Morning Comment
| Close | Change | % Change | |
| DJ Industrials | 9774.02 | -96.28 | -0.98% |
| S & P | 1030.71 | -10.53 | -1.01% |
| NASDAQ | 2109.24 | -25.94 | -1.21% |
| NYSE | 6469.65 | -50.44 | -0.77% |
| Russell 2000 | 609.49 | -6.47 | -1.05% |
| 10-Yr T-Yield | 2.9149% | -0.0342% | -1.16% |
| FTSE | 4882.26 | -34.61 | -0.70% |
| NIKKEI 225 | 9191.060 | -191.04 | -2.04% |
Well, it happened, the end of the world. The S & P finally broke the 1040 level. As we unwound a lousy quarter, the window dressing unloaded equities and sent the market averages lower. However, the news wasn’t all that bad. Okay, the ADP estimate of 13,000 is way below the 60,000 anticipated, but the MBA mortgage applications for the week surged 8.8%. The Chicago PMI was better than expected, with New Orders holding at a solid 59.1 as employment moved back above 50 to 54.2. However, the economy wasn’t the story. Neither was Europe, even as the expiration of the 442 billion Euro 1-year notes required only 132 billion 3-month loans. Expectations were for 250 to 300 billion Euros. The attention was on the quarter and the support. However, even as the S & P faded below 1040, the VIX was down. In the final minutes, the VIX did push to the plus side, but the action intraday showed no signs of panic. Don’t forget, breaking 1040 is supposed to be the end of the world. The only group in the green was Autos, and that was due to Ford repaying $4 billion in debt to the union. Despite the fact that every group was down, the advance/decline was just 11 to 19 on the NYSE. If this were a broadbased panic out of the market, then we’d expect weaker relative performance from the Russell 2000, but it was pretty much in line with the decline in the S & P. The bears have everything they’ve ever asked for, a break of technical support and a weakening economy. If they can’t do something early, watch out for short covering
| Last | Hrly Support | Hrly Resist | ST Support | ST Resist | NYSE | NASDAQ | ||
| INDU | 9774 | 9810 | 10,652 | 9428 | 10,871 | ADV | 1118 | 927 |
| S & P | 1031 | 1040 | 1150 | 1005 | 1172 | DECL | 1918 | 1672 |
| COMP | 2109 | 2158 | 2367 | 2100 | 2417 | TRIN | 1.54 | 2.80 |
| NDX | 1739 | 1778 | 19000 | 1713 | 1975 | UVOL | 377,037k | 353,354k |
| 10-Yld | 2.915 | 2.910 | 3.565 | 2.870 | 3.704 | DVOL | 1,024,104k | 1,739,471k |
| RUT | 609 | 617 | 686 | 599 | 708 | TVOL | 1,421,665k | 2,221,561k |
