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May 22, 2012 10:40 PM EDT
Updated: Aug 5, 2010 7:01 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,680.43 +44.05 +0.41%
S & P 1127.24 +6.78 +0.61%
NASDAQ 2303.57 +20.05 +0.88%
NYSE 7182.14 +35.15 +0.49%
Russell 2000 662.96 +7.30 +1.11%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.9534% +0.0449% +1.54%
FTSE 5415.86 +29.70 +0.55%
NIKKEI 225 9653.92 +164.58 +1.70%

 

The averages are moving to their breakout points, poised to act more aggressively on a bullish employment report. Today is yet another hurdle on the jobs front. Yesterday’s ADP came in slightly better than anticipated, looking for 42,000 private sector jobs. The ISM Non-manufacturing Index was also better than expected, rising to 54.3 from 53.8 instead of falling to 53.0, as anticipated. New Orders were higher and the Employment component moved back above 50 to 50.9. Once again, we’re getting little confirmations that the jobs picture is stabilizing. Meanwhile, the economic data have been a mixed bag. Earnings were solid, but without movement, the outlook for the third quarter remains tepid. Capacity Utilization and the Average Hourly Workweek are not yet at levels that will provoke increased rates of new hires. Therefore, stability in the jobs market should be considered a good thing, for now. Today’s weekly jobless claims are expected to hold right at the 450,000 level. This is considered the inflection point between seeing net new jobs created or lost. While all eyes are on tomorrow’s employment number, the technicals are leaning in favor of the bulls. A perfect example is that the NYSE Breadth Index, the cumulative A/D line, actually made a new high. Breadth tends to lag, so we look for confirmation from this measure. It is actually leading the way, which is impressive. At the very least, it offers us more of a cushion on the downside if and when we see the much-anticipated fall pullback.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,680 10,000 10,782 9,622 11,000 ADV 2257 1720
S & P 1127 1056 1130 1011 1150 DECL 789 861
COMP 2304 2160 2341 2061 2400 TRIN 1.28 0.87
NDX 1909 1785 1939 1700 1983 UVOL 659,999k 1,372,962k
10-Yld 2.955 2.878 3.142 2.810 3.240 DVOL 295,379k 609,524k
RUT 663 601 677 587 705 TVOL 975,333k 2,039,653k