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May 18, 2012 10:44 AM EDT
Updated: Jun 1, 2010 6:34 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,136.63 -122.36 -1.19%
S & P 1089.41 -16.65 -1.24%
NASDAQ 2257.04 -20.64 -0.91%
NYSE 6791.57 -101.72 -1.48%
Russell 2000 661.61 -8.90 -1.33%
10-Yr T-Yield 3.2922% -0.0683% -2.03%
FTSE 5080.36 -108.07 -2.08%
NIKKEI 225 9711.83 -56.87 -0.58%

 

The volatility certainly hasn’t left this market yet. May was the worst May since 1962 and the worst monthly performance since February 2009. Europe was the overwhelming catalyst for the market correction, but it wasn’t the only factor. After the S & P’s year-long 80% rally from the March 2009 low, we were overdue for a correction. The seasonal factors, “sell in May and go away”, may have also played a part. The stubbornly high unemployment rate will continue to plague investors for the rest of 2010, and that reality is coming to bear. However, the attention and market correction has been centered on the debt crisis in the Euro-zone and the impact it has had on the Euro and corresponding impact on the Dollar. Friday was no exception. Fitch’s downgrade of Spanish debt roiled the markets late Friday afternoon. Investors were likely already nervous about being gone for the long weekend and so much uncertainty still plaguing Europe. This was enough of a catalyst to kick the bears into action. Money flowed into the traditional defensive areas, Treasuries and defensive sector stocks. The market decline was not a panicky as previous Europe-based selloffs. The Euro’s fall to a new 4-year low this morning is keeping the pressure on. Technically, last week’s “bounce” did little more than pop the S & P back to its 200-day moving average at 1104. That should be our short-term resistance. Meanwhile, the recent gap up from a close of 1068 is our target for support, consolidating this week.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,137 9869 10,511 9500 10,862 ADV 973 817
S & P 1089 1045 1150 1005 1172 DECL 2086 1787
COMP 2257 2100 2278 2040 2417 TRIN 2.24 1.79
NDX 1852 1713 1900 1606 1966 UVOL 248,841k 440,261k
10-Yld 3.292 3.152 3.565 3.049 3.404 DVOL 1,196,498k 1,644,740k
RUT 662 628 692 599 708 TVOL 1,455,948k 2,165,597k