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May 22, 2012 11:11 PM EDT
Updated: Aug 9, 2010 3:16 PM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,653.56 -21.42 -0.20%
S & P 1151.64 -4.17 -0.37%
NASDAQ 2288.47 -4.59 -0.20%
NYSE 7153.72 -20.55 -0.29%
Russell 2000 650.68 -4.39 -0.67%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.8166% -0.0845% -2.91%
FTSE 5407.40 +75.01 +1.41%
NIKKEI 225 9572.49 -69.63 -0.72%

 

The revisions to the June data on employment were probably more damaging than the shortfall to July’s number, especially in the private sector. June private sector jobs were revised to just 31k from 83k. July private sector jobs were 71k, just shy of the 90k anticipated. That really wasn’t too bad. The average hourly wages increased by 0.2% and even the average workweek expanded by 0.1%, both better than expected. The unemployment rate held steady at 9.5%, but that was mainly due to discouraged workers falling off the ranks of the unemployed. We do have the FOMC meeting this week, but earnings are no longer a catalyst for moving the market higher. The economic data are not likely to be inspiring, as they will be reporting on the slow summer months from this point forward. Politically, Congressional leaders head home for campaigning soon, and we expect it to get ugly. Technically, the S & P broke its 200-day moving average on an intra-day basis. That did invoke a wave of selling, probably due to stop-loss orders. However, there was no volume. The Dollar’s decline below its 200-day moving average should be positive for exports. The 10-year yield fell to its lowest level since April of 2009. Investors may not be thrilled by the sanguine prospects for the economy, but the Fed is committed to maintaining a stimulative stance, rates are going to stay low, and inflation is non-existent. Stability is the name of the game. However, the opportunities to make headway are fading.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,654 10,238 10,782 9,622 11,000 ADV 1387 1024
S & P 1122 1086 1130 1011 1150 DECL 1620 1513
COMP 2288 2218 2341 2061 2400 TRIN 1.62 0.85
NDX 1903 1833 1939 1700 1983 UVOL 323,516k 821,610k
10-Yld 2.817 2.810 3.071 2.721 3.240 DVOL 610,818k 999,552k
RUT 651 639 677 587 705 TVOL 950,087k 1,876,636k