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May 18, 2012 1:24 PM EDT
Updated: Jun 28, 2010 6:30 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,143.81 -8.99 -0.09
S & P 1076.76 +3.07 +0.29
NASDAQ 2223.48 +6.06 +0.27
NYSE 6763.93 +33.69 +0.50
Russell 2000 645.11 +11.94 +1.89
10-Yr T-Yield 3.1107% -0.0293% -0.93
FTSE 5061.14 +14.67 +0.29
NIKKEI 225 9693.94 -43.54 -0.45

 

Last week’s news was mired by weak earnings projections, very poor housing data, financial reform fears, and concerns that Hurricane Alex could enter the Gulf region and cause BP to abandon efforts to plug the spill. That’s a lot of broad bad news to absorb, and in doing so, the S & P fell back into the middle of the recent trading range of the past month-and-a-half. Earnings for Q2 haven’t been all that bad, but the fear of a double dip has companies bracing for a slowdown in Q3. That probably means they won’t be hiring new workers, and that doesn’t bode well for a longer-term sustained recovery. However, it does mean their balance sheets will stay “lean and mean”. The negative data on housing are bound to continue and it will take months before we see the pace of non-stimulus supported sales. As for the financial reforms, what was given to Obama to take to the G-20 meeting over the weekend should be viewed as the “worst case scenario”. As we move to a full vote, some of the language may get watered down, or at least that is what the banks are hoping for. That’s why we saw a solid pop in the Financials on Friday. Hurricane Alex veered left toward Mexico, which should be good news for the Gulf. Technically, the market is broadening out the consolidation pattern. We have a lot of data to absorb this week. The most important numbers will be the ISM Index on manufacturing and the Employment Report on Friday, especially the private sector jobs within.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,144 9810 10,652 9428 10,871 ADV 2213 1761
S & P 1077 1040 1150 1005 1172 DECL 828 826
COMP 2223 2158 2367 2100 2417 TRIN 1.18 1.22
NDX 1839 1778 1900 1713 1975 UVOL 1,764,477k 2,158,836k
10-Yld 3.108 3.152 3.565 3.049 3.704 DVOL 777,022k 1,258,679k
RUT 645 617 686 599 708 TVOL 2,552,278k 3,540,355k