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May 18, 2012 10:36 AM EDT
Updated: May 28, 2010 6:39 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,258.99 +284.54 +2.85%
S & P 1103.06 +35.11 +3.29%
NASDAQ 2277.68 +81.80 +3.73%
NYSE 6893.29 +261.93 +3.95%
Russell 2000 670.50 +27.89 +4.34%
10-Yr T-Yield 3.3513% +0.1627% +5.10%
FTSE 5223.50 +28.33 +0.55%
NIKKEI 225 9762.98 +123.26 +1.26%

 

On word that China was not looking to sell its Euro sovereign debt, the markets quickly reversed the losses from Wednesday’s high to its low close, about 190 points in the Dow. The world believed the announcement, as the Euro also exactly reversed its losses from Wednesday. If we had held onto Wednesday’s gains, then it would have been a bullish “follow-through day” to the Tuesday reversal. We not only made up for the disruption, but we added another 95 points to it. I think that is very convincing action. Volume and breadth were both very strong on the rally. The VIX is back below 30. Perhaps the most telling detail is in the group performance. When we get bounces led by defensive groups, it’s considered weak. That was not the case yesterday. Despite the fact that all groups traded higher, the classic “defensive” groups were on the bottom of the list. The groups that have been beaten and battered by the removing of the so-called “risk trade” rallied. In fact, the Dow’s 2.85% advance pails in comparison to the NASDAQ’s 3.73% rise and the Russell 2000’s 4.34% jump. Some investors would be happy with that kind of performance for the year. Treasuries, which were the net beneficiary of the flight to safety, fell hard, sending the yield on the 10-year back up from 3.1% to 3.36%. That was a 5.4% increase in yield on the day. Overall, I think that we’ve seen the low, weakness should be bought, and investors should focus on Tech, consumer sensitive and mainly domestic revenue producing names.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,259 9869 10,511 9500 10,862 ADV 2877 2340
S & P 1103 1045 1150 1005 1172 DECL 241 329
COMP 2278 2100 2278 2040 2417 TRIN 0.33 0.31
NDX 1863 1713 1900 1606 1966 UVOL 1,377,757k 2,171,549k
10-Yld 3.350 3.152 3.565 3.049 3.704 DVOL 38,046k 98,051k
RUT 671 628 692 599 708 TVOL 1,418,125k 2,327,230k