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May 23, 2012 7:24 PM EDT
Updated: Aug 30, 2010 6:31 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,150.65 +164.84 +1.65%
S & P 1064.59 +17.37 +1.66%
NASDAQ 2153.63 +34.94 +1.65%
NYSE 6794.91 +129.65 +1.95%
Russell 2000 616.76 +17.00 +2.83%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.6447% +0.1691% +6.83%
FTSE 5201.56 +45.72 +0.88%
NIKKEI 225 9149.26 +158.20 +1.73%

 

Friday’s intraday low, which created a test of the 1040 level on the S & P, was due to the post-halt gap in Intel. That low may have been somewhat false, but the day’s rally was not. A string of positive surprises late in the week supported a rally off of the low. The 2nd quarter revision in GDP to just 1.6%, was better-than-expected. More important, the catalyst for coming in higher was that Personal Consumption was revised to a gain of 2.0% from 1.6%. No changed was anticipated. The fact that GDP held up better than expected because of the consumer was a major catalyst for the enthusiasm. The other key catalyst to the session’s rise was due to comments from Bernanke’s speech. There were two important factors. One, he downplayed the potential for a second dip and left out any reference to the “unusual uncertainty” of the future. The other was addressed specifically at the very catalyst that was at the heart of the recent three week decline, deflation. Refuting the argument made by other Fed officials, Bernanke said there were several ways that the Fed could combat deflation. Perhaps the most important statement was that the FOMC would “strongly resist deviations from price stability in the downward direction.” In other words, Uncle Ben is on the case. We saw an immediate reaction in the most economically sensitive “risk trade” areas, like the Russell 2000, up 2.8%. We’ll still need more help to keep the bounce going. Today Personal Income and Spending lead off a week of economic news.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,151 10,000 10,455 9,622 10,719 ADV 2591 2135
S & P 1065 1028 1099 1010 1115 DECL 430 440
COMP 2154 2094 2224 2061 2305 TRIN 0.53 0.41
NDX 1792 1734 1845 1700 1899 UVOL 1,005,875k 1,949,402k
10-Yld 2.645 2.459 2.747 2.66 2.910 DVOL 86,895k 174,094k
RUT 617 587 634 566 664 TVOL 1,098,446k 2,134,555k