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May 18, 2012 10:26 AM EDT
Updated: May 27, 2010 6:40 AM EDT  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 9974.45 -69.30 -0.69%
S & P 1067.95 -6.08 -0.57%
NASDAQ 2195.88 -15.07 -0.68%
NYSE 6631.36 -34.47 -0.52%
Russell 2000 642.62 +2.60 +0.41%
10-Yr T-Yield 3.1886% +0.0307% +0.97%
FTSE 5131.58 +93.50 +1.86%
NIKKEI 225 9639.72 +117.06 +1.21%

 

The market initially rallied on Wednesday, as Asia and Europe took our Tuesday reversal to heart and rallied overseas. That was followed by positive Durable Goods and New Home Sales data. As much as we fully anticipated seeing a spike in New Home Sales, as this is based on “contract signings” which was required by the end of April, the number going over 500k was a pleasant surprise. Yes, this is stimulus induced buying, but it is absorbing inventory nonetheless. With the technical supports providing the bounce on Tuesday, the momentum carried through on Wednesday. All was fine until the Euro started to slide. The catalyst was that China was reviewing their European bond holdings. The statement itself shouldn’t be all that unusual. One would think any portfolio would review its holdings, especially when they are getting killed. However, this comment sent the Euro under Tuesday’s intraday low, a new 4 year low, which spiked the Dollar and sent the US markets sliding. Tuesday’s low was a good low, but I can see why one would worry about the Chinese selling their bonds. Heck, our market, currency, and bond market gets spooked every time traders think the Chinese may not be buyers. China has denied that it intends to take any action, and the negative move is being reversed here. The Euro is rallying back this morning. As we get into June, I expect the outlook for corporate profits to carry more weight over expectations, and that should be good news for stocks.


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click graph for larger image


  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 9974 9869 10,511 9500 10,862 ADV 1895 1479
S & P 1068 1045 1150 1005 1172 DECL 1216 1151
COMP 2196 2100 2278 2040 2417 TRIN 1.32 1.81
NDX 1796 1713 1900 1606 1966 UVOL 1,041,989k 1,251,138k
10-Yld 3.189 3.152 3.565 3.049 3.704 DVOL 880,806k 1,765,731k
RUT 643 628 692 599 708 TVOL 1,940,864k 3,050,273k