About Us | Contact Us
May 23, 2012 5:39 PM EDT
Updated: Aug 23, 2010 5:29 PM EDT  

Consumer

Leohner, Ahern, Anastasi (212) 829-5484

News and Views

 M & A activity had the markets up early. Consumer Staples outperformed with the help of CPB reportedly having interest in a unit of Britain's United Biscuits.  Consumer Discretionary was worse than the overall market but had some bright spots from Discounters like COST and WMT.  LOW received an upgrade for GSCO and was still unable to hold onto gains as it was down nearly 2 % after being up a like amount early and we will be sellers of LOW and HD.  BIG beat and raised guidance and that should help BJ, TGT, and FRED.


Macro/Technicals

SPX: 1067.36; -.40%
RLX: 405.91; -.99%
RTH: 88.67; -.36%
XLY: 30.62; -.91%
XLP: 26.79; +.22%
VIX: 25.66; +.67%

Leaders: DLIA, RUE, AVP, DMND, SVU, WMT
Laggards: FLWS, ACAT, NLS, BBW, BC, SFN, KIRK, ZLC

Earnings

 BIG Big Lots reports Q2 EPS $0.48 ($31.75) .  Net income from discontinued operations was $0.1M in Q2. Reuters $0.47. Company reports revenues of $1.14B. BIG reported Q2 revenues of $1.13B on 5-Aug. Q2 comps. +3.8% were previously reported on 5-Aug. Guides full year EPS to $2.82-$2.90, above prior $2.75-$2.85 vs Reuters $2.85. BIG reiterates f10 guidance for $220M of cash flow. F10 comps. guided to 3.5-4.5%, unchanged from prior. BIG purchased $83.8M of it stock during Q2, has repurchased $68M during Q3 through 23-Aug, and has $98.2M remaining under its Mar-10 repurchase program.


Sector News, M&A, Capital Raises

 BGP Borders Group says CFO Mark Bierley has resigned to pursue another employment opportunity ($1.19).  Company has named Vice President Glen Tomaszewski as Interim CFO. Bierley will assist Borders in the transition process as it initiates the search for a new CFO.

 

DF Dean Foods names COO Joseph Scalzo to additional role of president, effective immediately ($10.03)

 

RSH RadioShack enters into $300M accelerated share repurchase agreements with Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC) ($18.48).  The repurchases are being made under the $500M program previously authorized by the board.  When the board raised the size of the repurchase program 18-Aug, it directed that a significant portion of the repurchase program commence as soon as practicable.

 

JWN Inventory management has been key to Nordstrom's recent success - NYT ($31.23).  The article does not break any news. In the 11 months since Nordstrom has changed its inventory management to be more like its website's and less like a traditional retailer's, comps have been better than its peers. The company says higher sales have more than paid for the few extra shipping employees it has had to hire.


Research Away

 

Janney Capital initiates:

  • Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) initiated buy with $42 target
  • Ann Taylor (ANN) initiated buy with $19 target
  • J. Crew Group (JCG) initiated buy with $41 target
  • Talbots (TLB) initiated buy with $14 target
  • Urban Outfitters (URBN) initiated buy with $40 target
  • Zumiez (ZUMZ) initiated buy with $19 target
  • American Eagle (AEO) initiated neutral with $12 target
  • Aeropostale (ARO) initiated neutral with $25 target
  • Bebe Stores (BEBE) initiated neutral with $6 target
  • Chico's FAS (CHS) initiated neutral with $10 target
  • Coldwater Creek (CWTR) initiated neutral with $4 target
  • Gap (GPS) initiated neutral with $19 target
  • Gymboree (GYMB) initiated neutral with $44 target
  • Hot Topic (HOTT) initiated neutral with $5 target
  • Pacific Sunwear (PSUN) initiated neutral with $4 target
  • The Buckle (BKE) initiated sell with $21 target

DG Dollar General mentioned as long Research Tactical Idea at Morgan Stanley ($28.15)


Top Events/Earnings Calendar

Events

WOOF-- Morgan Keegan w/VCA Antech



Earnings

PRE:  BIG

POST:  PSUN, RUE

 



 


Cantor Flows

 Flows

Consumer Staples:  DMND, GMCR, JJSF, MJN, NWL, PG, SLE

Consumer Discretionary:  FLWS, FRED, FTAR, HIBB, PBY

Consumer Services:  ABTL, COCO, TIVO

 

 

Pre-Market Movers

UP— BIG +7%

DOWN— BGP -1.5%;


Disclaimer: Prepared by staff of Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. ("Cantor") and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision, should not be considered a recommendation by Cantor or any other person and does not constitute an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any investment nor is it a confirmation of terms. Any calculations and valuations presented herein are intended as a basis for discussion. Sources of information are believed to be reliable but Cantor makes no representation and gives no warranty that the information contained herein is accurate or complete. Any opinions or estimates given may change. Cantor undertakes no obligation to provide recipients with any additional information or any update to or correction of the information contained herein. This material is intended solely for institutional investors and investors who Cantor reasonably believes are institutional investors. Cantor, its officers, employees, affiliates and partners shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs or claims howsoever arising from any inaccuracies or omissions in the information contained herein or any reliance on that information. Cantor may have positions in financial instruments mentioned, may have acquired such positions at prices no longer available, and may have interests different or adverse to your interests. No liability is accepted by Cantor for any loss that may arise from any use of the information contained herein or derived here from. This product may not be reproduced or redistributed outside the recipient's organization. Sources: Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Dow Jones, Marketwatch, Trade-Alert, and the Wall Street Journal. ***All eco data from Bloomberg and DJ