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May 23, 2012 12:26 AM EDT
Updated: Aug 13, 2010 7:53 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,319.95 -58.88 -0.57%
S & P 1083.61 -5.86 -0.54%
NASDAQ 2190.27 -18.36 -0.83%
NYSE 6881.94 -20.77 -0.30%
Russell 2000 616.98 -3.41 -0.55%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.7455% +0.0640% +2.39%
FTSE 5241.91 -24.15 -0.46%
NIKKEI 225 9253.46 +40.87 +0.44%

 

Stocks continued to slide, with most of the damage happening at the market open. The increase in weekly jobless claims only threw fuel on the fire, but it was one that was already burning intensely. It is not new news that the economy is slowing in the third quarter. For all of the reasons we’ve mentioned repeatedly over the past two weeks, the tide has turned in favor of the bears. This correction is less about what might compel selling and is more about what might prevent buying. We lack a bullish catalyst. The Fed did not act aggressively enough to ease fears of deflation. Congress won’t act to create real incentives for job creation. Companies aren’t about to spend their cash hoards without some sign of economic success. Job growth is faltering. Housing is likely to see more inventory return, not less. That will weigh on prices. Retail Sales are looking for a July bump from a disappointing June. However, it is unlikely to get anyone excited about the consumer being back. Finally, we’ve broken below technical support and are looking at the next target range between 1057 and 1069 for some support. The group action is negative. The intermediate term momentum indicators have rolled over. There is a lot of economic data out today, including Retail Sales, the CPI, Business Inventories, and the mid-August consumer sentiment reading. It was enough for some traders to cover their shorts, but rest assured, they’ll be back on any attempted rally to 1100, if we get good news.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,320 10,263 10,644 9,622 10,782 ADV 1296 1030
S & P 1084 1088 1121 1010 1130 DECL 1732 1539
COMP 2190 2160 2277 2061 2309 TRIN 1.22 1.30
NDX 1832 1783 1899 1700 1920 UVOL 378,079k 739,201k
10-Yld 2.745 2.612 2.908 2.603 3.026 DVOL 617,107k 1,427,685k
RUT 617 602 670 587 672 TVOL 1,007,321k 2,189,682k