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May 23, 2012 8:08 PM EDT
Updated: Sep 1, 2010 6:54 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,014.72 +4.99 +0.05%
S & P 1049.33 +0.41 +0.04%
NASDAQ 2114.03 -5.94 -0.58%
NYSE 6704.15 +8.87 +0.13%
Russell 2000 602.06 +0.34 +0.06%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.5019% -0.0267% -1.06%
FTSE 5303.43 +78.21 +1.50%
NIKKEI 225 8927.02 +102.96 +1.15%

 

In a very general sense, the economic news was decent, especially the August data. Of course, today’s ISM Mfg. Index is more important, but August seems to be holding at a pace of slow growth. The big positive was that the Expectations component of the August Consumer Confidence Index rose to 72.5 from 67.5. The problem is that the market still faces several crosscurrents. It was the last day of the month, and a very bad month at that. From high to low, the S & P lost almost 9%. We’re entering what historically is the “worst month” of the year, although we’ve probably discounted most of that fear already. We’ve got several significant pieces of data, today’s ISM and ADP reports, and then ending the week with the August Employment numbers. The FOMC minutes may have been the catalyst for the afternoon weakness, but I think there is a bigger issue for investors. We all say we want “transparency” by the Fed, but in times of uncertainty, knowing what goes on behind closed doors doesn’t allow the FOMC members to enter into a frank discussion of differing opinions. When they do express their opinions, as they did at this last meeting, you walk away with a sense that the Fed isn’t sure what to do or how to do it. That “uncertainty” is not helpful. The statement alone, with one dissenting vote, would have been fine. However, knowing the FOMC was far more divided undermines confidence. It’s not like you can put 12 economists in a room and get them to agree. They are better off behind closed doors.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,015 9936 10,455 9622 10,719 ADV 1668 1278
S & P 1049 1028 1099 1010 1115 DECL 1341 1267
COMP 2114 2094 2224 2061 2305 TRIN 0.82 1.87
NDX 1767 1734 1845 1700 1899 UVOL 834,811k 696,814k
10-Yld 2504 2459 2747 2266 2910 DVOL 550,900k 1,361,621k
RUT 602 587 634 566 664 TVOL 1,402,683k 2,084,117k