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February 9, 2012 3:05 PM EST
Updated: Mar 8, 2010 6:24 AM EST  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,566.20 +122.06 +1.17%
S & P 1138.70 +15.73 +1.40%
NASDAQ 2326.35 +34.04 +1.48%
NYSE 7291.31 +118.24 +1.65%
Russell 2000 666.02 +13.55 +2.08%
10-Yr T-Yield 3.6796% +0.0774% +2.15%
FTSE 5591.87 -7.89 -0.14%
NIKKEI 225 10,585.92 +216.96 +2.09%

 

Investors did more than dodge a bullet on Friday with that jobs report. December and January were revised up by 35,000 jobs. The Labor Department survey showed that 290,000 jobs may have been impacted by the weather. Meanwhile, there were only 15,000 census workers, far fewer than the 50,000 that many thought might be hired in February. What was impacted was average hours worked. They did fall hard, but an hour worked is still employed, so the downside was not nearly as negative as feared. The next few months will likely be skewed by better weather and more census workers, but this time skewed to the upside. I still believe that the US market, commodities, Dollar, and bonds have benefitted from there being bigger problems overseas. With China talking about letting the Yuan rise slightly, the negative impact will be felt by countries that export to China. Emerging nations are also feeling the impact of the EU, Asia, and the Americas seeing growth slow. As money leaves investments in these areas, it is moving into “safe haven” investments in the US. We did see some positive surprises on the upside in Retail, Manufacturing, and Jobs last week. This week will be a very light news week. Meanwhile, the positive inflows have worked to push out any negatives through a slow time, moving us closer to earnings season. Timing is more crucial than price right now. The volume remains very light, but seeing the Russell 2000, Breadth, and the NASDAQ make new rally highs is impressive.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,566 10,265 10,730 10,044 10,881 ADV 2587 2079
S & P 1139 1096 1150 1075 1189 DECL 483 552
COMP 2326 2243 2358 2218 2412 TRIN 0.41 0.72
NDX 1889 1828 1900 1804 1926 UVOL 964,916k 1,936,416k
10-Yld 3.680 3.572 3.855 3.546 3.910 DVOL 73,153k 370,464k
RUT 666 633 688 618 695 TVOL 1,048,469k 2,343,851k