL 696,830k 1,160,752k
RUT 629 616 660 597 672 TVOL 829,567k 1,701,592k