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May 22, 2012 11:53 PM EDT
Updated: Aug 11, 2010 2:53 PM EDT  

Financials

Lindblom, Ledwith, Mayerhofer (212) 829-5482

News and Views

 

Financials quietly followed Goldman Monday as they announced they lost money in 10 trading days in Q2, which came off more as a PR stunt than anything. Insurance names 0.68%, after a solid weak of earning beats last week. Financial services finished up 0.57% as credit cards were the hot group today behind the Barrons article. Puerto Rican banks continue to underperform their US counterparts, namely DRL, which we’ve seen some heavy selling, long and short. Mortgage Insurers will be jumping higher again after MBI’s qtr.

August FOMC Rate Decision at 2:15pm


Macro/Technicals

XLF: +0.09 ; +0.61%
KIE : +0.56 ; +1.47%
KRE : +0.35; +1.48%
C : +0.02 ; +0.49%
BAC : -0.07 ; -0.50%
JPM : -0.62 ; -1.53%
GS : +0.10 ; +0.06%
WFC : +0.45 ; +1.62%

Leaders: GRNB+9.28%,RCRC+6.30%,PNFP+5.90%,NGPC+4.87%,MGI+4.55%,TWGP+4.55%,UBSI+4.02%,ADS+4.01%,TRST+3.76%,WFR+3.71%,WTNY+3.66%,MBI+3.61%,V+3.60
Laggards: DRL-16.67%,HMPR-5.08%, MGI-4.55%,CPF-4.475,CBKN-4.41%,MCBC-2.72%,BPOP-2.61%

Active Names

 

Big Banks  -  BAC, C, WFC, JPM, GS, MS, FITB, STT, USB, HBAN, HCBK, PBCT, FHN, RF, BBT

Mid/SmallcapBanks/S&L-  FBP, WAL, EWBC, GSBC, HMPR, IBKC, PRWT, RBPAA, WBCO,NYB,DCOM,SBIB,CVBF,GAIN,LKFN,TFSL,IBCP,BRKL

Brokers  KCG, SCHW, AMTD, ETFCD

Asset Managers/Inv co’s-  BX, FIG, GLG, GROW, JNS, LAZ, MF, LM,KFN

Insurance-  GNW, HIG, MET, ALL, TRV

CreditCards-  AXP, COF, MA, V, DFS

Specialty Finance/Mort Insurers-   ACAS, ABK, MBI, MTG, RDN


Earnings

 

SF Stifel Financial reports Q2 EPS $0.69 ex-items vs Reuters $0.68 ($46.86)- Company reports net revenues of $328.0M vs Reuters $308.8M. Excludes merger-related costs. Earnings conference call reminder: 8/10/2010 at 08:30 ET. 888.676.3684 pw:92229766

MBI : MBIA reports Q2 EPS $6.32 vs year-ago $4.30 ($9.19)Earnings conference call reminder: 8/10/2010 at 08:00 ET. 877.694.4769 pw:89814633

SMHG Sanders Morris Harris reports Q2 EPS from cont ops $0.06 vs Reuters $0.09 -- 1 estimate ($5.43)- Earnings conference call reminder: 8/10/2010 at 10:00 ET. 800.447.0521 pw:27642476

KCAP Kohlberg Capital reports Q2 net investment income per share of ($0.25)--10Q ($5.25)- Earnings conference call reminder: 8/10/2010 at 16:30 ET. 877.710.0209

GLAD Gladstone reports Q3 net increase in asset sales from operations per share of ($0.08)--10Q ($11.99)- Company also reports total investment income of $8M vs year ago $10.6M. Earnings conference call reminder: 8/10/2010 at 08:30 ET. 877.407.8031

AGM Federal Agricultural Mortgage reports Q2 EPS $0.17 -- 10Q ($16.24)- Earnings conference call reminder: 8/10/2010 at 11:00 ET. 800.860.2442

UVE Universal Insurance Holdings reports Q2 EPS $0.27 vs year-ago $0.19 ($4.21)- Company reports revenues of $55.9M vs year-ago $47.6M.


Sector News, M&A, Capital Raises

 

CVBF CVB Financial discloses subpoena in 10Q filing ($10.30)- On July 26, 2010, the company received a subpoena from the Los Angeles office of the SEC. The subpoena and the SEC’s corresponding investigation are non-public, which means that the information provided to the SEC will not be publicized. The company is required to publicly disclose the fact that it received a subpoena from the SEC. The subpoena requests information regarding CVBF's loan underwriting guidelines, its allowance for credit losses and its allowance for loan loss calculation methodology, its methodology for grading loans and the process for making provisions for loan losses, and its provision for credit losses. In addition, the subpoena requests information regarding presentations it has given or conferences it has attended with analysts, brokers, investors or prospective investors.

PZN Pzena Investment Management reports $14B total AUM as of 31-Jul vs year-ago $11.6B ($7.08)

ACAP American Physicians Capital holder GAMCO discloses 5.3% stake in 13D filing ($41.21)

BEN Franklin Resources reports July AUM $602.9B ($104.24)- Up from $570.5B in June.

NFBK Northfield Bancorp to commence stock offering ($12.47)- Northfield-Delaware is offering for sale the 56.6% ownership interest in the company currently owned by Northfield Bancorp, MHC, which is equivalent to between $263.5M and $356.5M, or between 26,350,000 and 35,650,000 shares of common stock at $10.00 per share. Northfield-Delaware may increase the number of shares that it sells in the offering, without notice to persons who have subscribed for shares, by up to 15%, to $410.0M or 40,997,500 shares at $10.00 per share, as a result of market demand, regulatory considerations or changes in financial markets. The number of shares to be sold in the offering is based on an independent appraisal of the estimated pro forma market value of Northfield-Delaware as of 16-Jul-10. At the conclusion of the conversion and offering, the existing shares of common stock held by the public stockholders of the company will be exchanged for between 1.0693 and 1.4467 shares of Northfield-Delaware, subject to a 15% increase to 1.6637 shares, based on the independent appraisal. The completion of the conversion and offering is subject to, among other things, selling a minimum of 26,350,000 shares in the offering, the receipt of all necessary final regulatory approvals, the receipt of the approval of the members of Northfield Bancorp, MHC (depositors of record of Northfield Bank) as of 30-Jul-10, and the receipt of the approval of the stockholders of record of the company as of 30-Jul-10. After the completion of the conversion and offering, Northfield-Delaware will be 100% owned by public stockholders, and the company and Northfield Bancorp, MHC will each cease to exist.

CCBP Comm Bancorp to be acquired by F.N.B Corp (FNB) ($25.80)- The acquisition of the Clarks Summit-headquartered bank will provide F.N.B. Corporation with $642M in total assets, including $577M in total deposits and $465M in loans in 15 bank branches across five counties in Northeastern Pennsylvania.

HALL Hallmark Financial Services to acquire State Auto National Insurance Company ($9.88)- HALL announced the execution of an agreement for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Hallmark Insurance company, to acquire State Auto National Insurance company from State Auto Financial Corporation. State Auto National is an Ohio domiciled insurance company which annually writes approximately $37M in non-standard personal automobile policies through independent agents in 21 states.

BAC SEC investigating who knew what about Pyxis when at Merrill Lynch - NYT ($13.91)- The article says that the vehicle and others like it helped Merrill hide risks that it was very well aware of. The article says that the question of disclosure is squarely in focus in light of Citi (C)'s agreeing to pay $75M for misleading investors about its exposure to CDOs. A former Merrill employee says Pyxis sometimes made circular investments, using money from CDOs that Pyxis was investing in to invest back into Pyxis. It's not clear that regulations were broken; banks do not need to disclose risks that they believe themselves to be fully hedged against. Nonetheless, analysts -- who are presumably impartial, though they have the benefit of three years of hindsight -- express surprise that Merrill chose not to say anything at first in 2007.

o    Freddie seeks $1.8bn from US Treasury- FT

§  The magnitude of the problems facing the US mortgage market came into stark relief on Monday as Freddie Mac, the home loan group, said it needed an additional $1.8bn from the taxpayer

§  The latest request brings the amount of federal aid spent to rescue the company and its sibling, Fannie Mae, to $148.3bn since the financial crisis began

·         Fed watch stories: 

o    Fed ponders more easing as economy stumbles- Reuters

§  With U.S. interest rates already effectively at zero percent, the central bank is out of easy policy options. Top Fed officials argue, however, they can do more to fight renewed economic weakness, including reinvesting proceeds from maturing mortgage bonds back into that market

o    If Fed Decides to Ease, Will Others Follow?- CNBC

§  "If the (European Central Bank) and (Bank of England) follow the Fed's lead, any move on QE could be dollar positive," he said. "Even if the Fed spooks the market the dollar could gain on a flight to safety."

o    Fed Efforts to Spur Growth May Move Markets More Than Economy- BBG

§  Federal Reserve policy makers meeting today may find the market reaction to any announcement of steps to spur growth will be bigger than the impact on the economy

KKR Kohlberg Kravis Roberts withdraws registration for $500M common unit IPO citing market conditions ($9.89)
Recall the company had originally filed on 10-May.


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Disclaimer: Prepared by staff of Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. ("Cantor") and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision, should not be considered a recommendation by Cantor or any other person and does not constitute an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any investment nor is it a confirmation of terms. Any calculations and valuations presented herein are intended as a basis for discussion. Sources of information are believed to be reliable but Cantor makes no representation and gives no warranty that the information contained herein is accurate or complete. Any opinions or estimates given may change. Cantor undertakes no obligation to provide recipients with any additional information or any update to or correction of the information contained herein. This material is intended solely for institutional investors and investors who Cantor reasonably believes are institutional investors. Cantor, its officers, employees, affiliates and partners shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs or claims howsoever arising from any inaccuracies or omissions in the information contained herein or any reliance on that information. Cantor may have positions in financial instruments mentioned, may have acquired such positions at prices no longer available, and may have interests different or adverse to your interests. No liability is accepted by Cantor for any loss that may arise from any use of the information contained herein or derived here from. This product may not be reproduced or redistributed outside the recipient's organization. Sources: Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Dow Jones, Marketwatch, Trade-Alert, and the Wall Street Journal. ***All eco data from Bloomberg and DJ