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May 23, 2012 6:15 PM EDT
Updated: Aug 25, 2010 7:24 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,040.45 -133.96 -1.32%
S & P 1051.87 -15.49 -1.45%
NASDAQ 2123.76 -35.87 -1.66%
NYSE 6681.03 -103.94 -1.53%
Russell 2000 595.59 -7.08 -1.17%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.4968% -0.1013% -3.90%
FTSE 5125.68 -30.27 -0.59%
NIKKEI 225 8845.39 -149.75 -1.69%

 

Despite the fact that everyone knew the July Existing Home Sales figures were going to be bad, they were still a negative surprise. However, the Dow was down 120 points before the number. The S & P had already broke 1057 and was hanging right around 1052 when the data were released. Perhaps even more important and more negative for the market was the WSJ article saying that several FOMC members, not just Hoenig, opposed the Fed maintaining its balance sheet at the current level. Meanwhile, the market had been reacting to the Fed not being aggressive enough. The Dollar rallied, undermining the usual suspects. The housing disaster was just the icing on the cake. With the gap down open, the major averages sliced through the short-term technical support, likely causing further weakness. However, after the housing data, the Homebuilders showed some resilience. Tech was still down, as was the Russell 2000, but it wasn’t getting hammered in the usual way. It almost looked like investors were going to reverse the losses. Unfortunately, the week is young and there are more bearish reports due out this week. Today’s New Home Sales are three months post-stimulus, because they are based on “contracts” not “closings”. We could get a little positive surprise, but the GDP revision on Friday still looms large. I do think there was some short-covering under 1050. The bears had a great couple of weeks. We’re not done with the negatives yet, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we close the gap at 1067.


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click graph for larger image


  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,040 10,000 10,455 9,622 10,719 ADV 732 646
S & P 1052 1028 1099 1010 1115 DECL 2303 1949
COMP 2124 2094 2224 2061 2305 TRIN 2.09 1.77
NDX 1775 1734 1845 1700 1899 UVOL 153,799k 344,934k
10-Yld 2.499 2.459 2.747 2.266 2.910 DVOL 1,013,668k 1,785,663k
RUT 596 587 634 566 664 TVOL 1,175,257k 2,141,657k