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May 22, 2012 4:01 AM EDT
Updated: Jul 30, 2010 5:01 PM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,467.16 -30.72 -0.29%
S & P 1101.53 -4.60 -0.42%
NASDAQ 2251.69 -12.87 -0.57%
NYSE 6994.57 -4.61 -0.07%
Russell 2000 650.43 -0.33 -0.05%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.9794% -0.0055% -0.19%
FTSE 5289.28 -24.67 -0.46%
NIKKEI 225 9537.30 -1558.72 -1.66%

 

Stocks really moved around the range yesterday, starting with a nice surge at the open, only to fall into the support area quickly. By the end of the day, despite the averages all being in the red, the internals were rather mixed. Household Products and Semis took the most heat, stemming from earnings reports that had less than inspirational forward-looking comments. Otherwise, the action was pretty much the same as what we’ve seen in recent days. There is no real leadership, either up or down. Groups are moving on the coattails of a stock or two within the group. Breadth was pretty flat and volume was still relatively light, although an uptick from the recent pace. Today is the day where we have an opportunity to see some follow-through. Expectations are low. The recent economic data have supported a downgrade in GDP estimates for the 2nd quarter. What was 3.0% is now 2.5%, and even that number is probably high. Pay attention to Personal Consumption, as many bearish analysts purport that the consumer is “dead”. A gain of 2.4% is anticipated. The Employment Costs Index should reflect the lack of new hires and increased productivity. A gain of 0.5% is anticipated. We’ll also get a final on the U. of Mich. sentiment, expected to be tweaked to 67.0 from 66.5. Both the Chicago PMI and the Milwaukee NAPM are July reports on Manufacturing. The ISM is out Monday, but investors are likely worried about any number that might show contraction versus just “slower growth”.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,467 10,000 10,594 9622 10,783 ADV 1591 1210
S & P 1102 1056 1130 1011 1150 DECL 1439 1334
COMP 2252 2160 2341 2061 2400 TRIN 1.34 1.75
NDX 1860 1785 1939 1700 1983 UVOL 523,490k 799,086k
10-Yld 2.983 2.878 3.142 2.810 3.240 DVOL 631,474k 1,490,547k
RUT 650 601 677 587 705 TVOL 1,181,029k 2,332,555k