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May 22, 2012 10:49 PM EDT
Updated: Aug 6, 2010 6:33 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,674.98 -5.45 -0.05%
S & P 1125.81 -1.43 -0.13%
NASDAQ 2293.06 -10.51 -0.46%
NYSE 7174.27 -7.87 -0.11%
Russell 2000 655.07 -7.89 -1.19%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.9029% -0.0469% -1.59%
FTSE 5397.78 +32.00 +0.60%
NIKKEI 225 9642.12 -11.80 -0.12%

 

The market initially reacted to the weekly claims jump to 479,000 before settling into the trading range. There apparently were some seasonal adjustments in this number. However, investors are not really expecting great news from the employment sector. Stability is all we should hope for. The July number will be skewed by census workers. Therefore, the headline number won’t mean anything. We need to see what the private sector payrolls look like. Bloomberg has the consensus at 90,000 new private sector jobs. The unemployment rate might tick up to 9.6%, but as long as we stay below 9.8%, it shouldn’t be a shocker. The average hours worked is expected to remain unchanged. If we see just a 0.1% increase, it should be considered good news. Technically, the S & P and NASDAQ have moved up just shy of a breakout point. The S & P needs to get above 1130 and the NASDAQ above 2308. That would be possible on a good number. If we do get the positive breakout, stop loss levels should move up with the market advance. The S & P’s 200-day is at 1115 and its recent low is at 1119. We would advise using the market advance to lift all stop loss orders to higher levels. If the number fails to meet expectations, the S & P would need to break 1088 to break the string of higher lows. A close below 1099 would increase the risk that the resistance at 1130, short-term, will be difficult to overcome. Volume was non-existent yesterday, suggesting investors are poised to act on this number.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,675 10,000 10,782 9622 11,000 ADV 01282 857
S & P 1156 1056 1130 1011 1150 DECL 1742 1707
COMP 293 2160 2341 2061 2400 TRIN 1.03 0.89
NDX 1905 1785 1939 1700 1983 UVOL 361,108k 615,466k
10-Yld 2.903 2.878 3.142 2.810 3.240 DVOL 508,061k 1,098,991k
RUT 655 601 677 587 705 TVOL 875,424k 1,785,308k