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May 22, 2012 2:34 AM EDT
Updated: Jul 19, 2010 5:57 AM EDT  

Morning @ Cantor

 

Morning @ Cantor 7/19

Today’s Stories From Cantor Fitzgerald

Sal Catrini (908) 517-5067

 

CONTENTS: All Headings Are Functioning Links

 

 
 

 


Early US Landscape

Today’s Big Stories

Sector News: Energy, Industrials, Transports, TMT, Materials, Autos, Fins, Real Estate, Consumer, Gaming/Lodging, HC, Europe Trading Wrap, Asia Trading Wrap

Investment Banking Wrap: M&A, Money Raising

Today’s Events

Cantor Trading Recap

EARLY US LANDSCAPE****

 

 
 

 


·         US Stock Futures  SPs at highs at 7am et , up 6, Europe stock up 0.8% at highs

o   More M&A:  ATC Technology enters into definitive agreement to be acquired by Genco Distribution System (private) for $25.00 per share in cash

o   Rates tick up this am…

o   Libor falls again…3-month: Dollar: 0.518% vs prior 0.521%

o   Markets look past Moody's sovereign downgrade of Ireland as Moody's catches up to other rating agencies on Ireland after it cut the sovereign rating by a notch

o   And look past mixed earnings..like this mornings, Electrolux dn as much as 10% after reporting

o   This week in focus:  The Federal Reserve chairman’s testimony to Congress, in which he is expected to air his concerns over the strength of the US recovery, is likely to dominate the week’s economic announcements

§  European banking sector stress tests will be a key focus this week. Due on Friday.

o   Gold ticks dn $2  today after shellacking late last week … Spot gold was down $15 on Friday

o   Crude Oil Falls a Fourth Day on U.S. Economic Recovery Concerns

o   copper  up 1% for last  week: copper was down 8.5%, this morning, copper  up 1%

o   EUR near  highs…up .0031 to 1.2962

o   Traders are now betting against the dollar now per latest data …dollar macro negative story – BBG

o   Sovereign risk raises its Head in Ireland and Hungary today

o   Stocks in Europe look past Irish downgrade

o   Irish stocks only down 0.5% at 7am et

o   the spread of Irish 10 year over Germany widend by 6 bps to 288bps.

o    Hungary Budapest stock exchange underperforms dn 2.6%, and Hungarian traded index is dn almost 5%

o   Hungary stocks off lows, dn 2%:   The Hungarian forint weakened the most in six weeks against the euro after the International Monetary Fund and European Union ended talks with the government without endorsing Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s plans to control the budget deficit The currency depreciated as much as 2.8 percent against the euro and was trading 2.5 percent lower at 289.24 at 7:42 a.m. in Budapest compared with 282.10 at the close on July 16. The forint is at its weakest since June 7 when comments by local politicians comparing Hungary to Greece roiled world markets.

o   EU stress tests this week..alot of positive press over the weekend

o   Don't Stress Out About Banks from Barron's

§  Stress-test results on 91 European banks are unlikely either to cause a big bank failure or to spark a sustained rally in the sector's shares.

o   Belgian Banks Dexia, KBC Pass Europe Stress Tests (AFP)--Belgian banks Dexia and KBC have passed "stress tests" on the European banking system's ability to withstand a new financial crisis, a newspaper reported Saturday. The Belgian financial daily L'Echo, citing unidentified sources, said Dexia and KBC had passed the tests and had enough capital to face a new economicstorm

o   Spain's cajas face no stress test shocks: association from Reuters

§  MADRID (Reuters) - Spain's banks or cajas will get no nasty surprises with the release of stress tests later this week, the director general of the Spanish Confederation of Savings Banks (CECA) said in a newspaper interview on Sunday.

o   Greek Banks Likely To Pass Stress Tests - Central Banker

§  -Greece's leading banks are likely to pass an upcoming review of their financial strength that is due to be released next week, the country's central bank governor said, but he added that local banks should consolidate anyway in order to better face Greece's economic challenges.

§   "My feeling is that things will go smoothly for the six Greek banks who make up the sample," Bank of Greece Governor George Provopoulos said in a newspaper interview citing their relatively high capital ratios.

§    His remarks, in the Saturday edition of financial daily Imerisia, Newspaper website: www.imerisia.gr

o   Bankers worried over European bank stress tests from Reuters

§  (Reuters) - Senior bankers and regulators across Europe are worried that markets could misinterpret the outcome of a test of how resilient European banks are to economic shocks, the Financial Times said on Monday.

o   According to some analysts mentioned in today's Guardian, banks in Spain, Greece and Germany may have to raise an additional €78.6B following stress test results.

o   More EU Good news:  German economic growth was likely much stronger in the second quarter of 2010 than in the first quarter, the Economics Ministry said Sunday.   After the winter months, "the German economy saw strong growth in spring," the ministry said in a press statement.  DJ

o   China's Wen Supports Euro WSJ link

§  China will continue to invest its forex reserves in Europe, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said after meeting with German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

o   China vs US:  China should cut U.S. Treasury holdings: economist  Reuters link

§  China should cut its holdings of U.S. Treasury securities when market demand is strong, a prominent economist said in remarks published on Monday.

§  diversify risks of “sharp depreciation,” Yu Yongding, a former adviser to the central bank, wrote in a commentary in the China Securities Journal.

o   China buying Japan bonds to offset weakness of euro - Asahi.com:

§  http://c.moreover.com/click/here.pl?z2990377575&z=950243446

§  China has expanded its purchases of Japanese government bonds this year to record levels, shoring up its foreign currency reserves amid concerns about the European fiscal crisis.

o   Transaction tax may cool China housing: PBOC adviser from Reuters

§  BEIJING (Reuters) - Higher taxes on property transactions would do more than a property tax to curb speculation, an influential Chinese policy maker said in an editorial published on Saturday, in which he advocated maintaining current cooling measures in the second half

o   Global rates: 

§  BOE's Sentance: 'Gradual' Rate Rise Will Support Recovery

·          Bank of England policy maker Andrew Sentance said a gradual interest rate increase from a record low to fight inflation will help support the economic recovery, Bloomberg news reported.

·          "We certainly don't want to snuff out the recovery, but we want to keep a check on inflation," Sentance said in an interview with BBC Radio 4's "Money Box" program, according to the report posted Saturday on the Bloomberg Businessweek website.

·         http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-07-17/boe-s-sentance-says-gradual-rate-rise-will-support-recovery.html

§  BOJ May Consider Easing If Dollar Stays Around Y85 - DJ

·         The BOJ's view is that as long as the yen doesn't rise much from its current levels Japan's economy should remain on the recovery track

o   Overseas Action

§  Asia: Nikkei (closed); Hang Seng (0.79%); Shanghai Composite +2.11%

§  Europe up 0.4% at 7am et

·         Cyclical stocks lead the way higher as mining is up by 1.14%, Steel +0.99%

§  Data:

·         Euro Zone May Current Account : -€5.8B v -€5.6B prior

·         PBOC Vice Gov Du Jinfu: Inflation pressure in China has eased, still confident of reaching 3% 2010 target

o   Economics today :

§  Jun NAHB Index at 10:00 ET

o   Earnings:

§  Companies due to report before the bell include: HAL, HAS

§  Companies due to report after the closing bell include: IBM, TXN, ZION

§  CALL VocalTec to host conference call on merger with YMAX at 11:00 ET ($1.89)  

·         877-375-9147 (North America), +1-253-237-1148 (international),

o   Senate expected to vote soon on jobless benefits from MarketWatch.com

§  More than 2 million jobless workers who have been cut off from unemployment benefits could start to see those payouts again if lawmakers act this week.

o   Airbus and Boeing to bare teeth at Farnborough from Reuters

§  Large Boeing jets and short-haul plane orders from Airbus look set to dominate the opening of the Farnborough Airshow on Monday in a test of fledgling economic recovery.

o   Ex-Gov. Blagojevich likely to testify this week from USATODAY.com

 

TODAY’S BIG STORIES

 
 

 


·         Top M&A

o   ATC Technology enters into definitive agreement to be acquired by Genco Distribution System (private) for $25.00 per share in cash

§  premium of 43.4% to

§  Conference call at 9 ET: 877.879.6201.

o   Motorola sale Motorola Inc. is near a deal to sell its wire less-network equip ment business to Nokia Siemens Networks for more than $1.3 billion, in deal that may be an nounced as early as today – NYP

o   Hynix Shares Rise on Report LG Asked to Run, Take Over Company

o   Indian energy major Reliance Industries is in talks with Texas-based Quicksilver Resources , including for a possible buyout of the U.S. firm that develops shale gas and coal-bed methane, the Daily News & Analysis reported on Monday.

o   Shares of International Power advance as much as 11% Monday after its discloses deal talks with France’s GDF Suez.  MW

o   British engineering company Tomkins saw its shares jump by 35% this morning after it received a takeover approach from a Canadian consortium that would value it at nearly Ł2.9bn. guardian say consortium made up of private equity group Onex Corporation and the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board had made an offer at 325p in cash

o   Healthscope (HSP.AU) soared 10% on the board’s recommending a takeover offer from Carlyle and TPG

·         Top $ Raising

o   RealD, Qlik Gain More Than 20% On IPO Debuts

§  Two technology IPOs made gains of more than 20% on their first day of
trading Friday, ending the week on a high note

o   A surge in IPOs by private equity-owned companies has produced limited investor profits. The news comes as several buy-out owners prepare to list - FT

§  http://link.ft.com/r/H60H77/5CDJFA/HQN0N/UUACST/26A1K7/CM/h

·         Earnings :  S&P 500 Members' 2Q Profit Seen Rising - Thomson

o    Earnings for members of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index are now expected to increase 28% from a year earlier while revenue is seen rising 9%, according to Thomson Reuters.

o    The earnings expectations increased slightly after the second-quarter reporting season kicked off this week, partially because of better-than-expected results from banking giant Bank of America (BAC), conglomerate General Electric  (GE) and Intel (INTC)

o   Through Friday, 48 companies in the S&P 500 had reported second-quarter results, with three-quarters posting earnings that topped analysts' expectations, 13% matching them and 13% posting lower results. In a typical quarter, 62% beat estimates, 18% match and 20% miss. All together, companies reported earnings 16% above the estimates, compared with the long-term average surprise factor of 2%.

o    For revenue, 71% beat analysts' estimates and 29% missed. Together, companies reported revenue equal to estimates.

o   This  week is the first of the "peak weeks" of earnings season, with two-fifths of the Dow Jones Industrial Average components and nearly one-quarter of the S&P 500 companies reporting results.

·         Dow's Earnings-Season Rally Fizzles – WSJ link

o    The Dow rally at the start of earnings season last week was quickly snuffed out as worries about the U.S. economy took hold, despite positive profit numbers so far.

o    In the past five earnings seasons, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on average seven of the first 10 days of the first reporting month before heading south. The pattern seems to be holding this month, with stocks rising on seven of July's first 10 trading sessions before nose-diving Friday.

·         Jobs:  Macro positive:  US Companies Step Up Hiring Plans - NABE Survey

o   Nearly a third of U.S. companies are back in hiring mode, a survey by an influential business group showed Monday, though the labor market revival is expected to be tempered by the weak economy

o    The latest National Association for Business Economics survey of 84 companies found that 31% took on additional employees in the second quarter, up from 22% in the previous survey.

o   The latest figure is the highest since the second quarter of 2007, on the eve of the financial crisis.   The survey results mark a near reversal from a year ago, when only 6% of companies were hiring and 36% were cutting staff.  DJ

·         Jobs:   After Job Training, Many Still Scrambling for Employment – CNBC link

·         Credit Markets:  CFOs Pick Dollar Bonds as Faith in Euro Wanes

o   European borrowers are selling more of their bonds in dollars than at any time since the euro’s record low in 2000 as issuers lose faith in the common currency

o   Companies in Western Europe sold $162.8 billion of bonds in dollars this year, 24 percent of their total issuance and up from 16 percent in 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

o   Euro-denominated sales fell to 63 percent from 68 percent, the lowest share since 2007 and below the average of the past decade

·         Credit Markets:   Municipal Bond Defaults at Triple the Typical Rate, Lehmann Says

o   Thirty-five municipal bond issues totaling $1.5 billion defaulted in the first six months of 2010, the Miami Lakes, Florida-based Distressed Debt Securities Newsletter reported in its July edition. That annualized $3 billion pace is triple the rate of $1 billion or less a year going back to 1983, Richard Lehmann, publisher of the newsletter, said in a phone interview today.

o   “I wouldn’t start celebrating just yet,” said Lehmann.

o   “I wouldn’t think things are getting better. A lot of issuers are on the brink.”  BBG

·         Let Inflation Run Wild? Some Say Bring It On – WSJ links

o   Economists React: How Big a Threat Is Deflation?

·         Soros Says U.S. Shouldn’t Cut Stimulus as Inflation Contained

o   “I think the timing is wrong with withdrawing the stimulus,” Soros said at the Hamptons Institute in East Hampton, New York on July 16. “Cutting employment benefits, cutting aid to states that are losing tax revenue, these are counterproductive because you can only grow your way out” of the financial crisis, said Soros, who turns 80 next month

o    Soros noted that there are no signs of inflation in the U.S., where 10-year Treasury notes are now trading below 3 percent, the lowest level so far this year – BBG

·         Soros says US financial reform too early from Business Spectator

·         Commodity Manipulation May Be Easier to Prove After Overhaul - BBG

o   traders will face new rules aimed at making it easier for regulators to prove manipulation in markets for commodities such as oil, wheat and natural gas under the financial overhaul awaiting President Barack Obama’s signature

o   The regulations, written in part by Senator Maria Cantwell, a Democrat from Washington state, attempt to relieve the Commodity Futures Trading Commission of the burden of proving a trader intended to manipulate prices.

o   Instead, the CFTC will have to show the trading was “reckless.”

·         Treasury Bids Rise 18% as Investors Surpass Dealers

o   For the first time since the government started collecting the data, central banks, mutual funds and U.S. banks are buying more government securities at Treasury auctions than Wall Street’s bond dealers.

o   Foreign and domestic investors bidding directly at note and bond auctions bought 57 percent of the $1.26 trillion in Treasuries sold by the government this year, up from 45 percent during the same period in 2009 and as little as 32 percent for all of 2008, according to government data compiled by Bloomberg

o   Bids compared with the amount of debt sold, the bid-to-cover ratio, rose 18 percent from last year’s 14-year high, according to data that Treasury started collecting in 1994.

·         Experts call for 'Tobin tax' on forex trades  - guardian.co.uk

o   Levy of 0.005% on $1m foreign exchange deal would be $50

o    Billions of transactions a year would raise about $33bn

·         BA and Airbus in focus this week: 

§  Large Boeing jets and short-haul plane orders from Airbus look set to dominate the opening of the Farnborough Airshow on Monday in a test of fledgling economic recovery.

·         HAS  Hasbro reports better first blush: Q2 EPS $0.29 vs Reuters $0.24 ($39.50)   

§  Company reports revenues of $737.8M vs Reuters $750.4M.

·         BP dn 3% -  off lows

§  BP shares lead FTSE 100 lower on new spill worries

§  BP's talks to sell half its stake in Alaska's Prudhoe Bay oil field to Apache stalled twice over the weekend, raising doubts about whether the deal will be completed, Bloomberg link

§  BP: Oil Spill Costs Almost $4B – guardian link

·         Oil Rig's Final Hours Under Investigation

o    Federal authorities investigating BP's oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico are focusing on bad decisions, missed warnings and worker disagreements in the hours before the April 20 inferno aboard the Deepwater Horizon.

·         Philips declined after the Ductch electronics giant said revenue growth would slow in H2 2010

§  "After the strong rebound in the first half of the year, we expect comparable sales growth in the remainder of the year to moderate towards mid-single-digit level," the company said in a statement. "This reflects continued but slow recovery in the U.S. and Europe, different seasonality for our television business following soccer's World Cup, and the improved sales performance in the second half of 2009."

·         Electrolux trades dn 10%  today !! 

§  Electrolux Profit Beats Estimates on North America Recovery

§  The world’s second-biggest home appliances maker, posted a slightly smaller-than-expected core profit and repeated its outlook for demand to grow this year in its main markets

·         ZenithOptimedia lifts ad forecast on US, Europe recovery from Business Spectator

o   Leading media buyer ZenithOptimedia raised its 2010 global advertising growth forecast for the third time following a faster-than-expected recovery in the United States and Western Europe.

·         A bid and a double-dip warning from Tomkins

o   Lift off was triggered by news that the company had opened its books to a Canadian consortium led by Onex Corporation

o   US-focused engineering company, which makes everything from whirlpools, baths and windows to electronic tyre sensors and power transmission systems for cars, has seen signs of slowing demand.

o   Whilst the first half of 2010 has seen strong performance, albeit against a particularly weak comparable period, there are some signs in recent weeks that some of our markets are softening. Sales in early July in certain of our industrial and construction businesses have been weaker than expected.

·         UAE bank earnings may be hit by Dubai World - analysts from Arabianbusiness.com

o   UAE banks being hurt as crisis weakens lending and investment banking activity.http://rss.feedsportal.com/c/32295/f/452773/p/1/s/7f4c4da9/mf.gif

·         IMF aims to boost lending resources by $250 billion: report from Reuters

o   The International Monetary Fund (IMF) wants to boost its lending resources to $1 trillion from $750 billion in order to prevent future financial crises, the Financial Times said on Monday

·         German industrialists attack China from Financial Times

o   Two of Germany’s most prominent industrialists have attacked the business and investment climate in China during a meeting with Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier. The criticism comes amid rising discontent among foreign businesses operating in China

·         Chinese Premier:China's Investment Environment Worsen Untrue-Xinhua

o   Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said it's untrue to say that the investment environment in China is worsening, amid complaints from foreign complaints about an upsurge in economic nationalism, the state-controlled Xinhua News Agency reported Saturday

o   Foreign investment will not pour into a country where the investment environment is worsening," Wen said.

·         In tossup House races, Dems show cash advantage from USATODAY.com

o   Republican fundraising is surging, but the party's candidates don't have the cash advantage in many of the most-competitive races

·         GOP Sees Path to Win Senate from WSJ link

o   Democrats for the first time are acknowledging that Republicans could retake the Senate this November, less than two years after Democrats captured a daunting 60-seat majority.

·         McConnell: Offset Job Benefits With Spending Cuts –CNN

o   U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.) insisted Sunday that any extension of unemployment benefits be offset with spending cuts

o   Remaining defiant after President Barack Obama accused the Republican leadership Saturday of obstructionism, McConnell told CNN that the administration needs to end its "incredible spending spree."

o     "We're all for extending unemployment insurance, the question is, when are we going to get serious...about the debt," McConnell said on CNN's "State of the Nation."

·         Vice President Biden: Pullout in Afghanistan may start small

o   said U.S. troops will begin leaving in July 2011.

o   http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2010-07-19-biden19_ST_N.htm?csp=34news&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+usatoday-NewsTopStories+%28News+-+Top+Stories%29&utm_content=Google+Reader

·         Talk persists of Bloomberg presidential run from Reuters

o   Mayor Michael Bloomberg, one of the richest men in America, says his views are too polarizing for him to become president of the United States.

·         Drug hitmen kill 17 at party in Mexico  

o    Drug hitmen stormed a birthday party and killed 17 people in the northern Mexican city of Torreon on Sunday in one of the deadliest attacks in Mexico's drug war that came days after a lethal car bomb. Reuters

·         U.S. to send stern message to North Korea from Reuters

o   President Barack Obama's top diplomat and defense chief head to Seoul this week to discuss ways to respond to North Korea and deter it from any future attack after the sinking of a South Korean warship.

·         China on track to aim 2,000 missiles at Taiwan: report

o   Reuters) - China will have 2,000 missiles aimed at its rival Taiwan by the end of the year, several hundred more than the current number, despite fast-warming trade ties between the two sides, an island defense study said.

·         WP To Publish Top Secret US Contractors

o   From Foreign Policy : State Department warns employees about new website highlighting Top Secret facilities Posted By Josh Rogin Friday, July 16, 2010 The State Department is bracing for a potentially explosive new feature on the Washington Post website that would publish the names and locations of agencies and firms conducting Top Secret work on behalf of the U.S. government, according to the copy of an email obtained by The Cable

·         Iran Scientist Says U.S. Wanted "Spy" Swap For Detained Hikers – AFP

o   An Iranian scientist, who returned home last week charging he had been held by U.S. agents for more than a year, has said that they had pressed him to agree to be exchanged in a "spy" swap for three U.S. hikers in custody in Tehran

o    In a lengthy interview aired by state television late Saturday, Shahram Amiri claimed that the U.S. agents had acknowledged that the three Americans, detained on the Iran-Iraq border in July last year, were indeed "spies".

 

 
 

 


·         Equity Recap

o   it was a quiet week and Friday..,  it was still an ugly day and you sense they are running out of bullets/excuses to take stocks higher.

o   The indexes for the week were Dow -1%, S&P 500 -1.2%, Nasdaq -00.7% and Russell -3%

o   They topped off the Goldman fluff going out Thursday with a horrible Michigan sentiment number which came in at 66 when estimates were looking for 74. All I have to say is what would have happened this week if earnings were good? CSX INTC BAC GE C (which on the financial guys, all beat but revs were light and the feeling was there was no growth as opposed to cost cutting).  All of the reactions were anticlimactic. Even gold gave back 1% on the back of a trade that was unwound where people had been long gold and short the euro/ gbp and yen. The action amongst our accounts has been heavy selling up near 1097-1100 and some guys by week’s end were pressing their shorts and in between, quant’s were on both sides but for the most part it still seems to be the only ones with cash are looking for s&p 800. I sent out the trim tabs piece Thursday where more money went into bond funds and etf funds since January of 09 then the tech bubble. It scares me to think what will become of this market once the fed takes off the suspenders and this Obama led rally that has been one of the few things that have tried to make him look good better where he’s pinned rates at zero and people have been chasing yield.

o   Technically, we had broken 1,080 on the sp 500 and the next area of support of  1,070,  so next up 1,000 psychologically, yet as  we got towards 1097-1100 the selling was heavy with real sellers not afraid to let them go

o   Billy Clark and Team

  • Rates Commentary

o   The Treasury rallied continued today after the tame CPI report .2% MoM, 1.1% MoM ex food and energy followed later in the morning by the significantly worse than expected University of Michigan confidence coming at 66.5 versus an expected 74.00.  Treasuries as the case was yesterday were almost a straight line higher throughout the mid and late morning hours with the belly leading the market  (2s and 30s significantly lagged throughout the day).  The Treasury  market settled in for  much of the afternoon trading a rather tight range even as equities continued their trade lower with the major US indices all closing near their intraday lows down 2.50-3.00%.  At 3PM Treasuries were all higher in price with yields lower by ~.5bp to 5.5bps.

o   With long end supply out of the way until the August refunding, the poor US economic data continuing to stream our way (next week an array of housing data) and the next round of Treasury supply to be announced Thursday (we expect  $39Bln 2 year notes, $37Bln 5 year notes and $29Bln 7 year notes, all decreases of $1Bln from June) we remain positive on the UST market with a curve flattening bias.  Given the recent deflation fears we look for the long end of the curve to approach its recent low yields of 2.88% on 10s and 3.82% on 30s.

o   Primary Dealer

 

 

 

 

 


o   BP dn 3% -  off lows

§  BP shares lead FTSE 100 lower on new spill worries

§  BP's talks to sell half its stake in Alaska's Prudhoe Bay oil field to Apache stalled twice over the weekend, raising doubts about whether the deal will be completed, Bloomberg link

§  BP: Oil Spill Costs Almost $4B – guardian link

·         Oil Rig's Final Hours Under Investigation

o    Federal authorities investigating BP's oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico are focusing on bad decisions, missed warnings and worker disagreements in the hours before the April 20 inferno aboard the Deepwater Horizon.

o   BP canvassing investors on possible break up- Sunday Times

§  BP has started canvassing shareholders about a restructuring in the wake of its Gulf of Mexico oil spill which could include a break up of the business

§  The newspaper, citing unnamed BP insiders, said options included selling the group's refineries and petrol stations, scaling back its U.S. operations and ramping-up in-house engineering instead of outsourcing

§  BP, Apache $12B Deal Could Be Done By July 27 - Sunday Times

§   BP PLC's plans to sell up to $12 billion of assets to Apache Corp. (APA) are moving swiftly, U.K. newspaper the Sunday Times reports.

§   Sources close to the deal suggest it could be done by the time BP reveals its half-year earnings July 27, the paper said.

§    According to the report, the company is close to hiring HSBC to run the $1 billion sale of BP's Vietnam business.

§  http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE66H07220100718

o   BP-APA Apache Talks on Prudhoe Bay Stake Said to Stall- BBG

§  BP’s talks to sell half its stake in Alaska’s Prudhoe Bay oil field to Apache stalled twice over the weekend, raising doubts about whether the deal will be completed

§  Talks between BP and Apache faltered late in the evening on July 16 before resuming Saturday. They hit a snag again early yesterday over issues ranging from the valuation of the deal to how current and future legal liabilities will be addressed

o   BP Extends Tests On Oil-Well Structure As Cap Holds

§  (AFP)--Engineers monitored a newly capped BP PLC (BP, BP.LN) oil well in the Gulf of Mexico on Sunday amid cautious optimism the months-long spill behind one of the worst environmental disasters in U.S. history has been finally contained.

§  The tests, which involve multiple pressure readings on the wellbore that runs to the oil reservoir below the seabed, have provided "valuable information" and will continue into Sunday, Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen said.

o   BP Mulls Big Restructure Post Oil Spill - Sunday Times

§  Directors at BP PLC (BP.LN) have begun canvassing shareholders about plans to restructure the oil major in the wake of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, U.K. newspaper the Sunday Times reports.

§  Options for "Future BP" include splitting up the group by selling its refineries and petrol stations, scaling back its American operations and ramping up in house engineering and outsourcing, the paper said. It could also end up focusing instead on exploration in regions such as West Africa and Brazil, according to the report.

§  The paper quoted insiders as saying the discussions with shareholders are at an early stage but will help set the direction of a formal review expected to be launched by BP's chairman, Carl-Henric Svanberg.

§   "BP has been a non-growth company for years, and the market has made it pay for this by demanding a 6% to 7% dividend yield. Now that the dividend has gone, they are starting with a blank sheet of paper and thinking about what the new BP will look like," said one of three top 10 shareholders who spoke to the Sunday Times.

§   Another investor said: "BP seems to have accepted that it will be a smaller business. It is prepared to consider anything, the paper said.

o   British Official: BP Not Involved In Lockerbie Suspect Release

§  (AFP) -- British Foreign Secretary William Hague told his U.S.

§  counterpart Saturday that there was no evidence linking the release of the Lockerbie bomber last year to a BP PLC (BP, BP.LN) oil deal, amid mounting US concern.

§  In a letter to US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Hague confirmed that Britain's new coalition government believed it had been a "mistake" to free Abdelbaset Ali Mohmet al-Megrahi last August.

o   Cameron to fight BP’s corner in US

§  David Cameron will next week defend BP on a two-day visit to Washington, insisting the group must have a “stable and strong” future for the sake of the UK economy and the pensioners who rely on its dividends.

§  http://link.ft.com/r/73UJGG/6VY9HI/7MDUD/ZB4ZOC/RNTYEU/RF/h

o   Hedge Funds Raise Bull Oil Bets Most Since 2007

§  (Bloomberg) -- Hedge funds and other large speculators raised bets that oil would gain by the most in more than three years just as it began to slide, the second straight week money managers lined up on the wrong side of the market.

o   KPMG says nuclear power 'won't happen' from Telegraph Finance

§  Britain's new generation of nuclear power stations will not be built if the Government refuses them any more support, a KPMG report will say this week.

o   Salazar to Testify on Spill Next Week from The Washington Independent

§  Interior Secretary Ken Salazar is slated to testify next week before the House Energy & Commerce Committee on “the role of the Interior Department in the Deepwater Horizon Disaster.”

§  The July 20 hearing is a co-production of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations and the Subcommittee on Energy and Environment. Look for Reps. Edward Markey (D-Mass.) and Bart Stupak (D-Mich.) to really go after Salazar and the other witnesses (two former Interior Department chiefs) on the role the former Minerals Management Service played in approving offshore drilling projects in the Gulf.

o   CLR Continental Resources files mixed shelf of indeterminate size

o   GPOR Gulfport Energy files $100M mixed shelf; also registers 16.2M shares for holders

o   VNR Vanguard Natural Resources files $800M mixed shelf

o   FE FirstEnergy S4 regarding deal with Alleghany Energy has been declared effective by SEC

o   Kinder Morgan intends to list - Bloomberg 

o   KWK Reliance Industries looking at Quicksilver Resources - Daily News & Analysis

 

 
 

 


o   Airbus and Boeing to bare teeth at Farnborough from Reuters

§  Large Boeing jets and short-haul plane orders from Airbus look set to dominate the opening of the Farnborough Airshow on Monday in a test of fledgling economic recovery.

o   Boeing reaffirms latest 787 delivery plan from Reuters

§  FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Boeing said its chief executive had not altered the latest delivery guidance on the 787 Dreamliner after a newspaper said he had expressed confidence in delivering the plane by end-year.

o   Emirates to Order 30 Boeing 777s

§  Dubai's Emirates Airline will announce on Monday an order for more than 30 Boeing 777 jetliners, with a catalog value of more than $7 billion, according to a person familiar with the transaction.

o    Airbus Won't Sell Tankers Unprofitably To US -EADS CEO

§  Dow Jones)--Airbus will not sell planes unprofitably to win a $35
billion U.S. Defense Department contract for aerial tankers, said Louis
Gallois, chief executive of its parent company, European Aeronautic Defence
& Space Co

§    EADS and U.S. rival Boeing Co. (BA) are battling to sell the U.S. 179
refueling planes. Both recently submitted bids, and the Pentagon expects to
pick a winner by Nov. 12.

o   EADS head hits out at WTO report delay from Financial Times

§  Louis Gallois, head of the pan-European aerospace and defence group, critises delays in publication of a report into claims of illegal subsidies to rival Boeing.

o   EADS M&A??   sets course for US purchases – FT

§  Timing and size of any purchases would depend on which opportunities arose, chief executive tells FT

§  http://link.ft.com/r/H60H77/5CDJFA/HQN0N/UUACST/26A1KZ/CM/h

o   Boeing  (Reuters) - Boeing Co's new 787 Dreamliner touched down in Britain on Sunday on its first trip outside the United States, thrilling hordes of eager planespotters who came out to see the breakthrough carbon-composite plane

o   ATK:  WSJ: Alliant Techsystems Revs Up Commercial Diversification Plans

§  -Alliant Techsystems Inc. (ATK), seeking to reduce reliance on U.S. government rocket and missile work, increasingly is refashioning itself into a provider of advanced composite materials for satellites, jet fighters and Airbus airliners.

§  The Minneapolis company's accelerating diversification drive is expected to be highlighted Monday at the Farnborough International Airshow, with an announcement that it has started shipping structural parts as part of a previously announced, $1-billion supply contract for the Airbus A350 program.

o   Ag stocks positive :  Food for Thought on Agricultural Stocks – WSJ

§  Will agriculture prove the hot new sector of the 21st century?

§  So far this year, agribusiness stocks are underperforming broader indices. But investment in agriculture is unlikely to be about reaping a quick harvest: over the longer term, the returns may look tastier

§  http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704913304575370773890291224.html?mod=WSJ_newsreel_markets

o   BA Boeing expected to announce 25-30 plane deal with Emirates this week -- London Times

o   FDX Editorial discusses the ongoing Pentagon tanker contract fiasco, argues against expanding the National Labor Relations Act to include FedEx.

o   RZ Raser Technologies to offer $750K in shares to War Chest Capital at $0.449 per share

o   R Ryder System increases quarterly dividend by 8.0% to $0.27 from $0.25

o   WAB Wabtec's MotivePower unit selected by MBTA to supply new passenger locomotives

o   TXT Italy's Ministry of Defense selects AAI Corp's Shadow 200 Tactical Unmanned Aircraft Systems (TUAS) for Italian Army

o   LLL L-3 Communications gets FY10 order from JCA Program Office for eight C-27J JCA aircraft

o   RADA Rada Electronic Industries reports $3.1M of follow-on orders in Q2

o   BHP Billiton downgraded to neutral from outperform at Credit Suisse - SA London

o   BA, Boeing, Airbus optimistic about Farnborough Air Show - FT 

o   RTN, BA, COL Raytheon wins $55M contract to deliver TOW missiles to Saudi Arabia; Company also receives a contract from Boeing (BA) to develop an international system of the APY-10 surveillance radar, and forms a team with Rockwell Collins (COL) and Honeywell (HON) to compete for JPALS Increment 2.

 

TRANSPORTS

 
 

 


o   The Baltic Dry is all wet from FT.com - Lex link

§  Unofficial economic barometer is giving a false reading at the moment but it should not be ignored longer term

o   Ryder System Inc. (R) raised its quarterly dividend 8% to 27 cents a share,
its sixth increase in the past five years.

 

TECH/MEDIA/TELECOM

 
 

 

 


o   RSH: Private equity firms still circling- Reuters

§  http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1612237420100716

o   DWA As Niche Gets Crowded, Studio Watches Its Back- NYT

§  http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/19/business/media/19dreamworks.html

o   Hynix Shares Rise on Report LG Asked to Run, Take Over Company- BBG

o   MOT Motorola nears unit sale to NSN Nokia Siemens (could come as early as 7/19)- Reuters

o   GOOG Buys Metaweb to Improve Search Results- NYT

o   INTC: Cheng Uei Denies Report On Talks To Sell Stake To Intel- WSJ

o   TV Televisa sells 25 pct stake in airline- Reuters

o   T, DTV:  AT&T Chief Sees ‘Industrial Logic’ in DirecTV Purchase- FT

o   Advertising: ZenithOptimedia lifts ad forecast on US, Europe recovery- Business Spectator

§  http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/ZenithOptimedia-lifts-ad-forecast-on-US-Europe-7GV4X?opendocument&src=rss

o   Vivo: Telefónica Drops Vivo Bid – WSJ

o   SCLD SteelCloud withdraws offering

o   RZ Raser Technologies to offer $750K in shares to War Chest Capital at $0.449 per share- SA

o   CNQR Barron's says Concur Technologies is a leading in expense management software

o   GOOG Barron's cover says Google is undervalued by 35% or more

o   INTC, MSFT, DELL, IBM, JNPR, EMC, AAPL, GOOG Technology Trader remains positive on PC names after Intel's earnings, positive on MSFT, DELL, IBM, JNPR, EMC; Apple (AAPL) could rally after earnings; positive on Google for longer term investors.

o   INTC: Intel needs to build its own iPad, iPhone says CNET

o   INTC: Intel considers investment in Foxlink- economic Daily News

o   Facebook will hit 500 million users next week.- Silicon Valley Insider

o   VOD Essar consider options for Vodafone Essar, including possible IPO- Reuters

o   RSH Blackstone and TPG considering joint bid for RadioShack- NY Post

o   DIS Walt Disney to insist expensive movies have merchandising potential- London Times

o   DIS, TWC: Disney Battles Time Warner Cable with New Website- WSJ

§  http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704913304575371421468877504.html

o   ELMG EMS Technologies holder MMI Investments discloses 6.2% stake in 13D filing

o   SNE Taiwan to court Hitachi, Sony, Fujitsu, other Japanese companies for investment - China Times

o   CALL VocalTec to host conference call on merger with YMAX at 11:00 ET; 877-375-9147 (N. A), +1-253-237-1148 (international).

o   BT BT Group angles to win rights to provide communications network to run smart meters - Independent

o   BT BT Group raising charges - BBC

o   KT, AAPL: Korea Telecom To Delay Sales Of IPhone4 By 1-2 Months In S Korea

o   DIS Toy Story 3 set to become Walt Disney's highest-grossing animated film - FT

o   AAPL: Jobs calls Bloomberg story that Apple knew of antenna issues  'total bull,' says NYT 'making things up'- AppleInsider

o   NAND flash market suffers growth hiccup in 2Q10- iSuppli

o   Solar: module market to reach US$35 billion in 2010- Displaybank

o   GPS: Four out of five cell phones to integrate GPS by end of 2011- iSuppli

o   LCDs: Global LCD monitor shipments to be flat in 2010- Digitimes

o   Panels: Taiwan small- to medium-size panel shipments to increase 10.4% sequentially in 3Q10- Digitimes

o   VZ, MSFT: Verizon halting Kin sales, supply getting returned to sender?- engadget

o   RIMM, AAPL: Apple Inc appears to be deliberately distorting the issues surrounding the iPhone 4's antenna design by asserting that RIM’s BlackBerry has similar reception problems, RIM said.

o   Notebooks: LG aims to up 3D notebook shipments by 30 percent- reuters

o   Philips: very strong with top line growth the main driver. Consumer Life Style helped to drive the top line growth, and it outperformed all other sectors. Healthcare and Lighting saw slowed growth, but order intake in HC was strong. MGMT upped its EBITDA margin forecast, and said more details will come September 14th

 

MATERIALS

 
 

 


o   China's Wen soothes German concerns on rare earths from Business Spectator

§  Merkel says concerned about access to rare earth metals.

o   Tata Steel Ltd., India’s biggest producer, began talks with lenders including Citigroup Inc. to refinance as much as 3.5 billion pounds ($5.4 billion) in loans for its U.K. unit – BBG

o   Pro-steel lawmakers press White House on China investment deal  - The Hill

o   Geithner irks US lawmakers in China steel case from Business Spectator

o   Treasury Secretary criticised for lack of investigation into investment case.

 

o   Commodities Corner says cotton prices are falling because of the macroeconomic picture, weaker demand.

o   WSJ is positive on agricultural stocks but notes some risks 

o   ANR Alpha Natural Resources clarifies Powder River basin production volumes

 

AUTOS

 
 

 


o   ATC Technology enters into definitive agreement to be acquired by Genco Distribution System (private) for $25.00 per share in cash

§  premium of 43.4% to

§  Conference call at 9 ET: 877.879.6201.

o   Ford   -   Mulally's in overdrive from NY Post

§  Ford Motor Co. has been on a roll since CEO Alan R. Mulally, an impish marketer with a salary bigger than the combined paychecks of the CEOs of Toyota, Nissan and Honda, took over in 2006. e second quarter earnings report due Tuesday will be a mixed bag --...

o   U.S. commercial truck sales up 10% in June from Automotive News

§  Sales of medium- and heavy-duty trucks in the United States rose 10 percent in June from a year earlier to 22,096 units. Commercial-truck sales have risen every month this year, after almost three years of declines

o   TTM Tata Motors expected to increase Nano production to 25K/month by January - Economic Times, citiing source

o   Audit slams Treasury over plan to cut GM, Chrysler dealers from L.A. Times link

§  It didn't properly consider the consequences of shrinking the dealership networks quickly, says a report by a TARP watchdog

§  The Treasury Department's push to have General Motors Corp. and Chrysler Group quickly shrink their dealership networks failed to properly consider economic issues such as lost jobs and lost auto sales and was based on false assumptions of cost savings, according to a report by a federal watchdog released Sunday.

o   GM Unveils Sedan for Chinese Market from WSJ.com

§  GM's commercial van joint venture in China unveiled its first passenger sedan as part of an effort to introduce a new low-cost car in China.

o   Chinese enter U.S. by acquiring U.S. suppliers from Automotive News

§  After years of breakneck growth at home, China's parts makers are starting to reinvent themselves as global suppliers. No longer content with shipping parts to North America, Chinese suppliers are acquiring U.S.

o   Fiat Wraps Up EUR4B Refinancing Ahead Of Spinoff

§  Fiat SpA (F.MI) has agreed with eight banks to refinance EUR4 billion in loans, a measure that paves the way for the company'splanned split into separate automobile and heavy-equipment companies, Il Sole 24 Ore reports

§   The fund will partly roll over expiring debt but EUR2.4 billion of the fresh cash is structured as a bridge loan to be substituted by an eventual bond sold by Fiat Industrial, the paper said.

§    Analysts expect Fiat Industrial, comprising CNH Global NV (CNH) and truckmaker Iveco, to have a higher rating than Fiat's low-margin and cash-intensive car business.

§    The refinancing loan is being provided in equal shares by Intesa Sanpaolo SpA (ISP.MI), Unicredit SpA (UCG.MI), Citigroup Inc. (C), BNP Paribas SA (BNP.FR), Societe Generale SA (SCGLY), Credit Agricole SA (ACA.FR) unit Calyon, and Barclays PLC (BCS).

o   Daimler won't be split in two, trucks chief says from Automotive News

§  Some analysts believe the company's market valuation is 25 percent below the valuation of its operating units, raising questions over whether the current company structure was appropriate

o   WSJ(7/17) Toyota, Tesla Look To Develop Electric SUV

§    Toyota Motor Corp. will develop an electric RAV4 using Tesla Motors Inc. battery technology and aims to sell the model in 2012, the companies said Friday.

o   Volkswagen AG (VOW.XE), Europe's largest car maker, aims to sell more than
100,000 units of a new version of its best-selling Jetta sedan in the U.S. a
year, according to the interim chief of the VW brand in the country,
Bloomberg news reported Sunday.

 

 

FINANCIALS

 
 

 


o   GOP is prepared to fight financial overhaul from Wash Post Politics

§  The Republicans are ready to repeal the financial regulation bill, too.

o   U.S. Treasury Devises Plan For Boards Of Weak Banks – WSJ

§  The Treasury Department is working on a system for appointing board members to government-supported banks that have fallen behind on dividend payments to taxpayers, as more banks are running into such problems

§  The banks whose boards are in play are participants in the Troubled Asset Relief Program, the federal program established in 2008 to help financial and other firms during the financial crisis

o   SEC Split Over Goldman Deal – WSJ

§  The 3-2 decision on party lines Thursday came after a 30-minute closed-door session where the SEC's two Republican commissioners voted against settling, said people familiar with the matter. Mary Schapiro, the SEC chairman appointed by President Obama, cast the deciding vote, the people said

§  On Wednesday, upon learning The Wall Street Journal was preparing an article on catch-all settlement talks, SEC enforcement chief Robert Khuzami grew furious and blasted Goldman

§   He accused the firm of leaking a story that suggested Goldman had bested the SEC, a person familiar with the matter says.

o   Belgian Banks Dexia, KBC Pass Europe Stress Tests (AFP)--Belgian banks Dexia and KBC have passed "stress tests" on the European banking system's ability to withstand a new financial crisis, a newspaper reported Saturday. The Belgian financial daily L'Echo, citing unidentified sources, said Dexia and KBC had passed the tests and had enough capital to face a new economicstorm

o   BAC,  banks: WSJ(7/17) BofA Sees Big Tab In Overhaul

§  Analysts were surprised at the estimate of lost revenue uld cost it as much as $4.3 billion a year in lost revenue, plus a one-time charge of $7 billion to $10 billion.

§  Bank of America "is laying it all out there and, boy, I will tell you that hurts,"

o   US Regulators Close Six More Banks; 2010 Total Reaches 96

§  Officials also closed a second bank in South Carolina. Bluffton, S.C.-based Woodlands Bank failed Friday, with its $355.3 million in total deposits and most of its $376.2 million in total assets being acquired by Little Rock, Ark.-based Bank of the Ozarks (OZRK).

o   PE Strikes Again in Three Bank Failures from American Banker

§  North American Financial Holdings, a group formed by former Bank of America Vice Chairman Eugene Taylor, sealed deals to buy 3 failed banks in the Southeast late Friday.

o   Banks' Glass Again Half Empty – WSJ

§  "The market is shifting from looking for credit-quality improvement to wanting more growth,"

§  Citigroup may be best positioned, despite having some of the deepest crisis wounds of any bank. More than half of the bank's consumer-lending revenue is already generated outside the U.S

§  http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704913304575371463425627360.html?mod=WSJ_newsreel_markets

o   Don't Stress Out About Banks from Barron's

§  Stress-test results on 91 European banks are unlikely either to cause a big bank failure or to spark a sustained rally in the sector's shares.

o   Bank Tax Poised to Return and Take a Bigger Bite from American Banker

§  Although House and Senate conferees stripped a proposed bank tax from the regulatory reform bill at the last minute, the fight over the issue is far from over.

o   A.I.G. Is Said to Be Hiring Mark Tucker to Lead A.I.A. Unit from NYT

§  The American International Group plans to name Mark Tucker, former head of Prudential of Britain, to lead the Asian life insurance subsidiary known as A.I.A

o   JP Morgan may quit UK over Government's bank levy from Telegraph

§  JP Morgan is exploring plans to move its back office operations out of the UK as part of a radical shake up of its European business

o   Greece banks braced for consolidation  FT.com

§  Pressure on private banks to consolidate is likely to rise over coming months, even though they are expected to breeze through the European stress test, according to George Provopoulos, the Bank of Greece governor

o   Greece will appoint advisers to evaluate a proposed merger involving two state-controlled banks with privately-owned Piraeus Bank SA (TPEIR.AT), the country's finance minister told Ethnos newspaper,adding that the government favors consolidation in the banking sector.

o   Goldman Sachs sets aside $9bn for pay as revenues drop from Telegraph Finance

o   Goldman seeks to avoid SEC fund-amentalism from FT Alphaville

§  A tip-off, for any one who thinks Goldman got off lightly in the Abacus affair.

§  The Securities and Exchange Commission’s undertaking on the Abacus 2007 AC1 CDO ain’t over ’till it’s over — and it looks like that’s not yet. Even though the bank opted to settle the civil fraud suit for a fine of $550m last week, the District Court’s final judgement could still see Goldman disqualified from some of its bread and butter fund activities under Section 9(a) of the 1940 Investment Company Act.

o   Goldman to pay Tourre's legal fees after its own $550m fine from The Independent

§  Goldman Sachs will pay the remaining legal costs of Fabrice Tourre, the trader at the centre of the Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) $1bn (Ł650m) fraud investigation, despite settling its own role out-of-court

o   Europe freezes out Goldman Sachs   guardian.co.uk

§  Shocked by past deals with Italy and Greece, governments are excluding the Wall Street bank from sovereign bond sales

§  European governments are turning their backs on Goldman Sachs, the all-conquering investment bank that has suffered a series of blows to its reputation, capped by the biggest ever fine imposed on a Wall Street firm.

§  According to data from Dealogic, Greece, Spain, France and Italy have all denied the bank a lead role in their recent sovereign bond sales

o   More bad news for Jesup and Lamont from InvestmentNews

§  After being closed for business for several weeks, Jesup and Lamont Securities Corp. faces new allegations that could lead to further trouble for the embattled firm.

o   Deutsche Bank Chief Wary of Talent War from WSJ.com

§  Deutsche Bank chief Josef Ackermann warned that the war for talent in Asia is causing a bubble in bankers' compensation that could damage the culture in Asian financial services, even as he hired another rainmaker to keep business flowing.

o   BAC Bank of America removed from Conviction Buy List at Goldman Sachs

o   WSJ(7/17) Basel Rules On Track

§    Regulators and central bankers, meeting in Switzerland to discuss a set of global banking rules, said they are on track to nail down an accord by the fall.

§    The group of policy makers from 27 countries, known as the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, said it would present a set of "concrete recommendations" this month. The package likely will require banks world-wide to thicken capital buffers, hold more liquid funding, and cut down on their use of leverage in a bid to fortify the banking system and avoid a repeat of the recent financial crisis.

o   WSJ(7/17) Blackstone Woos Big Money

§   Blackstone Group LP is offering investors who write big checks to its latest megafund a break on fees, according to people familiar with the situation.   The New York-based firm will charge a 1% management fee on commitments of more than $1 billion for its Blackstone Capital Partners VI LP, versus 1.5% on commitments of less than that, these people said.   It had foreseen a 1.5% management fee on capital commitments of up to $10 billion and a 1% fee once capital commitments exceed $10 billion overall.

o   AIG American International Group to replace CEO of AIA unit -- FT

o   GS  - barons The Trader says the impact on Goldman (GS) from its SEC settlement is far less than it might have been;

o   C WSJ says Citi may have an edge when compared to Bank of America and JP Morgan Chase

o   ROMA Roma Financial completes merger with Sterling Banks

o   OZRK Bank of the Ozarks entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with the FDIC related to Woodlands Bank of Bluffton, SC

o    VALU Value Line reports full year EPS

o   EFUT eFuture announces resignation of CFO Ping Yu

o   AIG American International Group approves terms of settlement for class action suit

o   HBC HSBC Holdings' dividend over the next four years may double, says UBS - SA London

o   AINV Innkeepers USA Trust to file for Chapter 11 within days - WSJ, citing people familiar with the matter

o   Approval of the U.S. reform bill puts Europe on the back foot

§  The U.S. Senate approved late last week legislation to overhaul financial regulation, increasing pressure on European regulators as well as European financial institutions that conduct business in the U.S. European policymakers and other leaders are struggling to come to agreement on a plan for oversight of the financial industry and other measures to prevent a repeat of the financial crisis. Reuters (16 Jul.)

o    

 

REAL ESTATE

 
 

 


o   Office vacancies rise, rents drop in Southland again from Los Angeles Times

§  An oversupply of space, businesses' reluctance to add costs and landlords' eagerness to keep good tenants leads to some of the cheapest lease rates in years. In the Inland Empire, vacancy tops 25%

§  Southern California office landlords faced more bad news in the second quarter as occupancy and rents in their buildings fell again.

o   Fannie Mae to prohibit lenders from changing home appraisals from L.A. Times

§  The mortgage giant addresses complaints that home sales have been sabotaged by arbitrary reductions in appraisers' valuations

§  Picture this: You've signed a contract to sell your house. Your buyers say they've nailed down the right mortgage. All is well. But then the appraisal comes in low — $25,000 to $50,000 under what was agreed in the contract.

o   Senior House Democrat To Start Fannie, Freddie Bill In September

§  A top House Democrat said Friday that he plans to start writing legislation to overhaul mortgage guarantee agencies Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) in September when lawmakers return from the August recess.

§   House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank (D., Mass.) said in an interview with Bloomberg Television's "Political Capital With Al Hunt" that while he didn't believe there would be enough time to pass the overhaul legislation before the November mid-term elections, he intended to begin work on it in the fall.

o   REIT:  Apollo's Innkeepers USA Said To Prepare Bankruptcy Filing-

§   Innkeepers USA Trust (KPA), a hotel company owned by Apollo Investment Corp. (AINV), is preparing to file for bankruptcy, according to two people with knowledge of the plan, Bloomberg News reported.

§     The company, a real estate investment trust with stakes in 73 hotels in the U.S., may file as soon as this weekend, said one of the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private, according to the report posted on the Bloomberg Businessweek website Saturday.

§    Steven Anreder, a spokesman for Apollo Investment, declined to comment, Bloomberg reported. Dennis Craven, Innkeepers' chief financial officer, didn't immediately reply to a voicemail and an email sent outside regular business hours, the report said.

§    Full report at

§  http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-07-17/apollo-s-innkeepers-usa-said-to-prepare-bankruptcy-filing.html

CONSUMER

 
 

 


o   HAS  Hasbro reports better first blush: Q2 EPS $0.29 vs Reuters $0.24 ($39.50)   

§  Company reports revenues of $737.8M vs Reuters $750.4M.

o   Private equity firms still circling RSH Radioshack- Reuters

§  Private equity firms Blackstone Group LP (BX.N), TPG Capital [TPG.UL] and Advent International are interested

§  Some potential suitors, such as Bain Capital, were interested earlier but are no longer in the auction

o   BNHNA Benihana shareholders' beef- NYPOST

§  Two separate sets of Benihana Inc. shareholders yesterday fired warning shots across the bow of the chain of Japanese steakhouses -- signaling their intent to shake up the board of the underperforming company

§  The heirs of Benihana's colorful founder, Rocky Aoki, say they intend to seek two seats on the three-member board amid concerns of sagging sales and a dreary stock price. New York hedge fund Coliseum Capital Management is seeking one seat

§  http://www.nypost.com/p/news/business/benihana_shareholders_beef_Ne1bViwBFbjX4oekrsDMFP?CMP=OTC-rss&FEEDNAME=#ixzz0u7bqCv2s

o   BNHNA Benihana shareholder BOT sends nominations for election to the board

o   Pep Boys CEO Talks Shop from TheStreet.com

§  Mike Odell, CEO of The Pep Boys, says the automotive parts and service specialist is getting back to its roots to regain its lost momentum

o   Big Lots Draws Heavy Put-Buying from TheStreet.com

§  Big Lots has been struggling to break a three-month downtrend, and one bear doubts that it will succeed.

o   Is Safeway in the Clear? from Barron's

·         The supermarket giant was clobbered by the collapse of the California economy. Now, the state is showing some signs of life, and the company is well-positioned for a recovery.

o   A Closetful of Opportunity from Barron's

·         VF Corp. has grown into one of the largest, most diversified and profitable apparel makers. So why are its shares on the discount rack?

o    Office Depot Inc. (ODP) said it decided not to bid for a new Los Angeles County office supplies agreement because of what it called "onerous" terms that would result in an operating loss. Shares fell 4.2% to $3.89 in after-hours trading as the office-products company said holding the contract under the proposed terms could hurt its profitability.

o   VFC Barron's says VF Corp is one of the best investment bets in the apparel sector

o   SAI SAIC awarded a maximum $241M indefinite quantity contract from US Defense Logistics Agency

o   Michaels Stores CFO Elaine Crowley announces resignation; effective 6-Aug 

o   BECN Beacon Roofing acquired Posi-Slope Enterprises

o   CSKI China Sky One Medical's CFO's health issues to restrict his availability to investors

o   UL Unilever to sell its Italian Frozen Foods business, Findus to a company in which Birds Eye Iglo has a significant stake for €805M - SA London

o   EDU New Oriental Education & Technology reports Q4 EPS

o   DWA NYT looks at DreamWorks Animation

o   UL Unilever expected to sell Findus Italy to Birds Eye Iglo for more than €800M - FT

o   Victoria's Secret Store in NYC Hit by Bedbugs

 

 

HEALTHCARE

 
 

 

o    

 

 


o   TEVA   Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (TEVA, TEVA.TV) said it failed to overturn a verdict against it in a patent dispute with Pfizer, which could have freed Teva to sell a generic version of heartburn drug Protonix.   In April, a jury in federal court in New Jersey upheld Pfizer Inc.'s (PFE) patent for the drug. Generics companies had argued the patent was invalid because Protonix's invention was obvious.

o   MAXY Maxygen says Cangene's option to license MAXY-G34 for acute radiation syndrome has expired

o   TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical updates litigation surrounding Protonix

o   AMGN FDA has granted priority review designation to denosumab; PDUFA date 18-Nov

o   CMS proposes payment changes to Medicare home health services for 2011 

o   CMS announces final wage index changes for the Medicare hospice benefit 

o   EMIS Emisphere Technologies engaged in ongoing discussions with potential licensee for high dose oral Eligen B12 as a medical food for B12 deficiency

o   COV Covidien upgraded to outperform from market perform at Morgan Keegan

o   SNY  Sanofi-Aventis says Jevtana (cabazitaxel) injection now available in the US

 

OTHER

 
 

 


o   Changes in the latest Investor's Business Daily 100 List. Added: ISRG, RMD, TPX, AIXG, DTV, PTI, CISG, EC, CMCSA, PNRA, FDO, EMC, MSB, HSNI. Deleted: MEND, IPXL, ARBA, FFG, LTM, AMT, URBN, SIRO, SKX, AOS, ROST, CVLT, FOSL, CYD.

 

·         Barron's summary 

o    VFC Barron's says VF Corp is one of the best investment bets in the apparel sector

o   SWY Barron's says Safeway is well-positioned for a recovery in California

o   CNQR Barron's says Concur Technologies is a leading in expense management software

o   Barron's Interviews Amit Wadhwaney, portfolio manager at Third Avenue Management 

o   Positive on:

o   Daekyo: The largest provider of educational services to school-age children that trades for less than 2x operating earnings when you take out the cash and marketable securities.

o   Netia: The telecom deregulation in Poland is very much in favor of a company like Netia and the business is very well capitalized and growing rapidly.

o   Antarchile: This company is effectively a vehicle of the Angelini Group and you can buy into the company for less than the value of its holdings.

o   GOOG Barron's cover says Google is undervalued by 35% or more

o   AGG, BND, BAB, BLV and AGZ ETF Special Report: Trading strategies for ETFs: use limit orders, beware of tracking errors, dividend income, take advantage of volatility and also using them to reduce volatility. Positive on 5 bond ETFs…

o   Positive on dividend ETFs. A look at money flows for ETFs so far in 2010.

o   Other Voices discusses the ongoing Greek debt crisis and says default is the only possible outcome unless the government delivers on its promised tax hikes and spending cuts.

o   FDX Editorial discusses the ongoing Pentagon tanker contract fiasco, argues against expanding the National Labor Relations Act to include FedEx.

o   The Trader says the impact on Goldman (GS) from its SEC settlement is far less than it might have been; special dividends should increase this fall, they are possible at firms with large cash piles and high insider ownership: AMZN, WYNN, SHLD, CPB, LTD, BBY, SCHW, EBAY, DELL, GPS, TIE and MSFT; longer term investors in Weyerhaeuser (WY) may be better off selling on Monday and buying back the shares when they go ex-dividend.

o   Asia Trader says there may be opportunity in China's coal companies: 1088.HK, 1898.HK, 1171.HK.

o   The Striking Price considers the impact of Dodd-Frank on options trading.

o   European Trader doubts there will be a large impact from the bank stress tests, there could even be a short-lived relief rally when results are announced.

o   Current Yield says the 2-yr Treasury is pointing towards continued low rates and malaise as it hits its lowest yield ever.

o   Commodities Corner says cotton prices are falling because of the macroeconomic picture, weaker demand.

o   GS Up and Down Wall Street discusses the Dood-Frank bill, earnings, Chinese economic figures and says the Goldman (GS) settlement is actually a big loss for the firm.

o   BP Streetwise says BP is still cheap.

o   INTC, MSFT, DELL, IBM, JNPR, EMC, AAPL, GOOG Technology Trader remains positive on PC names after Intel's (INTC) earnings, positive on MSFT, DELL, IBM, JNPR, EMC; Apple (AAPL) could rally after earnings; positive on Google for longer term investors.

o   D.C. Current looks at life for Steven Rattner when he was in charge of rescuing the U.S. auto industry.

o   Plugged In looks at electric car battery company Better Place.

o   INTC, APA Follow Up is positive on Intel (INTC), Apache (APA) should not buy BP's assets, and notes the increasing difficulty of operating a western business in China.

 

·         Stocks mentioned on CNBC's Mad Money with Jim Cramer - TheStreet.com 

o   + Featured AKS, PPG, SKX, CUB, CHK and VMW

o   CCG Campus Crest Communities files amended S-11; adds underwriters and proposed symbol of "CCG"  

 

EUROPE TRADING WRAP

 
 

 


·         Energy

·         BP (-2%), US concerned that capped well has possible leak, BP says pressure increasing slowly (low-6%).

·          Intl Power (+ 9.6%),  GDF Suez (+1.25%) in talks on possible bid for IPR.   BBG

·         UK Coal (-6%), warns on 1H

·         Mining

·         Aquarius Platinum (-12%) tighter saftey standards at Sth African mines.

·         Chemicals

·         Rhodia (-1%), Soc Gen “Sell” note.

o    

 
 

 

 

 


*Japan shut-public holiday*

Hong Kong

       HSI -0.79%; HSCEI -0.95%

       Stocks fell after disappointing US earnings and US consumer confidence fell. Turnover on the HSI fell to HK$18.43B from HK$19.28B last Friday

       Shippers fell after report China exports will slow in 2H

       Commodities producers fell after metal and oil prices fell at pipelines operate by a PetroChina (857 HK) unit caused what may be the biggest oil spill in China seas

China

       SHCOMP +2.11%; SZCOMP +2.43%

       Stocks rose on prospect the government may increase investment in low-income housing and boost domestic consumption to counter a global economic slowdown. Turnover on the SHCOMP fell to 52.23B yuan from 60.89B yuan last Friday

       Stocks rose across all sectors led by materials, consumer, tech and financials

       Real estate +2.84%. Shanghai's sales of new home rose 33% WoW in the week ended Jul 18. The price for new homes fell 2% from a week earlier. Investors speculate the government will ease on introducing tighter policy measures for the time being

 

 

 

INVESTMENT BANKING

 

 
 

 

 


M&A

 

o   ATC Technology enters into definitive agreement to be acquired by Genco Distribution System (private) for $25.00 per share in cash

§  premium of 43.4% to

§  Conference call at 9 ET: 877.879.6201.

o   BP canvassing investors on possible break up- Sunday Times

o   BP has started canvassing shareholders about a restructuring in the wake of its Gulf of Mexico oil spill which could include a break up of the business

o   The newspaper, citing unnamed BP insiders, said options included selling the group's refineries and petrol stations, scaling back its U.S. operations and ramping-up in-house engineering instead of outsourcing

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE66H07220100718

o   BP-APA Apache Talks on Prudhoe Bay Stake Said to Stall- BBG

o   BP’s talks to sell half its stake in Alaska’s Prudhoe Bay oil field to Apache stalled twice over the weekend, raising doubts about whether the deal will be completed

o   Talks between BP and Apache faltered late in the evening on July 16 before resuming Saturday. They hit a snag again early yesterday over issues ranging from the valuation of the deal to how current and future legal liabilities will be addressed

o   Venture-Capital Investing Jumps to 2-Year High- TheStreet.com

o   Venture-capital investors placed $6.5 billion in 906 deals in the second quarter, the most invested in startup companies since the third quarter of 2008

o   Investments jumped 34% in dollar terms and 22% in deal count compared with the first quarter

o   http://www.thestreet.com/story/10808973/1/venture-capital-investing-jumps-to-2-year-high.html

o   Private equity firms still circling RSH Radioshack- Reuters

o   Private equity firms Blackstone Group LP (BX.N), TPG Capital [TPG.UL] and Advent International are interested

o   Some potential suitors, such as Bain Capital, were interested earlier but are no longer in the auction

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1612237420100716

o   US Regulators Close Six More Banks; 2010 Total Reaches 96- DJ

o   U.S. regulators closed six more banks in three states Friday evening as the continued weakness in the economy and the after effects of the financial crisis continued to weigh on smaller banks.

o   The pace of failures this year has nearly doubled that of 2009, when 140 banks were shuttered by regulators

o   http://www.automatedtrader.net/real-time-dow-jones/5648/us-regulators-close-six-more-banks-2010-total-reaches-96

o   BNHNA Benihana shareholders' beef- NYPOST

o   Two separate sets of Benihana Inc. shareholders yesterday fired warning shots across the bow of the chain of Japanese steakhouses -- signaling their intent to shake up the board of the underperforming company

o   The heirs of Benihana's colorful founder, Rocky Aoki, say they intend to seek two seats on the three-member board amid concerns of sagging sales and a dreary stock price. New York hedge fund Coliseum Capital Management is seeking one seat

o   http://www.nypost.com/p/news/business/benihana_shareholders_beef_Ne1bViwBFbjX4oekrsDMFP?CMP=OTC-rss&FEEDNAME=#ixzz0u7bqCv2s

o   DWA As Niche Gets Crowded, Studio Watches Its Back- NYT

o   Currently, most stand-alone movie outfits are openly for sale (MHM),  looking for new money or angling for an alliance (LGF). But Mr. Katzenberg insists that his company, with no debt and a powerful track record, has all it needs to thrive

o   In recent months, several of Hollywood’s movers and shakers have privately described CMCSA Comcast’s flirtations with making a run at DreamWorks Animation

o   Asked about the talk, a Comcast spokeswoman, Jennifer Khoury, strongly denied that any such deal had been considered

o   http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/19/business/media/19dreamworks.html?_r=1&ref=business

o   Hynix Shares Rise on Report LG Asked to Run, Take Over Company- BBG       

o   MOT Motorola nears unit sale to NOK Nokia Siemens- Reuters

o   Motorola is close to selling most of its wireless-network equipment business to Nokia Siemens Networks for $1.2 billion. Deal could be announces 7/19

o   Nokia Siemens Network, a joint venture of Finland's Nokia and Germany's Siemens AG, would buy Motorola's network unit under the deal, which could be announced as early as Monday

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1813281220100718

o   GOOG Google Buys Metaweb to Improve Search Results- NYT

o   Google said Friday that in an effort to improve tricky types of search queries, it was buying Metaweb, a San Francisco start-up that says it makes Web sites smarter

o   http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/07/16/google-buys-metaweb-to-improve-search-results/

o   Cheng Uei Denies Report On Talks To Sell Stake To INTC Intel- WSJ

o   Taiwan component maker Cheng Uei Precision Industry said Monday it isn't in talks to sell a stake to Intel as part of their business cooperation, denying a report in the local Economic Daily News

o   http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100718-704532.html?mod=WSJ_latestheadlines

o   Desmond frontrunner to buy TV channel Five- Sunday Times

o   Richard Desmond, owner of the Daily Express newspaper and OK! magazine, is putting the finishing touches to a 100 million pound ($153 million) deal to buy British TV channel Five

o   The newspaper, without citing sources, said Desmond had beaten rival interested parties including Time Warner (TWX.N), Channel 4 and Endemol

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE66H07Z20100718

o   Mexico's TV Televisa sells 25 pct stake in airline- Reuters

o   Mexican broadcaster Televisa said on Friday it sold its 25 percent stake in local low-cost airline Volaris for $81 million

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1611832220100716

o   TPG, Carlyle win bid for Australian Healthscope at $1.7 bln- Reuters

o   Private equity firms TPG and Carlyle have won a bid for Australian hospitals operator Healthscope at $1.73 billion, topping an offer from KKR Kohlberg Kravis Roberts

o   TPG and Carlyle's final offer was A$6.26 a share, worth A$1.99 billion, or a 16 percent premium to Healthscope's close on Friday,

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSYU01029420100718

o   T AT&T Chief Sees ‘Industrial Logic’ in DTV DirecTV Purchase- FT

o   AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson told the Financial Times there would be an “industrial logic” in his company acquiring DirecTV even though he suspects regulators wouldn’t allow the transaction

o   Stephenson also said AT&T wants to buy a mobile-phone business outside the U.S.

o   EADS sets course for US purchases- FT

o   EADS is ready to use an €8b ($10.3b) cash war chest to make acquisitions in the US now it has weathered the downturn and completed a restructuring of its businesses

o   EADS has already been in talks with Brazil’s Embraer and other smaller aerospace companies and said Boeing had done the same

o   http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/9541cc20-92aa-11df-9142-00144feab49a.html

o   MS Morgan Stanley sells $177 million Shanghai property- SCMP

o   Morgan Stanley has sold a serviced apartment project in Pudong for 1.2b yuan ($177 million), making it the second-largest residential deal in Shanghai so far this year

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66I09G20100719

o   Reliance in talks to buy stake in KWK Quicksilver- Reuters

o   Indian energy major Reliance Industries is in talks with Texas-based Quicksilver Resources, including for a possible buyout of the U.S. firm that develops shale gas and coal-bed methane

o   The talks also include buying a part stake or partnering Quicksilver for one of its major projects called the Horn River Basin assets in British Columbia

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66I03L20100719

o   Daimler won't be split in two: trucks chief- Reuters

o   Daimler's (DAIGn.DE) trucks boss Andreas Renschler said there are no plans to split the German company into a passenger car maker and a truck maker

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66F2NW20100717

o   AXA-NAB extend $11.5 billion takeover deal to Aug 31- Reuters

o   The eight-month long deal for domination of the $1 trillion and fast growing Australian wealth management sector, the world's fourth-largest was blocked by the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) in April.

o   In a sign of how uncertain the deal is, the three companies have extended the deadline for implementation of the agreement -- shareholder and court approval -- to January 2011

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66H2I620100719

o   Telefónica Drops Vivo Bid – WSJ

o   Telefónica SA said Saturday it wouldn't extend its €7.15 billion ($9.24 billion) offer for Portugal Telecom SGPS SA's stake in Brazil's Vivo Participacoes SA, following an extended bidding process.

o   "Portugal Telecom's board of directors didn't accept the bid within the timeframe and it is now terminated,"

o   http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704201604575372513096374710.html

o   Portugal Telecom Shares Fall as Much as 4.1% in Lisbon Trading- BBG

o   Telefonica SA ended its 7.15 billion-euro offer for the Portuguese company’s stake in a venture that controls Brazil’s largest wireless operator

o   Portugal Telecom SGPS SA shares fell as much as 4.1 percent in Lisbon trading

o   South Korea KNOC still in takeover talks with Dana:- Reuters

o   Korea National Oil Corp remains in talks with British oil and gas explorer Dana Petroleum on a takeover that could potentially be worth over $2 billion

o   Contrary to market rumors KNOC had ended negotiations to acquire Dana, the KNOC source told Reuters: "Negotiations with Dana are still progressing but no agreement has yet emerged."

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66I0G020100719

o   Brunei investor denies report of Club Med bid- Reuters

o   Brunei investment firm BMB Group denied a Sunday Times report that it was considering a bid for Club Med that would value the French-listed holiday company at about 800 million euros ($1 billion).

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66H0P620100718

o   Unilever unfreezes sale of Findus Italy- FT

o   Unilever is expected to announce the sale of its Italian frozen food business to Birds Eye Iglo in a deal worth more than €800m.

o   The purchase of Findus Italy, which makes frozen Italian dishes such as carbonara and bolognese, is being financed with about €500m of debt. Permira, which bought Birds Eye from Unilever for €1.7bn four years ago, is providing €300m of equity

o   http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/acc7b68a-92b8-11df-9142-00144feab49a.html

o   Manila's San Miguel gets four bids for Pure Foods- Reuters

o   Philippine conglomerate San Miguel Corp received four bids last week for the stake it is selling in subsidiary San Miguel Pure Foods Co Inc

o   Ramon Ang, also director of Pure Foods, did not name the bidders nor give the value of the bids. But a local newspaper said on Monday that San Miguel and its financial adviser JP Morgan had valued Pure Foods' total capital stock at $1.3 billion

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66I02420100719

o   GDF Suez in fresh tie-up talks with Intl Power- Reuters

o   France's GDF Suez and Britain's International Power have revived tie-up talks as GDF Suez seeks to bolster its power production clout in emerging markets

o   The deal would see GDF transfer some of its non-European assets into International Power, which is focused on the fast-growing markets of Asia, Australia and the Middle East, in exchange for a majority stake

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE66I07L20100719

o   International Power talks to test coalition stance on foreign takeovers- The Guardian

o   Under the terms of the deal being discussed, GDF would become a majority shareholder in International Power, which runs six power plants in Britain and produces electricity for more than 4m households.

o   Both companies would merge their international operations outside Europe as well as certain assets in the UK and Turkey to create an enlarged International Power that would be listed on the LSE – a reverse takeover of International Power

o   Australian Sigma gets bids for two drug arms- Reuters

o   Australia's Sigma Pharmaceuticals has received three bids for its Herron drugs arm and three bids for its Orphan Australia drugs business, as it seeks an improved bid from South Africa's Aspen Pharmacare

o   The company is battling to pay off A$100 million in debt by March under pressure from its lenders after it broke its loan covenants

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66I08M20100719

o   Etisalat close to buying 26 pct in Reliance Comm- FT

o   The two groups are also considering merging Reliance, India's No. 2 mobile operator, with Swan Telecom, the Indian company in which Etisalat holds a 45% stake

o   An alliance between the two groups could be completed as soon as mid-August

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66I0J120100719

o   Greece to seek advisors for possible bank sale- Reuters

o   Greece's finance minister said on Saturday he would appoint consultants to advise him on the possible sale of state-run lenders ATEbank, and Hellenic Postbank to private Piraeus Bank

o   "We have encouraged strategic moves in the banking sector," Papaconstantinou said. "But let's make clear that Piraeus's offer to the government was its own initiative. It did not follow any invitation on our part."

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66G11120100717

o   Tomkins gets $4.5 billion Canadian bid approach- Reuters

o   British engineering company Tomkins has received a bid approach from a Canadian consortium which values it at close to 2.9 billion pounds ($4.45 billion) and has opened its books to the suitors

o   Tomkins saidDue diligence was at an advanced stage, and  that the bidders reserved the right to reduce their offer price in the event that the company's board agrees.

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66I10220100719

o   China's Bright Dairy invests in NZ's Synlait- Reuters

o   China's Bright Dairy & Food is investing $58m in New Zealand milk producer Synlait, which will use the money to lift exports of milk powder and infant formula to China

o   http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66I02320100719

o   Candover takeover talks collapse as suitor walks away- The Independent

o   Talks to buy Candover have collapsed after its Canadian suitor failed to agree terms with the private equity group's bondholders.

o   While the London-listed buyout group has never released the name of the interested party, it is understood to have been in talks with the $70bn Canadian pension fund Albert Investment Management Corporation (Aimco) since April

o   http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/candover-takeover-talks-collapse-as-suitor-walks-away-2028731.html

 

 

$ RAISING

 

o   Surge in private equity IPOs yields limited returns- FT

§  A surge in initial public offerings by private equity-owned companies this year has produced only limited profits for investors, with many US buy-out-backed listings leaving shareholders facing losses

§  The study by Ernst&Young, the consultancy, analysed 62 private equity-backed IPOs that took place in the first half of 2010. It found Asia-based listings came top in terms of performance, followed by Europe and then north and South America

§  http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/96f21ea2-929c-11df-9142-00144feab49a.html?ftcamp=rss

o   Kinder Morgan readying to go public- Reuters

§  It was unclear whether Houston-based Kinder Morgan, backed by Carlyle Group and Goldman Sachs Group’s (GS.N) buyout fund, has already hired banks to handle the share sale

§  If Kinder Morgan does go public, it would be the latest in a string of companies controlled by private equity firms to do so

§  http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66G19J20100717

o   Essar mulling IPO of stake in VOD Vodafone Essar- Reuters

§  Indian steel-to-shipping conglomerate Essar Group has been in talks with banks to explore options, including an initial public offering, for its stake in its Indian telecoms venture with Britain's Vodafone

§  Essar holds a 33 percent stake in Vodafone Essar, India's No. 3 mobile firm

§  http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66G0JU20100717

o   Deutsche Bahn IPO not on agenda: transport minister- Reuters

§  First, the company needs to focus on improving quality, security, cleanliness, punctuality and reliability of its trains, Ramsauer said

§  A stock market listing of Deutsche Bahn was shelved in 2008 due to weak markets. CEO Ruediger Grube said in March the group still intended to pursue a partial flotation but would only do so when it was sure it could get appropriate value for the stake

§  http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66G0QI20100717

o   Green Dot IPO gets valentine from Congress- Reuters

§  Green Dot Corp (GDOT.N), a prepaid debit card company, could see strong demand for its initial public offering next week because of the financial reform bill, which exempted prepaid cards from its harshest restrictions

§  Green Dot is the top player in the prepaid debit card industry, and hopes to raise about $128.98 million in its IPO

§  http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66F63220100716

o   RLD RealD, QLIK Qlik rally 20% on IPO debuts- Reuters

§  Shares in RealD, whose 3D technology was used to help make the movie "Avatar", opened more than 22 percent above their initial public offering price on Friday and shares of business software maker Qlik Technologies opened 20 percent higher

§  Some analysts warn that costs and competition still make these companies speculative investments, prone to volatility.

§  http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66F41E20100716

o   EPOC Epocrates refiles S1 for $75M IPO thorugh JPMorgan and Piper Jaffray- DJ

§  The company, which provides drug reference tools to health-care providers on mobile devices, expects its shares to be traded on the Nasdaq Global Market under the symbol EPOC

o   Ex-Pru CEO Tucker named AIA boss ahead of IPO- Reuters

§  Bailed-out insurer AIG named former Prudential plc Chief Executive Mark Tucker as head of its Asia life insurance business, AIA, and said it would seek to list AIA on the Hong Kong stock exchange

§  Tucker, who is an old Asia hand, was the chief executive of Prudential Corporation Asia for a decade to 2003. In this role, he propelled Prudential's rapid growth across Asia and established a strong regional presence

§  http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66H1RS20100719

o   NetSpend Sets IPO as Competition in Prepaid Space Heats Up- American Banker

§  NetSpend joins Green Dot as the second prepaid card company planning to go public this year, potentially setting valuation benchmarks for this maturing market

§  http://www.americanbanker.com/news/netspend-1022425-1.html

 

PRICINGS

o   Initial Offerings

o   CIS Camelot Information Systems 13.3m share IPO expected to price 7/20 via GS and Barclays: Price Talk $11-13

o   GDOT Gren Dot 3.9m share IPO expected to price 7/21 via JPM and MS: Price Talk $32-35

o   SRGV Surgivision 2.5m share IPO expected to price wk of 7/19 via Rodman & Renshaw: Price Talk $13-14

o   Secondary Offerings

o   No offerings still on the schedule for this week

 

NEWS

o   Harbinger Seeks To Raise $400M In Debt For Wireless Venture- WSJ

§  Hedge fund manager Philip Falcone is trying to lure in debt investors for his planned high-speed wireless network, in a bid to keep the audacious project moving forward

o   AMI's new debt swap- NYPOST

§  American Media, Inc. CEO David Pecker goes on the road tomorrow to sell the company's second major restructuring in 18 month to bankers and bondholders

§  Under terms of the new debt-for-equity swap now before bondholders, the current debt of $850 million is expected to drop to around $600 million

§  http://www.nypost.com/p/news/business/ami_new_debt_swap_QPrt8rn9W06jYQ0NUYXIaK?CMP=OTC-rss&FEEDNAME=#ixzz0u7c5fK4j

 

o   Energy: VNR Vanguard Natural Resources files $800M mixed shelf

o   Energy: GPOR Gulfport Energy files $100M mixed shelf; also registers 16.2M shares for holders

o   Energy: CLR Continental Resources files mixed shelf of indeterminate size

o   Tech: SCLD SteelCloud withdraws offering

o   Tech: RZ Raser Technologies to offer $750K in shares to War Chest Capital at $0.449 per share- SA

 

 

 

 

TODAY’S EVENTS

 

 
 

 

 


CONFERENCES

                Monday July 19:

o   AGORA FINANCIAL LLC Investment Symposium- Jul 19, 2010 - Jul 23, 2010

o   BNP Media Casino Marketing Conference - Jul 19, 2010 - Jul 21, 2010

o   Infocast Waste to Energy Finance & Investment Summit - Jul 19, 2010 - Jul 21, 2010

o   Terrapinn Banking Outlook Conference - Jul 19, 2010 - Jul 23, 2010

 

COMPANY MEETINGS/OTHER DAILY EVENTS

 

o   Monday July 19:

o   Shareholder Meeetings

§  MSFT, CCBP

o   Markets are closed in Japan.

o   The International Air Show begins in Farnborough, England.

 

ECONOMICS

 

·         Monday July 19:

o   1300 NAHB Housing Market Index

 

EARNINGS      

 

o   Materials

·         Monday July 19: STLD

o   Industrials/Homebuilders

·         Monday July 19: CCK, PKG

o   Consumer/Retail/Education

·         Monday July 19: HAS, EDU, TUP

o   Financials

·         Monday July 19: BRO, RLI, STBA, ZION, FDEF, BMRC, WFSL, VCBI, FTBK

o   Tech/Telecom

·         Monday July 19: IBM, RLRN, ATHR, AZPN, DRAM, PETS, TXN

o   Healthcare

·         Monday July 19: LNCR, ICUI

o   Media

·         Monday July 19: IDC

o   Energy

·         Monday July 19: HAL, MMR, ALME, EPL, NE

o   Transportation

·         Monday July 19: DAL

 

 

 

 

 

 

***All eco data from Bloomberg and DJ

 

Prepared by staff of Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. ("Cantor") and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision, should not be considered a recommendation by Cantor or any other person and does not constitute an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any investment nor is it a confirmation of terms. Any calculations and valuations presented herein are intended as a basis for discussion. Sources of information are believed to be reliable but Cantor makes no representation and gives no warranty that the information contained herein is accurate or complete. Any opinions or estimates given may change. Cantor undertakes no obligation to provide recipients with any additional information or any update to or correction of the information contained herein. This material is intended solely for institutional investors and investors who Cantor reasonably believes are institutional investors. Cantor, its officers, employees, affiliates and partners shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs or claims howsoever arising from any inaccuracies or omissions in the information contained herein or any reliance on that information. Cantor may have positions in financial instruments mentioned, may have acquired such positions at prices no longer available, and may have interests different or adverse to your interests.  No liability is accepted by Cantor for any loss that may arise from any use of the information contained herein or derived here from. This product may not be reproduced or redistributed outside the recipient's organization. Sources: Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Dow Jones, Marketwatch, Trade-Alert, and the Wall Street Journal.