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May 23, 2012 7:06 PM EDT
Updated: Aug 27, 2010 6:20 AM EDT  

Tech/Media/Telco

Nichols, Clark, Callaci, Musyuk (212) 829-5481

News and Views

After what seemed like a decent start tech stocks started the decline around 11am yesterday. Macroeconomic worries and sell-side comments (DB cautious on semi foundries, Kaufman highlighting deterioration in enterprise IT spending) seemed to be behind yesterday px action. RIMM -1.9% is facing shutdown of some of BlackBery services in India if solution is not found before Aug. 31st. Rim’s executives are scheduled to meet with Indian officials today. On a positive note S finished up 2.8% yesterday. The stock, however has been lagging VZ and T longer term: S declined 28% since its 52-week high of $5.31 on 5/25/2010.

M&A action seems to be on the rise: this morning DELL matched HP’s $27 bid for PAR, also ARST closed up almost 30% after WSJ reported that the company may be close to being acquired by a bi technology firm. Some of the suitors mentioned were ORCL, CA, IBM, and EMC. The news apparently benefited FIRE, which closed up 11.5%

 


Macro/Technicals

S&P Fut.: 1048.40; . +.34%
SOX: 315.23; -1.95%
VIX: 27.37; +2.51%

Leaders: ARST +29.7%, GRB +14.6%, FIRE +11.5%, ARTG +6.4%
Laggards: SIGM -9%, BCON -8.3%, KLIC -7.6%, FALC -7.6%

Active Names

Enterprise/Service/ SW: TIBX, MSFT, ADBE, CMVT, FIRE, ARST

PCs/Devices/Net: BIDU, DELL, MOT, HPQ, RIMM, LXK, RLD

Semis/Circuits: Storage: WDC, SYNA, EMC, STX, SNDK, NVDA, LSI

Network Products: CSCO, BRCD, PLCM, FTR, TKLC

Telco: VZ, T, TWX, ROIAK, VSAT, LEAP, S, WIN

Electronic components: APH, TNB, ENS, AVX, ENTG, CREE

Media: AOL, CVC, SIRI, PLA, VMED

Smaller Caps: BDE, ADPT, AXTI, QTM, GUID, COHU, MRVC, CELL

 


Earnings

NOVL- Q3 mostly in line with neg preannouncement. NOVL did not provide guidance. NOVL once again cited uncertainty over their ongoing review of various alternatives designed for shareholder value as a major impediment, and the reason for lack of guidance. Novell reviewed its agreement with VMW VMware. Linux product revenue declined sequentially for the second consecutive quarter owing to Microsoft renewal pressures

ARUN- better Q4 on the back of strong product growth. The addition of over 900 new customers in the Q was a huge positive aand couldl be for Qs to come. The number was a record and is the third straight Q of very strong growth. Guidance for Q1 looks better.

NZ- beat and raise Q2. Mgmt also made it a note to mention an improving pipeline that could drive further upside in the future. Guidance was raised on broad based strength across all verticals.

OVTI- Strong Q and GMs were the story coming in very strong in the Q. OVTI could be poised to benefit from strength in the iPhone and new touch technology. Guidance looks mostly in line, but there appears to be room for upside.

SLH- solid Q4 and FY guidance looks in line. Mgmt is cautiously optimistic on recent trends.

 


Sector News, M&A, Capital Raises

HPQ, DELL: HPQ trumps DELL again as 3PAR bidding war escalates- Reuters

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN2618580320100826

PAR: WSJ analyzes the 3Par bidding war          

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703959704575453223591767404.html

BBI Blockbuster tells Hollywood studios its-preparing for mid-september bankruptcy- WSJ

GAME: Outspark confirms it is in deal talks, but can’t confirm Shanda spec- GameBeat

FCC: Government appeals ruling on FCC indecency rule- AP

Limewire: FTC drops LimeWire ID theft investigation- Reuters

MSFT, AAPL, GOOG: Microsoft to spend over $500m to catch up to iPhone, Android- AppleInsider

Samsung tablet PC aims to compete against the mini iPad- Digitimes

Solar: Ontario solar market booms, but local sourcing mandate could limit growth- iSuppli

FLEX Flextronics expected to ship 12-15 million notebooks in 2011- Digitimes

DRAM: Weak PC sales further drag down DRAM contract pricing in 2H August- inSpectrum

NFLX, AAPL: Netflix iPhone App Released, Following iPad Version- eWeek

INTC, INFN: Intel, Infineon Near Deal for Mobile Chip Business- eWeek

Studios sue to stop advertising on pirate web sites- Reuters

RIMM: India says BlackBerry must give access or face ban- Reuters

http://feeds.reuters.com/~r/reuters/technologyNews/~3/Fu4qEY3e_Hw/idUSTRE67P0VT20100827

Lenovo to develop game consoles in China- Reuters

CSCO Cisco Buys ExtendMedia To Help Internet Video Kill Cable Companies- Silicon Valley Insider

MOT: Icahn Increases Motorola Stake to 10.4%- WSJ

MSFT: Microsoft Broadens ‘Halo,’ Seeks to Top $600 Million Predecessor- BBG

It’s been a while since customers lined up outside stores at midnight to buy a Microsoft Corp. product. That may change on Sept. 14, when the company releases “Halo: Reach,” the fourth installment of its Xbox video-game series

NOK: Nokia’s Credit Rating in Jeopardy on Falling Profit, Bonds Show- BBG

Nokia Oyj’s credit rating is at risk on concern that its profit slide may deepen as its struggles  to take on Apple Inc.’s iPhone

TWX, DIS: Time Warner Cable, Disney Talks Said to Focus on ESPN3.Com Fees- BBG

Disney is seeking a fee of about 10 cents a month per Web customer for ESPN3.com, said one of the people, who declined to be identified because the talks are ongoing. Time Warner Cable is resisting the fee

Facebook Accused of Using Child Members’ Names for Marketing- BBG

 


Research Away

MAG upgraded to buy from neutral at B. Riley & Company

VSAT downgraded to equal-weight from overweight at Stephens, px tgt $36

 


Cantor Flows

Enterprise/Service/ SW: TIBX, MSFT, ADBE, CMVT, FIRE, ARST

PCs/Devices/Net: BIDU, DELL, MOT, HPQ, RIMM, LXK, RLD

Semis/Circuits: Storage: WDC, SYNA, EMC, STX, SNDK, NVDA, LSI

Network Products: CSCO, BRCD, PLCM, FTR, TKLC

Telco: VZ, T, TWX, ROIAK, VSAT, LEAP, S, WIN

Electronic components: APH, TNB, ENS, AVX, ENTG, CREE

Media: AOL, CVC, SIRI, PLA, VMED

Smaller Caps: BDE, ADPT, AXTI, QTM, GUID, COHU, MRVC, CELL

 


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