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May 18, 2012 12:16 PM EDT
Updated: Jun 16, 2010 6:45 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,404.77 +213.88 +2.10%
S & P 1115.23 +25.60 +2.35%
NASDAQ 2305.88 +61.92 +2.76%
NYSE 6989.88 +171.91 +2.52%
Russell 2000 668.77 +16.50 +2.53%
10-Yr T-Yield 3.3025% +0.0496% +1.52%
FTSE 5229.01 +11.19 +0.21%
NIKKEI 225 10,067.15 +179.26 +1.81%

 

The market was firing on all cylinders yesterday. It’s been a while since we’ve had good news, and investors were hungry for anything positive. Import prices, while off 0.6%, were better than expected. Take out fuel and import prices were up 0.5%, showing demand and some pricing power. The NY Fed Index was a little light, but up from the prior month. Production was up. New Orders were up. Inventories were down. That means companies are still struggling to meet demand. It’s a small survey, but was good news. Housing is a highlight this week, but expectations are that the news won’t be good, so we’re braced for negative numbers. The Euro had a nice follow-through day above the 1.2222 level, confirming its breakout from the sharp downtrend. FedEx is expected to release strong numbers today, being used as a proxy for how imports are doing, as well as the overall economic activity. Technically, last Tuesday was the minor reversal day to the upside. That was followed by a solid 250 point up day, but the rally failed at key resistance. Yesterday broke above that resistance, which we see as further confirmation that the summer rally has begun. The S & P, Dow, and NASDAQ broke definitively above their 200-day moving averages. As investors shift their focus to domestic economic growth and earnings potential, the bulls gained the upper hand. That’s not to say that concerns over Europe have abated, but investors are absorbing bad news more readily and are buying into weakness.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,405 9810 10,652 9428 10,871 ADV 2637 2097
S & P 1115 1040 1150 1005 1172 DECL 446 535
COMP 2306 2158 2367 2100 2417 TRIN 0.25 0.56
NDX 1897 1778 1900 1713 1975 UVOL 1,115,644k 1,943,188k
10-Yld 3.303 3.152 3.565 3.049 3.704 DVOL 46,838k 271,070k
RUT 669 617 686 599 708 TVOL 1,167,427k 2,289,065k