Morning @ Cantor
Morning
@ Cantor 7/16
Today’s
Stories From Cantor Fitzgerald
Sal
Catrini (908) 517-5067
CONTENTS: All
Headings Are Functioning Links
Sector News: Energy, Industrials, Transports, TMT, Materials, Autos, Fins, Real Estate, Consumer, Gaming/Lodging, HC, Europe
Trading Wrap, Asia Trading
Wrap
Investment Banking Wrap: M&A, Money Raising
·
US
Stock Futures SPs up 3 at session
highs as earningns sty mostly good, ie GE, AMD etc
o IG
spreads better by 1 point from yest lows at 7am et
o European
stocks up half percent near highs at 7am et… got a cue from a higher close on
Wall Street with shares of BP up 4% on news it's finally sealed the Gulf oil
leak
o Euro approaching 1.30 against dollar..slightly
off highs at 7am et
o The Euro has gained this morning against all
G10 currencies and is 0.69% higher against the Dollar, +0.52% v Sterling and
).45% against the Yen. This is taking the €/$ rate toward 1.300 for the first
time in 3 months
§ Also aiding the Euro was the interest rate
differentials as US yields hit historic lows combined with a continued rise
seen in short-dated Euro rates.
§ The
Spanish/Bund 10-year Gov't spread continued to tighten in the wake of
yesterday's successful 15-year auction by Tesoro with the premium narrowing to
180bps verses 210 prior to the 15-year sale on Thursday.
§ The USD/JPY pair also probed its 2010 lows as
it briefly probed below the 87 handle
o Spot
gold was flat yesterday…this morning, spot gold is down $3.50
to $1205
o Crude
up small..approaches $77
o Libor
falls again:
3-month: Dollar: 0.521% vs prior 0.525%;
o Rates flattish to dn Friday..: Thursday, Treasury Two-Year Yield Drops to Record
Low on Slowdown Concern
o This is a big day day for big stories:
§ GS up
4% after Sec settlement and street upgrades today
§ BP… BP
stops leak from stricken gulf well.. BP Jumps in London After Temporarily
Halting Gulf Oil Leak
§ GOOG
dn 4% -
·
broad recovery in online advertising, though
the company's search business continued to show signs of slowing growth.
§ AAPL call today at 1PM et
§ AMD.. “The numbers look good across the board,”
§ GE beats on EPS line....up 2.5% pre mkt
·
GE General Electric
reports Q2 EPS $0.30 vs Reuters $0.27; Company reports revenues of $37.44B vs
Reuters $38.17B.
§ C
reports today
§ BAC reports today
o China Rate Swaps Drop to One-Year Low on
Slower Growth Outlook
§ Bloomberg)
-- China’s interest-rate swaps dropped to a one-year low as a slowdown in
economic growth prompted investors to speculate policy makers will favor
borrowing costs that support the recovery
o
Fed's Lacker says US recovery looks
sustainable from Business Spectator
§ Says weak housing, employment won't derail recovery.
o China vows policy stability, backs euro from Business Spectator
o
No Catastrophes From Europe Stress Tests
Expected: Juncker from DealBook
§ There should be no "big catastrophes" from
stress tests on European banks but the reviews should be tough, the chairman of
euro zone finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker, was quoted as saying, Reuters
said
o
IMF chief sees European banks safe in stress
tests
§ (Reuters)
- Stress tests being conducted in the European Union will show that all the
major European banks have sufficiently capital, International Monetary Fund
chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn told a French television station.
o
Stress Tests Won’t Force Share Sales at Big Banks,
Goldman Says - BBG
§ Stress tests of European banks aren’t likely to force
major publicly listed lenders to bolster their capital by selling new shares,
analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said.
§ “We do not expect large listed European banks to raise
equity as a result of the stress tests,” London-based Goldman Sachs analysts,
including Jernej Omahen and Frederik Thomasen, wrote in a report to clients
dated today.
·
Overseas
Action
o
European stocks up half percent
§
Leading:
Manufacturing +1.55%...Mining +1.46%...Auto Parts +1.34%...Auto Manufacture
+1.23%
§
Lagging:
Electric -1.20%...Pharma -0.62%...Water -0.53%...Building Materials -0.49%
§
After
the well is capped and oil has stopped flowing, BP is the 6th best performer in
Europe +3.77%.
o Asian
Markets: Nikkei (2.86%); Hang Seng (0.03%)..shanghais flattish
§ China gives little indication of pushing back
stimulus exit - TTN
§ Stronger
yen hurts Japan
§ Agricultural
Bank of China (601288.CH/1288.HK) led banks higher, rising 2% on its
trading debut in Hong Kong vs a 1% rise from its offer price when it
debuted in Shanghai yesterday
o Data:
§ Euro Zone Trade
Balance: -€3.4B v -€500Me
§ CHILE CENTRAL BANK RAISES OVERNIGHT RATE TO 1.50% VS
1.00%
o Economics today:
§ CPI m/m (Jun) SA Consensus (0.1%) at 08:30 ET
·
ex-food
& energy (Jun) SA Consensus 0.1% at 08:30 ET
§ TIC Flows (May) at 09:00 ET
§ U. of Michigan Confidence (Jul-Prelim) SA
Consensus 74.5 at 09:55 ET
o Earnings:
§ Companies due to report before the bell
include: BAC, C, COL, FHN, GCI, GE, GPC, GPC, MAT
o AAPL anncmt at 1PM ET Today
o
Vote on Jobless Benefits Will Follow
Swearing-In for Byrd's Successor from Roll Call
·
The successor to the late Sen. Robert Byrd
(D-W.Va.) will be sworn in Tuesday afternoon, and the chamber will then hold a
procedural vote on an unemployment insurance measure, Senate Majority Leader
Harry Reid said Thursday.
o
Reid Says Obama to Sign Financial Overhaul
Next Week: BBG
·
Top
M&A
o
SMTB Smithtown Bancorp to be acquired by
People's United (PBCT); PBCT announces Q2 earnings
·
Top $
Raising
o RLD RealD 12.5M-share offering priced at $16/share
through JPMorgan and Piper Jaffray
§ offering was expected to be only 10.8M shares priced
in the range of $13-15/share.
o QLIK Qlik Technologies 11.2M-share IPO priced at
$10/share through Morgan Stanley, Citi, and JPMorgan
§ offering was
expected to price in the range of $8.50-9.50/share.
o Agricultural
Bank of China (601288.CH/1288.HK) led banks higher, rising 2% on its trading
debut in Hong Kong vs a 1% rise from its offer price when it debuted in
Shanghai yesterday
o Station Casinos Can
Send Bankruptcy Exit Plan to Vote - BBG
§ Station Casinos Inc., the biggest U.S. gambling company
in bankruptcy, can send its reorganization plan to creditors for a vote, a
judge ruled
§ U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Gregg Zive in Reno, Nevada, said
today that the disclosure statement for the company’s plan contains enough
information for creditors to decide whether to support it
o Harrah’s Bloomberg) --
Harrah’s Entertainment Inc., the world’s biggest casino owner, expects to list
some shares publicly in coming months because of the deal owners Apollo
Management LP and TPG struck with billionaire John Paulson.
·
Credit Markets: Bank Bonds Beat Industrials as Bill Advances – BBG
o Bank bonds are outperforming debt from industrial
companies by the most since March as investors wager the biggest overhaul of
Wall Street regulations since the Great Depression won’t cripple profits at
financial firms
o U.S. bank bonds returned 1.35 percent this month, the
second-best performing class of investment-grade debt after tobacco companies,
compared with a gain of 0.5 percent for industrial companies
·
Fed
Watch:
§ Fed reports balance sheet assets of $2.344T on Wednesday, +$8.7B w/w and
+$269.3B y/y
o
Fed Nominees Support Expanded Duties from DealBook
§ President
Obama's three nominees to the board of the Federal Reserve said they were
prepared to help the central bank handle its vastly expanded duties to ensure
financial stability and oversee financial institutions
·
Money Flows: Investors More Interested in Buying Corporate
Debt Than Equity. Corporate Bond Funds Get 0.4% of Assets in Past Week,
While U.S. Equity Funds Lose 0.1% of Assets.
o
What is striking is how much retail investors
prefer corporate debt to equity. The U.S. equity funds we track daily
lost 0.1% of assets in the past week, while the Corporate bond funds we track
daily received 0.4% of assets. This big disparity occurred even though
the average U.S. equity fund’s 1.3% gain in the past two weeks trounced the
performance of the average Corporate bond fund, which suffered a loss of 0.1%. TRIMTABS
o
So
far this year, U.S. equity fund flows have been virtually flat, while Corporate
bond funds have posted an inflow of 7.1% of assets, almost as much as the 8.2%
of assets that has flowed into Treasury bond funds.
·
Money Flows:
o June
Equity Fund Inflows $2.8 Bil; Taxable Bond Fund Inflows $16.9 Bil
o xETFs
- Equity Fund Outflows -$4.6 Bil; Taxable Bond Fund Inflows $11.9 Bil
o per
AMG
·
Economists
Express More Optimism Than General Public – WSJ
o
Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal are more optimistic
about the direction of the economy than the general public, though they are
revising down forecasts for growth and jobs for the next 12 months.
o
The majority (64%) of the 55 economists polled—not all of whom answer
every question—said that the economy would get better over the next 12 months
and 9% said it would get worse; the rest said it would stay about the same. In
contrast, the latest WSJ/NBC News poll found 33% of the general public expected
the economy to improve and 23% think it will get worse.
·
Yuan
Likely to Track Euro, Former Treasury Official Keidel Says - BBG
§ China’s yuan is likely to track the euro more closely now
that its peg to the dollar has been relaxed, said Albert Keidel, a former
Treasury Department official and a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council
§ Keidel, former acting director of the Treasury’s Asia
office, said Chinese policy makers may decide to tie the yuan, also known as
the renminbi, to a basket of currencies. If so, he said, the Chinese currency
would follow movements in the euro, if not as closely as it previously tracked
the dollar
§ “Since the euro is quite low historically after the
Greece scare, and it’s started to move up again, we’ve seen the renminbi
strengthen a tiny bit,” Keidel said yesterday at an Atlantic Council forum in
Washington. “If then we see problems with Greek and other debt and the euro
tanks again, we might even see a very mild” devaluation of the yuan against the
dollar
- Deflation is a true danger
confronting the world
o
Deflation
is excruciatingly difficult to reverse. Because of that, the U.S. Federal
Reserve and the European Central Bank should make it clear that they would act
to fend off deflation, according to The Economist. The problem is that the
central banks have taken a lot of assets onto their books and driven interest
rates close to zero, so traditional tools aren't going to be as effective as
before. "Governments need to be acutely aware of this as they calibrate
their austerity plans," The Economist notes. The Economist (15 Jul.)
·
Buffett warns Obama U.S. economy only halfway
back from
Reuters
o
President Barack Obama heard a sobering
message from Warren Buffett when he asked for the investment guru's views about
the economic recovery, according to an interview Obama gave NBC News on
Thursday
·
OPEC lifts demand for its oil for first time
in three years from Telegraph
o
OPEC, the 12-country oil cartel, expects
demand for its petroleum products to increase for the first time in three years
in 2011.
·
Greenspan: Bush tax cuts should expire – The
Hil link
o
Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan
Greenspan said the ballooning budget deficit was the reason
·
Interest rates won't rise yet, says Bank of
England policymaker from Telegraph
o
It would be wrong to raise interest rates now
because the risk of only weak growth over a prolonged period is real, David
Miles, a Bank of England policymaker said
·
NYC Jobs: Street jobs lift Gotham from NY Post
o New
York City's unemployment rate fell for the sixth straight month in June --
fueled by job creation on Wall Street and by retailers, the state Labor
Department said yesterday. The turnaround in the financial sector, which added
2,400 jobs last month, pushed dn the Big Apple unemployment rate...
·
China to steer steady
policy, backs euro zone from Reuters
o BEIJING
(Reuters) - China will stick with the policies that cooled economic growth last
quarter and will keep faith with the euro despite Europe's debt problems,
Premier Wen Jiabao said on Friday.
·
John Mack joins China's CIC as advisor from FT.com
o
China Investment Corp, the country’s main
sovereign wealth fund, has appointed John Mack, chairman and former CEO of
Morgan Stanley, to its 14-member international advisory council
·
Investors plan to flee funds of funds –
o
More than a third of investors in funds of
hedge funds plan to cut out the industry in future and move towards direct
investment in single-name hedge fund managers, according to the results of a
new survey, the FT
reports. The single biggest reason for moving out of
funds of funds cited by the poll’s respondents – who included pension funds,
asset managers, banks, family offices and endowments – was fees. Pensions & Investments says the 2008 financial crisis could well have proved the tipping
point for fund of funds.
·
Basel Committee Agrees Bank Capital Buffer
Strategy from CNBC
o global
committee of banking supervisors published draft rules on Friday that will force banks to build up
extra buffers of capital in good times but did not divulge what level of funds
they would be required to hold.
o The
committee said it was on track to deliver a complete package of capital and
liquidity reforms, including design and calibration, in time for the November
2010 G20 leaders summit in Seoul.
·
Fin reform: Impact to Reach Beyond Wall Street from WSJ.com
o
Key questions for business and consumers will
remain unresolved until details of the new regulations are written
·
Financial Transaction Tax Might Fix Host of Ills: Ralph
Nader - BBG
o
Why is Congress running away from a financial
transactions tax? The intensifying struggle on Capitol Hill over revenue,
spending and deficits, coupled with the widely felt, reckless behavior of Wall
Street, would seem to provide an ideal atmosphere to debate a major source of
new income that also helps to restrict rampant speculation
o
A bill to impose such a tax, introduced by
Democrat Representatives Peter DeFazio and Peter Welch, is going nowhere.
·
GS
Goldman Sachs has reached a settlement with SEC
o
WSJ column says shares may may approach 1.5
times book value, or $200.
o
GS WSJ
looks at Goldman Sachs's settlement with SEC
o
GS
Goldman Sachs upgraded to buy from neutral at Bank of America Merrill Lynch;
target increased to $182 from $160
o
GS Goldman Sachs upgraded to outperform
from perform at Oppenheimer..tgt 213
o
Goldman Sachs reports 2Q10 earnings next
Tuesday, July 20.
o
Goldman SEC Settlement Vote Split Along Party
Lines
o
Goldman's Fine: 10.2 Market Days of Earnings from DealBook
o The news that Goldman Sachs had struck a
settlement deal with the Securities and Exchange Commission was viewed by many
on Wall Street as a something of a victory for the firm's chief, Lloyd C.
Blankfein. NYT
·
Citigroup and AIG classified certain repos as
sales from
Reuters
o
BANGALORE (Reuters) - Citigroup Inc and AIG
classified more than $11 billion in loans as sales in the second half of 2009,
masking the companies' risk levels, filings with the U.S. Securities regulator
showed.
·
Citigroup said in a
letter to the U.S. securities regulator it had unintentionally classified as
much as $9.2 billion of repurchase agreements as sales at one point, when they
should have been shown as borrowings, Reuters reported.
o In its letter dated April 13 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which was made public on Thursday, Citi said the third
quarter of 2009 had the largest amount of repurchase agreements accounted for
as sales.
·
BP issues Gulf of Mexico
Update:
Well integrity test is continuing on MC252 well. It is expected that no oil
will be released to the ocean during the test. Even if no oil is released
during the test, this will not be an indication that oil and gas flow from the
wellbore has been permanently stopped
·
Tech
busy today:
o
AMD
+4.5% (earnings) .. numbers look good
across the board.. strong margin results
o
GOOG
-4.2% ..
§
GOOG- mixed Q on good top line growth from
outperformance in Google websites and network partners. EPS was hurt by higher
opex and capex numbers due to the ramping of the display business and the
addition of 1200 employees in the Q. Paid clicks and cost per click increased
y/y. In mobile GOOG said sale of android devices increased from 65k a day to
160k a day in the Q. GOOG still sees its emerging businesses (Display, mobile,
and Apps) as “billion dollar opportunities.”
o
GOOG on Macro:
Company said there was no impact on its business in Q2 from the widely
publicized macro headwinds. Google added that is confident about the future and
that is why it is ramping up its investments. Russia, Brazil and India were
highlighted as some of the outsized growers.
o
PLCM
-10.6% (earnings) … PLCM- Beat and raise Q2… some believe guidance,
although better, could still be conservative
o
E-gaming: NPD
reports June software sales of $531.3M, (15%) y/y vs Street (11.7%) -
VentureBeat
o
AAPL conf call today….AAPL Apple
doesn't plan to recall iPhone 4 -- WSJ
o
Video Games: NPD
o
Sony Ericsson reports.. Sony Ericsson Q2 tops forecast, keeps outlook
§ Sony Ericsson- better
Q on strong ASP performance
o
India’s Tata Consultancy (TCS.IN) jumped on beating
estimates for Q1.
§ We’re seeing that demand from the U.S. is very strong,” –
per BBG
§ Tata Consultancy joins smaller rival Infosys Technologies
Ltd. in signaling demand for information-technology services is strengthening
in the U.S
·
Consumer: MAT Mattel reports Q2 results – mixed
·
Trucks: JBHT
JB Hunt Transport reports Q2 EPS better
·
media: GCI:
Expectations are that when Gannett , the
largest U.S. newspaper publisher by total circulation, reports second-quarter
results on Friday, it will show its rate of decline improving further. WSJ
·
VVUS
-57.5% (FDA panel votes against recommending approval for Qnexa)
o
OREX -11%
(in reaction to FDA Qnexa votes)
o
VVUS
Vivus will hold conference call related to FDA Qnexa votes
·
Is a Big Tax Break for Plaintiffs’ Lawyers on the Way? WSJ
o
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce’s Legal Newsline
reported on Wednesday that the U.S. Department of Treasury may be about to grant plaintiffs’ attorneys long-sought tax write-offs for the
costs associated with fronting contingency-fee lawsuits.
o
http://blogs.wsj.com/law/2010/07/15/is-a-big-tax-break-for-plaintiffs-lawyers-on-the-way/
·
Americans Blame Bush, Not Obama, for Deficit, Jobs,
Afghan War - BBG
o
Democrats, facing a U.S. electorate angry
about the economy and other issues, still have one political asset: George W.
Bush
o
The
former Republican president is blamed more than President Barack Obama for the
budget deficit, unemployment and illegal immigration, according to a Bloomberg
National Poll conducted July 9-12
o
Most
surprising is that 60 percent say Bush is primarily responsible for the current
situation in Afghanistan. Just 10 percent point to Obama, who has ordered
51,000 additional troops to that country since taking office, doubling the
number deployed by Bush.
·
2012 POLL: Obama trails against Romney, Gingrich,
Huckabee; tied with Palin...
o
No, this is not coming from Rasmussen or an internal GOP poll, but from the normally
Democrat-sympathetic Public Policy Polling.
PPP pitted Barack Obama against five potential Republican challengers for the
2012 presidential campaign, and the only one Obama beat was … Jan Brewer. Even
that, PPP admitted, resulted
from Brewer’s lack of name recognition. The headline, though, is Sarah
Palin’s dead heat with the President
o
trails Mitt Romney 46-43, Mike Huckabee
47-45, Newt Gingrich 46-45, and is even tied with Sarah Palin at 46
o
It’s not that any of the Republican
candidates are particularly well liked. Only Huckabee has positive favorability
numbers at 37/28. Romney’s at 32/33, Gingrich at 32/42, Palin at 37/52, and
Brewer at 17/20
o http://hotair.com/archives/2010/07/15/ppp-obama-palin-tied-4646-in-2012-polling/
o
China
submitted a revised proposal to join a World Trade Organization agreement on
government contracts. China's plan would open the door for U.S. companies to
bid on Chinese government projects. Deputy U.S. Trade Representative Demetrios
Marantis said the offer includes "significant improvements" compared
with a 2007 proposal. China Daily (Beijing) (16 Jul.)
·
Australia Labor government
will call an election tomorrow for 28-Aug
·
Iran scientist was longtime informant from Reuter
o
The Iranian nuclear scientist who says he was
abducted a year ago by U.S. agents was an informant for the CIA inside Iran for
several years, The New York Times reported on Thursday, citing U.S. officials.
·
Afghanistan (Reuters) - Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton heads to Afghanistan next week for a crucial conference that U.S.
officials hope will clarify the long-term goals of an expensive, unpopular and
increasingly uncertain war.
·
U.K. Is ‘Junior Partner’ to U.S., Cameron Says Before
Visit - BBG
o
David Cameron, preparing for his first visit
to the U.S. as U.K. prime minister, said he sees Britain as America’s “junior
partner.”
o
“President Obama and I have a very good
relationship, we get on well,” Cameron told Time magazine in an interview
published today before next week’s trip to Washington. “I believe in the
special relationship. Britain is, of course, the junior partner. I hope we
bring things to that relationship.”
·
Equity Recap
o Overnight,
S&P futures fell a bit, perhaps in reaction to weaker than expected
economic data from China (GDP, CPI, Industrial Production and Retail Sales all
light). By 6:00 am, prices were back to flat and rising; at 8:30, we were again
testing resistance at 1100. With the 8:30 release of domestic economic data,
however, prices abruptly reversed and fell over 22 points. The only bullish
statistic was the Initial Claims number (at 429k, the first print significantly
below 450k in quite some time); this may have been due, however, to an anomaly
in the Auto Industry (lack of normal seasonal factory shutdowns). Continuing
Claims for Unemployment came in 234k worse at 4681k. The month over month PPI
was -0.5% vs. an expected -0.1%, adding to deflation worries. In manufacturing,
Industrial Production was a bit better, rising 0.1% vs. an expected decline of
0.1%. Both the Empire and Philadelphia Manufacturing Indices missed by a
significant margin. At 1076.80, S&P’s turned back up and managed a slow
rally until 3:00. Prices then faded, and it briefly looked as if the bears had
a shot of taking out the lows. With word that AAPL would not recall the
iPhone4, along with reports of an imminent settlement between GS and the
SEC, and finally news from BP that NO oil is currently leaking, prices again
reversed and we had a 14 point rally into the bell.
o There
was little change in any of the 10 S&P groups: Utilities moved the most, up
0.6% (interest rates down again, with the long bond again rallying more than 1
point). The US Dollar again weakened, with the Euro rallying 1.5% to just shy
of $1.30. Every commodity I track rose, except for Oil (off 42c, or .055%).
Most of the big individual stock moves came after the bell: GOOG fell $21, or
4.2%, after reporting earnings, while GS rallied $8, or 5.5%, to 153.40. The
settlement between GS and the SEC was announced after the bell: $550mm ($250mm
to the aggrieved parties, $300mm to the US Treasury). The largest gainer during
the regular session was NTY, which rose $16.27, or 43%, on news that it would
be bought by Carlisle Group for $3.8B.
o Billy Clark and Team
·
Investment Grade Recap
o IG spreads were mixed to slightly softer today in some of
the best volume all week as we continue to have better buyers across the
board. Spreads are going out off their
intra-day lows but still a little softer on the day. The GOM was softer by a half point to a point
in the morning but is going out over a point better on BP stopping the flow of
oil into the gulf. More positive at the
end of the day with Goldman settling with the SEC for $550 million, and JPM
beat before the market opened.
o We traded a good mix of names today – EOG, PCG, DHR, APC,
BPLN, among others. More off the run
names like DHR, SWK, and CBE have seen a good amount of buy interest and we
remain axed buyers of the that type of paper, 4-10yrs. UTX 4.50 20 still trading about as tight as anything
in my sectors, +54-49/10yr today for a true ten year.
o Economic data was far from pretty today with the New York
Fed summing it up best, as “the pace of growth in business activity slowed
substantially” and the capital expenditures index dropped to its lowest level
in a year. The survey came in at 5.08 v
18.00 expected and v 19.57 last month.
o Should be interesting how we are when we walk in tomorrow
on the heels of the late day positives, still few are giddy about spreads and I
do not hear the word “cheap” too often with spreads where they are, more buyers
of need because of the amount of cash to be put to work. Still at some of these levels it is hard to
see how much tighter the higher quality can go.
Only new issues today were JPM in a two part $4+BN deal and Bank of Nova
Scotia in a $2.5BN deal.
o Michael Salemo
- CMBS Recap
o Selling
remains very light with only $185mm in BWICs; however, seeing a pickup in buy
interest with the focus on Tier 1/2 paper throughout the credit curve. We remain positive on CMBS up in cleaner
credits (dupers, '05/'06 AMs, '05 AJs and seasoned credit). Seeing a pickup in Tiering with Tier 2 paper
finally out performing GG10s. GG10s were
a couple bps better on the day finishing +370/$98-24.
o In
the AM/AJ space $24mm in BWICs off of which we bought $5.5mm WBCMT 05-C21 AJs
(89-08/90-00 mkt). We continue to be in
search of Tier 1/2+ AM paper. In a slow
growth environment/low rates, '06 AMs with 8+% yield seems like a good
return. On the negative side, MSC
06-IQ12 AMs got hit with an interest shortfall due to a massive loss on Hew
Horizon's Apts. Though it looks like a
one month phenomenon, shortfalls will be the stroy of '10/'11, especially in
'07 AJs.
o Geordie
Walker
- Rates
Commentary
o The Treasury market opened up well bid
overnight but quickly erased much of these gains as the New York session
opened. A poor overall showing of data today, PPI significantly tamer than
expected -.5% MoM versus an expected -.1%, Empire manufacturing 5.08 vs.
expected 18, and Philly Fed 5.1 versus an expected 5.1 coupled with yesterday's
FOMC minutes and the post auction relief rally all aided in the US Treasury
market well bid and almost a straight shot higher throughout the morning
session, the 2 year note traded at a record low yield of .58%. Treasury market
settled in once the afternoon session started trading a tight range near its
intraday highs throughout. At 3PM the market was higher in price across the
curve with the intermediate through long end leading the market higher as their
yields were all ~7bps lower on the session.
o The much anticipated CPI report will be
released tomorrow with expectations for -.1% MoM, 1.2% YoY. Given today's PPI,
the continued growth concerns, and tomorrow's tame expectations we remain
positive on Treasuries favoring the long end to outperform.
o Primary Dealer

o BP stops leak from stricken gulf well
o BP issues Gulf of Mexico
Update: Well integrity test is continuing on MC252 well. It is expected that no
oil will be released to the ocean during the test. Even if no oil is released
during the test, this will not be an indication that oil and gas flow from the
wellbore has been permanently stopped
o Oil Majors' Search for Growth Is Costly – WSJ link
o CAM Cameron International
upgraded to Conviction Buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs
o
DNX.LN
Dana Petroleum provides exploration & drilling update
o
Energy
tax increases probably coming in Russia – FT
o
Cramer removes SandRidge Energy (SD)
from the Sell Block, noting that short-selling pressure is set to subside with
the upcoming closing of the company's acquisition of Arena Resources (ARD). He
adds that analysts are also likely to step up and recommend the combined
entity. He goes on to praise management for its diversification strategy just
as competition in the natural gas market is heating up.
o
Goldman Sachs upgrades MUR; downgrades HES
o
BP BP
accelerates asset sale - FT
o
SE
Spectra Energy to acquire Bobcat Gas Storage assets and development project for
$540M
o
SCUEF
Storm Cat Energy announces resignation of CEO Joseph Brooker effective
31-Jul
o
OKE
ONEOK, Inc increases quarterly dividend by 4.5% to $0.46 from $0.44
o
EEE
Evergreen Energy Inc names William Gibson chairman
o Energy
tax increases probably coming in Russia – FT
o U.S. is moving toward more
jobs in green manufacturing, Obama says
§ President Barack Obama said only 2% of U.S.
jobs are in green manufacturing, but he has policy to change that. He said at
the groundbreaking of a battery plant in Holland, Mich., that the country is
headed in the right direction, with the manufacturing sector rebounding. The Grand Rapids Press
(Mich.) (15 Jul.) , The Washington Post (16 Jul.) , Detroit Free Press (15 Jul.)
o OMNI announces expiration of "Go Shop"
provision of merger agreement with Wellspring
o
o
BP Spill Undermines SunPower, Vestas as Bill Delayed -
BBG
§ SunPower Corp. and Vestas Wind Systems A/S, the biggest
solar-panel supplier in the U.S. and the world’s largest wind turbine maker,
are losing more than Big Oil from BP Plc’s spill in the Gulf of Mexico
§ Their shares have fallen as much as 22 percent since the
leak began April 20, compared with a 12 percent decline in the 52-member
Bloomberg World Oil & Gas Index that includes BP.
o
o
Boeing, Airbus Rival Seeks Bragging Rights from WSJ.com
§ Canada's Bombardier, long known as a maker of small
planes for short hauls, will soon face a key test as it takes on Boeing and
Airbus in the market for midsized jets
o
Airbus, Boeing ‘Cozy’ Duopoly Starts to Crack
as Rivals Attack - BBG
§ For more than a decade, Airbus SAS and Boeing Co. had
only each other to watch
§ Now rivals from Canada, China and Russia are developing
models to break into the narrow-body segment, dominated by about 10,000 Airbus
A320s and Boeing 737s in operation and 4,000 on order. The single-aisle jet
market will likely reach $1.68 trillion over the next 20 years, Boeing
estimates
§ “This cozy world of just the two of us is almost over,”
§ Boeing Chief Executive Officer Jim McNerney said in an
interview. “We’re still going to compete like crazy. If you think you had to
meet promises with two guys, think about when you’ve got five.”
o
Wesley Bush is steering Northrop Grumman in a
new direction from L.A. Times
§ In the six months since Wesley Bush's first day as CEO,
and with this week's announcement that he may abandon the shipbuilding
business, military giant Northrop Grumman has become a very different company
§ Since taking the helm of Northrop Grumman Corp. in
January, Wesley G. Bush hasn't wasted any time shaking up one of the world's
largest military contractors.
o
Komatsu
to double FY output on Asia demand - BBG
o
AVII
+34.9% (DoD contract)
o
VMI
Valmont reports Q2 EPS
o
ORN
Orion Marine Group announces project award of ~$26M
o
TGP
Teekay LNG Partners to sell ~1.7M units to an institutional investor for ~$51M
o
BEST
Shiner International CFO Jeffrey Roney resigns
o
PWX
Providence and Worcester confirms certain matters with respect to MBTA and
Motive Power
o
KBR KBR
announces contract award
o
TNK
Teekay Tankers makes accretive investment in first priority ship mortgage loans
o
FTEK
Fuel-Tech names David Collins as CFO
o
NOC
Northrop Grumman changing under Wesley Bush's leadership - LA Times
o
HON
Honeywell gets antitrust clearance from FTC to acquire Sperian
o
Chloride
Group provided interim statement and noted that sales were ahead of the prior
year
o
Trucks: JBHT
JB Hunt Transport reports Q2 EPS better
§
JBHT reported
EPS of $0.40 ..above Consensus $0.35e. Upside driven BY BETTER volumes,
yields/pricing…and better operating margins
TECH/MEDIA/TELECOM
o
GOOG- mixed Q on good top line growth from
outperformance in Google websites and network partners. EPS was hurt by higher
opex and capex numbers due to the ramping of the display business and the
addition of 1200 employees in the Q. Paid clicks and cost per click increased
y/y. In mobile GOOG said sale of android devices increased from 65k a day to 160k
a day in the Q. GOOG still sees its emerging businesses (Display, mobile, and
Apps) as “billion dollar opportunities.”
o
AMD- better Q2 on strong top
line growth. Revs got a big boost from strong graphics chip sales and notebook
processor sales. The strong demand created a good pricing environment which
cause margins to be better in the Q. AMD stated it will delay the launch of its
Llano mainstream CPU-GPU “Fusion” platform from early 1H11 to late in 2H11 as
its foundry partners have been experiencing yield issues on the 32-nanometer
process node. Guidance still looks strong as mgmt called for season (5-10%)
growth in the Q. the move to 32nm hurt EPS in Q2 and may continue to do so in
Q3 on higher opex numbers
o Tata
Consultancy- better Q as outsourcing continues to
increase. Top line growth and better margins helped to drive the Q. Tata says
it looks as though things a turning as tech firms are seeing an increase in
spending. Mgmt said demand in the US is very strong. The company is in talks to
add 15 “large” services contracts according to mgmt. TCS has raised its gross
employee hiring target for FY11 from 30,000 to 40,000.
o
Sony Ericsson- better
Q on strong ASP performance. currency effects and better product mix helped to
drive ASPs. The strong ASP performance helped to offset weaker units in
the Q. GMs were a slight disappointment in the Q.
o FCS- Beat
and Raise Q. strong rev growth drove the beat although surprisingly FCS
PC sales came in weaker than expected. FCS paid down $27m of debt in the
Q and plans to pay down another $122m in Q3. Orders were strong in Q2
inparticular in the Autos, Handsets, and consumer segments which helped to
drive the top line growth,
o PLCM-
Beat and raise Q2. Another story of top line growth and
margin beats driving above analyst expectations. Voice was the big positive
providing 7.5% growth q/q. With voice performing better some believe guidance,
although better, could still be conservative and have room to the upside.
o NPD
Gaming data
§
Industry: U.S. video game
industry sales in June fell 6% to $1.1b from $1.17b a year ago, but all
categories were up from May’s levels
§
Hardware: MSFT’s Xbox 360
and SNE’s PS3 drove hardware sales up 88% and 85% YoY respectively. NTDOY’s Wii
sales rose 17% YoY
§
Software: sales were down 15%
YoY.TTWO’s Red Dead Redemption was the best selling game in the month, but
ATVI’s upcoming release of Starcraft 2 could spark a turnaround in software
sales
o
AAPL, HPQ, PALM: Apple
attempted to purchase Palm, was outbid by HP- AppleInsider
o
AAPL: has no plans for iPhone 4 recall-
AppleInsider
o
AAPL: iPhone 4 antenna issues
due to 'weakness' in software, may be fixable - NYT
o
AAPL, Foxconn: Foxconn
denies receiving Apple labor cost subsidy- National Business Daily
o
ERTS Electronic Arts exiting
France's Ubisoft- Reuters
o
NWSA MySpace acquiring Threadbox's team and
assets - VentureBeat
o
CVC, T Rainbow Media reaches
carriage agreement with AT&T
o
DOX Amdocs initiated equal-weight at Barclays
Capital; target is $33.
o
VOD Vodafone may pay $750M over fair market
price to buy part of Essar Group's stake in Indian JV - Business Standard
o
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor to hire 8K people, half
engineers, for new chip plant in Taichung - WSJ, citing executive
o
DRAM: Contract quotes for DDR3
chips drift lower in early July- Digitimes
o DRAM:
DDR1 sees significant demand in spot market- inSpectrum
o
PCBs: Global PCB industry to grow more than 12%
in 2010- Prismark
o
North American Steel Mills Cutting Output from TheStreet.com
§
North American steel mills are cutting
production in response to decreased order levels in response to fears of a
surge in imports on the back of a potential slowdown in Chinese steel
consumption.
o
TCK Teck
Resources reported that work continues at the Greenhills mine's coal dryer
building
o
MTX
Minerals Technologies CFO John Sorel to be succeeded by VP, Business
Development and Treasury, Douglas Dietrich
o
MSB
Mesabi Trust declares a distribution of $0.80 per unit of beneficial interest
o
MT
ArcelorMittal upgraded to hold from sell at UniCredit - SA
o
GM's IPO May Require Hefty Incentives from BusinessWeek
o
Nissan Motor to halt production in US, after
all – FT
o
Striking workers at Honda China supplier demand apology from Reuters
§
Striking workers at a plant supplying parts
to Honda Motors' China operations have issued a long list of demands for
returning to work, aiming to win better conditions commensurate with China's
rising economic clout.
o
Toyota to Build Brazil Plant from WSJ.com
§ Toyota
will build a second auto assembly plant in Brazil, speeding up its shift in
focus toward emerging markets as recalls limit its growth potential in the U.S.
o
TXIC
-4.6% (unable to publish f09 financials by extended 15-Jul deadline)
o
Reid Says Obama to Sign Financial Overhaul Next
Week: BBG
o
US Senate passes landmark financial reform – FT link
o
KKR shares in low-key market launch – FT link
o
Basel Committee Agrees Bank Capital Buffer
Strategy from CNBC
§ global
committee of banking supervisors published draft rules on Friday that will force banks to build up
extra buffers of capital in good times but did not divulge what level of funds
they would be required to hold.
§ The
committee said it was on track to deliver a complete package of capital and
liquidity reforms, including design and calibration, in time for the November
2010 G20 leaders summit in Seoul.
o
Financial Transaction Tax Might Fix Host of Ills: Ralph
Nader - BBG
§ Why is Congress running away from a financial
transactions tax? The intensifying struggle on Capitol Hill over revenue,
spending and deficits, coupled with the widely felt, reckless behavior of Wall
Street, would seem to provide an ideal atmosphere to debate a major source of
new income that also helps to restrict rampant speculation
§ A bill to impose such a tax, introduced by Democrat
Representatives Peter DeFazio and Peter Welch, is going nowhere.
o
Lobbying shifts to
regulators after Congress passes the financial bill
§
With
congressional action finished on the biggest overhaul of financial regulation
in the U.S. since the 1930s, the financial industry is turning its attention to
regulatory agencies that would implement the rules. Major lobbying organizations
that represent the financial sector said they plan to work closely with the
agencies. Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn., chairman of the Senate banking
committee, said there is always the possibility that Wall Street lobbyists
would weaken the legislation in the rule-making process. Bloomberg (16 Jul.)
o
Fin reform: Impact to Reach Beyond Wall Street from WSJ.com
§ Key questions for business and consumers will remain
unresolved until details of the new regulations are written
o
GS
Goldman Sachs has reached a settlement with SEC
§ Goldman settles Abacus with the SEC – FT link
§ WSJ column says shares may may approach 1.5 times book
value, or $200.
§
GS
Goldman Sachs reiterated buy at Deutsche Bank; the target is $205.
§
GS WSJ
looks at Goldman Sachs's settlement with SEC
§
GS
Goldman Sachs upgraded to buy from neutral at Bank of America Merrill Lynch;
target increased to $182 from $160
§ Goldman
Sachs reports 2Q10 earnings next Tuesday, July 20.
§ Goldman
SEC Settlement Vote Split Along Party Lines
§ Goldman's Fine: 10.2 Market Days of Earnings from DealBook
§ The news that Goldman Sachs had struck a
settlement deal with the Securities and Exchange Commission was viewed by many
on Wall Street as a something of a victory for the firm's chief, Lloyd C.
Blankfein. NYT
o
Citigroup and AIG classified certain repos as
sales from
Reuters
§ BANGALORE (Reuters) - Citigroup Inc and AIG classified
more than $11 billion in loans as sales in the second half of 2009, masking the
companies' risk levels, filings with the U.S. Securities regulator showed.
o
Citi Explains How It Hid Risk – WSJ link…Wall
Street "window dressing
§ Citigroup said in a
letter to the U.S. securities regulator it had unintentionally classified as
much as $9.2 billion of repurchase agreements as sales at one point, when they
should have been shown as borrowings, Reuters reported.
§ In its letter dated April 13 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which was made public on Thursday, Citi said the third
quarter of 2009 had the largest amount of repurchase agreements accounted for
as sales.
o
Citigroup Eyes More Asian Expansion - WSJ
§ Citigroup plans to
open 70 retail branches in Asia over the next year and announce a Chinese
brokerage venture by December, a top executive said, highlighting how emerging
markets are increasingly central to the U.S. bank's global business.
§ http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703722804575368781341607338.html?mod=ITP_moneyandinvesting_2
o
J.P.
Morgan's Growth Story Unfinished – WSJ
§
Missing
was a sense the bank was seeing a return to growth in lending. Plus, it failed
to quantify for investors the impact of financial-overhaul legislation passed
by the Senate on Thursday.
§
That
is why investors didn't see the results as the kind of turning point for banks
that many have long awaited.
·
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704682604575369320315857094.html?mod=ITP_moneyandinvesting_11
o
BofA on Front Lines of Financial Overhaul – WSJ link
§ With the passage of the financial overhaul, Bank of
America is refocusing its relationship with—and hoping to make money from—its
tens of millions of consumer-banking customers.
o
People's United Buys Two Banks in the
Northeast from American Banker
§ The Bridgeport, Conn., company announced late Thursday
that it reached agreements to buy Smithtown Bancorp in Hauppauge, N.Y. and LSB
Corp. in North Andover, Mass.
o
AIG Taiwan unit buyers make more
concessions-paper from Reuters
§ TAIPEI,
July 16 (Reuters) - The buyers of AIG's Taiwan life insurance unit have offered
more concessions to Taiwanese regulators in their push to break a deadlock that
has stalled the $2.2 billion deal for over eight
o
BBT
Barron's Weekday Trader is positive on BB&T Corp
o
PCBC
Pacific Capital Bancorp appoints Mark Olson CFO
o
PBCT,
LSBX People's United Financial to acquire a RiverBank, a
subsidiary of LSB Corp
o
PBCT
People's United Financial reports Q2 EPS
o
SMTB,
PBCT Smithtown Bancorp to be acquired by People's United for
$4.00/sh
o
GNV GSC
Investment reports Q1 EPS
o
ANGO
AngioDynamics reports Q4 EPS
o
TCAP
Triangle Capital invests $5.5M in Hatch Chile Co
o
RBS
Three bidders in final round for Royal Bank of Scotland's Global Merchant
services division – FT
o
No Catastrophes From Europe Stress Tests
Expected: Juncker from DealBook
§ There should be no "big catastrophes" from
stress tests on European banks but the reviews should be tough, the chairman of
euro zone finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker, was quoted as saying, Reuters
said
o
IMF chief sees European banks safe in stress
tests
§ (Reuters)
- Stress tests being conducted in the European Union will show that all the
major European banks have sufficiently capital, International Monetary Fund
chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn told a French television station.
o
Stress Tests Won’t Force Share Sales at Big Banks,
Goldman Says - BBG
§ Stress tests of European banks aren’t likely to force
major publicly listed lenders to bolster their capital by selling new shares,
analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said.
§ “We do not expect large listed European banks to raise
equity as a result of the stress tests,” London-based Goldman Sachs analysts,
including Jernej Omahen and Frederik Thomasen, wrote in a report to clients
dated today.
o
JPMorgan Chase Driving a Harder Bargain in
Mortgage Short Sales from American Banker
o
JPMorgan Chase is taking a hard line with
some borrowers who want to sell their homes for less than they owe on the
mortgage and avoid foreclosure.
o
California median home sale price slides in
June from
L.A. Times
o The
2.9% drop from May to $270,000 reflects a shift to sales in less expensive
markets and is still a 9.8% increase from a year earlier, housing data firm
says.
o California's
median home sale price fell 2.9% in June compared with May even as sales picked
up with buyers closing on purchases made during a spring season fueled by state
and federal tax credits
o
DRE Duke Realty upgraded to neutral from
underperform at RW Baird ($10.85) Target remains $11.
o
CUZ Cousins Properties upgraded to outperform
from neutral at RW Baird ($6.38) Target
increased to $9 from $8.
o
CRE Care Investment Trust
announces commencement of self-tender offer
o
VNO
Vornado Realty Trust initiated buy at UBS; target is $89.
o
CUZ
Cousins Properties increases quarterly dividend to $0.09 from $0.02954
o
Treasury plans to propose
in 2011 an overhaul of housing finance
o
Neal
Wolin, deputy secretary of the U.S. Treasury Department, told participants at a
conference that the government will propose an overhaul of housing finance
early next year. The Treasury decided against trying to push the measure,
including a reform of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, into legislation to overhaul
financial regulation to avoid bogging it down. "We will undertake this
work in parallel with the work of implementing the financial-reform bill,"
Wolin said. "It is obvious that the housing-finance system cannot continue
to operate as it has in the past." Reuters (15 Jul.)
o
o
E-gaming: NPD
reports June software sales of $531.3M, (15%) y/y vs Street (11.7%) -
VentureBeat
o
MBA CIBT
Education files for $15M offering through Maxim and Barrington
o
TXIC
Tongxin International says it is unable to publish its f09 consolidated
financials by the extended deadline of 15-Jul
o
OME
Omega Protein announces fish catch statistics
o
DUCK
Duckwall-ALCO Stores CFO Donny Johnson resigns, effective 13-Aug
o
PG,
AVP, CL, CLX Morgan Stanley initiates Avon Products
initiated overweight with $34 target; Colgate-Palmolive initiated equal-weight;
Clorox initiated equal-weight; Procter & Gamble initiated equal-weight
o
CAW CCA
Industries reports Q2 EPS
o
SAI SAIC
receives two contracts valued at more than $10M by the Kingdom of Jordan
o
CASY
Casey's General reports June sales results
o
FIZZ
National Beverage Corp reports Q4 EPS
o
JOEZ
+6.2% (earnings) JOEZ Joe's Jeans
reports Q2 EPS
o
Burberry to buy out Chinese franchises from Financial Times
§ Luxury fashion group will take direct control of 50
stores for £70m from Kwok Hang Holdings, its Hong Kong-based master franchisee
o
Wal-Mart
plans to raise ¥100B in 5-yr and 10-yr samurai bonds
o Station Casinos Can
Send Bankruptcy Exit Plan to Vote - BBG
§ Station Casinos Inc., the biggest U.S. gambling company
in bankruptcy, can send its reorganization plan to creditors for a vote, a
judge ruled
§ U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Gregg Zive in Reno, Nevada, said
today that the disclosure statement for the company’s plan contains enough
information for creditors to decide whether to support it
o Harrah’s Bloomberg) --
Harrah’s Entertainment Inc., the world’s biggest casino owner, expects to list
some shares publicly in coming months because of the deal owners Apollo
Management LP and TPG struck with billionaire John Paulson.
o
o
VVUS
Vivus will hold conference call related to FDA Qnexa votes
o
CBST
Cubist Pharmaceuticals guides full year revenue - conf. call
o
ELN Elan
Corporation reaches agreement in principle for settlement of investigation of
past Zonegran sales and marketing activities
o
AVII AVI
BioPharma awarded new contract with US DoD
o
OHI
Omega Health increases quarterly dividend by 12.5% to $0.36 from $0.32
o
ATHN
Athenahealth initiated market perform at Wells Fargo
o
IMA
Inverness Medical changes name to Alere
o
DYII
Dynacq Healthcare reports Q3 EPS
o
ADLR
Adolor will restructure; reduction in force of 30 employees
o
CBST
Cubist Pharmaceuticals reports Q2 EPS
o
GSK WSJ
expresses muted joy over GlaxoSmithKline's pending settlement of Avandia's
future
o ABT Cramer highlights Abbott Labs (ABT),
noting that the stock is down just over 11% this year on concerns about
declining healthcare budgets in Europe, where the company gets nearly a quarter
of its revenues. According to Cramer, such concerns are already baked into the
company's guidance. He is also positive on the company's product pipeline and
its acquisitions in emerging markets. He goes on to cite the stock's attractive
valuation and 3.7% dividend yield.
o ELN: Shares of Elan slipped in Dublin trade as
the Irish drugmaker said after Thursday's close that it's set aside $206.3
million to cover an expected but not finalized settlement with the United
States Attorney's Office for the District of Massachusetts with respect to the
previously disclosed U.S. Department of Justice's investigation of sales and
marketing practices for Zonegran, an antiepileptic prescription medicine that
Elan divested in 2004
o
Merck KGAA (MRK GR) CEO
Karl-Ludwig Kley told the FT Deutschland that Merck will put on hold
undertaking further buys for the next 6-18 months in order to pay off debt and
secure its investment grade credit rating following its EUR 5.2bn acquisition
of Millipore.
o
·
Stocks mentioned on CNBC's Mad Money with Jim
Cramer - TheStreet.com
+ ABT,
SD, NFLX, BAC, BIDU, INTC, ALB, COP, DIS, GIS and CBOE
- EDU
and AEZ
o
o Japan
§
o Hong
Kong
§
o China
§
INVESTMENT
BANKING
o BP speeds up $20bn asset sale to boost funds- FT
§ BP has accelerated the
sale of up to $20bn worth of assets as it attempts to ease concerns about its
financial health after the Gulf of Mexico oil spill
§ A senior BP figure said
the company could “easily” raise $20bn (€15.5bn) from disposals, twice its
original target
§ http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0c1751fa-9051-11df-ad26-00144feab49a.html
o BP Asset Buyers May Face Suits as It Raises Money
to Pay Claims- BBG
§ Laws prohibiting
fraudulent transfers could allow victims to sue a buyer to recover money deemed
essential to pay claims, and successor liability could leave a purchaser with
BP’s obligations, if BP files for bankruptcy
§ A proposed change to
federal bankruptcy laws could force a buyer to wait for BP to get approval from
victims for the sale, or persuade a judge it will have enough assets to pay
claims in full.
o OMNI announces expiration of "Go Shop"
provision of merger agreement with Wellspring
o V.C. Investments Climb 53% in 2Q- Dealbook
§ Venture capitalists
funneled more money into U.S. startups in the second quarter, indicating
continuing confidence that the economy is on the mend
§ A study scheduled for
release Friday shows that startup investments in the April-June period climbed
53 percent from the same three months in 2009 to $6.5 billion. This is the most
money invested in startups since the third quarter of 2008
§ http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/07/16/v-c-investments-climb-53-in-2q/
o FFN Penthouse owner offers $210 mln for PLA
Playboy- Reuters
§ The owner of Penthouse
magazine on Thursday offered to buy rival Playboy Enterprises for $210 million,
making a bid that was 13 percent above the buyout proposal from Playboy's
iconic founder Hugh Hefner earlier this week.
§ To sweeten the deal,
Penthouse publisher FriendFinder Networks said Hefner is welcome to retain
editorial control of Playboy magazine and to continue to reside in the Playboy
Mansion
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1519411620100715
o Two final bids seen for Australia's Healthscope-
Reuters
§ Two rival private equity
groups are expected to lodge final bids on Friday in a $1.6 billion battle for
control of Healthscope
§ Bids are expected from
buyout firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co (KKR.N), which lodged an
indicative bid at A$5.80 a share, and from a consortium comprising TPG [TPG.UL]
and Carlyle [CYL.UL], which lifted an initial bid to A$5.75 a share in May
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66E0MD20100716
o AIG Taiwan unit buyers make more concessions-
Reuters
§ The buyers of AIG's
(AIG.N) Taiwan life insurance unit have offered more concessions to Taiwanese
regulators in their push to break a deadlock that has stalled the $2.2 billion
deal for over eight months
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE66F00T20100716
o Three bidders line up for RBS merchant unit- FT
§ Royal Bank of Scotland
has three bidders competing in the final round of the auction of its Global
Merchant services division, which is centred on the WorldPay payment processing
business
§ http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cc0fbdc6-9047-11df-ad26-00144feab49a.html?ftcamp=rss
o ERTS Electronic Arts exiting France's Ubisoft-
Reuters
§ U.S. video games producer
Electronic Arts Inc (EA) (ERTS.O) is selling out of Ubisoft Entertainment SA
(UBIP.PA) six years after buying a big chunk of the world's third-largest
independent video games publisher
§ A Ubisoft spokesman said
EA was selling an unspecified stake in the French company. He would not confirm
reports EA was selling its entire 14.8 percent stake
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE66F0K120100716
o NAB In Talks On Extending Period To Satisfy
Regulator's Concerns On AXA APH Bid- WSJ
§ National Australia Bank
Ltd. (NAB.AU) said Friday it is in talks with its target AXA Asia Pacific
Holdings Ltd. (AXA.AU) and its major shareholder AXA SA (AXAHY) to extend the
period for NAB to appease concerns raised by Australia's competition regulator
§ http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100715-715741.html
o GE selling BAC-Credomatic bank group for $1.9 bln-
Reuters
§ It is the biggest foreign
acquisition ever by a Colombian company. Grupo Aval, controlled by Colombian
banking magnate Luis Carlos Sarmiento, disclosed the purchase price to local
market regulators
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1520200620100715
o Candover Says Talks With Potential Buyer Have
Ended- BBG
o NWSA MySpace acquiring team and assets of social
messaging service Threadbox- Venturebeat.com
§ A source close to the
matter tipped VentureBeat off on the news, and MySpace has since confirmed the
deal with venturebeat
§ “We’re thrilled to
announce that the talented Threadbox team has joined MySpace. We’re in active
discussions about how we can incorporate their innovative technology into our
site.”
o HON Honeywell Receives U.S. Antitrust Clearance for
Acquisition of Sperian Protection- PR Hub
§ The transaction has
already been approved by the French Ministry of Economy, Industry and Employment
pursuant to French regulations relating to foreign investments
§ The completion of the
offer only remains subject to the European Union antitrust clearance and to the
successful tender by Sperian's shareholders of shares representing no less than
57% of the fully diluted number of shares
o Paper Excellence buys struggling Howe Sound mill-
Reuters
§ Paper Excellence BV
agreed to buy Howe Sound Pulp and Paper on Thursday in the latest expansion in
Western Canada by the Netherlands-based unit of Indonesia's Sinar Mas
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1523678520100715
o TC Thompson Creek to buy TRX Terrane Metals for
C$650 mln- Reuters
§ Molybdenum miner Thompson
Creek Metals said on Thursday it intends to acquire exploration company Terrane
Metals in a deal worth about C$650 million ($625 million) as it moves to
diversify its commodity exposure
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1520049720100715
o CPPIB sees top toll-road prize in Australia bid-
Reuters
§ CPPIB's
multibillion-dollar bid for Australia's Intoll this week took it half way
around the world and back to Toronto to take a run at one of the world's top
toll road prizes: the Highway 407 expressway north of Canada's richest, biggest
city
§ The Canada Pension Plan
Investment Board, or CPPIB, the country's second-biggest pension manager,
offered to pay C$3.5 billion ($3.4 billion) for Sydney-based Intoll Group
(ITO.AX), driving up its shares by 30 percent.
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1521783220100715
o PBCT People's United acquires 2 banks for $156 mln-
Reuters
§ People's United Financial
will buy two lenders for $156 million as the U.S. bank moves aggressively to
put to work its excess cash and looks to expand its banking services
§ People's United said it
will buy Massachusetts-based LSBX LSB Corp for abour $96m and SMTB Smithtown
Bancorp for about $60m
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66E0LI20100715
o LIC demands higher offer price for ABB- Economic
Times
§ Life Insurance
Corporation (LIC) is nudging Swiss engineering firm ABB to raise the open offer
price made to public shareholders of its
Indian arm
§ LIC, which has mostly
been a passive investor so far, has asked ABB to raise the open offer price to
Rs 950-1,000 per share
o Essar may get Rs 3,493 crore windfall from VOD Vodafone-
Business Standard
§ The Ruias of the Essar
Group will now be getting around $750 million (about Rs 3,493 crore) more from
their telecom joint venture partner, Vodafone Group, over and above the fair
market price if they exercise the “put” option for their 33.02 per cent stake.
§ http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/essar-may-get-rs-3493-crore-windfallvodafone/401571/
o SE Spectra to buy Bobcat storage facility for $540
mln- Reuters
§ Spectra also said it will
invest an additional $400 million to $450 million to fully develop the facility
by the end of 2015, adding that the facility will have a total gas storage
capacity of 46 billion cubic feet
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66E0LU20100715
o Hollywood producer, VC exec win Warriors NBA team-
Reuters
§ A group led by one of
Silicon Valley's top venture capitalists and a Hollywood movie producer said it
would buy the Golden State Warriors basketball team for a record $450m
§ Joe Lacob and Mandalay
Entertainment Group Chairman and Chief Executive Peter Guber, the former
chairman of Sony Pictures Entertainment, said their group would buy the
long-suffering team from Chris Cohan, beating out other bidders including
Oracle Corp (ORCL.O) Chairman Larry Ellison
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1522557720100715
o Terra Energy to buy assets from Fortress Energy-
Reuters
§ Terra Energy Corp (TT.TO)
said it will buy substantially all of Fortress Energy's (FEI.TO) oil and gas
properties, including the Square Creek assets in Western Canada, taking its
total current production to nearly 8,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day
§ Terra said it will pay
C$34.6m ($33.30m) for the Square Creek assets, of which C$25.6 million will be
paid in cash and C$9.0m in 5m Terra common shares at C$1.80 each.
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE66E0LR20100715
o Crest Nicholson adviser spurns Hugh Osmond bid-FT
§ Advisers to Crest
Nicholson have told its lenders to reject a 350m pound ($537.3m) takeover
approach from Horizon Investments because it undervalues the company
§ Morgan Stanley believes
Crest Nicholson is worth between 300 million and 500 million pounds
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE66E26A20100715
$ RAISING
o With AIA IPO back on, underwriter guessing game
begins- Reuters
§ One key question is: will
AIG keep the same investment banks they had chosen the first time around? Or
will they scrap that roster, and start anew?
§ Bankers said the IPO,
which could be completed by year-end, is targeting raising around $15 billion.
That would be the biggest ever IPO done solely in Hong Kong.
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE66F01820100716
o NetSpend Holdings Files $200M IPO-
StreetInsider.com
§ NetSpend Holdings, Inc.
filed a registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
today for an Initial Public Offering of its Common Stock. The proposed maximum
aggregate offering price is $200 million
§ http://www.streetinsider.com/IPOs/NetSpend+Holdings+Files+%24200M+IPO/5810099.html
o SMT Smart Technologies shares rise in Nasdaq debut-
Reuters
§ Shares of digital
whiteboard maker Smart Technologies rose
in their debut on Thursday after the offering was increased and backers
including private equity firm Apax Partners and chipmaker Intel Corp (INTC.O)
sold more shares in the company.
§ Shares of Smart, whose
interactive whiteboards allow users to write, project, save and share notes,
images and websites, closed at $17.05 on Thursday, 0.3 percent above their $17
initial public offering price
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66E3G620100715
o AgBank closes mega IPO with tepid HK debut- Reuters
§ Agricultural Bank of
China's $19.3 billion IPO limped across the finish line on Friday after a
hectic three-month sprint, its modest Hong Kong debut gains reflecting
valuations concerns and tough markets
§ While the first day
performance matched expectations, earlier listings of China's other large banks
fared much better.
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66D15V20100716
o Harrah’s Puts Paulson in ‘Driver’s Seat’ for Public
Offering- BBG
§ Harrah’s Entertainment
Inc., the world’s biggest casino owner, expects to list some shares publicly in
coming months because of the deal owners Apollo Management LP and TPG struck
with billionaire John Paulson
§ “This puts Paulson in the
driver’s seat” because his hedge fund, New York-based Paulson & Co., can
push Harrah’s to register his shares faster than other investors may have
preferred
o Molycorp IPO: Tough Sell on Wall Street-
TheStreet.com
§ For those investors
looking for a long-term investment Molycorp (MCP) is the deal for you; however,
the esoteric characteristics that encompass this offering, will be a major
obstacle for Morgan Stanley to overcome, as the highly technical aspects of
this deal can be somewhat difficult to understand
§ http://www.thestreet.com/story/10808363/1/molycorp-ipo-tough-sell-on-wall-street.html
o AgBank Said to Ask H.K. I.P.O. Advisers for 36%
Cut- Dealbook
§ Agricultural Bank of
China is negotiating a 36 percent cut in underwriter fees for its $10.5 billion
initial stock sale in Hong Kong to reflect talks with corporate investors that
the lender handled itself
§ The seven arrangers, led
by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and China International Capital, may share
about $70 million of the roughly $205 million of gross fees upfront
§ http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/07/16/agbank-said-to-ask-h-k-i-p-o-advisers-for-36-cut/
o A Subdued Public Offering for K.K.R.- Dealbook
§ The long-awaited public
stock listing of Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Company went off with a yawn on Thursday
§ Shares of the firm’s parent
company fell 3 percent on the New York Stock Exchange, closing at $10.20.
§ http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/07/16/a-subdued-public-offering-for-k-k-r/
o GM's IPO May Require Hefty Incentives- BBG
§ The Wall Street
underwriters, likely to be Morgan Stanley (MS) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM), are so
keen to participate that they are accepting a 75% discount on their fees
§ It's not clear that
investors are pining to buy GM 2.0. Instead, it will be that GM's limited
record of success—the company just reported its first quarterly profit since
2007—is only the beginning
§ http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_30/b4188031266277.htm?campaign_id=rss_topStories
PRICINGS
o Initial
Offerings
o
QLIK Qlik Technologies 11.2M-share IPO priced slightly above the range at
$10/share
o
RLD RealD 12.5M-share offering priced at
$16/share through JPMorgan and Piper Jaffray
o Secondary
Offerings
o No offerings still on the schedule for this week
NEWS
o
Colombia Grupo
Aval plans share issue for purchase- Reuters
§ Colombia's Grupo Aval
GAA.CN said on Thursday that it would fund the purchase of BAC-Credomatic with
$1 billion in preferential shares for current shareholders and fund the rest
through bonds or loans
o
BSX Boston
Scientific execs selling shares – WSJ
§ Boston Scientific Corp's
(BSX.N) Chairman Pete Nicholas and board member John Abele are selling millions
of shares from the medical device company they founded decades ago, prompted in
part by banks
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1525463820100716
o
APA Apache seeking
financing to buy BP assets- Reuters
§ Oil and gas producer
Apache Corp is seeking $6b to $7b financing to purchase up to $10 billion in
assets from BP in a deal that could be announced next week
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66E4IS20100715
o
Station Casinos
Can Send Bankruptcy Exit Plan to Vote- BBG
§ U.S. Bankruptcy Judge
Gregg Zive in Reno, Nevada, said today that the disclosure statement for the company’s
plan contains enough information for creditors to decide whether to support it
§ The company is
negotiating with lower-ranking creditors to win their support before voting
begins in the next few days
o
Education: MBA CIBT Education files for $15M offering
through Maxim and Barrington
o
Energy: TGP Teekay LNG Partners to sell ~1.7M units to an institutional
investor for ~$51M
o
Healthcare: AEZS Aeterna Zentaris files $85M equity
shelf
Friday July 16:
o
IncreMental Advantage Management Psychology
Seminar - Jul 16, 2010
o
amat Nagoya Stock Exchange IR Expo 2010 - Jul
15, 2010 - Jul 16, 2010
·
2:20AM: 363000.T
·
9:30PM: 860100.T
·
9:45PM: MZHIF.PK
COMPANY MEETINGS/OTHER DAILY EVENTS
·
Friday July 16:
o
Shareholder Meetings
§
NEOP, SD, SKPN, TMRK, EXAS, GPR, NTSC, NOVB
o
DELL annual General Meeting
o
Treasury data on May net foreign purchases of
U.S. securities is released.
o
C, BAC, and GE all report
o
The WTO rules on an EU complaint over
alleged U.S. subsidies for Boeing.
o
Hong Kong debut of Agricultural Bank of
China, a day after shares start trading in Shanghai.
ECONOMICS
·
Friday July 16:
o
0830 Consumer Price Index
o
0900 Net Long Term TIC flows
o
0955 University of Michigan Confidence Index
EARNINGS
·
Industrials/Homebuilders
o
Friday July 16: GE, USAK, COL,
·
Consumer/Retail/Education
o
Friday July 16: FIZZ, ACU, DIT, MAT, KNL, GPC
·
Financials
o
Friday July 16: C, MFSF, PBNY, STU,
SCHW, BAC, PMIC, AROW, BPOP , CNAF, CPBC, FHN, FSBK, LION, PWOD, WCBO, MXFD,
BRKL, CAFI, MTG, UBNK, MNRK, RBCAA, WBS
·
Tech/Telecom
o
Friday July 16: NENE, Sony Ericsson
·
Healthcare
o
Friday July 16: RPTP, VIVO
·
Real Estate
o
Friday July 16: CTO
·
Media
o
Friday July 16: GCI
·
Energy
o
ARD and SD have special shareholders meeting
July 16th…..
§
The board of Arena continues to recommend
that Arena stockholders vote in favor of the merger with SandRidge at the Arena
special stockholders meeting scheduled for July 16, 2010
***All eco data from Bloomberg and DJ
Prepared
by staff of Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. ("Cantor") and is for
information purposes only. It is not intended to form the basis of any
investment decision, should not be considered a recommendation by Cantor or any
other person and does not constitute an offer or solicitation with respect to
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and valuations presented herein are intended as a basis for discussion. Sources
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