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May 18, 2012 11:33 AM EDT
Updated: Jun 9, 2010 6:41 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 9939.38 +123.49 +1.26%
S & P 1062.00 +11.53 +1.10%
NASDAQ 2170.57 -3.33 -0.15%
NYSE 6596.12 +83.70 +1.29%
Russell 2000 617.69 -0.80 -0.13%
10-Yr T-Yield 3.1821% +0.0398% +1.27%
FTSE 5034.36 +6.21 +0.12%
NIKKEI 225 9439.13 -98.81 -1.05%

 

Yesterday’s reversal came after two attempts to take the market through the recent May low. The Dow, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000 all undercut that low, with the S & P coming within two points of the low at 1040. The point was that the bears had a real opportunity. There were no near-term support levels below the May low, which was a slight undercut of the February low. If one were looking for stop loss orders to get triggered, yesterday was an opportunity to push the averages through. The major market leadership group, Technology, was getting pummeled, so there the bulls were leaderless. Financials were still struggling, as the XLF fell to challenge its February low, but held above despite early weakness from a price cut on JP Morgan. The Euro was mostly stable, trading down to 1.19 early, up to 1.20 by the afternoon, only to fade to close nearly unchanged on the day. Bernanke may have said that a “double-dip recession” was unlikely, but he didn’t offer a very inspirational recovery story. He still sees jobs recovering slowly for the next year and a half. The Financials are doing better, but still face hurdles. The Fed is still “watching” Europe closely. It doesn’t sound like Bernanke is about to change the “exceptionally low rates for an extended period of time” statement anytime soon, which may have been the one positive coming out of his comments to ABC News. It was a minor reversal day, mainly because the bears failed to muster any momentum when all was in their favor. Stability will be key today.


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click graph for larger image


  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 9940 9774 10,511 9428 10,862 ADV 1845 1045
S & P 1062 1040 1150 1005 1172 DECL 1224 1534
COMP 2171 2140 2354 2100 2417 TRIN 0.48 1.13
NDX 1796 1756 1900 1713 1966 UVOL 1,238,688k 980,941k
10-Yld 3.182 3.152 3.565 3.049 3.704 DVOL 396,377k 1,646,390k
RUT 618 617 692 599 708 TVOL 1,645,776k 2,651,434k