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May 22, 2012 4:25 AM EDT
Updated: Aug 2, 2010 9:22 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,465.94 -1.22 -0.01%
S & P 11011.60 +0.07 +0.01%
NASDAQ 2254.70 +3.01 +0.13%
NYSE 6998.99 +4.42 +0.06%
Russell 2000 650.89 +0.46 +0.06%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.905% -0.0742% -2.49%
FTSE 5363.73 +105.71 +2.01%
NIKKEI 225 9570.31 +33.01 +0.34%

 

Friday was a real “eye-opener”. GDP may have come in at 2.4%, but there were weaknesses within the report that confirm the consumer was much weaker than anticipated. Personal Consumption was up just 1.6% versus expectations for a gain of 2.4%. Q1 was revised down to a gain of 1.9% from 3.0%. However, Overall GDP was revised higher for Q1, up 1.0% to 3.7% from 2.7%. Some of this data were stole from Q4, which saw downward revisions. Inventories did contribute just over 1.0% to GDP, a total of $75.7 billion. However, the bounce in inventory rebuild comes after falling $546.8 billion from Q4 2008 through all of 2009, so it is a fraction of what was lost. Still, it was disappointing and the marked reacted smartly. Two July Fed reports were released on manufacturing, one from the Chicago and the other from Milwaukee. They would have been unimportant, except that they were huge misses, and to the upside. New Orders were stronger, even as production moved up to meet demand. Therefore, the consumer might be retracting, but business and manufacturing are expanding. That restored a sense of balance between the GDP and Fed reports, forcing the day to end “balanced” or nearly unchanged. After the poor start, the bulls can claim some sort of victory. However, the economic news is moving back into the lead position, and today’s national ISM Manufacturing Index should overshadow anything from the regional Feds, so it had better be good news.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,466 10,000 10,594 9,622 10,783 ADV 1773 1411
S & P 1102 1056 1130 1011 1150 DECL 1251 1159
COMP 2255 2160 2341 2061 2400 TRIN 1.21 1.15
NDX 1864 1785 1939 1700 1983 UVOL 624,982k 1,105,356k
10-Yld 2.905 2.878 3.142 2.810 3.240 DVOL 533,274k 1,25,148k
RUT 651 601 677 587 705 TVOL 1,176,053k 2,167,215k