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May 22, 2012 3:43 AM EDT
Updated: Jul 29, 2010 6:37 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,497.88 -39.81 -0.38%
S & P 11063.13 -7.71 -0.69%
NASDAQ 2264.56 -23.69 -1.04%
NYSE 6999.18 -45.81 -0.65%
Russell 2000 650.78 -1.41 -1.72%
10-Yr T-Yield 2.9922% -0.0563% -1.85%
FTSE 5361.29 +11.79 +0.53%
NIKKEI 225 9696.02 -57.25 -0.59%

There were plenty of reasons to be worried about 2nd quarter growth before yesterday. Durable Goods fell 1.0% in June. The Fed’s Beige Book Report on the economy was pretty much as anticipated, but confirmed that growth is abating. Any lingering fears that the 2nd quarter report on Friday might come up short resurfaced, causing the market to see some profit taking in the more risky areas. The S & P fell just 0.7% compared to the NASDAQ off 1.0% and the Russell 2000 down 1.7%. Now the light volume suddenly feels like a good thing, as the small break back below the 200-day on the S & P didn’t garner much panic. The S & P broke out above 1100 this month and we look headed back to this level to test the short-term support. More specifically, this pullback doesn’t feel like anything special. Investors are retreating to the sidelines until Friday. There was one report out on home ownership that the market took as a negative, but that I would argue is actually getting better. Home ownership fell to 66.9% from a 2006 push over 69%. However, the norm is down around 64% to 65%. We’re getting back down to more reasonable, sustainable levels, and that is a good thing. Short-term, it’s still about earnings versus the economy. Earnings have been mostly positive, but pretty much all of the economic data are pointing to slower growth. As hopes for a positive number fades, the market moves to brace for bad news. Today should be more of the same, consolidation before Friday’s spate of data.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,498 10,000 10,594 9622 10,783 ADV 970 741
S & P 1106 1056 1130 1011 1150 DECL 2056 1801
COMP 2265 2160 2341 2061 2400 TRIN 1.33 1.03
NDX 1873 1785 1939 1700 1983 UVOL 259,244k 532,756k
10-Yld 2.995 2.878 3.142 2.810 3.240 DVOL 728,559k 1,289,721k
RUT 651 601 677 587 705 TVOL 1,004,269k 1,850,912k