Morning @ Cantor
Morning
@ Cantor 7/28
Today’s
Stories From Cantor Fitzgerald
Sal
Catrini (908) 517-5067
CONTENTS: All
Headings Are Functioning Links
Sector News: Energy, Industrials, Transports, TMT, Materials, Autos, Fins, Real Estate, Consumer, Gaming/Lodging, HC, Europe
Trading Wrap, Asia Trading
Wrap
Investment Banking Wrap: M&A, Money Raising
o US Stock Futures SPs dn 1…off highs at 7am et … The S&P 500 jumped 8.9% on the past 16
trading days, and it rose on 12 of those 16 days
§ Asia Stocks Rise sharply …
§ European
equity indices at lows,. Dn 0.2% at 7am et…have mostly traded lower as profits
are taken following 6 days of gains.
§ Fed's
Beige Book and Durable Goods Orders will be the main macro focus
o
Dollar
off lows, but slightly weaker at 7am et…
o Treasuries slightly bid…EUR and Pound weaker vs
dollar…fear bid on Oman worries?
o Libor falls again… 3-month:
Dollar: 0.475% vs prior 0.481%
§ But…Another Day, Another Worsening In
European Interbank Lending: 3M Euribor At 0.896% From 0.893% - per ZH
o Geo- politics will be in focus today:
WSJ: U.S. Navy Investigating Report of Persian Gulf Tanker Attack
§ In Strait of Hormuz a Mitsui OSK tanker
exploded, though no fatalities have yet been reported. It remains to be seen
whether or not the explosion is the result of a possible attack
o Portuguese debt auction
§ Portugal sells €600M of Oct 2014 bonds, €681m of Oct
2023 bonds at auction
§ 2014 bond average yield 3.621% vs prev 4.657%, bid
cover 3.1 vs prev 1.8
§ 2023 bond average yield 5.377% vs prev 4.416%, bid
cover 1.6 vs prev 2.0
o
Pressured by dealers, Portugal agrees to post
collateral
§ Portugal is the first sovereign-debt issuer in the developed
market to go along with demands from dealers for two-way collateral posting in
derivatives trading. Portugal's debt office will post collateral to
counterparties when a derivatives trade moves against the country's position. Risk.net/Risk magazine
(27 Jul.)
o Crude dn 20c….just over $77
o
Spot
gold was down $22 yesterday…this
morning, spot gold is up $1 to $1161.50
o
this
morning, base metals are higher…Zinc
is up 2.5%, copper is up 2%
o
Rates
tick dn wed,,,: Treasury
two-year note yields rose the most in more than a month as the government sold
$38 billion of the securities, the first of three note auctions this week
totaling $104 billion
§ Yields
on current two-year notes climbed as much as 6 basis points, the biggest jump
since June 10, to 0.64 percent before trading at 0.63 percent at 4:28 p.m. in
New York, according to BGCantor Market Data. They touched a record low 0.5516
percent on July 23
§ The Treasury will auction $37 billion in five-year notes
wed and $29 billion in seven-year debt on July 29.
o BP Great news.... BP Oil From Spill Is
Biodegrading, Easing Threat to East Coast
§ The oil slick in the Gulf of Mexico appears to be
dissolving far more rapidly than anyone expected, a piece of good news that
raises tricky new questions about how fast the government should scale back its
response to the Deepwater Horizon disaster. NYT, BBG
§ probably eliminating the risk that crude will go around
Florida and hit the U.S. East Coast, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration said
o
Europe
Stress Relieved With Swap Gap Vanishing - BBG
§ The bond market is saying that the threat of a European
banking crisis is ending.
§ The gap between European and U.S. benchmark
credit-default swap indexes, used to hedge against losses or speculate on
creditworthiness, narrowed to 0.7 basis point yesterday, the lowest since June
4, prices from Markit Group Ltd. show. That premium soared to a record 23 basis
points on May 7
o BUNDESBANKS SEES NO SIGN OF CREDIT-SQUEEZE
THREAT IN GERMANY
o BOE talks today…
§ BOE Gov King: MPC has room to use monetary
policy in both direction. Could either further ease rates or reduce stimulus in
the coming months. He cautioned that one should not read too much into Q2 UK
GDP data (came in above expectations). There would be a point where BoE needed
to return to a normal policy but says there was "considerable distance to
travel" before a return to normal policy
§ sentence says current policy is quite extreme – BBG
§ GBP took a hit..but
bounced back
§ BOE'S KING - CAN'T BE CERTAIN THAT RECOVERY WILL BE
SUSTAINED IN UK
§ KING: `CONSIDERABLE' DISTANCE BEFORE RETURN TO `NORMAL'
TIMES
o More Greece strikes..Truck drivers paralyze nation today – BBG
o
Debt-Laden
Belgium's Finances Questioned – CNBC link
o
Caution!!:
China Could Jolt Markets With PMI Below 50, SocGen, Westpac Say – BBG
§ Chinese
manufacturing data due in four days could jolt
global markets by showing the first contraction in 17 months, according to
Societe Generale SA and Westpac Banking
§ Seasonal factors mean there is a “tangible risk” the
government-backed Purchasing Managers’ Index for July will slip below 50 for
the first time since February 2009
§ A PMI
released by HSBC Holdings Plc could also show a contraction
·
Overseas
Action
o Europe
stocks lose steam…at 7am et…
§ EU
Banks pare back gain as 7am et approaches…
o Asia:
Nikkei +2.70%; Hang Seng 0.56%; Shanghai Composite +2.26%
o Asia Stocks Rise sharply …
§ European
equity indices at lows,. Dn 0.2% at 7am et…have mostly traded lower as profits
are taken following 6 days of gains.
§ Nikkei
Gains 2.7%
§ Canon,
the world’s largest camera maker, surged 5.7 percent. After reporting
§ China's rose 2.3 per cent to its highest close in two
months after the central bank said
economic growth would slow but there would be no double-dip in the economy
·
China
has ‘good’ economic fundamentals-PBOC
·
Data:
§
ABC
Consumer Confidence (48) in 25-Jul week vs (45) in prior
week
§
Bullish sentiment increases to 38.2% from 35.6% in the latest
Investor's Intelligence poll
§ Germany Jul Saxony CPI M/M: 0.2% v 0.1%
§ The
Australian dollar slips against its U.S. counterpart, after Australia's quarterly
consumer price figures rises less than economists expected
·
Weak
Q2 Australia CPI kills slim chance of RBA rate hike next week
- Economics
today
o MBA mortgage data at 7:00 ET
o Jun Durable Goods at 08:30 ET
o DOE Crude Inventories at 10:30 ET
o Treasury Auctions in 5-yr notes at 13:00 ET
o Fed's Beige Book at 14:00 ET
- Earnings:
o Companies due to report before the bell
include: ATI, AVY, BA, CCE, CEG, CMCSA, CMS, COP, EK, GD, GLW, HES, HSP, IP,
MMV, NEM, PX, ROK, S, SEE, SO, VMED, WAT, WLP, WLP, WYN
o Companies due to report after the close
include: AIZ, AKAM, AMP, BMC, CERN, CINF, CLF, CTXS, EFX, EQR, ESRX, FLS,
FMC, LNC, LSI, MYN, OI, ORLY, PDX, SYMC, TER, TMK, TSO, V, VAR, VRTX
·
Fed watch, Today: The Senate Banking Committee tomorrow will
probably approve the nomination of three candidates for the Federal Reserve
Board, including San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen for vice chairman,
lawmakers said. BBG
·
Global
rates, today: New Zealand Central Bank
Interest Rate Decision: Expected to raise the Official Cash Rate by 25bps to
3.00%
·
To
watch: China PMI hits in 4 days..street getting cautious in front of
it
·
Top
M&A
§ SLM: Sallie Mae,
America's largest student lender, has tapped Goldman Sachs to help it consider
a possible breakup of the company, The Post has learned. The Reston, Va.-based
loan originator is working with Goldman to possibly sell or spin off its
student-loan servicing business ….NYP
§ Soros Set to Buy Stake in Bombay
Exchange – NYT link
§
Apollo raises takeover offer for Brit
Insurance Holdings (BRE.LN) to Ł10.75 per share in cash. BBG
·
Top $
Raising
o
Tiger
Global Said to Invest in LinkedIn at $2 Billion Valuation – BBG
o Molycorp is trying to convince
investors it can loosen China’s grip on everything from smart bombs to hybrid
cars by reopening the largest non-Chinese deposit of rare-earth metals in the
world. The company is seeking $478
million in a U.S. initial public offering today - BBG
·
Money flows:
o
investors in leveraged exchange-traded
funds—many of whom are day traders—do not think the stock gains will last. In the past week,
leveraged long ETFs redeemed 3.4% of assets, while leveraged short ETFs issued
3.9% of assets.
o
Retail investors have only recently started
the chase the stock market’s gains. We estimate that U.S. equity funds
took in $3.1 billion (0.08% of assets) on Friday, July 23 and Monday, July
26. Even counting these inflows, however, U.S. equity funds have lost an
estimated $9.6 billion (0.3% of assets) in July, even though the average fund
is up a hefty 7.1%. TrimTabs
·
Technical Analysis Fails as Money-Making Strategy, Birinyi Says - BBG
o
Analysts who use patterns in price and volume
charts to forecast gains or losses in the stock market fail to make investors
money, according to a study of technical analysis by Birinyi Associates
o
The advance-decline line, which represents
the number of daily gains minus declines, is an example of technical analysis
that fails to forecast market moves, according to a report yesterday
o
“Most indicators are descriptive, not
indicative,” a group of researchers led by Laszlo Birinyi, the firm’s founder,
wrote in the report e-mailed to clients yesterday. “They tell us what is going
on, but seldom predict future moves.”
·
In
Study, 2 Economists Say Intervention Helped Avert a 2nd Depression NYT link
o A new
paper represents a first stab at comprehensively estimating the effects of the
economic policy responses of the last few years
o The economists predicted that US GDP would be 6.5% lower, have 8.5
million fewer jobs, and would have experienced deflation instead of low
inflation
·
Gartman
Slams Europe's 'Untoward' Tax Decision from CNBC
o
Europe has chosen the wrong way to cut debt
and unfortunately the United States
will follow, Dennis Gartman, author and publisher of the Gartman
Letter, told CNBC Wednesday
·
Bank of England posts Ł5.5bn loss on QE book - telegraph
o
The Bank of England has made a Ł5.5bn
full-year loss on the assets bought under its quantitative easing (QE)
"money printing" programme to prop up the battered UK economy.
o
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/gilts/7913316/Bank-of-England-posts-5.5bn-loss-on-QE-book.html
·
Jim Rogers predicts a new recession in 2012 - telegraph
o
Jim Rogers, the market sage, has warned the
global economy is just two years away from another recession, but remains
ill-prepared to cope with the after-effects
·
China’s currency is [censored]
o
There’s a missing word somewhere in the IMF’s
latest Article IV consultation on
Chinese economic policy
o
Directors agreed that the exchange rate was
undervalued — but not
substantially undervalued, as that would offend the Chinese
government, according to Reuters.
·
I.M.F.
Gives Ground on Yuan Exchange Rate Debate from NYT
o
The International Monetary Fund has chosen
not to call the yuan “substantially” undervalued, a move that recognizes
China’s efforts to free up its exchange rate and avoids friction with Beijing
·
China
at risk of bad loans, warns IMF from Telegraph
o
The International Monetary Fund has warned
China to be vigilant over bad loans as its economy begins to slow.
·
BP dn 1% today…….Washington Post says federal criminal
oil spill probe to focus on BP, Transocean and Halliburton
·
Reg
reform law aims to diversify Wall St. from POLITICO
o
It grants gov't powers to compel financial
firms to hire more women and minorities
·
Citigroup May Move
Prop Traders to Hedge Funds for Volcker Rule – BBG
o Citigroup may move a team of proprietary traders into its
hedge-fund unit, one of at least three alternatives the U.S. bank is studying
to comply with the Dodd-Frank Act
·
Arcelor
Mittal (-1.9%). 2Q figures are
better than expected, but the outlook was cautious.
o
ArcelorMittal, the world’s biggest
steelmaker, forecast third-quarter profit will slump as much as 30 percent from
the prior three months as China’s economy slows, costs rise and demand weakens
during the European summer.
·
NEM: Newmont 2nd-Quarter Profit Misses
Analysts’ Estimates
§
Newmont
Boosts Quarterly Dividend by 50%
·
Nippon Steel's (5401.JP) full-year outlook was below market consensus as slowing
growth in China threatens prices and margins
·
Air France up 5% today…Says Business Travel, Freight
Boost Profit ….Air France-KLM Group, Europe’s biggest
airline, said resurgent business travel and freight traffic helped it return to
operating profit in the fiscal first quarter, excluding the effect of a
volcanic eruption in Iceland
·
GOOG: Google’s Cash Hoard Makes It Prime for Stock
Buyback, Dividend – BBG
·
IGT
-3.5% ..IGT International Game
Technology guides full year EPS
o
IGT
International Game Technology guides full year EPS mixed. EPS in line with sterr..revs better
§ Gaming operations mixed
§ For fiscal 2010, IGT now expects EPS
of $0.82-$0.85 versus its prior expectations of $0.77-$0.85.
·
AFL, ACE
·
CHRW
·
British American Tobacco PLC reports a EPS miss… the world’s second-largest traded cigarette maker
·
Canon beats././JPM upgrades
·
SANYO
ups forecast..Sanyo Electric the battery maker acquired by Panasonic
Corp., returned to profit in the first quarter and raised its profit forecasts,
citing stronger earnings from solar panels and electronic components.
·
Infineon up 2.5%...-
raising guidance again
o Infineon , Europe’s second-largest chipmaker,
raised its fiscal 2010 outlook for a third time on semiconductor demand from
makers of cars and consumer electronics
·
LG
Electronics misses…, the
world’s second largest TV maker, reported a bigger-than-expected 90 per cent
slump in quarterly profit, hit by a loss in its mobile phone business as it
falls behind rivals in launching new models
·
Aetna Raises
Outlook, Inks Pharmacy Deal with CVS
·
Climate
Bill May Still Pass This Year, White House’s Gibbs Says - BBG
o
Climate-change measures scrapped by the
Senate may still be passed this year, according to White House press secretary
Robert Gibbs
·
Jeb Bush Says No to 2012 Run
o
Bush apparently sought to quiet the murmurs
today, telling a Kentucky TV reporter that he isn’t running.
·
Rangel Says He Is Seeking House Ethics Settlement
o
Rangel confirmed to reporters today that his
lawyers were in discussions with staff lawyers for the House ethics committee,
which has scheduled a July 29 hearing where details of the allegations against
the New York Democrat would be detailed. BBG
·
Al Qaeda No. 2 Threatens More U.S. Attacks
o
Ayman Al-Zawahiri Also Mentions Times Square
Attack in Audio Message
o http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/al-qaeda-message-ayman-zawahiri-threatens-us-attacks/story?id=11262121
·
North Korea might launch internet attack on its South Korean counterparts – TTN
·
California
city OKs tax rates for marijuana Reuters
o Anticipating California voters will back a November
ballot measure to legalize casual marijuana use, officials in Oakland have
approved two tax rates on pot sales in their city, already a hub of the state's
medicinal marijuana scene.
·
Immigrant
rights groups adjust focus to passage of AgJobs, Dream Act from Wash Post
o Some immigrant rights groups are shifting the strategy in
their so-far unsuccessful push to overhaul immigration law: They're calling the
new tactic the "down payment" approach
·
Afghanistan War Logs Could Lead to Revenge Killings, Say Intelligence - Telegraph
·
Drinking Alcohol Regularly Cuts Risk of Arthritis, Study Finds
Bloomberg
·
China vs US: : Reportedly China initiated large scale military
drill on the east coast, and live fire exercises near the Yellow River – TTN
·
China: New York Times) --The Chinese government has
called for an end to the public shaming of criminal suspects, a time-honored
cudgel of Chinese law enforcement but one that has increasingly rattled the public.
·
China: China's
Government News Chief 'Missing' in Britain
o
Telegraph) -- The head of China's domestic
news service has gone missing during a trip to Britain amid speculation he has
defected. Wan Wuyi, 58, disappeared
after being sent to complete a training course at Oxford University.
·
Somali Pirates Deterred by Cargo Ship Defense Efforts, UN Says
o The success rate of pirates operating off the coast of
Somalia will fall to below 20 percent this year, from 63 percent in 2007, in
part due to defensive measures cargo ships are taking
·
Equity Recap
o Another interesting day ,seemed they sold the stocks with
good earnings and take the ones that were missed out back to shoot them. The
economic data was better on the case/shiller housing and Richmond fed front but
tad light on the consumer confidence front(50 which is the contraction level).
To think that the summer of 07 it was at 111 is crazy but such is reality.
o They still
continue to feel tired here and technically challenged as well with the market
not being able to take out its 150 day moving average on the spz(1,122) but no
one thought they would take out 1,113 either
o Breadth to the market had declining issues outnumber
advancing issues by 1 Ľ -1 while internally here, Buy and sell names were about
equal
o Overnight, Asian markets were mixed. European markets
followed our lead and traded up between ˝% and 1%. S&P futures were adding
to yesterday’s gains as traders awaited the Case Shiller Housing data. When
this came in better than expected, S&P’s rallied through resistance at
1113, and got as high as 1118, as traders settled in for the cash open. The
early rally held until the 10:00 release of consumer confidence which fell from
last month (and also came in below expectations: 50.4 vs. 51). The next hour
was spent in a 12 point decline to 1106. This ended up establishing the range
for the entire session, as we held above the 200 Day MA, but proved unable to generate
any real gains due to the gloomy consumer number (as a point of reference,
compare today’s reading of 50.4 with the average reading of 98 which prevailed
during the economic expansion which ended in 2007). S&P’s closed about
flat, up marginally on the day.
o
Of the 10 S&P Industry groups, Utilities
were strongest, up 1.6%; Consumer Discretionaries were weakest, down 1.2%. Most
of the individual stock action was earnings driven as we are entering the
heaviest part of the reporting session. UBS rose 8.9% after reporting better
numbers, while letter X fell 6.4% on weak numbers.
o Billy Clark and Team
- Converts recap
o Many short dated yield bonds are still
getting bid up. We’ve seen some names up 1-2 points over the past 2-3 days
alone.
o AMD
announced a $500MM straight bond deal today. The proceeds will be used to
tender for the 6% Convertibles outstanding. This adds more fuel to the Yield to
tender or Yield to take out speculation going on in our market.
o We
are seeing more paper go away than we are seeing in new issuance. Although the
past 3 days have been good Bankers…last week we saw GNK and APA bring issue new
Convertibles and today, Gilead (GILD) announced a $2.2 billion Convertible deal
that will be done in 2 traunches…2014 & 2016. This
brings new issuance to about $3.5 billion in the past 3 days. Fair pricing
and strong market technical factors should provide good demand for this deal.
o Tom
Fazio
- Rates Commentary
o The relatively quiet market continued today
in Treasuries ahead the pending $104Bln of Treasury supply. Treasuries opened
up the New York session lower with the curve modestly changed. The market
traded near its intraday lows throughout the morning and into the $38Bln 2 year
note auction. The 2 year note auction came .5bp through at .665%, with a much
smaller than average non dealer participation 32.8% indirects, 13.5% directs,
bid to cover, however was strong at 3.33. Treasuries mainly in the intermediate
and long end found a small bid in the afternoon on rate locks and short
covering but this dissipated into the close with the benchmarks closing nearly
their intraday lows, yields ~5-6bps higher across the curve.
o Wed
the second part of this weeks auction schedule will take place with
$37Bln 5 year notes. The calendar picks up with durable goods at 8:30AM and the
Fed Beige book in the afternoon.
o Primary Dealer
- CMBS Recap
o
Another strong day in CMBS with spreads in
~5pbs with GG10s +345/$100-03. For the
past couple weeks, CMBS has decoupled a bit from corps and the stock mkt. Saw $421mm in BWICs with AM/AJ paper taking
center stage- $255mm in BWICs. The paper
traded well with the Duper/AM basis spread in ~30bps over the past week. The Duper/AM spread basis for clean '07 paper
is low to mid 300s in from mid to high 300s.
Still positive on clean '06/'07 AM paper. We sold our small piece of BACM 05-5 AJs and
are a $85-12 bid for $10mm.
o Geordie
Walker
o
CBG
+6.2% … CB Richard
Ellis Group big beat EPS
o Call 10:30am EST. Number: (800)-288-8968
o
Trucker…CHRW +2.5% -
nice beat
o
C.H. Robinson upgraded to Outperform from
Market Perform at BMO Capital
o
Manitowoc MTW
+2.4%....- nice beat.. reaffirmed its full-year 2010 guidance: 10am ET: 888-215-6881,
password: 1235484
o Century Aluminum CENX -6% EPS of $0.19, vs. Consensus of $0.25.

o BP Washington
Post says federal criminal oil spill probe to focus on BP, Transocean and
Halliburton
o BP Great news.... BP Oil From Spill Is
Biodegrading, Easing Threat to East Coast
§ The oil slick in the Gulf of Mexico appears to be
dissolving far more rapidly than anyone expected, a piece of good news that
raises tricky new questions about how fast the government should scale back its
response to the Deepwater Horizon disaster. NYT, BBG
§ probably eliminating the risk that crude will go around
Florida and hit the U.S. East Coast, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration said
o
Criminal probe of oil spill to focus on 3 firms and their
ties to regulators from
Wash Post
§ A
team of federal investigators known as the "BP squad" is assembling
in New Orleans to conduct a wide-ranging criminal probe that will focus on at
least three companies and examine whether their cozy relations with federal
regulators contributed to the oil disaster in the Gulf of Mexico
o U.S. Decision on Pipeline Is Delayed –
NYT
§ The
State Department said it would delay its decision on a permit for a contentious
$7 billion pipeline project intended to deliver crude oil from the oil sands of
the province of Alberta in Canada, to refineries on the Texas Gulf Coast.
§ http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/28/business/energy-environment/28keystone.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper
o Congress Moves to
Restrict Drilling Without Curbing Carbon – BBG
§ Congressional Democrats proposed tougher rules for
offshore drilling in response to the worst oil spill in U.S. history, while
spurning calls to place a price on carbon emissionsHouse and Senate leaders
presented legislation yesterday rewriting oil and natural-gas drilling rules
more than three months after a rig leased by BP Plc exploded in the Gulf of
Mexico. The bills would strengthen safety and environmental standards for
exploration in federal waters, give Congress direct oversight of offshore
energy production, and require companies that cause spills to pay all damages.
§ Centrica, the British Gas owner, fell 6.3p to 301.4p even
though profits nearly doubled while its former associate BG is down 8p at
Ł10.55.
o Climate Bill May Still
Pass This Year, White House’s Gibbs Says - BBG
§ Climate-change measures scrapped by the Senate may still
be passed this year, according to White House press secretary Robert Gibbs
o
GLBL
Global Industries awarded $40M pipeline project in Pemex's Bay of Campeche
Ku-Maloob-Zaap field
o
MEE
Massey Energy reports Q2 GAAP EPS
o
BAS
Basic Energy Services reports Q2 EPS
o
PVR Penn
Virginia Resource Partners reports Q2 GAAP EPS
o
PVG Penn
Virginia GP reports Q2 adjusted net income per unit
o
AHGP,
ARLP Wells Fargo
upgrades Alliance Holdings upgraded to outperform from market perform;
valuation range is $40-$42; Alliance Resource upgraded to outperform from
market perform; valuation range is $56-$58
o
DPM DCP
Midstream Partners increases quarterly distribution by 1.7% to $0.61 from $0.60
o
MMP
Magellan Midstream Partners announces long-term pipeline throughput agreement,
$65M expansion of Texas storage capacity
o
EVEP EV
Energy Partners announces quarterly cash distribution of $0.757 per unit
o
XEC
Cimarex announces Q2 production volumes averaged 594.4M MMcfe/d; +31% y/y
o
WPZ
Williams Partners increases quarterly dividend by 2.3% to $0.6725 from $0.6575
o
API reports crude inventories +3.084M vs.
Reuters (1.6M); distillate inventories +407K vs. Reuters +1.8M; gasoline
inventories +877K vs. Reuters +400K
o
SXL
Sunoco Logistics reports Q2 EPS
o
STR
Questar reports Q2 EPS
o
OKS
ONEOK Partners LP announces expansion of Sterling pipeline
o
NBR
Nabors Industries reports Q2 EPS
o
APU
AmeriGas Partners reports Q3 EPS
o
UGI UGI
Corporation reports Q3 EPS
o
BRY Berry
Petroleum reports
o
CEG
Constellation Energy reports
§
Reaffirms full year EPS guidance of
$3.05-3.45 vs Reuters $3.31.
§
Reaffirms 2011 EPS guidance of $3.25-3.65 vs
Reuters $3.45.
o
RMIXQ U.S. Concrete receives
commitment letter for $75M
o
Manitowoc MTW
+2.4%....- nice beat.. reaffirmed its full-year 2010 guidance: 10am ET: 888-215-6881,
password: 1235484
o
PX reports…Praxair reports Q2 EPS $1.19 vs Reuters
$1.14; authorizes new $1.5B for share repurchases..guides mixed…Guides full
year
EPS to $4.60-$4.70, above prior $4.50-$4.65, vs Reuters $4.62; guides revenues
to be in the area of $10B vs Reuters $10.04B.
o
SEE
Sealed Air reports Q2 adjusted EPS ..SEE reported ..reits guidance…Sealed Air
increases quarterly dividend by 8.3%
o Calls for EU to Halt Corrupt Defense Deals link from BusinessWeek -
o Mitsubishi Chemical may report Q1 Op profit
of Ą60B (Ą32Be) on strong sales of LCD material – TTN
o
GVA
Granite Construction awarded $29M roadway project in New Mexico
o
NLC
Nalco Holding reports Q2 EPS
o
MTW
Manitowoc reports Q2 EPS
o
PKOH
Park-Ohio reports Q2 EPS
o
AP
Ampco-Pittsburgh reports Q2 EPS
o
LAWS
Lawson Products reports Q2 EPS
o
NSC
Norfolk Southern increases stock repurchase program
o
NEWL
NewLead Holdings reports 1-for-12 reverse split of common shares, effective
upon 3-Aug
o
TRMB
Trimble Navigation reports Q2 EPS
o
CBI
Chicago Bridge reports Q2 EPS
o
NSC
Norfolk Southern reports Q2 EPS
o
NATI
National Instruments reports Q2 EPS
o Air France Says Business
Travel, Freight Boost Profit ….Air
France-KLM Group, Europe’s biggest airline, said resurgent business travel and
freight traffic helped it return to operating profit in the fiscal first
quarter, excluding the effect of a volcanic eruption in Iceland
o Deutsche Lufthansa AG, the region’s No. 2, is scheduled
to announce results tomorrow, followed by British Airways Plc on July 30.
o
Trucker…CHRW +2.5% -
nice beat
§
C.H. Robinson upgraded to Outperform from
Market Perform at BMO Capital
o
XJT
ExpressJet announces results of initial bond redemption and final settlement of
auction rate securities
o
LFL Lan
Airlines reports Q2 net income of $60.6M vs year-ago $4.2M
o
HA
Hawaiian Airlines reports Q2 EPS
TECH/MEDIA/TELECOM
o Infineon- Solid Q3 and another FY guidance
raise. Automotive, Industrial, Wirless, and Chic card segments all came
in better. The Q raise came as demand from carmakers and and consumer
electronics makers is still very high.
o Sanyo- Very Strong Q1FY11 driven by
outperformance in the photovoltaic cells, optical pickups, capacitors, and
navigation. Sanyo did lower its 1HFY11 forecast due to downward revisions from
the discontinuation of the semiconductor business.
o
LG-
Record loss in the Q.
LG attributed its weakness to competition from the iPhone and other smartphones.
Losses in mobile were 101m vs gains the previous year of about 500m. LG plans
to introduce about 20 smartphones this year to compete in the smartphone
market.
o
BLKB- in line to slightly better Q2 and
better Q3 guidance. Tha major positive was there was license growth for the
first time in two years. The spending environment looks to be
stabilizing. BLKB is increasing its investment in services headcount, sales,
and marketing to help get the remainder of their 31eCRM clients up and running.
Currently only 14 are up and running.
o
BRCM-
beat and raise Q2
with Mobile and Wireless the biggest contributors, and broadband was also
strong. Inventories increased in the Q, but mgmt points out 60% of the
inventory growth was for cellular chips to be shipped in 2H10 and in particular
for one BRCM customer BRCM has a deal woith to store inventories at their hub.
Some on the street believe this to be Nokia.
o DST- strong Q2 with upside coming from the
financial segment which helped to contribute $0.22 of the EPS upside. DST upped
its FY guidance for accounts serviced .
o
FORM-
weak Q, but there is
new management in place, and they will need more time to implement their own
goals. FORM did not see profits from the recovery in DRAM because old FORM mgmt
had drastically cut ASPs on Harmony to gain market share. FORM is aggressively
restructuring and will take a market share hit as it tries to condition
customers to accept higher ASPs.
o
JDAS-
mixed Q with higher
revs and an EPs miss due to some higher expenses. The Dillard’s and Oracle
lawsuits drove up legal expenses and cause the EPS miss. The major positive
from the Qwas stronger licensing revenues.
o
NATI-
mixed Q, with some of
the EPS miss coming from a slightly higher tax rate and FX headwinds. Revs were
in line and GMs were very strong at 77%. Guidance looks slightly better for Q3.
o
PMTC-
slightly better Q3
and FY guidance remains the same. The Q3 upside came from strong PLM license
sales. Domestic revs declined due to timing issues, but it appears to be primed
to return to growth in the coming Q. Other geographies showed growth across the
board.
o
RFMD-
mostly in Line Q. The
cellular products group performed well, but GMs decreased 30 basis points in
the Q. Guidance is slightly disappointing heading into a usually seasonally
strong September Q. The company’s transceiver business is expected to bring the
Sept Q downside. Weakness in the handset end market is also dragging on
RFMD earnings, and could for Qs to come as handset makers are already or are expected
to report weaker earnings in many cases.
o TRMB- Strong Q2 results and better guidance.
E&C revs were the major driver to better earnings, but were slightly offset
by FX headwinds and weakness in MS margins. TRMB saw the first rebound in the
survey segment in two years, which could be a major positive driver for future
earnings.
o
ULTI- slightly better Q2 and worse Q3
guidance, but kept FY10 guidance unchanged. Recurring revs grew 27% in the y/y
and billings in the Q were strong. The recurring revcs is a positive, but will
be offset by weaker margins in Q3.
o
WBSN-
weak Q and
disappoiting billings causes FY guidance to be lowered. Softening demand in
Europe also contributed to the weak Q and lowered guidance. The sales mgmt
transition is still underway and there are questions on how long it will take
to work through it. Lower renewal rates in some segments also provided some
downside to the Q.
o
o
CTGX-
Q2 looks
better and Q3 guidance is increased
o
EPIQ-
in line to slightly
worse Q2.
o
HTCH-
disappointing Q3.
o IRIS- in line to slightly better Q2, but FY
EPS guidance is lowered drastically.
o ISSI- better Q3 and guides Q4 higher, but
guides GMs lower in the coming Q.
o
KEYN-
in line to
worse Q3 and slightly higher Q4 guidance.
o
RSYS-
better Q2, but Q3
guidance looks light.
o
SIMG-
up 14.9% on better Q2
and higher Q3 guidance.
o
SUPX-
mixed Q1 with revs
missing, but EPS a beat on strong GMs.
o
VOCS- in line to slightly better Q2 and
guides Q4 and FY10 slightly higher
o
ZIXI-
better Q2 and higher
Q3 and FY guidance
o
o GOOG: Google’s Cash Hoard Makes It Prime for
Stock Buyback, Dividend- BBG
o Google in talks to build Facebook competitor-
Reuters
o Vivo: Telefonica and Portugal Telecom Agree
on 7.5B Vivo deal-El Pais
o DIS: Tutor, Colony Said to Move Ahead With
Miramax Buy- BBG
o DIS: Disney buying Playdom for at least $563 million-
Reuters
o
TRB
Tribune deal marred
by ‘dishonesty’- FT
o ADBE Agrees to Buy Day Software in 255
Million Franc Deal- BBG
o JNPR Buys SMobile for $70 Million to Expand
Mobile Security- BBG
o SAP is interested in further acquisitions after the takeover
of Sybase- Die Welt
o HRS Harris Corp awarded $78.5M US Army contract
o MTSC MTS settles patent-infringement litigation; preannounces
Q3
o ADCT ADC and AFL resolve pending litigation, reach FTTX
licensing agreement
o GOOG: Android Market to Stop Unauthorized
App Use- eWeek
o Acer to launch dual-OS netbook
o
NEM: Newmont 2nd-Quarter Profit Misses
Analysts’ Estimates
§
Newmont
Boosts Quarterly Dividend by 50%
o
SWC Stillwater Mining reports.. Lowers FY
guidance
o Australian Opposition Labor Party: Mining tax
would be reduced to 28.5% v 30% if elected on August 21st
o
Arcelor
Mittal (-1.9%). 2Q figures are
better than expected, but the outlook was cautious.
§ ArcelorMittal, the world’s biggest steelmaker, forecast
third-quarter profit will slump as much as 30 percent from the prior three
months as China’s economy slows, costs rise and demand weakens during the
European summer.
o
London sees surge in steel futures trading from Financial Times
§ Export problems support prices for sugar while tin
touches two-year highs after supply disruption in Indonesia
o
Miners Likely to Skip Afghan Auction –
WSJ link
§ Afghanistan
is preparing to auction off a round of iron ore, copper and natural gas
deposits over the next year, but the major international miners aren't likely
to go in until stability returns
o
Nippon Steel posts Q1 profit, forecast below consensus from Business Spectator
§ Steel giant's prices, margins hurt by Chinese growth. 28
Jul 2010 3:15 PM
o
PX
Consensus segment results for Praxair
o
HWKN
Hawkins Chemical reports Q1 EPS
o
DEL
Deltic Timber reports Q2 EPS
o
USLM U.S.
Lime & Minerals reports Q2 EPS
o
CMP
Compass Minerals reports Q2 EPS
o Century Aluminum CENX -6% EPS of $0.19, vs. Consensus of $0.25.
o
TCK Teck
Resources reports Q2 EPS
o
Cramer: Should Ford Investors Expect a
Dividend?
§ Alan Mulally, CEO of Ford (F), tells Cramer that
the company now makes a whole family of cars in the US profitably. He adds that
the company is now profitable all over the world and is seeing some of its best
results in ten years. He also notes that the company paid down $7B in debt last
quarter and is on its way to becoming investment grade in 2011. Cramer remains
positive.
o
Regions' Auto Lending Push, Settlement Talks
Show New CEO's Hand from American Banker
§ Regions' CEO, O.B. Grayson Hall, said during a 2Q
conference call Tuesday that the company will reenter the indirect auto lending
business this quarter after quitting
o
Visteon suppliers urged
to vote down plan to exit bankruptcy from Automotive
News
§ Visteon's reorganization proposal has divided creditors
owed at least $2.8 billion. Bondholders, who are sponsoring the plan, would own
95 percent of Visteon, with current shareholders getting the rest.
o
GM prices Volt at 41G from NY Post
§ General Motors Co., the largest US automaker, will sell
its Chevrolet Volt for a starting price of $41,000 and lease terms similar to
those on Nissan Motor Co.'s Leaf electric car...
o
PSA Peugeot Citroen, Europe’s second-largest
carmaker, reported six-month net income that beat estimates and forecast its
first full-year operating profit in two years as a global economic recovery
spurs demand.
§ Peugeot Citroen returns to profit, revenue up
21% from
MarketWatch.com
o
Daihatsu Motor Co. soared 8.3 percent after
the Japanese carmaker said fiscal first-quarter profit surged almost sixfold
o
Mazda
Motor started reducing production in US on weaker than expected sales – TTN
o
TM Toyota Motor looking to expand
overseas production because of strong yen -- Nikkei
o
o
Reg reform law aims to diversify Wall St. from POLITICO
§ It grants gov't powers to compel financial firms to hire
more women and minorities
o Citigroup May Move Prop Traders to Hedge Funds for Volcker Rule –
BBG
§ Citigroup may move a team of proprietary traders into its
hedge-fund unit, one of at least three alternatives the U.S. bank is studying
to comply with the Dodd-Frank Act
o
Sallie sale days from NY Post
§ Sallie Mae, America's largest student lender, has tapped
Goldman Sachs to help it consider a possible breakup of the company, The Post
has learned. The Reston, Va.-based loan originator is working with Goldman to
possibly sell or spin off its student-loan servicing business ….NYP
o WFC Wells Fargo accused of predatory lending by Pennsylvania
Human Relations Commission -- Philly Inquirer
o
DB: NYT cautious article…
§ The new Basel proposals don't yet specify what exactly
constitutes capital for the leverage-ratio calculation. But one proxy is to use
public numbers for banks' Tier 1 common capital in the U.S. and core Tier 1 capital
in Europe. Under that approach, Bank of America, Citigroup and J.P. Morgan
Chase all sail past the 3% threshold with Basel-like leverage ratios of more
than 5%. Wells Fargo appears to be over 6%.
§ However, Deutsche Bank's leverage ratio, using an adjusted
core Tier 1 figure and a U.S.-style assets calculation, appears to be at only
2.5%.
§ http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703977004575393683187234528.html?mod=ITP_moneyandinvesting_13
o
ECB Expects Banks to Tighten Lending Rules
Further from CNBC
o
o
BofA, Citi, Wells Fargo Outlook Negative:
Moody's
o BBVA
dn 1% beats….bad loan provisions rise….
§ Banco
Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA, Spain’s second-biggest bank
o
Soros Set to Buy
Stake in Bombay Exchange – NYT link
o
Sumitomo
Mitsui Financial Group, Japan’s third-largest traded bank by assets, said
first-quarter profit tripled, beating analysts’ estimates as bad-loan charges
fell and trading income climbed.
o
FBCM FBR
Capital Markets reports Q2 EPS
o
FUBC 1st
United Bancorp reports Q2 EPS
o
EHTH
eHealth awarded contract to provide software platform and services for HSS
Health Plan Data Collection and Services Web portal-- conf. call
o
JLL
Jones Lang LaSalle reports Q2 EPS
o
CBG CB
Richard Ellis reports Q2 EPS
o
BUSE First
Busey reports Q2 EPS
o
MBTF MBT
Financial reports Q2 EPS
o
EWBC East
West Bancorp reports Q2 EPS
o
TRMK
Trustmark reports Q2 EPS
o
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher reports Q2 EPS
o
CTBI
Community Trust Bancorp increases quarterly dividend by 1.7% to $0.305 from
$0.30
o
STSA
Sterling Financial/WA reports Q2 EPS
o
RNR
RenaissanceRe reports Q2 EPS
o
CATY
Cathay Bancorp reports Q2 EPS
o
EHTH
eHealth reports Q2 GAAP EPS
o
SHBI
Shore Bancshares reports Q2 EPS
o
COF
Capital One initiated perform at Oppenheimer
o
FCBC
First Community Bancshares reports Q2 EPS
o
CFFN
Capitol Federal Financial reports Q3 EPS
o
SBX
SeaBright Holdings reports Q2 EPS
o
PZN
Pzena Investment Management reports Q2 EPS
o
ENH
Endurance Specialty reports Q2 operating EPS
o
DFG
Delphi Financial reports Q2 EPS
o
ACE ACE
Limited reports Q2 EPS
o
NAL
NewAlliance Bancshares reports Q2 EPS
o
TNCC Tennessee Commerce Bancorp
announces common stock offering; expects to sell up to $60M of its common stock
o
FBC Flagstar Bancorp reports
o MKTX beats…. Marketaxess Holdings
reports Q2 EPS $0.18 vs Reuters $0.17 ..Company reports revenues of $35.3M vs a
single estimate of $34.5M.
o CMBS
Recap: Another strong day in CMBS with spreads in
~5pbs with GG10s +345/$100-03. For the
past couple weeks, CMBS has decoupled a bit from corps and the stock mkt. Saw $421mm in BWICs with AM/AJ paper taking
center stage- $255mm in BWICs. The paper
traded well with the Duper/AM basis spread in ~30bps over the past week. The Duper/AM spread basis for clean '07 paper
is low to mid 300s in from mid to high 300s.
Still positive on clean '06/'07 AM paper. We sold our small piece of BACM 05-5 AJs and
are a $85-12 bid for $10mm. Geordie
Walker
o White House plans to address Fannie, Freddie
in August meeting
§ A conference at the U.S. Treasury Department in August will
address the direction of housing finance, including government-controlled
entities Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The gathering will bring together industry
leaders, academics, community organizations and other stakeholders, the White
House said in a statement. MarketWatch (27 Jul.)
o
FNM,
FRE…Many Ideas, Little Direction for GSEs' Future
§ If the Obama administration was looking to comments filed
by more than 300 individuals, banks, trade groups and other companies for
guidance in crafting a future for the government-sponsored enterprises, it had
better have a Plan B.
§ About the only common theme in the letters is the utter
lack of consensus among various players. In the nearly two years since the
government seized Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the coming debate promises to be
a black hole.
§ The proposals range from abolishing Fannie and Freddie to
nationalizing them, creating a mortgage insurance fund to back mortgage-backed
securities or just returning the GSEs to the way they were before the crisis.
Other suggestions included creating a covered bond market to allow banks to
issue mortgage-backed debt to finance loans, or allowing each of the 12 Federal
Home Loan banks to securitize loans
§ http://www.americanbanker.com/issues/175_143/gses-1023046-1.html?ET=americanbanker:e3921:2269326a:&st=email&utm_source=editorial&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=AB_Daily_Briefing_072810
o
Deutsche
Bank Said to Shut Commercial Real Estate Adviser Group
(Bloomberg) -- Deutsche Bank AG, Germany’s largest lender, is dismantling a
group that advises companies on commercial real estate transactions
o
CBG
+6.2% … CB Richard
Ellis Group big beat EPS
§ Call 10:30am EST. Number: (800)-288-8968
o
DJSP
-8.9% (withdraws guidance) ….mortgage processing company..only $51M mkt cap
o
HIW
Highwoods Properties acquired Crescent Center for $56.2M
o
RPT
Ramco-Gershenson reports Q2 FFO
o
BXP
Boston Properties reports Q2 FFO
o
CSWC
Capital Southwest Corp reports net assets as of 30-Jun of $495.9M vs year-ago
$424.3M
o
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust reports Q2 FFO
o
TCO
Taubman Centers reports Q2 FFO
o
EGP
EastGroup reports Q2 FFO
o
CT
Capital Trust reports Q2 EPS
o
SKT
Tanger Factory reports Q2 FFO
o
ACC
American Campus reports Q2 FFO
o
KIM
Kimco Realty reports Q2 FFO
o
CVS Caremark Receives 12-Year Aetna
Pharmacy Services Contract
o
British American Tobacco PLC reports a EPS miss… the world’s second-largest traded cigarette maker
o
CVS Aetna confirms that it
has awarded PBM contract to CVS Caremark
o
CVS WSJ
reports that Aetna contracts PBM business to CVS Caremark
o
EEFT
Euronet reports Q2 EPS
o
WTSLA Wet
Seal CEO Edmond Thomas will step down; effective 8-Oct
o
MTH
Meritage Homes reports Q2 EPS
o
CRWS
Crown Crafts enters amendment to rights agreement
o
CSS CSS
Industries reports Q1 EPS
o
BBSI
Barrett Business Services reports Q2 EPS
o
ATAC ATC
Technology reports Q2 EPS
o
ICON
Iconix Brand Group promotes Yehuda Shmidman to COO
o
WINN
Winn-Dixie reaffirms fiscal 2010 guidance; to close 30 underperforming stores
o
USNA
USANA reports Q2 EPS
o
KONA Kona
Grill reports Q2 EPS
o
BGS
B&G Foods reports Q2 EPS
o
BWLD
+7.6% BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings
reports Q2 EPS
o
GPN
Global Payment reports Q4 EPS
o
DWA
DreamWorks Animation reports Q2 EPS
o
PNRA
dn 2%..mixed guicance… Panera Bread reports Q2 EPS
o
RCKY
Rocky Brands reports Q2 EPS
o
Groupe Danone to sell approx 23% stake in
China’s biggest pure-juice maker Huiyuan to venture capital fund Saif Partners
for about €200M – BBG
o PEP PepsiCo to
make major push for oatmeal business – WSJ
o
ELY Callaway Golf announces restructuring
of global operations
o DEST
Destination Maternity reports and guides better….but not street had rev above
its range…so mixed
o
IGT
International Game Technology guides full year EPS mixed. EPS in line with sterr..revs better
§ Gaming operations mixed
§ For fiscal 2010, IGT now expects EPS
of $0.82-$0.85 versus its prior expectations of $0.77-$0.85.
o
WYN Wyndham
Worldwide reports.. guidesb beter… revenues of $963.0M vs Reuters $940.2M.
§
Guides Q3 EPS to $0.60-$0.64 vs Reuters $0.58.
§
Guides full year EPS to $1.78-$1.88 vs Reuters $1.69 and prior $1.56-$1.71;
guides revenues to $3.7B-$4.0B vs Reuters $3.77B and prior $3.6B-$3.9B.
§
Guides Lodging RevPAR
to 0%-3% vs. prior (3%)-0% Guides Vacation ownershipo VPG to 10%-14% vs. prior
6$-9%.
o
MGM MGM
Resorts confirms intent to sell Atlantic City assets
o
GMTC
Gametech International CFO Marcia Martin resigns, effective 23-Jul
o
HOT,
CME Starwood Hotels, CME Group added to Recommended List at
Citi
o
MPEL Consensus
property results for Melco Crown Entertainment
o
CHH
Choice Hotels reports Q2 adjusted EPS
o
o HMA's Road to Recovery from Barron's
§
A recent stock selloff makes shares of this
rural hospital chain a healthy choice.
o
AET: Aetna Raises Outlook, Inks Pharmacy Deal with
CVS
o
WLP
reports and guides better
o
SPNC Spectranetics reports mostly in
line first blush
o
MDT US
FDA panel votes 6-5 saying the benefits of Medtronic's AMPLIFY spine device
outweigh the risks - Reuters
o
WLP
Consensus metrics for WellPoint Health
o
CPD
Caraco Pharmaceutical names G.P. Singh Sachdeva as COO
o
HGR
Hanger Orthopedic reports Q2 EPS
o
DVAX
Dynavax Technologies appoints Chief Medical Officer Tyler Martin to newly
created position of president
o
NUVA
Nuvasive reports Q2 non-GAAP EPS
o
PPDI PPD,
Inc reports Q2 EPS
o
IRIS IRIS
International to acquire CLIA certified laboratory AlliedPath
o
IRIS IRIS
International reports Q2 EPS
o
CEPH
Cephalon reports Q2 diluted EPS
o
MRK,
LH Merck grants license to Labcorp for development of test
for potential identification of patients responsive to Hepatits C therapy
o
AFL
Aflac reports Q2 operating EPS
o
SGEN
Seattle Genetics reports Q2 EPS
o
ILMN
Illumina reports Q2 EPS
o
ITMN
InterMune reports Q2 EPS
o
o
Stocks mentioned on CNBC's Mad Money with Jim
Cramer - TheStreet.com
+ F, BRCM, CMI and NTAP
- ALU
o
·
Metals
and miners
·
·
Arcelor
Mittal (-1.9%). 2Q figures are
better than expected, but the outlook was cautious.
·
·
Oils
·
·
Tullow (+0.5%). Tullow encounter oil at a Ugandan
exploration well.
·
·
BG
Group (-1.3%). 2Q figures
slightly light, output is down and write-downs have been made on some commodity
contracts.
·
·
Utilities
·
·
Centrica (-2%). 1H figures inline with estimates.
o
• NKY +2.70%, TPX +2.29%
• Stocks rose across most sectors led
by tech, financials, materials, industrials and consumer
• Exporters rose as the yen traded near
a 2-mth low against the euro: autos +2.02%, CE +2.07%, precision
+3.50• Banks extended gains rising another 2.94% after the
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision eased some bank capital rules
• Best performing sectors on the TPX:
insurance +5.16%, other financing +4.60%, real estate +3.81%; worst performing
sectors: airline -0.32%, electric power & gas +0.16%, mining +0.34%
Hong Kong
• HSI +0.56%; HSCEI +0.35%
• Stocks rose as banks extended gains.
Turnover on the HSI fell to HK$16.43B from HK$16.60B yesterday
• Local properties fell after the
government sold a Peak site for HK$10.4B below the median estimate expected by
analysts:
• Cement advanced after the Economic
Information Daily reported China aims to eliminate inefficient cement capacity
and close polluting factories
China
• SHCOMP +2.26%; SZCOMP +2.15%
• Stocks rose led by banks, properties
and coal stocks. Turnover on the SHCOMP fell to 84.09B yuan from 86.61B yuan
yesterday
• Stocks rose across most sectors led
by materials, financials, consumer, industrial s and tech
• Real estate +3.49%, banks +2.19% on
continued expectations the government will relax property curbs and allow more
bank lendings to counter a slowdown in economic growth
• Coal +4.03% despite considering for
introduction of a coal production ceiling
• Airlines +3.36
• Cement stocks rose after report the
new cement industry policy had been revised to eliminate inefficient cement
capacity, possibly signalling the start of consolidation within the cement
industry
INVESTMENT
BANKING
o
BP’s Garage Sale:
A Look at Which Assets May Go- Dealbook
o
BP may look to sell its interests in one of the 20 other oil fields
that it controls or has a significant interest in along Alaska’s North Slope.
Most of those oil fields are declining in production like Prudhoe Bay, but some
are natural gas fields that have yet to be tapped
o
The most likely buyers of BP’s Alaskan assets at this point seem to be
BP’s partners at Prudhoe Bay, XOM Exxon Mobil and COP ConocoPhillips, which
each hold a 36 percent interest in the field
o
If there is no deal for BP’s Alaskan stake, the company may need to
consider selling other peripheral assets like those in Colombia and Argentina.
o
http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/07/27/bps-big-garage-sale-a-look-at-which-assets-may-go/
o
Telefonica and
Portugal Telecom Agree on 7.5B Vivo deal-El Pais
o
The deal has the approval of the Portuguese government headed by José
Socrates.
o
The final offer price is 350 million higher than it was accepted by the
meeting of shareholders on June 30 but was vetoed by the Portuguese State
through the action of gold, then declared illegal by the EU court.
o
SLM Sallie Mae
lender hires Goldman to test options- NYPOST
o
The Reston, Va.-based loan originator is working with Goldman to
possibly sell or spin off its student-loan servicing business and do the same
with its $145 billion government-subsidized loan portfolio.
o
As a part of its strategic thinking, Sallie, run by CEO Albert Lord,
also has considered converting part of its platform into a traditional
deposit-taking bank
o
UNH UnitedHealth
near $1.5 bln services firm deal-BBG
o
Executive Health, which is backed by private equity firm Abry Partners,
would be added to UnitedHealth's Ingenix unit
o
The agreement could be days away and may still fall apart, the report
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN2711132420100727
o
Tutor, Colony Said
to Move Ahead With DIS Miramax Buy- BBG
o
Construction executive Ronald Tutor and private-equity firm Colony
Capital LLC plan to make a deposit on their proposed purchase of Walt Disney
Co.’s Miramax film division
o
An announcement may come as soon as tomorrow, they said.
o
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-07-27/tutor-colony-said-to-move-ahead-with-miramax-buy.html
o
DIS Disney buying
Playdom for at least $563 million- Reuters
o
Walt Disney Co will acquire start-up Playdom for $563.2 million, as the
media giant aims to take a leading role in the fast-growing market for games
played on sites such as Facebook and MySpace
o
The deal, which is expected to close by the end of Disney's 2010 fiscal
year, includes an additional performance-linked earn-out of up to $200 million
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66Q6DL20100727
o
TRB Tribune deal
marred by ‘dishonesty’- FT
o
A court-appointed examiner of the $8.3bn leveraged buy-out of Tribune
Co in 2007 said it had found evidence of “dishonesty and lack of candour” in
the second part of the two-step transaction
o
The examiner alleged that during the second part, Tribune’s management
pushed a faulty valuation report that “went beyond the optimism that sometimes
characterises management projections”.
o
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f66c11ac-99b4-11df-a852-00144feab49a.html?ftcamp=rss
o
o
HES Hess to Buy
AEZ American Oil & Gas in An All-Stock Transaction- WSJ
o
Hess has agreed to acquire American Oil & Gas Inc. pursuant to a
merger agreement approved by the boards of directors of both companies in an
all-stock transaction.
o
Under the deal, Hess will issue 0.1373 common shares in exchange for
each outstanding American Oil & Gas' share, representing a 9.4% premium on
the target company's Tuesday closing share price
o
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100727-721428.html
o
GS Goldman Sachs,
CS buy stakes in Bank of Moscow- Reuters
o
As part of a $29 billion fund-raising effort to plug gaps in the
budget, Russia is looking at the sale of minority stakes in major state-owned
lenders Sberbank and VTB
o
Goldman Sachs bought a 3.88 percent stake in Bank of Moscow (MMBM.MM),
and Credit Suisse 2.77 percent
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66Q4OI20100727
o
Tomkins 'hopeful'
of takeover- Telegraph
o
The chairman of Tomkins says he is "hopeful" of securing
shareholder support for a Ł2.9bn takeover of the engineer despite investor
anger at the pay deal executives will collect after the deal.
o
Standard Life, a top 10 shareholder, last night reiterated its
opposition to the deal, referring to the "massive incentives" the
outgoing managers of Tomkins were being offered by the Canadian bidders.
o
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/epic/tomk/7913420/Tomkins-hopeful-of-takeover.html
o
ADBE Adobe Agrees
to Buy Day Software in 255 Million Franc Deal0- BBG
o
Adobe Systems has agreed to buy Switzerland-based Day Software Holding
for about $240 million, to strengthen its enterprise software segment and add
web content management software to its portfolio
o
Day shareholders will receive 139 Swiss francs per share, a 34 percent
premium to Day's Tuesday close of 104 Swiss francs
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66R08A20100728
o
JNPR Juniper Buys
SMobile for $70 Million to Expand Mobile Security- BBG
o
Juniper Networks is acquiring security-software maker SMobile Systems
Inc. for $70 million to capture a bigger slice of the mobile-security market.
o
SMobile Systems Inc. makes software that protects smartphones from
viruses and spyware and lets system administrators remotely wipe personal data
from handsets.
o
MGM Resorts to
Sell Leases, Property at Borgata for $73 Million- BBG
o
MGM Resorts International said it agreed to sell four long-term ground
leases and their underlying real property parcels consisting of about 11.3
acres at the Borgata Hotel Casino & Spa in Atlantic City, New Jersey, to
VNO Vornado Realty Trust and Geyser Holdings for about $73 million.
o
Areva, EDF Should
Cooperate to Foster Exports, Lagarde Says- BBG
o
Areva, the world’s largest maker of nuclear reactors, will sell a
maximum 15 percent in new shares this year to improve finances and sign a
partnership with EDF
o
The share sale will be open to partners Areva “has been working for a
long time” with, Lagarde said, citing Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd. and
wealth funds of Kuwait and Qatar. “If EDF also wants to there is no reason to
keep them out.”
o
Brit Opens Books
to Apollo After $1.3 Billion Offer- BBG
o
Brit Insurance granted Apollo Global Management permission to review
its books after the private equity firm made an 851m-pound ($1.3b) offer, its
third bid for the company.
o
Brit received a cash offer of 10.75 pounds a share from Apollo. That’s
47 percent higher than Brit’s closing share price on June 10, the day before
the first takeover offer was announced. The insurer rejected a bid of 10.50
pounds a share on July 2.
o
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-07-28/brit-opens-books-to-apollo-after-1-3-billion-offer.html
o
Morrisons acquires
Simply Fresh Foods- the Independent
o
The new chief executive of Morrisons has made his first acquisition by
purchasing Simply Fresh Foods, a supplier of packaged vegetables, to enhance
its distribution services as it expands in the UK.
o
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/morrisons-acquires-simply-fresh-foods-2036892.html
o
Tiger Global Said
to Invest in LinkedIn at $2 Billion Valuation- BBG
o
Tiger Global Management, a hedge fund founded by Chase Coleman, paid
$20 million for a stake in LinkedIn, valuing the professional-networking
website at more than $2 billion
o
The purchase, at $21.50 a share for about a 1 percent stake, was from
existing shareholders and doesn’t represent new investment
o
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aYclrBvOZg6M
o
KNOL Knology Close
To $127M Sunflower Buy- MultiChannel
o
According to an executive in the cable financial community, a handful
of companies have looked at Sunflower, but Knology quickly rose to the front
o
http://www.multichannel.com/article/455271-Knology_Close_To_Sunflower_Buy.php
o
Tullow to start
$10bn Uganda development- FT
o
Tullow Oil will begin a $10b development of Uganda’s oil reserves after
completing the $1.45b cash acquisition of Heritage Oil’s 50% stake in the
country’s Lake Albert oil blocks.
o
Tullow will now finalise a sale of two-thirds of the project to be
split equally between Total of France and the Chinese state oil company CNOOC.
o
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7d57d2f2-997c-11df-9834-00144feab49a.html
o
Thai tuna firm TUF
hooks big one with MW Brands deal- Reuters
o
Thai Union Frozen Products PCL, the owner of the "Chicken of the
Sea" canned tuna brand, said on Wednesday it would buy MW Brands Holdings
SAS for $884 million to become the world's biggest seafood firm
o
MW was formerly part of HJ Heinz Co (HNZ.N) and is being sold by
private equity firm Trilantic Capital Partners, which bought it in 2006
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66R02J20100728
o
SAP is interested
in further acquisitions after the takeover of Sybase- Die Welt
o
HGI changes hands
in $850 mln private equity deal- Reuters
o
Private equity firms Clayton, Dubilier & Rice and Goldman Sachs'
(GS.N) unit GS Capital Partners are to buy medical products provider HGI
Holdings from another buyout firm
o
The firms are buying HGI from rival private equity firm Jordan Company
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN2710656420100727
o
SAIF May Buy
Danone’s Huiyuan Stake for $260 Million- BBG
o
SAIF Partners, a venture capital fund focused on China and India, plans
to buy Groupe Danone SA’s stake in China’s biggest pure-juice maker for about
$260 million
o
The Hong Kong-based fund, which manages $4 billion, is seeking to buy
Danone’s entire 22.98 percent stake in China Huiyuan Juice Group
o
Soros set to buy
stake in Bombay exchange- BBG
o
George Soros is in final talks to buy Dubai Holding’s 4 per cent stake
in the Bombay Stock Exchange, as foreign investor interest in India’s
fast-growing financial markets rises
o
Soros Fund Management is planning to pay about $40m for its stake,
valuing Asia’s oldest bourse at about $1bn
o
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ff294da0-99b4-11df-a852-00144feab49a.html
$ RAISING
IPOs
·
RealD Insiders
Capitalize on IPO- WSJ
o Insiders and investors at
RealD Inc. raised more money in the company's recent initial public offering
than the company did. The company sold 6 million shares at $16 a share, and
selling stockholders sold almost 8.4 million shares.
o Insiders and investors at
RealD Inc. raised more money in the company's recent initial public offering
than the company did. The company sold 6 million shares at $16 a share, and
selling stockholders sold almost 8.4 million shares.
·
RP RealPage files
amended S-1; to offer 13.5M shares in range of $13-15 through Credit Suisse and
Deutsche Bank
o Recall, of the shares to
be offered, RealPage is offering 6M and shareholders are offering 7.5M. IPO
initially filed on 29-Apr. Proposed symbol is RP.
·
UCI Int'l files
$200M IPO through BofA Merrill Lynch and Deutsche Bank- SA
·
Everbright Wins
IPO Approval- Ticker Magazine
o Everbright Bank gained
regulatory approval yesterday for its IPO in Shanghai. The Beijing-based bank
will sell up to 6.1 billion shares in the offering, according to China
Securities Regulatory Commission
o The bank is selling 15.4%
of its enlarged capital in the offering before over allotment and can expand
the sale to as many as 7 billion shares after exercising the over-allotment
option
·
Makemytrip to
raise Rs 470 cr in US IPO- Business Standard
o Online travel company
Makemytrip is going to raise $100 million (Rs 470 crore) on the Nasdaq Stock
Market. Makemytrip would be the first Indian company in four years to hold its
initial public offering (IPO) in US
o Makemytrip is the first
to list in the US after Mumbai-based back-office services provider WNS Holdings
Ltd raised $255 million in July 2006
o http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/makemytrip-to-raise-rs-470-cr-in-us-ipo/402724/
·
Nexon eyeing
listing on Japanese bourse in 2011- Trading Markets
o Nexon, the largest online
game maker in Japan by revenue, is aiming to list its shares on the Japanese
bourse next year as it hopes to secure capital for long-term growth
o "We will put all
efforts to list shares next year," Choi told reporters in Tokyo. "It
is impossible this year."
PRICINGS
o Initial
Offerings
o
TSRX
Trius Therapeutics 6m sare IPO expected to price 7/27 via Citi:
Price Talk $12-14
o
CHKM
Chesapeake Midstream Partners 21.3m share IPO expected to price 7/28 via
UBS, Citi, MS: Price Talk $19-21
o
ENV
Envestnet 7.7m share IPO expected to price 7/28 via MS, UBS, and
Barclays: Price Talk $12-14
o
MCP
Molycorp 28.1m share IPO expected to price 7/28 via JPM and MS:
Price Talk $15-17
o
SRGV
SurgiVision 2.5m share IPO expected to price wk of 7/26 via Rodman
& Renshaw
§
Price talk cut to
$9-11 from $13-15
o Secondary
Offerings
o
RVSB Riverview
Bancorp$19.3m secondary expected to price wk of 7/26
NEWS
o
RMIXQ
U.S. Concrete receives commitment letter for $75M
o VSTNQ Visteon Suppliers Urged to Vote Down
Bankruptcy Exit- BBG
§ Visteon Corp.’s suppliers are being asked to vote down
the car-parts maker’s plan to exit bankruptcy in order to win more money.
§ In a letter to Visteon’s suppliers and other unsecured
creditors, Fulcrum Credit Partners LLC said if the bankruptcy exit plan fails,
the company may be forced to negotiate a higher repayment
§ http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a4v9SwmA7CAo
o
CAR Avis amends credit agreement for DTG Dollar Thrifty offer- Reuters
§
In a regulatory filing, Avis said it amended
its JP Morgan-led facility to revise definition of consolidated EBITDA and
exceptions to permit first-lien and second-lien secured debt to finance a
possible acquisition of Dollar Thrifty.
§ Dollar Thrifty has already signed a merger agreement with
Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ.N). But Avis has said it was interested in making a
"substantially higher bid" for the company, and is yet to make an
offer.
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66Q0MR20100727
o
TNCC Tennessee Commerce Bancorp announces common stock offering
o
Materials: TTT Tera Nova announces rights offering for about
$50m
o CONFERENCES
o
Always On, Llc & STVP Summit at Stanford
Conference - Jul 27, 2010 - Jul 29, 2010
o
American Association for Clinical Chemistry
Investor Event
·
10:30AM: IRIS
o
Financial Services Exchange Conference
- Jul 28, 2010 - Jul 31, 2010
o
Institute for Health Technology Transformation
Summer Health IT Summit - Jul 27, 2010 - Jul 28, 2010
o
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. Community
Bank Investor Conference - Jul 26, 2010 - Jul 28, 2010
·
8AM: WABC
·
8:30AM: FIBK
·
9:30AM: EBTX
·
10AM: WSFS
·
10:30AM: FULT
·
11:30AM: PVTB
·
1:30PM: HOMB
·
2PM: BANR
·
2:30PM: FFCH , OFG
·
3PM: CTBI , FBP
o
SEMI's SOLARCON India - Jul 28, 2010 - Jul
30, 2010
o
Society of Actuaries Actuarial Research
Conference - Jul 26, 2010 - Jul 28, 2010
o
Standard & Poors Structured Finance
Investor Breakfast: Student Loan ABS - Jul 28, 2010
o
Terrapinn Africa Mining Congress - Jul 26,
2010 - Jul 28, 2010
o
Terrapinn Hotel Investment World Africa
Conference - Jul 26, 2010 - Jul 29, 2010
o
The Center for Business Intelligence Annual
Summit on Evolving the Pharma Sales Model - Jul 28, 2010 - Jul 29, 2010
o
TODAY’S EVENTS
o
Shareholder Meetings
§
IVNSY, HAFC, MCK, IRSN, TESS, KEM, ATEC,
CFFC, HWKN, SUI, GNBT
o
IRIS Analyst Meeting
o
The Fed issues the beige-book data on the
regional economic picture.
o
SCHW Charles Schwab's business update
o
ECONOMICS
o
0700 MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey
o
0830 Advance Report on Durable Goods
o
1000 Metropolitan Area Employment &
Unemployment
o
1030 EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report
o
1400 U.S. Federal Reserve Beige Book
o EARNINGS
o Materials
·
CTHR, CBT, FMC, NEM, TIS, PX, IP, MWV, HL,
KWR, ATI, CLF, USAP
o Industrials/Homebuilders
·
MHO, RYL, BA, GD, ISSC, TGI, ARII, WGOV,
WIRE., TRN, ROK, BKYI, ESIO, ID, ITRI, KEI, NEWP, HCCI, SRCL, TTEK, AP, CFX,
FLS, KAI, WTS, OI, SLGN, SEE, SE, RA, ODFL, QLTY, TWI, POPE
o Consumer/Retail/Education
·
DEST, JNY, SKX, TBL, DXYN, IFSIA, NUS, DAVE,
JAX, PFCB, ELY, MPX, IRBT, MSA, ROL, SPTN, SFN, ABD, AVY, GMCR, TR, EFX, HURN,
CCE, ATX
o Financials
·
AMP, PZN, WDR, JMP, WSH, LAZ, LNC, SYA , TMK,
AIZ, HMN, AHL, ASI, CINF, SIGI, FBCM, BPFH, CAC, CCNE, FRME, NYB, GLBZ, HBNK,
HUVL, ISBC, MORE, PMBC, RBNF, SUSQ, TCBK, TOBC, WTFC, RE, MKTX, ABCW, CHFN,
ESSA, FFBH, FXCB, HFBC, INCB, TSBK, CFR, AEA, EEFT, CPBK, V, UVSP, ANAT, FBMI,
SHBI
o Gaming,
Lodging, & Leisure
·
WYN , LVS
o Tech/Telecom
·
CTXS, CYBE, LRCX, TER, HGRD, EQIX, CDNS,
CNQR, FICO, TLEO, TYL, VOLT, SSYS, CML, QTM, BTUI, AVX, KEME, THQI, VPRT, ACXM,
DRCO, MANT, NSTC, RNOW, VRTU, ACLS, AATI, CEVA, ENTR, LSI, MPWR, NETL, SLAB,
TQNT, BMC, DBTK, FALC, ARW, PCCC, EGHT, ASIA, NSR, GLW, HTCO, SFLY, AKAM, BVSN,
CTCH, DRIV, GSIC, IACI, LOGM, LOOP, SDXC, FIRE, SYMC, ALVR, ARRS, AUDC, CTV,
IDCC, WRLS, CCI, S, SHEN, USMO
o Autos
·
SRI, WBC, ORLY
o Healthcare
·
CHE, VRTX, CYH, KV/A, ALTH, AMAG, CYTK ,
EXAS, LXRX, MBLX, NBIX, PDLI, SGMO, SNSS, UTHR, PSSI, GB, HRC, HSP, LMAT, OFIX,
SPNC, SRDX, VAR, FVE, PSYS, SUNH, AHS, AIQ, BEAT, CLRT, ESRX, ODSY, IMA, MMSI,
DYAX, CERN, CAD, BRKR, CVD, WAT, UAM, WLP, CPD, FLML,, MDCO, NKTR, QCOR, VPHM,
SPAN
o Media
·
ISIG, CETV, CMCSA, VMED, MORN, MSO
o Real
Estate
·
AGNC, CMO, CXS, BDN, BMR, HIW, EQR CDR,
O, EXR
o
Energy
·
ICO, WLT, PLUG, COP, HES, DVR, HLX, OII, RES,
SPN, BRY, ENP, GMET, PSE, PXD, REN, WLL, TSO, TCLP
o Utilities
·
ITC, SO, APU, UGI, CEG, CMS, D, CWT, SJW
o Transportation
·
PKOH, DRYS, ISH, KEX, GMR
***All eco data from Bloomberg and DJ
Prepared
by staff of Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. ("Cantor") and is for
information purposes only. It is not intended to form the basis of any
investment decision, should not be considered a recommendation by Cantor or any
other person and does not constitute an offer or solicitation with respect to
the purchase or sale of any investment nor is it a confirmation of terms. Any calculations
and valuations presented herein are intended as a basis for discussion. Sources
of information are believed to be reliable but Cantor makes no representation
and gives no warranty that the information contained herein is accurate or
complete. Any opinions or estimates given may change. Cantor undertakes no
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the information contained herein or any reliance on that information. Cantor
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