Morning @ Cantor
Morning
@ Cantor 7/13
Today’s
Stories From Cantor Fitzgerald
Sal
Catrini (908) 517-5067
CONTENTS: All
Headings Are Functioning Links
Sector News: Energy, Industrials, Transports, TMT, Materials, Autos, Fins, Real Estate, Consumer, Gaming/Lodging, HC, Europe Trading
Wrap, Asia
Trading Wrap
Investment Banking Wrap: M&A, Money Raising
EARLY
US LANDSCAPE****
o S&P Futures up 7.1
points after earnings season opened on a positive note (AA, CSX, NVLS, BMW,
Komatsu)
§ – a 6th
day of rally mode?? Europe stocks up for
6th day ; but treasuries
yields still fall on dovish fed speak
§ Rates
tick dn again today…..Dovish fed speak, auctions
§ S&P
500 futures t gains in the wake of Alcoa’s report, as worries about China’s
property market return to spook investors in Asia
§ AA up
4% overseas today…CSX flattish
§ Negatives
ignored..like German ZEW and Moody’s downgrade of Portugal ..POSCO and INFY EPS
more mixed overnight
o USD at lows…down slightly in the
session
o Europe Markets: FTSE up
1.43%, DAX up 1.41%%
o Asia Markets: Nikkei down
0.11%, Hang Seng down
0.18%, Shanghai Composite down 1.62% … Asian markets were mostly lower Tuesday as a tumble in Chinese stocks
tempered optimism from U.S. aluminum maker Alcoa's earnings. European shares
advanced
o Commodities rise: Gold up 7.7
to 1206, Copper is up
0.4%, Crude up 0.41 to 75.36
o Miner
stocks the biggest fallers in Australia today
o Moody’s
downgrades Portugal 2 notches ; really
not unexpected given other rating agencies ratings, per BBG that’s why ot a
bigger reaction on Portugal bonds vs Germany today
o Portugal
is Still 5 notches above Greece per BBG.
o Portugal
vs German bonds a small bit widen today
o Greece
auction today in focus -went well
§ Greece Debt Agency (PDMA) sold €1.625B in 26-week T-Bill auction; avg yield 4.65% v 4.55%
prior; Bid-to-cover 3.6x v 7.7x
o China recently invested
€1B in Spain's 10-year debt auction last week –
FT
o German Fin Min
Schaeuble: Banks failing stress tests might need government assistance in worst case to strengthen their balance sheet – TTN
o Weaker than expected German ZEW economic
sentiment ignored today
o German Finance Minister says expects EU to
reach a decision on financial supervisors by Sep at the latest
o Columbia University
Professor Mundell, also known as the
'Father of the Euro' stated that European sovereign debt may have to be
restructured in the next two years. BBG
hit yesterday
o US
T-bond auctions this week also continue
o Euro
fin mins meeting continues today on stress tests today
o
Whilst there is speculation as to the EU Bank
Stress Test another indicator of a lack of rigour has been seen as the banks
are set to win a reprieve in Basel,
Switzerland as the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision may water down tough
standards on capital rules. - Stephen Pope
o BP hits 1 month high today
o
Nasdaq OMX, NYSE and NYSE Amex
announce total short interest as of 30-Jun
·
Overseas
Action
o Europe
at highs FTSE up 1.43%, DAX up 1.41%%
o Asia:
Nikkei (0.11%); Hang Seng (0.18%); Shanghai Composite (1.62%)
o Data:
§ Weaker
than expected German ZEW economic sentiment
§ Germany Jun Wholesale Price Index M/M: -0.2% v 0.2%e
§ France Jun Consumer Price Index M/M: 0.0% v 0.0%e
§ UK
Jun CPI
·
UK
inflation fell less than had been forecast in June. CPI rose 3.2% y/y cf. 3.4%
in May so another letter from the BOE Govenor to the UK Chancellor has to be
sent explaining why CPI is over 1% above the 2.0% target.
- Economics
today :
o May Trade Balance at 08:30 ET
o Treasury Auctions $21B in 10-yr notes at
13:00 ET
o Jun Treasury Budget at 14:00 ET
- Earnings:
o Companies due to report before the bell
include: INFO
o Companies due to report after the closing
bell include: INTC, YUM
o
CVLT CommVault Systems guides a miss…
§ call to discuss
preliminary results: 08:30 ET, 13-Jul, 866-730-5768 (domestic)
o
AMED Amedisys guides
§ 9:00 am ET to
discuss preliminary Q2 results and update the market on the status of the
Senate Finance Committee inquiry and SEC investigation
·
The
Senate Democratic leadership team will meet with President Barack Obama and
Vice President Joseph Biden at 11 a.m. Tuesday at the White House.
TODAY’S BIG STORIES
·
Top
M&A
o Avis Budget Group ill
top rival Hertz Global Holdings Inc's $1.2 billion bid for Dollar Thrifty
Automotive Group , according to the Wall Street Journal.
o MBI
+7.6% (Fairholme 13G filing)
o ESV
+2.6% (Greenlight 13G filing)
o
AIG American
International Group holder Fairholme Capital reports stake of 24.3% in amended
13G filing
o NAVI NaviSite
36.7% shareholder Atlantic Investors, LLC offers to acquire the company for
$3.05 a share in cash
o China
is attracting renewed interest from private equity groups after a series of
highly profitable deals that
have marked a sharp turnaround from the previous poor record for buy-out firms
in the country.
§
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38216965
o AIG: The
board of American
International Group is expected to meet this week to consider
the future of the insurer's Asian life business, AIA, sources with
knowledge of the matter told Reuters.
§ An
initial public offering for American International Assurance (AIA) was the most
likely way forward
§ Institutional
demand for Agricultural
Bank of China's roughly $20 billion IPO has helped bolster the
case for AIA's Hong Kong listing
o
Playboy bidding war looms from Reuters
o
New York Man Claims 84% of Facebook, Gets Order Blocking Assets - BBG
·
Top $
Raising
o
K.K.R. and Tech Companies to Go Public This
Week – NYT link
o
A handful of young technology companies are
expected to kick off the market for initial public offerings in the third
quarter on a hopeful note, The Associated Press reported.
§
§ European
companies are preparing the most initial public offerings in two years after
I.P.O.s weathered the region's debt crisis and outperformed U.S. deals,
Bloomberg
·
Credit
mkts: C- citi: Judge Rules Citi Bondholder Suit Can Proceed
Over CDOs
·
Credit
mkts: For Small Business, Slow Gains In Credit –
WSJ
o
The worst may be over for small businesses
struggling to obtain credit, but this important corner of the financial system
doesn't show signs of recovering very quickly, according to officials and
business leaders who gathered at the Federal Reserve for a one-day conference
o
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703283004575363381891292318.html?mod=WSJ_hps_LEFTWhatsNews
·
Fed speak: Duke, Lacker Say Fed Has No Plans for Further
Monetary Easing - BBG
o Two Federal Reserve
officials said the central bank has no plans to deploy additional tools for
stimulating the economy and that the recovery is intact.
o Fed Governor
Elizabeth Duke, asked about possible additional steps that could be taken to
bolster growth, said in an interview in Washington yesterday that “there are no
plans to do that at this point.” Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said
“consideration of additional easing steps is very far away.”
o Their comments echoed remarks last week by the
Dallas Fed’s Richard Fisher and Kansas City’s Thomas Hoenig, who said more
stimulus isn’t needed even after reports that private payrolls in June grew
less than anticipated and manufacturing cooled.
·
·
US states:
·
U.S. States Show First Tax Revenue Jump Since 2008,
Report Says – BBG
o California and New
York helped push U.S. states’ tax revenue to the first quarterly gain since
2008, the Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government said.
o Overall tax receipts
increased 2.5 percent to $164.5 billion during the January-to-March period,
compared with the same three months in 2009, the Albany, New York-based
institute said in a report today. It was the first year-over-year jump since
the third quarter of 2008. Thirty-three states recorded a decline in
collections, down from 40 states in the fourth quarter of 2009.
o “Recent data show an
unmistakable improvement in the economy and a slight firming in state
tax-revenue collections,”
·
California Economic Index Increases to 2010 High,
Comerica Says – BBG
o California’s economic
growth reached its highest level this year in May, a sign that the most
populous U.S. state is rebounding from the recession, Comerica Inc. said. An index that measures manufacturing,
tourism, travel, trade, job growth and consumer spending rose 1 point in May to
103, the Dallas-based lender said today in a report. The gauge, which held at
102 for the first four months of the year, is 7 points higher than in May 2009,
Comerica said.
·
Elderly
Workers Overtake Teens in U.S. Job Search – BBG
o U.S. employees old
enough to retire are outnumbering their teenage counterparts for the first time
since at least 1948, when Harry Truman was president, a sign of how generations
are competing for scarce jobs.
o the number of people
aged 65 and older in the labor force -- defined as those who are working or
looking for work -- has averaged 6.6 million in the first half of this year,
more than the 5.9 million workers between 16 and 19, according to the Labor
Department. There are now 1.13 older workers for every teen, compared with 0.5
a decade ago. (For the full Interactive Insight version of this story, click
here.)
o
More than 2 million
Americans have lost unemployment benefits, after legislation to extend payments
was bogged down in Congress. Even if lawmakers act on the measure, there would
not be additional benefits for the 1.4 million workers who have reached the 99-week
limit. The U.S. Labor Department said there are almost five unemployed workers
for every available job. The Washington Post (13 Jul.)
·
Inflation: Union workers at several
Australian companies are seeking to increase wages by as much as 7%. Some
companies potentially facing strikes include Telstra and Airport Fuel
Services. TTN
·
Inflation: Products
made in China often cost more there than in the West from Los Angeles Times
o
The premium prices frustrate shoppers as well
as those who see getting Chinese consumers to open their wallets as crucial to
balancing the global economy.
o
The laptop computer Luo Guangli carried out
of the Apple flagship store in Beijing was no different from the models sold in
the United States. It had the same high-resolution screen, an identical
processor and the same printed label on the back: "Assembled in China
·
Inflation: Chinese
Factories Now Compete to Woo Laborers
·
BP/ energy
stories:
o BP
Reuters) - BP , which unveiled plans last month for about $10 billion in
asset sales to help pay for costs from the worst offshore oil spill in U.S.
history, said talks on the divestments were making progress.
o BP Looks a Deal Too Far For Exxon - WSJ
·
Mitsui & Company
not to pay BP (BP.LN) for oil-spill cleanup costs for now - Nikkei
·
BP
investors look to bypass claims ruling
o
court ruling that could bar the bulk of
investors from seeking damages in the US
o
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5e25bf2e-8de3-11df-9153-00144feab49a.html
·
BP tax bill could be
reduced by $10B over next four years - FT
·
Ban Hits Oil Drillers –
WSJ
o
The U.S. issued a new order banning most new
deepwater-drilling activities until Nov. 30, setting up a fresh round of
conflict with the oil industry.
·
Due to popular rage at the ban on reporters
and photographers from within 65 feet of the oil spill, Coast Guard admiral
Thad Allen has rescinded the ban. from zero hedge
·
Big earnings
news overnight..mostly better
·
CVX guides in line to
better…downstream and FX help
o
Chevron. says a
combination of higher profits from its refining operations and a stronger U.S.
dollar have put the company’s second-quarter profits on a faster pace of
increase.
·
Komatsu Raises
First-Half Profit Forecast 41% on Asian Demand
o the world’s second-
largest maker of construction equipment, raised its first-half profit forecast
by 41 percent on rising demand from Asia and Latin America. BBG
·
Autos: BMW up 4% on good earnings statements – BBG
§ Daimler
up 5% today as well
·
Rails: CSX trades flattish today - call this morning on EPS
·
AA up 4% today…At Alcoa, after tax operating income
(ATOI) was above expectations in all four
major segments: alumina, aluminum, and the downstream segments of flat rolled
products (aluminum cans, automotive, aerospace) and engineered products
(aluminum wheels, etc.).
o
Alcoa raised its projection for aluminum
consumption to 12 percent from 10 percent this years.
o
Digging Behind Alcoa's Optimism: Company
Posts Second Lowest Quarterly CapEx Spend In Years - from zero hedge
·
Posco missed EPS ests, ups guidance….South Korean steelmaker
Posco said Tuesday its second-quarter net profit nearly tripled as a revival in the global economy helped bolster steel
demand from automobile, shipbuilding and electronic industries.
o
Posco, the world's fourth-largest steel maker
by output
o
"Steel demand perked up in the second
quarter at home and abroad and exports to emerging markets increased," the
company said in a statement
·
Japan Fair Trade
Commission to investigate BHP Billiton (BHP.AU)-Rio Tinto (RIO.AU)
iron-ore-integration plan – Nikkei
·
Weekly USDA crop
report says 73% of corn in good or excellent condition
·
L'oreal beats… reported that Q2 sales grew 12% so beating
estimates. Revenue was €4.95Bn from €4.4Bn in Q2 2009.
·
Burberry shares slip despite better than expected results
o Burberry PLC said Tuesday it
started the new fiscal year strongly, as the U.K. luxury fashion house posted a
27% rise in first-quarter sales.
o the
standout result was wholesale, although distorted by the timing of shipments,
so first half guidance has not changed – guardian
·
Tech
sector news busy :
o NVLS -
Orders guided up;
EPS guidance better
o ID
-4.2% (guidance)
o BRKS
+3.3% (guidance)
o
Infosys Q1
profit disappoints, Europe woes dampen outlook
§ Infosys Technologies edged up its forecast on
a revival in outsourcing demand from its mainstay financial clients, but its
shares fell as markets worried a weak European economy could curb orders.
o
CVLT CommVault
Systems guides a miss…
§ call to discuss preliminary
results: 08:30 ET, 13-Jul, 866-730-5768 (domestic)
·
AMED Amedisys
guides
o 9:00 am ET to
discuss preliminary Q2 results and update the market on the status of the
Senate Finance Committee inquiry and SEC investigation
o
A half a century after losing its status as
Brazil's capital, Rio de Janeiro is becoming an engine of Latin America's largest
economy. The city lured at least two dozen hedge funds in the past decade as
well as the nation's leading oil producers, the 2014 World Cup and the 2016
summer Olympics.
·
Peltz Trying to Raise $1.5 Billion for Fund: Report
·
Finance Bill Close to
Passage in Senate - WSJ
o
Two Senate Republicans said they would
support the Obama administration's financial overhaul bill, likely giving the
White House the 60 votes it needs to push the sweeping rewrite into law soon.
·
UK
Banking Chief Warns of Regulation Risks
o
The head of the British Bankers Association
(BBA) has warned David Cameron's government of the risks associated with
imposing regulation on the City of London without the rest of the world
following suit.
o
The Far-East is getting on with driving
growth. Europe needs to be careful not to look inwards," BBA chief Angela
Knight told CNBC in an interview.
o
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38217739
·
IEA: Oil Demand to Slow – WSJ link
o
The International Energy Agency said it
expects oil demand to slow next year in China and most other parts of the
world, indicating that crude prices are likely to trade at subdued levels well
into next year.
·
Slovakia Resists EU in Greece Aid Talks
o
The new Slovak government remains opposed to
a rescue package for Greece, Prime Minister Iveta Radicova said Monday, after a
meeting with European Union Council President Herman van Rompuy.
·
ECB's
Trichet Wants End of Rating Agencies Oligopoly from CNBC
o Britain's investment-grade, AAA credit rating remains at risk
despite the government's plan to slash spending and narrow its budget deficit,
Standard & Poor's said. The credit rating agency left the U.K.'s status
unchanged but said there is a risk that the "net general government debt
burden may approach a level incompatible with the 'AAA' rating." The
Treasury agreed that more needs to be done to strengthen its finances. Telegraph (London) (13 Jul.)
·
US
Politics stories:
·
Confidence
in Obama reaches new low, Washington Post-ABC News poll finds
o
Public confidence in President Obama has hit
a new low, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll
·
Cramer: Is Washington’s War Against
Business Over? CNBC link
·
Both parties acknowledge the House is in play
in 2010 midterm election - The Hill
o
The midterm election moved into a new stage
Monday, with both parties acknowledging Republicans could win back the House
majority this November.
·
More Wins Unlikely
for Obama as Midterm Battle Looms - cnbc
o
With lawmakers facing an angry electorate, it
is tough to find much common ground on such hot-button issues as immigration, energy and deficit
reduction
o
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38207898
·
Pelosi Asserts That
Democrats Will Keep Control of House from Roll Call
o
Speaker Nancy Pelosi dismissed Monday a White
House assertion that Democrats are in jeopardy of losing control of the House
in midterm elections this November, according to a report on the San Francisco
Chronicle's website.
·
Republican Meg Whitman on Monday took the
lead over Democrat Jerry Brown for the first time in a general election
poll, four months before voters go to the polls to chose the next California
governor. Reuters
·
Gingrich
says he's considering presidential run from USATODAY
o
Former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich said
Monday he's seriously considering seeking the Republican presidential
nomination
·
Mort Zuckerman Admits He Helped Write One Of Obama's
Speeches
·
Issa
wants answers on White House’s Google ties
o
Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.), ranking member
of the House Oversight Committee, wrote to Google on Friday to reiterate his
concerns that White House Deputy Chief Technology Officer Andrew McLaughlin had
inappropriate contact with the company, where he was formerly an employee.
o
“In April it was revealed that ... McLaughlin
used his personal email account to engage in official business, including
discussions on policy matters under his review with [Google],” Issa wrote.
·
U.S. Detains 12th Person
in Spy Probe – WSJ link
o
Authorities are detaining a 12th, previously
undisclosed person implicated in the probe that busted a Cold War-style Russian
spy ring.
·
White
House corrects NASA chief on Muslim comment from Reuters: Politics
o
White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said on
Monday that NASA administrator Charles Bolden was wrong to say that reaching
out to the Muslim world was a top priority of the U.S. space agency.
·
NAACP
to vote on controversial resolution condemning 'tea party' supporters – WP link
o
Members of the NAACP will vote Tuesday
·
Iran
scientist seeks refuge in Pakistan embassy in U.S. from Reuters
o
Iran's state radio said on Tuesday a missing
Iranian nuclear scientist who Tehran says was kidnapped by the CIA, had taken
refuge in Pakistan's embassy in Washington.
·
North Korea Reuters) - North Korea abruptly called off
talks set for Tuesday with the U.S.-led United Nations Command that oversees
the Korean War truce, failing to show up for the first meeting to discuss the
sinking of a South Korean warship.
·
Equity Recap
o
They had them mixed to higher overseas when
we came in and we saw the same here over the day. Volume remained light in
front of the earnings which seem to be starting on the right foot – AA, CSX and
NVLS all reported higher, most of the action we saw had some of the value and
growth types participating lightly on the buy side with sellers mostly staying
away only coming in to taking advantage of pricing. Had some heavier volume in
HEW / AON with their merger as well as in PLA with Penthouse owner saying it plans
to make offer for them. The Federal Housing Finance Agency on Monday said it
had issued 64 subpoenas to unnamed firms in an effort to uncover misleading
statements that Wall Street banks and others may have made when they bought and
packaged risky mortgages into securities, you had BP stating that it is not in
negotiations to sell the company to XOM, SNDK was up almost 7% on a UBS
recommendation, QCOM was up 3.5% after being added to Goldman’s conviction buy
list, AA traded a bit lower ahead of its numbers. Buy and sell names here were
about even, the breadth of the market had more than 1 ¾ declining issues for
every 1 advancing. Technically 1085 is our next resistance, then 1097 (50DMA)
followed by 1100.
o
Despite modestly higher Asian and European
markets, S&P futures were off 5 to 6 points in the early going. Prices
firmed as US traders got to their desks. By the 9:30 cash open, S&P’s
were almost even; the rise accelerated during the first 15 minutes of cash
trading as S&P’s traded up 5 points to what would be the session highs,
just above 1077. Prices abruptly reversed and spent the next hour and a half
moving down 10 points to revisit the pre dawn lows. Failing to break
lower, prices again reversed and spent the balance of the session moving back
up across the day’s range (very narrow at only 11 points) to close at the
highs.
o
There were no domestic economic reports of
any substance today. As for specific fundamental news, AA reported a good
number after the bell and rose 2% in late trading. In M&A, AON agreed to
acquire HEW for approximately $4.9B in cash and stock; AON fell 7.1% and HEW
rose 32.2% on the news. Elsewhere in M&A activity, Playboy (PLA) received a
going private proposal from Hugh Heffner valued at $5.50/ share; Penthouse
reacted to the news by indicating that it too may bid for PLA which rose over
40% to 5.55. No S&P Industry group moved more than 1% today except for
Materials, which fell 1.05%. On the plus side, Tech rose the most, up 0.7%,
amidst talk of large corporate cash holdings that could be deployed in tech
upgrades. In fact, many large Tech companies themselves have large cash hoards,
which analysts feel could be used in raising dividends. Analysts also point to
extremely attractive valuation metrics in the space as S&P Tech stocks now
trade at a 15.6 p/e based on 2010 earnings. This is the lowest p/e in 20
years (if we overlook 6 months’ carnage post Lehman). SNDK, San Disk, was the
leading tech gainer, rising 6.8% (UBS upgrade).
§ Billy Clark and Team
·
Treasury wrap
o After a mixed overnight
session with a small bid attributed to the weakening Euro, the market retreated
off its highs into the New York session with Treasuries extremely quiet and
range bound early on. In the midmorning hours the market caught a bid on foreign
buying and equity weakness but this bid quickly hit a wall with the market
grinding lower as the start of this weeks coupon supply approached. Today's
$35Bln 3Y auction tailed 1bp coming at 1.055% (the first tail in five months),
participation was on the low end of its current range with only 40.6% purchased
by indirects (lowest percentage since January) and 14.3% by directs. Whether
part of today's tail and lower participation is attributed to the unusual
Monday auction, richness of the 3Y or accounts preferring longer dated
maturities, the auction was still underwritten at an historically low yield
with record low 1% coupon for a 3Y and almost 75bps lower than only three
months ago. The slow summer feel once again re-emerged in the afternoon after
a small amount of redistribution near the 3Y stop of 100-09+. The longer end of
the curve came under some pressure into the close as market participants setup
for remainder of this weeks supply all concentrated in the long end.At 3PM
Treasuries finished mixed with 3s the worst performer and 7s the best.
$21Bln 10 year notes come to the market tomorrow, followed by $13Bln 30 year
bonds on Thursday
§ Primary Dealer
·
Investment Grade Recap
o
IG
spreads continued grinding tighter today in mixed volume with the GOM better 2
points across the board as BP nears completion of the relief well. Generically GOM paper is about 10 points
better in the past week and a half
o
Just over $4BN in new issues today led by a
two-part $3.25BN ORCL deal
o
Negative
piece on bond funds in Barron’s over the weekend as index accounts continue to
come in day and day to put their money to work.
o
Running
some numbers over the weekend, from here through the end of the year there are
$237BN in bond maturities, about $43BN/month and we see that number grow to
$55BN/month next year. The bulk of these
maturities (over 75%) are in bank and finance.
New issues have cut both ways with last week’s CITCOR coming tight to
existing paper while today’s ORCL 30yr came at a 30bp concession.
o
Michael
Salemo

o
CVX guides in line to
better…downstream and FX help
o
IEA: Oil Demand to Slow – WSJ link
§
The International Energy Agency said it
expects oil demand to slow next year in China and most other parts of the
world, indicating that crude prices are likely to trade at subdued levels well
into next year.
§
no change to the global consumption forecast
of 86.5M bpd for 2010
o
Hedge fund manager Greenlight Capital buys 5%
of beaten down oil drilling stock Ensco.
o
Phoenix Solar (PS4.GR) announces
capital increase through issue of up to 670,200 bearer shares
o
DVN Devon Energy shuts down seven wells
due to failure at Jackfish oil sands wellhead - Globe and Mail
o
Cramer
recommends natural gas storage play PAA Natural Gas (PNG)
o
FSLR
First Solar completes previously announced acquisition of NextLight Renewable
Power
o
CVX
Chevron provides interim update for Q2; Q2 earnings are expected to be higher
than Q1
o
CLB Core
Labs announces special cash dividend of $0.65
o
QTWW
Quantum Fuel reports Q4 EPS
o
DVN
Devon Energy shuts down seven wells due to failure at Jackfish oil sands wellhead
- Globe and Mail
o
APA NY
Times Breakingviews argues in favor of Apache buying assets from BP
o
EEE
Evergreen Energy Inc, JV partner contribute $500K each to Evergreen China
Energy Technology
o
XOM WSJ
notes the many hurdles to any Exxon Mobil bid for BP
o
BP BP
says the three ram capping stack was installed on the Deep Water Horizon LMRP
at 7pm CDT - SA London
o
OPTT
Ocean Power Technologies reports full year EPS
o
BP BP
installs new cap on Gulf of Mexico well - BBC
o
BP US
Supreme Court decision could limit BP's liabilities in class-action lawsuits -
FT
o
BP BP
tax bill could be reduced by $10B over next four years - FT
o
Komatsu Raises
First-Half Profit Forecast 41% on Asian Demand
§ the world’s second-
largest maker of construction equipment, raised its first-half profit forecast
by 41 percent on rising demand from Asia and Latin America. BBG
o
GE
General Electric signs deal to cooperate with China's jumbo-jet maker - South
China Morning Post
o
ID L-1
Identity Solutions guides 1H revenues to be below previously provided
expectations
o
CSX CSX
Corp reports Q2 EPS
o
MG
Mistras Group names Francis Joyce CFO
o
UTX
Clipper Windpower to receive warranty, technology and sales support from United
Technologies Corp - SA London
o Cathay
Pacific (293.HK) rose 1% on a 28% jump in June passengers
o
XJT
ExpressJet reports June Load factor +1.2 points to 83.3%; traffic +23.0%;
capacity +21.0%
o
PAC
Pacific Airport Group 12.2% shareholder Grupo México exercises right to appoint
a director to the company's Board
o
EMC,
NTAP EMC added, NetApp removed from Tech 10 List at UBS
o
SRX SRA
International receives $57M contract with the FAA
TECH/MEDIA/TELECOM
o
KLAC KLA-Tencor increases quarterly
dividend by 66.7%
o NVLS- up 2% beat and raise Q2. Orders
were up 20% in the Q which was a major force behind the beat, but NVLS
performed well on all metrics. Q3 guidance looked much better on the strong
orders seen in Q2 and expected shipment growth. MGMT called for the possibility
of pulling back on NAND spending.
o INFY- flat to up. Slightly worse
results after volumes were better, but pricing and margins disappointed. IT
servicesd were particularly strong in the Q and FY rev guidance was raised.
INFY is usually known for very good cost management so worse margins were a big
disappointment. Europe continues to be a concern for Infosys.
o BRKS up 3.3% guides Q3 EPS better
o
EXTR-
pre-announced Q4
better. This would be the second consecutive Q beat for EXTR.
o CVLT- pre-announced weaker for Q1 2011. The
negative pre-announcement comes from disappointing license sales. The company
attributed US weakness to changes in sales organization to focus on named
accounts, and blamed Europe slowdown on extended procurement cycles.
o Search: ComScore Search Numbers: GOOG Share
Down, MSFT And YHOO Up- Silicon Valley Insider
§ US Core Search: volume increased 16.9% y/y in June
§ GOOG: market share of 62.6% in June down from 63.7% in May
§ YHOO: market share of 19.9% in June increased from 18.3% in
May
§ MSFT: market share of 12.7% increased from 12.1% in May
§ IACI: search market flat at 3.6% in June
§ AOL: search market of 2.2% down slightly from 2.3% in May
o WMG Warner Music target reduced to $5 from $7.50 at Wedbush
Securities
o VOXX Audiovox reports Q1 EPS
o IFNNY Infineon Technologies target increased
to €7.00 from €6.60 at Goldman Sachs
o SVR Syniverse Technologies initiated buy at Goldman Sachs
o PC NY Times discusses how long Panasonic can keep up its
very diverse product lineup
o LDK signs module supply contract with Enel
o
LTE
Cards: Prices
expected to fall to US$50 at end of 2011, say Taiwan makers- Digitimes
o Digital camera makers in Taiwian optimistic about 2H10-
Digitimes
o
LCDs: Second-tier LCD TV makers compete
for orders from China second-tier vendors- Digitimes
o Solar: Taiwan, China solar wafer and cell
makers to maintain or raise prices in 3Q10 in spite of FIT cut in Germany-
Digitimes
o Smartphones to drive revenues for flexible PCB
and CCL makers- Digitimes
o
Wistron
2011 notebook
shipments expected to reach 35 million units- Apply Daily
o Foundries: Chip foundries and backend firms to
operate under tight schedules in 3Q10- Digitimes
o Foundries: Foundry quotes for mature processes
rise 10-15%- Commercial times
o Advertising: US magazine advertising rebounds- FT
§ http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f7e61f04-8e16-11df-b06f-00144feab49a.html
o
AA up 4% today…At Alcoa, after tax operating income
(ATOI) was above expectations in all four
major segments: alumina, aluminum, and the downstream segments of flat rolled
products (aluminum cans, automotive, aerospace) and engineered products
(aluminum wheels, etc.).
§ Alcoa raised its projection for aluminum consumption to
12 percent from 10 percent this years.
§ Digging Behind Alcoa's Optimism: Company Posts Second
Lowest Quarterly CapEx Spend In Years - from zero hedge
o
Posco missed EPS ests, ups guidance….South Korean
steelmaker Posco said Tuesday its second-quarter net profit nearly tripled as a revival in the global economy helped bolster steel
demand from automobile, shipbuilding and electronic industries.
§ Posco, the world's fourth-largest steel maker by output
§ "Steel demand perked up in the second quarter at
home and abroad and exports to emerging markets increased," the company
said in a statement
o Japan Fair Trade Commission to investigate BHP Billiton (BHP.AU)-Rio
Tinto (RIO.AU) iron-ore-integration plan – Nikkei
o China to shut steel
mills with capacity below 1m tonnes from Business Spectator
§ New
policy document outlines measures to consolidate sector
o Rio Tinto (RIO.AU) and BHP Billiton
(BHP.AU) lost 3% each on a report that Japan would
extend its antitrust investigation of their proposed iron-ore-integration
plan. SA
o
Rio and Ivanhoe clash
over copper mine from Financial Times
§
Tensions rise between Rio Tinto and Canada’s
Ivanhoe Mines over rights to a rich copper deposit in Mongolia, as the former
releases hundreds of millions of dollars to develop the mine
o
China Steel to cut Sept
prices by average 4% from Business Spectator
§ Demand eases as China puts pressure on housing market.
o
POSCO
agrees on Q3 iron ore price hikes from Business Spectator
§ Steelmaker reaches agreement with 3 major miners.
o
Nissan says Hitachi
delay may hit US, Mexico from Business Spectator
§
Production to return to normal next week;
shares slip.
o
Ssangyong
Motor (003620.KS) dropped 4% on extending its due
diligence period by three weeks because bidders have asked for more time;
offers had been due 20-Jul. SA
o
DTG,
HTZ Avis Budget Group still expected to make offer for
Dollar Thrifty that would top $1.2B bid from Hertz – WSJ
o
Mexican production of cars Bloomberg) --
Mexican production of cars and light trucks more than doubled in June from the
same month a year earlier as the country exported a record number of vehicles,
the nation’s Automobile Industry Association said. Output increased 102 percent to 206,195
units last month, the group said today in a statement distributed in Mexico
City.
o Financial bill appears to have enough support
for Senate passage
§ Republican Sens. Olympia Snowe, Scott Brown and Susan Collins said
they will vote in favor of legislation to overhaul financial regulation in the
U.S., giving the bill support it needs for final congressional approval.
"Wall Street reform is a step away from heading to the president's desk to
be signed into law," said Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn. Senate Majority
Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said he plans to bring the legislation up for a vote
this week. "We will finish our work on this bill this week to ensure that
these critical protections and accountability for Wall Street are in place as
soon as possible," Reid said. Reuters (13 Jul.) , The Wall Street Journal
(13 Jul.) , Bloomberg (13 Jul.)
o Paulson is optimistic about the bill on
regulatory reform
§ Henry Paulson, former secretary of the U.S. Treasury Department,
discussed legislation making its way through Congress that would overhaul
financial regulation. Paulson is reluctant to speculate on whether the
initiative would have prevented the financial crisis, but he said a
systemic-risk council and a resolution authority would be great tools for
battling future crises. The New York Times (free registration) (12 Jul.)
o Regulators give the FDIC unlimited authority
to investigate banks
§ Officials at the U.S. Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve and
the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. agreed to give the FDIC authority to
investigate banks. The agency's power was in question when the financial crisis
unfolded. "The FDIC needs to have a more active on-site presence and
greater direct access to information and bank personnel in order to fully
evaluate the risks to the deposit-insurance fund on an ongoing basis and to be
prepared for all contingencies," said Sheila Bair, chairwoman of the FDIC.
The New York Times (free registration)/The Associated Press (12 Jul
o
GS: Goldman eyes new deadline from NY Post
§ Goldman
Sachs is expected to ask for more time to respond to a lawsuit filed by the
Securities and Exchange Commission
accusing the Wall Street powerhouse of fraud
o GS: Dropping a dime on
Treasury-Goldman chats
– NYP link
§
On Sept. 17, 2008, with the markets in
disarray, Paulson called his pal Blankfein at 9:10 a.m., 12:15 p.m., 4:15 p.m.,
7:20 p.m. and 8:45 p.m.
§
If Angelides doesn't call upon Paulson to
testify, then he should at the very least bring up these conversations in the
report he's due to write by year's end
o
C-
citi: Judge Rules Citi
Bondholder Suit Can Proceed Over CDOs
§
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704288204575363120888375664.html?mod=ITP_moneyandinvesting_2
o AIG: Four
Chinese consortiums chasing AIA - SCMP
§ At
least four consortiums consisting of Chinese private investors have approached
American International Group to acquire its Asia insurance division AIA Group
o Strapped Florida Banks Ask for Help – WSJ link
§
Florida banks, weakened by the real-estate
bust and hit again by fallout from the oil spill, want a reprieve from
government
o Barclays Capped by Regulatory
Risk
§ Barclays
shares enjoyed a much-needed boost last week from speculation the U.K. bank was
mulling a spinoff for Barclays Capital—something that would create significant
value, according to a Mediobanca research report.
§ Barclays
was quick to dismiss the idea, reaffirming its commitment to the universal bank
model. But the idea of a Barclays breakup being pain-free reassured those
investors spooked by fears the U.K. may force such a split.
§ In
reality, while the regulatory risks are real, the costs of any such breakup
would likely be very high.
o
FDIC wins broad
authority to probe banks
§
Federal bank regulators have agreed to give
the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. unlimited authority to investigate banks,
clarifying the agency's power after questions about it during the financial
crisis
o
Toronto-Dominion
Bank , is pushing for a bigger commodities banking presence,
announcing a new precious metals trading team this week just days after beefing
up its oil and gas advisory business with the purchase Ross Smith Sousa
Advisors - Reuters
o
ECB's
Trichet Wants End of Rating Agencies Oligopoly from CNBC
o
French banks to pass
stress test, says Exane BNP Paribas
o
Mizuho Financial Group
to sell up to ¥748B of new shares for ¥130 each
o
Banks: UK: We'll tax
the banks
§ Treasury
Minister Mark Hoban reveals that the government is "actively looking at
the introduction of a financial activities tax," as well as taxes on
profits and salaries.
§ http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/jul/12/tax-the-banks-mark-hoban
o
OZRK Bank
of the Ozarks reports Q2 EPS
o
BCS
Barclays breakup costs would be likely be very high - WSJ
o
DGICA
Donegal Group holder Gregory Shepard files 13D reporting 15.8% stake in class A
shares
o
AIG
American International Group holder Fairholme Capital reports stake of 24.3% in
amended 13G filing
o
GNV GSC
Investment names Eric Snyder as CFO effective 15-Jul
o
FLIC
First of Long Island files for offering of undisclosed amount through Keefe,
Bruyette & Woods
o
IVZ
Invesco reports AUM as of 30-Jun of $557.7B, +24.1% m/m
o
BEN
Franklin Resources reports 30-Jun AUM of $570.5B vs month ago $572.7B; June 31,
2009 AUM was $451.2B.
o
FLIC
First of Long Island reports Q2 EPS
o
AON WSJ
says the dip in Aon Corp has created a buying opportunity
o
Federal
Housing Finance Agency sends out subpoenas over mortgage-backed securities --
WSJ
·
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust files $350M secondary offering through Raymond James
and BofA Merrill Lynch
·
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust adjusts guidance solely to account for a Q2 gain
·
SPPR
Supertel Hospitality closes on sale of three properties; net proceeds totaled
$3.02M
·
MPG MPG
Office Trust facilitates disposition of Park Place II
·
Subpoenas Over MBS Could Be Prelude to Major
Lawsuits Against Banks from American Banker
o
The FHFA said that, as the conservator of
Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, it is subpoenaing loan-level underwriting and
performance data from 64 security issuers and other entities.Flashback: Meet
the MBS Industry's New Nemesis
·
BNY Mellon eyeing 1 WTC from NY Post: Business
o
Bank of New York Mellon is considering a
complex, three-way real estate maneuver that would include moving part of its
operations to 1 World Trade Center and selling its historic Art Deco
headquarters tower at 1 Wall St., sources said
·
Troubled Relations in Housing – WSJ link
o
Buyers of troubled mortgages are doing brisk
business as the housing slump continues to shake out. But some borrowers are
complaining of mistreatment and strong-arm tactics.
·
Fannie, Freddie regulator issues subpoenas –
FT link
o
The part lenders played in issuing
mortgage-backed securities to the finance houses, and whether these hurt them
when the housing market collapsed, is to be investigated
·
UK's FSA outlines
proposals to ensure all mortgages are carefully assessed to make sure borrowers
can afford them
·
Property
demand falls as supply rises, says Rics report | guardian.co.uk
·
No real house
price recovery likely in next five years
guardian.co.uk
o
70%
chance that real cost of a property will be less in 2015 than in 2007
• Second half of 2010 likely to see falling house prices
o
MGI
MoneyGram International appoints James E. Shields EVP and CFO
o
PLA WSJ
suggests investors take the deal at Playboy
o
FAST
Fastenal declares dividend of $0.42/share
o
UA
Under Armour president David McCreight resigns, effective 20-Aug
o
Burberry PLC said Tuesday it started the new
fiscal year strongly, as the U.K. luxury fashion house posted a 27% rise in
first-quarter sales.
o
Peltz tries again from NY Post: Business
§
New York hedge fund honcho Nelson Peltz is
having a tough time finding good takeout. Peltz, who is the largest investor in
fast-food chain Wendy's/Arby's Group, has
roughly $1 billion that he's ready to invest in restaurants but cannot find
good targets at the right price...
o
KFC,
YUM! MUST FACE CONSUMERS' CHICKEN COUPON FRAUD CLAIMS - BBG
o
LACO
Lakes Entertainment says UBS has purchased its remaining auction rate
securities at par value
o
VVUS FDA publishes briefing documents for panel meeting discussing Vivus'
Qnexa
o
Glaxo Withheld Avandia
Risk Data – WSJ link
§
A former FDA official said GlaxoSmithKline
withheld from regulators information suggesting Avandia posed an increased risk
for serious health problems, according to a letter from the Senate Finance
Committee.
§
A heated
three-year safety debate about a GlaxoSmithKline Plc diabetes pill reaches a
climax this week as opponents and backers face off at a U.S. meeting that will
help decide the drug's fate.
o Pharma: California
Supreme Court reinstates price-fixing suit against Pfizer, others - San
Francisco Chronicle
§ A group of
pharmacies alleges that drug companies conspired to overcharge them by up to
400% from 2000-4. Lower courts had dismissed the suit. Defendants are Abbott
Laboratories (ABT); AstraZeneca (AZN.LN); Novartis (NOVN.VX); Allergan (AGN).;
Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Eli Lilly (LLY); Johnson & Johnson
(JNJ); Janssen Pharmaceutical; Ortho McNeil Pharmaceutical; Ortho Biotech;
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK.LN); Pfizer; Hoffman-LaRoche; Aventis (SAN.FP).; Amgen
(AMGN); Purdue Pharma; Merck (MRK); Bristol-Myers-Squibb (BMY); Wyeth; Johnson
& Johnson Health Care Systems; and Pharmaceutical Research and
Manufacturers of America, a US-based nonprofit trade association.
o
VVUS
Preview of upcoming FDA advisory committee on Vivus' Qnexa; 15 July
o
AMED
Amedisys guides Q2 EPS
o
RPC
Radient Pharmaceuticals announces intent to acquire Provista Diagnostics
following successful completion of respective due diligence searches
o
BLTI
Biolase Technology announces resignation of CFO Brett Scott
o
MSII
Media Sciences names Marc Applebaum CFO
o
MNOV
MediciNova to make initial payment to former Avigen shareholders
o
SDIX SDIX
announces commercial launch of RapidChek SELECT Salmonella Enteritidis testing
system
o
AET,
CI, CVH, GTS, HNT, WLP, UNH Citi initiates Triple-S Management initiated
buy with $25 target; Health Net initiated buy with $30 target; WellPoint Health
initiated buy with $58 target; Aetna initiated hold with $29 target; Cigna
initiated hold with $33 target; Coventry Health Care initiated hold with $19
target; UnitedHealth initiated hold with $29 target
o
TEVA, NVS Teva Pharmaceutical, Roxane and
NVS' Sandoz receive FDA approval for generic of GSK/AGN's Amerge
o
BMTI
BioMimetic Therapeutics to sell 5M shares through J.P. Morgan
o
MOH
Molina to acquire Abri Health Plan
o
WPI
Watson confirms challenge of Renleva patent; sued by Genzyme
o
THLD
Threshold Pharmaceuticals says two preclinical presentations on TH-302 describe
new findings of efficacy
o
QGEN
Roche gets worldwide co-exclusive license for the biomarker PI3K from Qiagen to
develop real-time and endpoint PCR diagnostic assays - SA London
o
HGSI
Human Genome and Lonza enter commercial manufacturing agreement for Benlysta;
financial details weren't disclosed - SA London
o
PFE
California Supreme Court reinstates price-fixing suit against Pfizer, others -
San Francisco Chronicle
·
Stocks mentioned on CNBC's Mad Money with Jim
Cramer - TheStreet.com
+ PNG,
VZ, EMC, M, RFMD, UPS and GOOG
·
RYI
Ryerson Holding completes buyout of China joint venture
·
Weekly USDA crop report says 73% of corn in
good or excellent condition; compares to 71% last week and compares to 71% in
prior year.
·
Energy
·
BP (+2%) successful installation of new containment
cap.
·
AMEC (+1.2%), wins contract from BP worth $340mln.
·
Total (+1.3%) fresh oil discovery Angola.
·
Mining
·
Vedanta (+1.5%) Fitch raises to stable v negative.
Japan
•
NKY -0.11%, TPX -0.39%
•
NKY edged lower, weighed down by a strong yen
as Shanghai shares fell after China said it had no plans to relax tougher
property measures. Turnover on the TPX fell to 1.02 trillion yen from 1.28
trillion yen yesterday
•
Stocks fell across most sectors led by
materials, oil & gas, industrials, exporters and utilities. Telecom and
tech rose
•
Exporters fell after the yen strengthened:
autos -0.63%, CE -0.02%, precision. Nissan (7201) -1.53% said it would halt
part of its production in Japan for 3 days, affecting 15,000 units, due to a
delay in the supplies from Hitachi (6501) -1.43%. The automaker may also halt
production at its US plants because of the delays
•
Banks -0.35% ahead of the pricing of Mizuho’s
(8411) offering: Mizuho (8411) -2.17%, Mitsubishi UFJ (8306) +0.72%, SMFG
(8316) -0.16%
•
Traders -1.00% after commodities prices fell:
Marubeni (8002) -0.43% said it has entered strategic partnership agreement with
Sinopec (600028 CH) to win ~100B yen in orders to build oil-related facilities
in emerging markets over 5 years; Mitsui & Co. (8031) -1.13% said it won’t
pay BP for cleanup costs associated with the Gulf of Mexico leak until the
cause of the disaster and other details are known
•
Best performing sectors on the TPX: insurers
+0.72%, mining +0.69%, airline +0.69%; worst performing sectors: iron &
steel 2.10%, oil & coal -1.48%, land transport -1.26%
Nikkei today
•
Japan consumer confidence rose 0.7 MoM to
43.5 in June, the 6th straight mth of increase. The government upgraded its
overall assessment that consumer sentiment is improving
•
Domestic shipments of cell phones and PHS
handsets rose 17.1% YoY to 3.147M units in May, up for the 2nd consecutive mth,
the Japan Electronics and Information Technology Industries Association
reported
Hong Kong
•
HSI -0.18%; HSCEI -0.44%
•
Stocks fell led by mainland developers after
China said it will “strictly” enforce housing policies. Turnover on the HSI
rose to HK$19.39B from HK$19.24B yesterday
•
Mainland properties were mixed after the
China Banking Regulatory Commission said it has made no changes to policies on
home loans and called on the nation’s commercial banks to strictly enforce
home-loan rules: China Overseas (688 HK) +0.62%, China Resources Land (1109 HK)
+0.50%, Guangzhou R&F (2777 HK) -1.26%, Agile (3383 HK) -1.21%, Shimao (813
HK) -1.46%
•
IPO debutant: Convoy Financial Services (1019
HK) +26.67%
•
China Shipping Development (1138 HK) +2.50%
expects to report more than 50% rise in its 1H profit
Headlines:
•
Smelters in China may idle as much as 1.5M
metric tons of capacity in 3Q as prices have dropped below some producers’
costs, Alcoa said – Bloomberg
•
China may impose fines for price manipulation
of goods and services to control inflation expectations, according to the NDRC.
Violators of price rules may be fined up to 5 times their incomes derived from
the illegal behavior, or between 200,000 and 2M yuan – Bloomberg
•
Agricultural Bank of China may post a 40%
gain in 1H net profit to more than 46B yuan. 1H loans may have increased by
11.2%and deposits may have risen by nearly 440B yuan - Yicai.com
China
•
SHCOMP -1.62%; SZCOMP -1.39%
•
Stocks fell after the government squashed
speculation it will abandon real-estate curbs. Turnover on the SHCOMP was flat
at 81.09B yuan from yesterday
•
Stocks fell across most sectors led by
materials, health care, financials, oil & gas and industrials
•
Real estate -3.53%, banks -1.30% after the
government said it will “strictly” enforce housing policies to prevent
speculative real estate investment
•
Insurers extended fall -1.59%
•
Metals and mining -2.58%, oil & gas
-1.65% after metal and oil prices fell
•
Iron & steel -2.57%. Mainland plans to
step up consolidation of its steel sector this year by closing small mills and
improving production standards, the Ministry of Industry and Information
Technology said
INVESTMENT
BANKING
o
Four Chinese consortiums chasing AIA- SCMP
§ Of the four consortiums, one is led by Shan Weijian, chairman of the
Pacific Alliance Group. Another consortium is led by Chongqing native Zhang
Songqiao, chairman of Hong Kong-based C C Land Holdings. The third consortium
is led by Guo Guangchang, chairman of Shanghai-based Fosun Group, a large
non-state-owned investment conglomerate, and The fourth consortium consists of
a group of Hong Kong and Taiwanese investors.
o
Peltz trying again- NYPOST
§ Peltz, who is the largest investor in fast-food chain Wendy's/Arby's
Group, has roughly $1 billion that he's ready to invest in restaurants but
cannot find good targets at the right price, a banker with direct knowledge of
the situation said.
o
PLA Playboy Investors: Take the Bunny and Run- WSJ
§ Hugh Hefner's $5.50-a-share offer for the shares outstanding in Playboy
Enterprises looks generous, pitched 40% above Friday's closing price and well
above analysts' valuations of around $4.
§ There is always the possibility Mr. Hefner is trying to smoke out
another bidder
§ Penthouse's owner has said it may make its own offer. The dream of a
bidding war gives investors an incentive to hold out for more, but giving last
year’s dealtalk amounted to nothing WSJ suggests selling after the most recent
bounce
§ http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704288204575363233151747778.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
o
CAR Avis Aims to Outbid Rival HTZ Hertz for DTG
Dollar Thrifty- WSJ
§ Avis Budget Group is proceeding with plans to make an offer for Dollar
Thrifty Automotive Group that would top rival Hertz Global Holding’s $1.2b bid,
and is looking to take on more debt to finance the deal
§ These people declined to give a specific timeline but said Avis would
present an offer—perhaps in late July or early August
§ http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703283004575363383099945448.html
o
Big Profits Revive Buy-Out Interest in China- CNBC
§ China is attracting renewed interest from private equity groups after a
series of highly profitable deals that have marked a sharp turnaround from the
previous poor record for buy-out firms in the country.
§ “For years there has been growth in China but it has been profitless
growth,” Jonathan Zhu, co-head of Asia for Bain Capital in Hong Kong said. “But
in recent years, we have seen growth with real profits.”
§ http://www.cnbc.com/id/38216965
o
S Sprint’s 4G move opens way to merger- FT
§ Sprint Nextel is examining a technology shift that could pave the way
to a merger with T-Mobile USA, Deutsche Telekom’s struggling US unit.
§ The article discusses how if Sprint moves to adopt LTE technology to
make web browsing faster it could be more suitable for a deal with T-Mobile who
is expected to adopt the same technology
§ http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c4d6eb6a-8de0-11df-9153-00144feab49a.html
o
MOH Molina to acquire Abri Health Plan for $16M
o
More BP deal talk
§ Reuters
discusses the BP assets that may be on the block
·
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1214810920100712
§ WSJ looks
further into how a BP/XOM Exxon deal would work
·
even assuming Exxon were
now comfortable with the risk of catching a falling knife of epic proportions,
huge obstacles to launching a successful unsolicited offer remain
·
XOM would have to
consider overseas reaction to a takeover of such a magnitude even though the US
already gae the go ahead, the move would likely result in a high number of job
losses, and XOM is still suffering from a $30b market value hit from its last
takeover of XTO.
·
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704288204575363133280886548.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
§ APA
Apache’s Talks With BP Raise Leverage Concerns- NYT
·
It is potentially
hazardous to swallow a meal a third your size. But it could make sense for
Apache Corporation to grab $10 billion of BP’s Alaskan assets. The company’s
flair for squeezing oil from older wells makes it an ideal buyer.
·
But investors are
concerned if Apache spent $10 billion and financed the purchase entirely with
debt, it would raise the company’s ratio of debt to total capital sharply:
toward 50 percent, from about 25 percent currently.
·
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/13/business/13views.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper
o
Atlantic Investors Proposes to Buy NAVI Navisite
Shrs for $3.05-Shr- BBG
§ Atlantic Investors proposes to buy all Navisite shrs that it doesn’t
already own for $3.05-shr, 15% premium to today’s closing price.
§ Atlantic owns 36.7% stake; may engage in talks with management, board,
holders
o
BKS Barnes & Noble Testimony Centers on
Aletheia Fund- BBG
§ Barnes & Noble’s fight with billionaire Ron Burkle’s Yucaipa Cos.
for seats on the bookseller’s board of directors may hinge on an alliance of
Yucaipa with the investment fund Aletheia Research & Management
§ If Aletheia, the third largest shareholder of Barnes & Noble, teams
with No. 2 stakeholder Yucaipa, the two would be a “much more formidable”
opponent for the company’s chairman and controlling stockholder, Leonard
Riggio, Yucaipa’s proxy expert testified.
o
BRCM Broadcom declares offer for Innovision
Research & Technology wholly unconditional- BBG
o
Greenlight Capital Buys 5% ESV Ensco Stake-
TheStreet.com
§ The stakes disclosed by hedge fund managers are often used as way of
measuring undervalued plays in the market
§ http://www.thestreet.com/story/10804370/1/greenlight-capital-buys-5-ensco-stake.html
o
DTZ Agrees to Buy Remaining 20% of DTZ Asset
Management Europe- BBG
§ DTZ Holdings Plc said today it plans to buy the 20 percent of DTZ Asset
Management Europe SAS that it does not
already own.
o
HEW- Big Deal Puts AON in Flux- WSJ
§ That seemed the reaction of Aon's shareholders on Monday, when the
insurance broker and consulting firm said it would buy consultancy Hewitt
Associates for $5 billion
§ Some investors seemed startled by the change in Aon's business mix.
Recent deals have focused on insurance, which accounts for 83% of revenue,
Barclays Capital says. That would sink to about 60% after the deal, with the
balance from consulting
§ HEW Hewitt Associates downgraded to hold from buy at
Deutsche Bank
§ http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704288204575363453811033546.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
o
JNJ to buy MEND Micrus Endovascular for $480 mln-
Reuters
§ Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N) will buy Micrus Endovascular Corp
(MEND.O) for about $480 million to expand its portfolio of medical devices that
treat and prevent stroke
§ &J will pay $23.40 a share, a 5.5 percent premium over Micrus'
closing price on Friday. Micrus shares have climbed nearly 50 percent this year
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1220031720100712
o
Tesco Urged to Pursue Carrefour Asian Assets With
Lowball Bid- BBG
§ The combined operations may fetch $800 million to $1 billion. A
valuation that according to RBS analyst Justin Scarborough would be too high
for any bidder
§ “It seems like a very rich price,” said Caroline Gulliver, an analyst
at Execution Noble in London. “The market typically values food retailers at
around 50 percent of sales, not 80 percent.”
o
TD Bank eyes big private deals in oil and gas
M&A- Reuters
§ Toronto-Dominion Bank will use the new expertise it acquired with
Calgary's Ross Smith Sousa to access large private deals in Canada's oil and
gas sector, aiming for transactions of C$100 million ($96 million) or more
§ "We've got two mandates out of the gate, one for Shell and one for
Encana, and those are the kind of people we want to be working for," said
Drew MacIntyre, vice-chairman of the TD's investment banking arm, TD
Securities.
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1219424620100712
o
Telefonica eyes arbitration over PT impasse-
Reuters
§ Spanish telecoms leader Telefonica will seek international arbitration
if it does not reach a deal this week with Portugal Telecom in a tug-of-war
over ownership of Brazil's biggest mobile phone company
§ the Spanish company's plan is to break up Brasilcel then buy up shares
of Vivo on the market until it has control.
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE66C05720100713
o
Philips Electronics agrees to buy Amplex's street
lighting controls business- BBG
§ No financial details were disclosed
o
TPV to take over Philips LCD TV business- Digitimes
§ Hong Kong-listed TPV Technology is reportedly to take over the LCD TV
business of Royal Philips Electronics in order to expand its share in global
LCD TV market
§ The Chinese-language report, citing unnamed sources from TPV, claimed
that TPV and Philips have already drafted an agreement, under which TPV will
have the rights to use the Philips brand in its TV products, plus the Dutch
company's related patent rights, employees, clients and inventories
§ http://www.digitimes.com/news/a20100713PB200.html
o
Infineon Technologies selling Wireless unit could
generate excess cash and add 10% potential upside, says Deutsche Bank- SA
o
Fairholme Reports Passive MBIA Stake Equal to 11.1%
at June 30- BBG
o
African Minerals in $1.5 billion deal with
Shandong- Reuters
§ African Minerals has sealed a second investment deal with a Chinese
group for its flagship iron ore project in Sierra Leone, selling a 25 percent
stake to Shandong Iron & Steel for $1.5 billion.
§ News of the latest deal, which involves a three-stage investment and an
agreement for Shandong to buy 10 million tonnes of iron ore per year at
discounted prices, sent shares soaring 19.5 percent by 0714 GMT
§ http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66C12D20100713
o
DGICA Donegal Group holder Gregory Shepard files
13D reporting 15.8% stake in class A shares- BBG
o
Comstar Gets Voluntary Offer From MBT for Up to 9%
of Shares- BBG
§ OAO Comstar United TeleSystems received an offer from OAO Mobile
TeleSystems to buy as many as 37.6m Comstar ordinary shares representing 9% of
Comstar’s issued share capital that MTS doesn’t already own for 220 rubles per
Comstar share.
o
Despite the refusal of Zodiac, Safran maintains its
offer- La Tribune
§ Safran's offer remains on the table. This is the main message delivered
Monday by the aerospace supplier after the refusal from Zodiac
§ Asked whether the group could engage in a hostile transaction after the
decision of the supervisory board of Zodiac Saffron said it has "taken
note of this refusal," and "is not there." He added: "We
remain on our proposal to discuss the merits of a business combination."
$ RAISING
IPOs
o
AIG board to meet to consider AIA's future (IPO
Most likely)- Reuters
§ The board of American International Group Inc(AIG.N) is expected to
meet this week to consider the future of the insurer's Asian life business, AIA
§ An initial public offering for American International Assurance (AIA)
was the most likely way forward, the sources said, although other options were
also under consideration
§ http://in.reuters.com/article/idINIndia-50075920100713
o
K.K.R. and Tech Companies to Go Public This Week-
Dealbook
§ KKR, Qlik Technologies, SMART trchnologies, and RealD are all looking
to go public this week as two recent IPOs (Tesla and CBOE) have had blowout
first trading days
§ But it’s an I.P.O. market ‘’still in recovery,” said PwC’s Scott
Gehsmann. With broad uncertainty about the strength of the economic rebound,
it’s hard for companies with less name recognition than Tesla to take off in
first-day trading.
§ http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/07/13/kkr-and-tech-companies-to-go-public-this-week/
o
Enel Chairman Gnudi Expects Green Power IPO Banks
by July- BBG
o
Europe Filings Rise as IPOs Beat U.S. in Debt
Crisis- BBG
§ European companies are preparing the most initial public offerings in
two years after IPOs weathered the region’s debt crisis and outperformed U.S.
deals.
§ Fairfield Energy Plc, Stroer Out-of-Home Media AG and 57 other
companies filed with regulators in the past three months to raise $14.2
billion through initial sales
§ http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aGhVuFdoEHKY
o
PGE plans to sell shares in its renewable energy
unit on the Warsaw Stock Exchange next year- S&P
o
Agricultural Bank of China
§ Offer Price: HKD 3.2
§ Expected listing: 16 July
§ Amount: HKD 81bln
§ Lead Managers: ABC International, China International Capital, Deutsche
Bank, Goldman Sachs (Asia), JP Morgan Chase, Macquarie Asia, Morgan Stanley
Asia
o
MCP Molycorp to
offer 28.125M shares in range of $15-17 through Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan
PRICINGS
o Initial Offerings
o OXF Oxford Resource Partners 8.8 million shares expected to price
Tuesday via Barclays Capital and Citigroup. Price talk: $18 to $20.
o SMT SMART
Technologies- 35.3
million shares expected to price Wednesday via MS, DB, RBC, BoA Merrill Lynch
and Credit Suisse Securities. Price talk: $16 to $18.
o QLIK
Qlik Technologies
-11.2 million shares expected to price Thursday via MS, Citi, JPM. Price talk:
$8.50 to $9.50.
o RLD RealD--11 million shares expected to price
Thursday via JPM, Piper, William Blair
o Secondary Offerings
o
Phoenix
Solar AG set the volume of the capital increase at 670,200
shares, at a placement price of 32 euros.
NEWS
o
Peltz
trying to raise $1.5 bln for fund –Bloomberg
§
Peltz, 68, who oversees New York-based hedge-fund
firm Trian Fund Management LP, is marketing the investment pool as a private
equity fund because client money will be locked up for longer than with most
hedge funds
§
The fund has already secured $433 million in
commitments, one of the sources said. It is targeting sovereign wealth and
pension funds, family offices and funds of funds
§
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1221316120100712
o
Phoenix
Solar Sets Volume of Capital Increase, Placement Price- BBG
§
Phoenix Solar AG set the volume of the capital
increase at 670,200 shares, at a placement price of 32 euros.
o Healthcare: BMTI BioMimetic Therapeutics to
sell 5M shares through J.P. Morgan
o Financials: FLIC
First of Long Island files for offering of undisclosed amount through Keefe,
Bruyette & Woods
o Financials: Mizuho
Financial Group to sell up to ¥748B of new shares for ¥130 each
o Real
Estate: PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust files $350M
secondary offering through Raymond James and BofA Merrill Lynch
TODAY’S EVENTS
Tuesday July 13:
o City & Financial's
Creating an Efficient Financing Market for Infrastructure: New Structures, New
Frameworks and New Investors - Jul 13, 2010
o Displaybank Korea Display
Conference - Jul 12, 2010 - Jul 13, 2010
o Global Hunter Securities
China Conference - Jul 11, 2010 - Jul 13, 2010
o 7:30: BEST, DHRM,
CRUI
o 8:00: CCME, LPIH
o 8:30: CAST, VALV, CNYD
o 9:00: CAHS, BSPM, ZSTN
o 9:30: CHGS, CECX, CCGY
o 10:00: KONE, WKBT
o 10:30: MSAH, ZOOM, AWRCF
o 11:00: HRBN, WEMU
o 11:30: CELM, JNGW
o 1:00pm: SEED, CGPI,
ArtChina/CAE Media
o 1:30: ONP, CADC
o 2:00: CGA, SUWN, PBEP
o 2:30: NEWN, NKBP,
CMDI
o 3:00: SGAS, HFGB,
FEWP
o 3:30: CJJD, CCLTF
o 4:00: KYNP, CSGL
o 4:30: CBPO
o Greentech Media Growth
Opportunities in Utility Scale Solar: Projects, Finance and Policy Conference -
Jul 13, 2010
o Infocast Carbon Capture
& Sequestration: The Business Summit - Jul 13, 2010 - Jul 15, 2010
o Infocast Storage Week -
Jul 12, 2010 - Jul 15, 2010
o JPMorgan Corporate Access
Day
·
CSR
o K&L GATES LLP American
Gas Association's 33rd Annual Legal Forum - Jul 11, 2010 - Jul 13, 2010
o RBC Capital Markets
Stampede Energy Roundtable - Jul 12, 2010 - Jul 14, 2010
o SEMICON West - Jul
13, 2010 - Jul 15, 2010
·
http://www.semiconwest.org/index.htm
o The Center for Business
Intelligence al Rare Disease Leadership Summit - Jul 13, 2010 - Jul 14,
2010
Company
Meetings/Other Daily Events
·
Tuesday July 13:
o Shareholder Meetings
§ ENZN, EEE, ANV, RIMM
o DLM Analyst Day
o LRCX Analyst Day
o KLAC Analyst Day
o AMAT Analyst Meeting
o Greece holds its first international
debt auction since its May bailout.
o Senate Judiciary panel
votes on Elena Kagan's Supreme Court nomination.
o INTC gets tech earnings
going
·
Tuesday July 13:
o 0730 NFIB Index of Small
Business Optimism
o 0745 ICSC-Goldman Sachs
Chain Store Sales Index
o 0830 U.S. International
Trade in Goods & Services
o 0855 Johnson Redbook
Retail Sales Index
o 1000 IBD/TIPP Economic
Optimism Index
o 1000 IBD/TIPP Economic
Optimism Index
o 1400 Monthly Treasury
Statement of Receipts & Outlays of the U.S. Govt
o 1630 API Weekly
Statistical Bulletin
o 1700 ABC News Consumer
Comfort Index
o Industrials/Homebuilders
§ Tuesday July 13: AIR, TIK,
IGC, FEIM, BUKS, AXR, SEB, FAST
o Consumer/Retail/Education
§ Tuesday July 13: GAI, MSN,
YUM, RMCF, CAW
o Financials
§ Tuesday July 13: GNV, CARV
o
Tech/Telecom
§ Tuesday July 13: GSIGQ, INTC,
WPCS
o Healthcare
§ Tuesday July 13: OXBT,
ADMO, HITK
o Media
§ Tuesday July 13: VALU
o Energy
§ Tuesday July 13: MMEX,
QTWW, OPTT, TOTY, MILL, SNRY,
***All eco data from Bloomberg and DJ
Prepared
by staff of Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. ("Cantor") and is for
information purposes only. It is not intended to form the basis of any
investment decision, should not be considered a recommendation by Cantor or any
other person and does not constitute an offer or solicitation with respect to
the purchase or sale of any investment nor is it a confirmation of terms. Any calculations
and valuations presented herein are intended as a basis for discussion. Sources
of information are believed to be reliable but Cantor makes no representation
and gives no warranty that the information contained herein is accurate or
complete. Any opinions or estimates given may change. Cantor undertakes no
obligation to provide recipients with any additional information or any update
to or correction of the information contained herein. This material is intended
solely for institutional investors and investors who Cantor reasonably believes
are institutional investors. Cantor, its officers, employees, affiliates and
partners shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any
losses, costs or claims howsoever arising from any inaccuracies or omissions in
the information contained herein or any reliance on that information. Cantor
may have positions in financial instruments mentioned, may have acquired such
positions at prices no longer available, and may have interests different or
adverse to your interests. No liability is accepted by Cantor for any
loss that may arise from any use of the information contained herein or derived
here from. This product may not be reproduced or redistributed outside the
recipient's organization. Sources: Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Reuters,
Bloomberg, CNBC, Dow Jones, Marketwatch, Trade-Alert, and the Wall Street
Journal.
