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May 23, 2012 8:57 PM EDT
Updated: Sep 3, 2010 6:34 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,320.10 +50.63 +0.49%
S & P 1090.10 +9.81 +0.91%
NASDAQ 2200.01 +23.17 +1.06%
NYSE 6966.25 +55.27 +0.80%
Russell 2000 632.26 +7.27 +1.16%
10-Yr T-Yield 26213% +0.0483% +1.88%
FTSE 5397.25 +26.21 +0.49%
NIKKEI 225 9114.13 +51.29 +0.56%

 

The bears couldn’t catch a break, even after the huge market surge on Wednesday. Most of the economic data were in line with expectations. Weekly Jobless Claims were pretty much on target at 472,000. Factory Orders were up 0.1%. Revisions to ULC and Non-farm Productivity were also right in line. There were a few surprises, and mainly focused on the consumer. Pending Home Sales were up 5.2%, far better than the 1.0% decline anticipated. Same-store sales for August rose 3.5%, topping expectations for a gain of 2.8%. Technically, the market refused to give up any of the gains from the prior day, putting real pressure on traders looking for some nervousness ahead of today’s Employment Report. The later we pushed into the afternoon, the more pressure there was to cover before today’s numbers. Expectations are for job losses of 105,000 and an uptick in the unemployment rate to 9.6% from 9.5%. Most of the job losses, if not all, should be government, state, local, and census workers. ADP is looking for private sector job losses of 10,000, although the consensus is for a gain of 40,000. Since ADP came out on Wednesday, investors should be bracing for bad news. Also out is the ISM Non-manufacturing Index. Expectations are for a small dip to 53.2 from 54.3. This is a pre-holiday Friday. Expectations are for a very volatile day. If we finish the week with surprisingly strong economic data, it could put pressure on the bears to cover ahead of the long weekend.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,320 9936 10,455 9622 10,719 ADV 2114 1592
S & P 1090 1028 1099 1010 1115 DECL 886 934
COMP 2200 2094 2224 2061 2305 TRIN 0.48 0.25
NDX 1841 1734 1845 1700 1899 UVOL 796,067k 1,463,683k
10-Yld 2.621 2.459 2.747 2.266 2.910 DVOL 159,245k 214,798k
RUT 632 587 634 566 664 TVOL 960,068k 1,692,223k