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Morning @ Cantor
Morning @ Cantor 3/9
BETA TEST
Today’s Stories From Cantor Fitzgerald
Sal Catrini (908) 517-5067
EARLY
US LANDSCAPE****
·
US
Stock Futures dn 5
·
S&P Europe 350 down -0.7%. Materials and
financials are the biggest losers today
·
China’s Stock Index Rises for Third Day
o Asian indices closed mixed as investors
waited for Chinese economic data due later in the week
·
Dollar
rises today – near highs at 7am et
·
Crude,
gold , cpper all lower
·
Barrons:
Oil Can Top $100 a Barrel Soon Enough
·
FX: The GBP was
further weighed down by the Jan Trade data which had larger-than-expected
deficits
·
FX: The
pound weakened, approaching the lowest level against the dollar in 10 months,
as data showed a house-price recovery may lose traction and Moody’s Investors
Service said U.K. banks’ creditworthiness may be at risk.
·
FX: The JPY was
firmer throughout the session.
·
FX,
Rates: The 3-month Libor
yield advantage of the JPY over the USD, a historical anomaly, which since
mid-August last year lent extraordinary buoyancy to the JPY, has at long last
disappeared. That, in combination with the fact that JPY repatriations come to
an end by the end of the Japanese fiscal year on March 31, provides reason for
expectations that the JPY will weaken starting in April … which should prove stock market supportive
– Uwe Parpart
·
FX: Investors
expect 5% appreciation in Yuan in next yr – BBG
·
Rates: China says it
will keep buying US debt – FT
·
Rates: fall in US today
·
Rates: Auctions
o this weeks Treasury auctions will start with
$40Bln 3 year notes.
·
Rates: 2’s 10’s Treasuries is testing resistance
of 283.5, which defines the near term flattening trend. A NY session trade of
284.5 is required to reverse the trend to steepening, in alignment with the
intermediate term trend. Dennis Cortes
·
NY Fed official Brian Sack suggested that
balance sheet will shrink in a "gradual and passive" manner. Moreover, he allowed for possibility that
excess reserves drain may not see the balance sheet reach pre-crisis levels,
with the system functioning smoothly despite the bloated asset levels. TTN
·
Rates: German
government bund yields traded near their highest in more than a week and
Greece’s 10-year bond rose on optimism that international support will help
avert a Greek debt crisis, damping demand for the safest assets.
·
“The
buzz word of the day was ‘EMF’ and the mere idea that has been floated
around helped support spread products,”
- BBG
·
Rates U.S. 10-Year Swap Spread Won't Go Negative,
RBC Capital Says: Chart of Day
o The 10-year swap rate, near its lowest level
in over two decades, won't slip below
the yield on similar-maturity Treasuries
as trading related to corporate debt issuance slows - BBG
·
Rates: Yields
on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage securities that guide U.S. home-loan
rates fell to the lowest relative to Treasuries on record, even as the
scheduled end of Federal Reserve purchases approaches.
o The
difference between yields on Washington-based Fannie Mae’s current-coupon
30-year fixed-rate mortgage bonds and 10- year Treasuries narrowed 0.02
percentage point yesterday to about 0.63 percentage point to match the smallest
spread since at least 1984
·
Rates Japan’s government bonds rose, pushing
30-year yields down to the lowest in five weeks, after a sale of 600 billion
yen ($6.6 billion) in the debt drew stronger demand than the market expected -
BBG
·
Data
mixed at best overnight
o UK Trade deficit widens and not seemed
weather related
o The
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said the number of real-estate agents
and surveyors saying prices rose exceeded those reporting declines by 17
percentage points, lagging behind the 30-point gap predicted in a Bloomberg
survey of economists
o Strong set of economic data from Australia -
markets eye this Wednesday's Aussie jobs report.
o February ANZ Job Advertisements rose 19% -
the largest expansion since at least 2004
o Multi-year high rate of growth in Australia
job advertisements lifts short end of govt bond yields
·
Gold: China's
FX regulator downplays speculation of diversifying holdings into gold – TTN
·
IMF's Strauss-Kahn commented in a speech that
China's CNY currency was undervalued
and he expected changes in CNY currency in the coming months
·
China; SAFE comments
that interest rate levels may be relatively high helped the Property Index in
Shanghai gain nearly 3%. – TTN
·
China; PBOC Vice Gov
Su reiterated its commitment to accommodative "relatively loose"
policy for the rest of 2010, also noting that current liquidity levels are
sufficient for further gains in Chinese equities – TTN
·
Jobs:
Second-Quarter Hiring Plans in U.S. Stable, Manpower
·
M&A: Mall owner General Growth Properties has bolstered its
case for exiting from bankruptcy as a stand-alone company by lining up nearly
$4 billion in commitments from creditors Fairholme Capital Management and
Pershing Square Capital Management
·
M&A: MOELLER MAERSK (-1.82%) is rumoured to be interested in
acquiring Greece-based group DryShips. Shares in the Nasdaq-listed company
jumped 7.6% yesterday – S&P
·
EU: financials rotated lower following Moody's
commentary that UK banks that have yet to secure funding could see ratings cuts
as governments
·
China; Fitch retained its negative outlook on the
German based insurance sector in a move the lowered related names.
·
Tech:
CSCO conf today in focus
on big internet anncmt , stk up 3.5%
yesterday - videocast at 11am et today
·
Tech:
TXN: UPs Outlook AS Expected, HIGH BAR GOING IN..
LOWER LEAD TIMES UNNERVES STREET ; orders strong
·
EU: Tech related
plays have traded better throughout the session following improved guidance from
US based Texas Instruments [TXN] that came from the groups mid-quarter update
·
EU: Defensive food producers are firm
·
EU: Pharma stocks rebound from yesterday's fall
·
WEIR (+5.65%) raises its FY10 guidance,
·
H&R
Block..HRB dn 5% after hrs….reported…Mgmt did not reinstate guidance that it withdrew Feb 24 – street
worried about five remaining weeks of tax season!! Recall gave interim results
Feb 15 ; client adds don’t impress
·
EADS
shares dn 5% - results
that missed analyst estimates; scrapping its dividend
·
copper producer Antofagasta
Plc dn 2% - reported results that missed
analyst estimates
·
BA trades up this am: Northrop and EADS to Drop Bid for
Tanker; leaving its rival, Boeing, as
the likely winner of one of the Pentagon’s largest contracts. BBG
·
Hyundai
Heavy forecasted slow recovery in orders going forward,
·
Russia’s biggest steelmaker
Severstal dn 3% - Posts Unexpected Loss on Currency, Tax
o “Severstal’s Russian steel and mining
divisions were profitable, while its overseas steel operations remain
dilutive,” BBG
·
CMA COMERICA BEGINS OFFERING OF $800M COMMON
STOCK
o Outside largest institutions, USB, PNC, BBT
and now CMA are the large regional lenders that have pursued/ completed TARP
repayment
·
H&R
Block..HRB dn 5% after hrs….reported…Mgmt did not reinstate guidance that it withdrew Feb 24 – street
worried about five remaining weeks of tax season!! Recall gave interim results
Feb 15 ; client adds don’t impress
·
Yikes!! TM: Calif. Prius Nearly Crashes After Gas Pedal
Fails
o High-speed
Toyota driver rescued by California Highway Patrol
o A
California Highway Patrol helped stop a runaway Toyota Prius after the car’s
accelerator became stuck at high speed.
o http://wjz.com/consumer/california.Prius.stuck.2.1546681.html
·
Obama
Turns Up the Volume in Health Care Bid - NYT
o In a
high-octane appearance that harked back to his “yes we can” campaign days, Mr.
Obama jettisoned the professorial demeanor that has cloaked many of his public
pronouncements on the issue, instead making an emotional pitch for public
support as he tries to push the legislation through a final series of votes in
Congress in the next several weeks.
·
Healthcare, Student lending: Dem plan to pair
health reform, student lending complicates vote
o
http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/85595-dem-plan-to-twin-healthcare-and-student-lending-complicates-vote-
·
Undecided committee chairmen add to pressure on
healthcare reform vote
o http://thehill.com/homenews/house/85599-undecided-chairmen-add-to-pressure-on-health-vote-
·
Fed speakers include:
§ Chicago Fed President Evans speaks to the
Nat'l Assoc for Business Economics 2010 Economic Policy Conference at 09.30 ET
·
Earnings:
o Companies reporting before the bell: KR
·
Sovereign
Risk stories :
·
Fitch
stated that the US was vulnerable to an interest rate shocks but saw no
pressure on its "AAA" sovereign credit ratings in the short/medium
term. It added that large "AAA" rated countries have exceptional
funding flexibility
·
Supply
has been the dominant theme in European debt markets today. France launched a
new 50 year OAT (lead managers BarCap, BNP, JP and SocGen) while Finland and
Belgium both have opened books on syndicated offerings of their own. Austria
and the Netherlands conducted auctions without any hiccups to report, while the
UK DMO sold £3B in 12 year gilts with a healthy cover ratio above 2. - TTN
·
President
Barack Obama meets today with Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou
·
After a meeting with Papandreou yesterday,
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said he didn’t ask for financial help. The
Greek leader also will consult with congressional leaders and Treasury
Secretary Timothy F. Geithner - BBG
·
In a speech at the Washington-based Brookings
Institution yesterday, Papandreou said the Greek crisis posed a financial risk
to the U.S. – BBG
·
Greece
to Press U.S. to Crack Down on ‘Speculators’ (BBG)
·
Moody’s Investors Service said U.K. banks’
creditworthiness may be at risk.
o Banks may have their financial-strength
ratings cut as state support is withdrawn, Moody’s
·
Fitch Ratings Says U.K. Needs to Make
Stronger Fiscal Adjustment
·
Fitch
saying Portugal may be downgraded- BBG ;
spain macro risk remain high
·
Fitch
saying Greece bailout was too
uncertain to be factored into ratings
·
Fitch
Says Portugal May Be Downgraded If Measures Insufficient
·
Father
of Euro warns on Italy – BBG
o
Mundell Says May Not Be Need For a European
Monetary Fund: “I don’t know if I would immediately jump ahead to create a new
institution. I think you need to find more informal ways of solving this
problem.”
o Mundell Says Euro Is ‘Best Thing’ That
Happened to Europe
o Robert
Mundell, a Nobel laureate in economics for his work on exchange rates, said
speculators are “a big problem for Greece.”
o MUNDELL DOESN'T SEE A EURO-AREA COUNTRY
DEFAULTING
·
European
monetary fund?? Merkel warns of hurdles in EMF plan
o Radical
plans for a European version of the International Monetary Fund to bail out
crisis-hit countries would need a new treaty and the agreement of all European
Union member states, Angela Merkel, Germany’s chancellor, has warned
o http://link.ft.com/r/KC2844/26CQY7/X82E2/QFTXZE/1868HC/W1/h
·
European
monetary fund??
European Central Bank Executive Board member Juergen Stark hasn’t “fully
appreciated” the proposal for a lender of last resort for Europe, said Deutsche
Bank AG Chief Economist Thomas Mayer, who suggested such a fund. BBG
·
Euro
Area Won’t Break Up, OECD’s Padoan Tells Handelsblatt
·
France said today it will hire banks to sell
at least 3 billion euros of 50-year bonds for the first time in five years
·
Dubai: Dubai World’s Chief Restructuring Officer
Aidan Birkett held talks with HSBC Holdings Plc in London yesterday to outline
proposals for the state-owned holding company’s debt restructuring, The
National reported
·
Dubai: Nakheel
Bond Rises to Month High on Dubai World Debt Talks – BBG
·
Dubai: JPMorgan
Sees 20% Haircut, 10-Year Extension on Dubai World Debt
·
IMF
Opposes Ukraine Central Bank Refinancing Plan, Delo Says – BBG
·
-- The International Monetary Fund’s Managing
Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said devaluing the rand is a “short-sighted
view” to solve South Africa’s economic problems. – BBG
TODAY’S
BIG STORIES
·
Equity Wrap:
o S&P futures traded in an
extremely narrow range of only 5.50 points today; it was, in fact, it
was the tightest range for all of 2010 .
o Meanwhile the VIX spent its second day below
18, not far off the January 11th low of 16.86; it has been lower for 15 of the
past 17 sessions. Add to this a Bloomberg story detailing mutual fund cash
levels at their lowest level since 2007, and we have three good reasons (quiet
markets, extreme complacency and a lack of cash) for contrarian investors
to adopt a more cautious stance. Perhaps investors are waiting to see how more
of the macro issues play out.
o Meanwhile, on this side of the Atlantic, the
Fed continues to prepare markets for its upcoming balance sheet reduction (and
liquidity mop up). It will use reverse repos through the money market mutual
fund complex as a primary tool to drain a portion of the excess liquidity
injected during the crisis. It has made test runs totalling about $1B in what could
be an operation many hundreds of times that size.
o stocks have now recouped almost all of the
8.1% mini correction begun in mid January. This makes 1147, the high close for
2010 (also the contract high), an extremely important level.
o M&A news continues: MET will pay about $15.5B for Alico, a unit
of AIG, while Shell Oil and Petro China announced a joint $3B bid for Arrow
energy of Australia. In a "take under", IUSA agreed to be acquired by
CCMP for $463M (IUSA fell 3% on the news). MSCC sweetened its bid for SSTI by
5c to $3.05; the market last Friday seemed to be hoping for more (SSTI fell
5.2% on the news). For more info on these and other situations in the arb
space, contact Mike Maresca (908-517-5070) or Scott Schefrin (212-829-4966).
o It was another quiet day with really nothing
to motivate clients one way or another.
o There were a few pieces out during the day,
one that old us how the vanilla institution is up to they're gills in stocks
with not much more room to invest and then later in the day another piece on
how the hedge fund world just got a bunch of new money(allot of that is
earmarked for debt and other instruments as well as they don't tell you how
guys are still finishing paying they're guys back for 2008
o Some clients we talk to, everyone is as
committed as they are going to be and you might get
some tweaking here or there but most beds have been made and people are
just waiting for a confirmation on the part of the economy before doing anything
else.
o We have seen some frustrated shorts covering,
vanillas rounding out small but for the last few days, seen some people selling stocks across the
board.
o Technically, this market still grinds higher
in spite of having the kind of volume most are looking for that would make
them feel people.
o Breadth to the market had advancing
issues outnumbering declining issues by 1 1/2-1 while internally here, sell
names outnumbered buy names by 1 1/2 -1, albeit very quiet
o Telecom the best performing sector:
o Retail outperforms again
o Managed care pullback:
§ Billy Clark and desk
·
Treasury’s Wrap:
o An extremely quiet session in Treasuries. The
market from open to close tradied in a tight range on very light volume.
Treasuries opened up lower and steeper as this weeks supply both in Treasuries
and Investment Grade weighed down on the market. Treasuries grinded to slightly
higher prices in the late morning settling into a tight range for the entire
afternoon session. At 3PM Treasuries finished mixed with the short end
slightly higher in price and the intermediate to long end lower. 2/10s steepened
by 3.3bps to 282bps.
o this weeks Treasury auctions will start with
$40Bln 3 year notes.
o Primary
Dealer
·
high yield Wrap: dramatic
build-up of the new issue calendar – PN; CDX HY 13 up 1/8 pt Monday
o
Garda World Security Corp. started
off a new week in the high-yield primary market on Monday by pricing a two-part
offering of seven-year notes denominated in U.S. and Canadian dollars. (PN)
o Many
new deals in mkt this week: Boise,
Amstead, International Coal, Parker and Stena deals are all expected to price
sometime this week. . (PN)
o
Harrah’s rises on CMBS amendment; Harrah’s
Operatings bonds were seen up multiple points, some in very active
trading, after the Las Vegas-based gaming giant announced that it had gotten
approval from lenders to extend the maturities . (PN)
·
Convertibles Wrap:
o
Convertibles players were cheered to see two
new-issue launches first thing Monday – marking a change from recent weeks in
which new issuance has been in the doldrums - PN
o
Ciena’s $250
million convertibles bid up to 101 in gray market - PN
·
Investment
grade Wrap: also saw a dramatic build-up of the new
issue calendar
o
DirecTV Holdings LLC, Hasbro, Inc., Bank of
America Corp., BNP Paribas, Ameriprise Financial, Inc., Southern California
Edison Co., DCP Midstream LLC, CME Group Index Services LLC and Bank of England
each sold bonds on a big Monday - PN
o
Secondary IG activity was mixed today as a
large new issue calendar took focus.
Spreads tightened 3-5bps as appetite remains unsatiated for paper as new
issues came at little or no concessions.
As the best example, DTV 5.875 19 went out Friday +147-142 and the new
10yr came at +150. Pre-Moody's upgrade
to Baa3 from Ba2 last Tuesday the 19s had been +162-157. Nice run.
All told, it was over $10BN in issuance, very active for a Monday with
most deals being up-sized.
o
Exisiting paper from DOW 19s (went out
+193-188, 7bps better) to PFE 39s (went out +95-90, 5bps better) was bid up and
traded well on bwic's today. Still
looking to move our ISRELE 27s at +270/olb and still axed in SIEGR 26s - see
Hanauer on both.
o
Ratings Changes: DPS - upgraded by to Baa2
from Baa3 by Moody's, left positive MET - outlook to Negative by Moody's; NHP -
upgraded to BBB from BBB- by S&P, left stable - see Rick Zuck
o
MICHAEL SALEMO
·
Emerging markets were “super busy” on Monday as the primary picked up steam and three issuers from
the financial world moved forward with planned bond deals. PN
·
Deal
moves market of asset-backed securities toward recovery
o The European market for
asset-backed securities is starting to thaw, with Barclays Capital securitizing
£1.4 billion in assets for Alliance & Leicester, a mortgage lender owned by
Banco Santander. The deal is the first benchmark-sized transaction to be fully
sold to investors since mid-2007. "We are further down the road of seeing
pre-crisis structures in the market," said Miray Muminoglu of BarCap. Financial
News Online (U.K.)
(subscription required) (08 Mar.) , Financial
Times
(tiered subscription model) (07 Mar.)
·
Research
indicates use of CLOs will recover in Europe, U.S.
o Moody's Investors Service
released data about collateralized loan obligations in Europe and the U.S.
showing that the use of CLOs likely will pick up once the loan market recovers.
"There is investor interest, but it is down from what it used to be and we
have yet to see all the pieces come into place," said Katherine Frey,
co-head of European structured finance at Moody's. Financial
Times
(tiered subscription model) (08 Mar.)
·
Spreads on
mortgage bonds from Fannie, Freddie hit record low
o The U.S. Federal Reserve is
planning to end its purchases of debt at the end of the month, but yields on
mortgage securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have continued to
decline. JPMorgan Chase said some investors are more interested in the debt at
tighter nominal spreads because the expectation for volatility in interest
rates has declined. Bloomberg (09 Mar.)
·
Fed speak: Sack Says Fast Sale of Fed Assets Risks
Sudden Rise in Rates - BBG
o
Brian Sack, the New York Federal Reserve
Bank’s markets chief, said reducing the central bank’s $2.3 trillion balance
sheet quickly through sales of assets would risk a sudden increase in long-term
interest rates
o
Instead, a “gradual and passive” decline in
assets outlined last month by Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke would limit a
reversal of the low borrowing costs fostered by $1.69 trillion of securities
purchases, Sack said yesterday in a speech in Arlington, Virginia. Bernanke
indicated the Fed wouldn’t sell assets until the recovery from the worst recession
since the 1930s is “more firmly established,” Sack said.
·
Fed Watch: Fed’s
Reach May Be Curbed Under Plan
o
Several high-ranking members of the Senate
Banking Committee have reached a tentative consensus on a plan that would strip
the Federal Reserve of regulatory powers over all but the very largest banks,
those with more than $100 billion in assets, people briefed on the negotiations
said on Monday night
o
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/09/business/economy/09regulate.html?partner=rss&emc=rss
·
Fed
Watch: Fed plans to add
counterparties when draining money from system
o
The
Federal Reserve Bank of New York said it will use additional firms "to
enhance the capacity of such operations to drain reserves beyond what could
likely be conducted through" the Fed's 18 primary dealers. "This is
another step in the laying of the groundwork in what will eventually become
policy normalization," said Dan Greenhaus, chief economic strategist at
Miller Tabak. "The private markets have long known the Fed would have to
expand eligible counterparties. It's a good thing in the respect that the Fed
recognizes that they have to do this." Bloomberg (08 Mar.)
·
·
Jobs:
Second-Quarter Hiring Plans in U.S. Stable, Manpower
o The
number of U.S. employers planning to keep staffing levels unchanged held at a
record high for a second consecutive quarter, signaling sustained job creation
will take time as the economy recovers, a private survey showed
o Manpower., the world’s second-largest provider
of temporary workers, said 73 percent of employers anticipated no change in
hiring from April through June, the same as in the first quarter and the
highest since the group’s records began in 1972. Sixteen percent of respondents
said they anticipated expanding payrolls, while 8 percent projected a decrease.
o The
report adds to evidence that the labor market is stabilizing as the nation
emerges from the worst recession since the 1930s – BBG
·
Jobs: Canada Firms Plan to Add Jobs in Second Quarter, Manpower
·
Jobs: Are unemployment
benefits no longer temporary? WP
o
Millions of Americans have been forced to
rely on unemployment payments for extended periods as the nation struggles
through its longest period of high joblessness in a generation, and critics are
taking aim, saying that the Depression-era program created as a temporary
bridge for laid-off workers is turning into an expensive entitlement.
o
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/03/08/AR2010030804927.html
·
Jobs: Royal Mail reaches pay deal with workers
o
Royal Mail lifts one of the biggest clouds
over its future with a pay deal for
postal workers in which rises are likely to be worth 6.9 per cent over three
years and greater job security.
o
http://link.ft.com/r/KC2844/26CQY7/X82E2/QFTXZE/8AZACK/W1/h
o
·
China says it will keep buying US debt - FT
o
China’s investments in US Treasury bonds are
continuing “every day” and should not be politicised, according to the head of
China’s foreign exchange administration, which manages the country’s $2,400bn
in foreign exchange reserves
o
http://link.ft.com/r/KC2844/26CQY7/X82E2/QFTXZE/XTHTUV/W1/h
·
ECB's Weber stated that the
German economic recovery remained intact and that the global recovery was gaining
strength. He added that the recovery was uneven and at different speeds and
scales depending on region. TTN
·
Morgan Stanley’s Roach Sees ‘False Alarm’ Over China
Bubbles - BBG
o
Stephen Roach, the chairman of Morgan Stanley
Asia, said he saw a “false alarm” in tales of asset bubbles or an imminent
banking crisis in China.
o
Roach, who commented in an e-mailed note,
said that Chinese authorities recognize that stimulus must be tempered and “have been among the first to
implement post-crisis exit strategies.”
·
Hedge
Funds Pulled in $7.1
Billion in January
o
The inflow in January is a very positive sign
for the hedge fund industry," said Sol Waksman, CEO of BarclayHedge, the
tracking company that compiled the data. "The first month of the year
typically delivers a redemption-driven outflow."
o
http://www.cnbc.com/id/35763606
·
Hedge Funds New York beats London in
luring biggest hedge funds
o Coming out of the recession, New York held
onto its position as the world's favorite home for hedge funds, with more than
$1 billion in assets under management. London was home to 65 big hedge funds
last year, but that declined to 55 this year. During the same period, major
hedge funds in New York slipped from 120 to 118. Forbes/StreetTalk blog (08 Mar.) , Telegraph (London) (07 Mar.)
·
commodity markets New
money inflow set to make records
o
Financial inflows into commodity markets in
2010 should match or beat the record $70bn of new money that was invested last year,
according to almost two-thirds of the investors attending the sixth annual
Barclays Capital commodity investor conference held in Barcelona last weekend.
o
“The results of the survey are a very
positive vote of confidence by investors in commodities as an asset class,”
said Kevin Norrish, managing director, commodities research at Barclays
Capital: “We have found over the six years of the survey that the audience’s
response to our questions on their current and planned exposures to commodities
have provided a pretty reliable guide to the fortunes of the asset class over
the next year.”
o
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/fedea90e-2aa5-11df-b7d7-00144feabdc0.html
·
Japan FX: Companies
may repatriate as much as 1.5
trillion yen ($16.6 billion) of overseas
profit in March
o
`There's a need to be aware of the high possibility for yen
appreciation pressure, at least on a
temporary basis.'' - BBG
·
China: The yuan is
facing increased pressure to appreciate as a widening interest-rate differential spurs inflows of funds through
"underground money shops,"
China’s top currency regulator said.
BBG
·
China: Gold ‘Unlikely’
to Be Main China Reserve Investment - BBG
o
Gold is “unlikely” to be China’s primary
investment to diversify its reserve holdings because of price risks, Yi Gang,
head of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, said today.
o
The “gold price has had handsome gains in
recent years,” Yi said at a briefing in Beijing today. Still, “if we look at
the past 30 years, it had big ups and downs.” China is the world’s largest
producer of gold and the second-biggest consumer after India
·
China: China’s Foreign ETF Plan Signals Market Reform, West
China Says - BBG
o
China’s plan to introduce exchange- traded
funds that track overseas stock indexes signals a push to create more
opportunities for investors as the market matures, according to West China
Securities
o
The Shanghai Stock Exchange will try to
introduce exchange- traded funds that track foreign indexes this year
·
China thinks expectation of
rising yuan will bring capital inflow
o
Yi
Gang, who leads China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange, said
anticipated strengthening of the yuan is likely to attract foreign investment
to the country. Cross-border arbitrage funds are likely to pursue opportunities
in China because of its relatively high interest rates and possible increase of
the yuan, Yi said. Reuters (08 Mar.)
·
Protectionism,
interrupted : Brakes
applied to protectionist surge – FT
o
The number of new restrictions on
international trade has slowed sharply, according to an official study
commissioned by the G20 group of governments, suggesting a feared surge of
protectionism has not arrived
o
http://link.ft.com/r/KC2844/26CQY7/X82E2/QFTXZE/72A2O8/W1/h
·
Proposal to create European
Monetary Fund draws broad support
o
A
proposal by German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble to create the European
Monetary Fund was greeted with support from throughout the region. The fund, to
deal with monetary problems in the eurozone, would be patterned after the
International Monetary Fund. EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli
Rehn said the European Commission is ready to support the proposal. German
Chancellor Angela Merkel publicly backed the plan. Spiegel Online (Germany) (08 Mar.) , Google/Agence France-Presse (08 Mar.) , Financial Times (tiered subscription model) (08 Mar.)
·
A social vision for the world after socialism
o By John Lloyd
o
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4b33ffea-2aef-11df-886b-00144feabdc0.html
·
EU climate chief
delivers treaty blow
o world
will almost certainly fail to draw up a new treaty on climate change this year,
the minister in charge of last year’s Copenhagen summit has admitted,
delivering a heavy blow to the barely flickering hopes for a swift global
settlement.
o http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d4fe86d0-2ace-11df-886b-00144feabdc0.html
·
Obama
Criticizes Insurers in Bid to Sway Public on Health Plan -
BBG
o
Obama and his top health official are
stepping up attacks on the nation’s insurers as they work to sway public
opinion and persuade lawmakers to back U.S. health-care legislation.
o Obama
told an audience outside Philadelphia yesterday that insurers have calculated
that higher premiums can more than make up for the loss of customers who can’t
afford coverage. Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius
highlighted her call to insurers to post information justifying their rates
·
Immigrant
rights leaders critical of Democrats – WP
o Leaders
of nearly a dozen grass-roots immigrant rights groups excoriated President
Obama and congressional Democrats on Monday, accusing them of moving too slowly
to legalize the status of undocumented immigrants and citing a record number of
deportations in 2009.
COMPANY
NEWS WITH MACRO IMPLICATIONS
·
H&R
Block..HRB dn 5% after hrs….reported…Mgmt did not reinstate guidance that it withdrew Feb 24 – street
worried about five remaining weeks of tax season!! Recall gave interim results
Feb 15 ; client adds don’t impress
·
THO
Thor Industries reports - MIXED..EX
ITEMS ok. OUTLOOK ok. BACKLOGS GOOD. SOME
ON STREET RASIE ESTS.
·
FEED:
AgFeed Industries guides mixed at best
·
FRPT +10.7% (earnings)
·
Trading Analysis: Arbitrage is
possible under CESR's short-selling rules
o The Committee of European Securities
Regulators outlined a plan for a pan-European disclosure regime for short
selling. The plan is expected to help level the playing field, but it could
also make arbitrage a possibility because discrepancy between nations could be
a challenge. "To the extent that national regulators impose extra
requirements, there could still be regulatory arbitrage," said Peter
Green, a partner at Morrison & Foerster. "But with most shares trades
involving international parties, it would be difficult to do much
domestically." IFLR.com (09 Mar.)
·
Electronic Stock Trading to Boost Share in Asia, Greenwich Says - BBG
o
Electronic trading systems will boost their
share of Asian equities transactions to 28 percent in the next three years as
investors demand speed and lower costs
·
Electronic Stock Trading Tullett hangs on
to phone trading
o
The interdealer broker says it is
'inconceivable' that over-the-counter trading would move entirely on to pure
electronic platforms
o
http://link.ft.com/r/KC2844/26CQY7/X82E2/QFTXZE/EWXWMN/W1/h
o
·
Demand: Hyundai Heavy Expects Global Ship Orders to
Drop for Third Year - BBG
o
Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., the world’s
largest shipbuilder, expects demand for vessels to fall for at least a third
year in 2010 as shipping lines pare expansion plans to curb overcapacity
o
Shipowners may order about 10 million tons of
new vessels worldwide this year, Chief Executive Officer Min Keh Sik said in an
interview today in Gwacheon, a city near Seoul. That compares with 18.6 million
tons last year and 102.7 million tons in 2008, according to figures from
Clarkson Plc, the world’s largest shipbrokers
o
“There is nothing to expect in terms of new
orders until next year,” Min said. “It will be a slow and marginal recovery.”
·
Demand: China February Car Sales Rise 55 Percent on
Stimulus - BBG
o
China’s passenger-car sales rose 55 percent
in February from a year earlier as consumers responded to extended economic
stimulus measures and shopped for vehicles before the Lunar New Year.
·
Inflation??: Power
Recovery to Boost Calpine, NRG Before U.S. Utility Companies Benefit – BBG
o
Calpine Corp. and NRG Energy Inc., the
biggest independent power producers in
the U.S., may outperform utility shares as
electricity demand recovers, because
they'll be able to raise prices faster.
o
Analysts' average price targets indicate
Calpine will rise 19 percent and NRG 21
percent in the next 12 months, compared with
gains of less than 5 percent at such utility
owners as Southern Co. and Duke Energy Corp.
·
Inflation??: Sinopec Shanghai Says China Should Raise Fuel
Prices
o
China should increase fuel prices to prevent
domestic refiners from incurring losses in March and April, said a unit of
China Petroleum & Chemical Corp., the country’s biggest refiner.
·
M&A: SAN.FP Sanofi-Aventis and Merck (MRK) to
combine animal health units
·
M&A: WOR Worthington takeover
speculation in trade publication -- Columbus Dispatch; The SBB article saying that U.S. Steel (X) might be looking at Worthington.
·
M&A: Mall owner General Growth Properties has bolstered its
case for exiting from bankruptcy as a stand-alone company by lining up nearly
$4 billion in commitments from creditors Fairholme Capital Management and
Pershing Square Capital Managemen
o
The
pledges -- added to $2.6 billion that Canadian property investor
Brookfield Asset Management already has agreed to sink into General Growth --
would allow the mall owner to eliminate most of its $7 billion in unsecured
debt
o
General Growth's board has yet to vote on the
proposal.
o
“If
BAM moves ahead with this structure, it removes most if not all uncertainty
from their previous bid, and removes any doubt to whether it’s credible or
not,” - BBG
·
M&A: Maersk
Says Won’t Comment on DryShips Acquisition Speculation – BBG
·
M&A: Shell May Need to Increase Arrow Bid,
Bernstein Says - BBG
·
M&A: Marsh & McLennan May Sell Kroll Unit
for $1.3 Billion, FT Says
·
M&A: Energy:
Shell’s Arrow Bid May Spur Coal-Bed Gas Takeovers - BBG
·
M&A, Energy, demand: -
Total SA, Europe’s biggest refiner, will press ahead with plant sales to reduce
oil-processing capacity by about a fifth amid
expectations that demand won’t pick up anytime soon.
o
“Deals are still possible,” Michel Benezit,
Total’s head of refining, said in a telephone interview late yesterday from
Paris. “Buyers can be found. It’s a select market so things will take
time.” BBG
·
M&A: UK Coal not aware of cash proposal from any source ….UK
COAL has noted the speculation in Daily Mail
·
M&A: Energy:
Exxon Lowers Bar, Buys Assets Previously Deemed
Unattractive - BBG
o
Exxon Mobil Corp., BP Plc and Total SA are
investing in assets that previously weren’t worth their time or money after
oil-rich nations reduced access to reserves and exploration drilling faltered
o
Efforts to find new sources of crude and
natural gas are failing more often, with San Ramon, California-based Chevron Corp.’s
exploration failure rate jumping to 35 percent last year from 10 percent in
2008.
o
Countries such as Venezuela are making it
more expensive for companies to develop their resources
·
M&A: JSDA
Reed's (REED) and Jones Soda have entered into a LOI regarding a merger; JSDA
announces departure of CEO ($0.84)
·
M&A: SHANKS GROUP:
Ends talks with Carlyle after GBP1.20 offer – S&P
·
Airlines: UAUA
UAL Corp reports Feb consolidated traffic +2.1% ($17.52)
·
Airlines: AAI
Air Tran Holdings reduces Q1 capacity guidance to 6% from prior 7-8% in
presentation slides
·
Airlines: AMR Corp attendants to meet with
mediators next week; to ask NMB to declare talks at an impasse--Bloomberg
·
Airlines: US Airways,
Delta Lead Traffic Decline on Storm Cancellations - BBG
o
US Airways Group Inc. and Delta Air Lines
Inc. led the six largest U.S. carriers to a 1.7 percent drop in February
traffic as storms caused thousands of flight cancellations
o
US Airways had the widest traffic decline at
4.7 percent, and said the storms reduced its revenue by about $30 million last
month. UAL Corp.’s United Airlines said yesterday its traffic slid 0.5 percent
in that time, and that the storms lowered revenue by $40 million.
·
Airlines: FINNAIR:
Says February traffic fell 9.3%
·
Airlines: SKYW SkyWest reports Feb traffic +11.6%;
capacity +9.1%
·
Airlines: Aer Lingus (AERL.ID).. Trading higher post
results/
·
Autos:
o
Toyota's
defense against allegations of electrical design flaw was dented by today's
instance of a Prius driver losing control of acceleration on a California
freeway, pushing the speed of the vehicle to 90mph requiring police
assistance - TTN
o
Honda's
operating profit from North America operations may rise 150% in current fiscal
year - TTN
o
Mazda was said to implement a brake override
system in all of its new models. TTN
o
China
Association of Automobile Manufacturers forecasting a slower pace of China new
vehicle sales than 46% seen in 2009 - estimating a natural annual growth rate
of 10-15% without govt auto-related stimulus policies - TTN
o
Automotive industry, regulators 'too cozy' –
WP
§ Dozens of former federal officials are playing leading
roles in helping carmakers handle federal investigations of auto defects,
including those for Toyota's runaway-acceleration problems
o BMW Group Feb sales +14% y/y at 91,758 cars -- Dow Jones
o
Audi
(VOW.GR) trades lower… reports FY net €1.3B vs Bloomberg €1.57B
·
TMT
sector news:
o
CSCO conf today in focus on big internet anncmt , stk up 3.5% yesterday - videocast at 11am
et today
o TXN: UPs
Outlook AS Expected, HIGH BAR GOING IN.. LOWER LEAD TIMES UNNERVES STREET ;
orders strong
o
CSCO offers remedies in EU review of Tandberg
acquisition- BBG
o SNE: to
start selling 3-D TVs in June- AP
o SNDK,
Wafers: SNDK begins to supply NAND flash wafers, say memory
module makers- Digitimes
o PV
Module Makers: Taiwan-based PV module makers raise quotes
by 2.7-2.8%- Digitimes
o Notebook
Makers: Quanta, Wistron and Inventec see February 2010 revenues
down on month- Digitmes
o DELL axes
10% of employees at Taiwan Design Center- Commercial Times
o Chip
equipment spending to grow 76% in 2010, says Gartner- Digitimes
o LCD
panel makers cutting costs to improve profitability, says
iSuppli- digitimes
o Chips: IC
Insights boosts 2010 chip growth forecast to 27%- EETimes
o GOOG,
DISH: Google and Dish Network testing TV search on
Android-based set-top boxes- EnGadget
o CVC: DIS,
TWC: Cablevision / Disney fight may be more about Time Warner Cable says
the NY Post
o http://www.nypost.com/p/news/business/abc_of_tv_battle_time_warner_cable_hoX2npSMMKhlkWD8ZNANBO
o DIOD
raises Q1 revenue guidance
o Telefonica eyes
group to bid on Mexico fiber optic- Reuters
o CHINA CDC
CHINA +2.9% (earnings), services biz miss,,…,,outlook OK .
o UMC United Micro reports Feb revenue NT$8.63B
vs. prior year NT$3.14BMVIS
-4.9% (earnings)
o HOKU up 10% - s $30M second tranche loan
o TIVO
+1.8% (earnings).
o DIOD Diodes raises Q1 revenue guidance
o
DEUTSCHE TELEKOM: In talks to buy clickandbuy – S&P
o
EU TMT trading: Very,very thin
on the ground today: Telecoms outperforming the mkt as profit taking in Banks
hits sector
o
Vodafone cutting UK
workforce by 375 as an ongoing cost saving plan
o
Inmarsat FY EBITDA
$594.2mln Full Yr revenue $1.038bln and sees good trading conditions in
all mkts, however good news is priced in
as stock trading down 2%
o Deutsche Post 09 Revenues 46.2bln euros and q4
net profit 220mln euros in line with estimates
o Google Tests TV Search Service With Dish
Network: WSJ
§ The
service runs on TV set-top boxes containing Google software. In the latest
development to combine Internet content with conventional TV, the service will
allows users to search content from satellite-TV service as well as video from
Web sites like Google's YouTube, WSJ said. It will also allow users to
personalize a lineup of shows.
o CVC
Cablevision / Disney
fight may be more about Time Warner Cable says the NY Post
§ http://www.nypost.com/p/news/business/abc_of_tv_battle_time_warner_cable_hoX2npSMMKhlkWD8ZNANBO
·
Solar
sector:
o JPMorgan
downgrades ENER, ESLR, FSLR
o Phoenix Solar Shares Jump 10 percent After EPS Beats Analyst Estimates
§ The German solar park developer, which said earnings
before interest and tax in 2009 fell to 12.2 million euros, predicted that
profit and revenue this year will grow.
o Centrosolar
Group AG gained 2.3 percent to 3.38 euros after SES Research GmbH recommended
buying shares of the maker of solar cells
o SOPW Solar Power, Inc. receives initial commitment
of $24.7M from Recovery Act funds
·
Consumer sector
o HOTELS: MAR
Marriott plans to double number of properties in Europe over the next few years
reports the WSJ
o NESTLE
(+0.95%) climbs as JP Morgan upgrades the shares to overweight, saying the group
is less exposed to the volatility of raw material prices than UNILEVER (+0.55%)
or DANONE (-0.37%).
o CASY
-4% (earnings)
o ANF WSJ is cautious on Abercrombie &
Fitch, slightly positive on Limited Brands (LTD)
o SSI
SSI Stage Stores reports
o MC FP -1.28% LVMH downgraded to mkt perf. vs
outperform @ Bernstein
o IMT LN -2.84% rated sell vs neutral @ UBS
o LVMH
(-1.34%) suffers a downgrade to market perform at Bernstein.
o
o Consumer pos?: Merlin, the world’s second-largest
theme-park owner
§ Merlin said last month it was considering all
options for future ownership structure, including an initial public offering.
§ Merlin
Entertainments Group Ltd., the U.K. owner of Legoland and Madame Tussauds, said
full-year profit increased 17 percent as it attracted visitors with new rides
and attractions at its theme parks. - BBG
o Asia Consumer: Want Want gained 11 percent - climbed the most in almost two years in
Hong Kong; Hl largest maker of rice
cakes and flavored milk
o Asia Consumer: Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd up 4%
., the operator of Hong Kong’s Sogo stores, rose to the highest in a month on
the city’s stock exchange after saying last year’s profit increased 23 percent.
·
Financial News
o GGP
+2.6% (Fairholme, Pershing investment plan).
o HRB
-4.7% (earnings),
o SUSQ
-3.5% ($300M equity offering),
o CMA
-2.4% ($800M stock offering).
o
Moody’s say that UK
banks face ratings cuts as aid is withdrawn so Barclays, Lloyds, RBS, HSBC all
down between 1 and 2%.
o
UBS cuts EPS
estimates for Italian Banks, UCG and ISP down 2%
o
UBS (-2%) says their
share buyback has formally ended.
o FDIC seeks new levy on big banks FT
§ Sheila
Bair, chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, on Monday said
that large financial institutions should pay an upfront levy for the costs of
their failure, although she signalled willingness to compromise. As regulatory
reform talks grind towards a conclusion in the Senate, Bair told the FT that
she was still pushing for a pre-funded “resolution authority” to wind down the
next Lehman Brothers-style failure, even though the biggest banks faced an
additional $90bn tax announced by President Barack Obama.
o Gartmore Group traded up 4.2 percent ., the money manager that began trading its
shares in London in December, posted a profit in 2009 as the company cut its
debt.
§ “We are starting to see the positive
impact of the changes we have made, notably the impact of the new hires and
product launches,” Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Meyer said - BBG
o
Canada Banks May Sell More Covered Bonds on Rule Change: Canada
Credit - BBG
§ Canadian lenders including Royal Bank of Canada may find
it easier to tap the $3.25 trillion covered bond market as proposed laws
increase demand from European investors
§ The federal government said in its March 4 budget that it
would add legislation setting out rules for covered bonds, debt securities
backed by assets such as mortgages. The legislation aims to “increase legal
certainty” for investors, according to the budget documents.
o Shore Capital
up 5% -
Swings Into Profit on Asset Management - BBG Arrow
§ “Last year was a terrific one for us, with all areas of
our business firing on all cylinders,” Chairman Howard Shore said in an
interview. “The balance sheet turned around in the second half and we got
increases in valuations.”
·
Healthcare:
o RSCR Res-Care reports IN LINE WITH PREANNCD.. guidance was relatively in-line
o MGN
+5.6% - data
o WX
-6.7% (earnings)
o M&A:
SAN.FP Sanofi-Aventis and Merck (MRK) to combine animal health units
o
Ark Therapeutics: European regulators have recommended that Ark
conduct further clinical trials on its brain cancer drug, Cerepro, before
approval can be granted. The company has dropped its appeal against the
decision, whilst announcing that it has received approaches that may or may not
lead to an offer being made for the company. No suitors were named. 3 pence
easier, 22% at 10.625 pence. 09.54 GMT
·
Real Estate
o Real Estate: City
of London Developers to Start Skyscrapers as Rents End Two-Year Drop - BBG
§ Brookfield
Asset Management Inc., owner of a stake in the
U.K.'s tallest building, is about to start constructing an even higher tower in the City of London. The
64-story Pinnacle is currently the only
major office project scheduled for
completion after 2012 in the City, the capital's main financial district. That may be about to change.
Brookfield is seeking a site to build
another office tower, this time as developer
o LII LN -3% figs Liberty intl.
o
Liberty International Plc, the largest U.K.
mall owner, slid 2.6 percent to 493.3 pence after announcing plans to split
into two listed companies to offer investors a choice between shopping centers
and London properties
·
MINING
o Antofagasta (-1.9%) FY net misses, reaffirms 2010
guidance.
o Hochschild (-3.6%) to increase stake in Gold
Resource Corp to 29%.
·
ENERGY
o Int'l Power ( +1.1%), FY figures top-end.
·
CHEMICALS
o Akzo Nobel (+1%), Increase in China revenues. BBG
·
Weir rallied 6.3 percent - reported
o
Weir Group: Engineering company Weir Group reported a 6%
rise in full-year pretax profit. Dividend has been raised 14% to 21 pence from
18.5 pence a share. (Up 6.5 %, 57 pence. 09.45 GMT)
·
Deutsche
Post AG reported a fourth-quarter loss and full-year earnings
that missed estimates and analysts
·
KLOECKNER:
Posts FY09 EBITDA loss of EUR 68m
·
FASTWEB:
Postpones AGM to study court case
·
ASHTEAD:
9M underlying profit in line
·
INMARSAT:
FY EBITDA up 12%, raises dividend
·
ST IVES GROUP: 1h PTP up 35.48%, loses big contract
·
International Power (IPR.LN) report,
trades up today
·
Novolipetsk Steel says to boost 2010
steel output +17% to 12.4M tons – Bloomberg
·
carbon steel Rautaruukki Oyj climbed 5.1 percent to 14.96
euros. Finland’s biggest producer of carbon steel was raised to “buy” from
“hold” at Deutsche Bank AG.
·
UK Coal: Uk Coal, owner of what remains of Britain’s
coalfields and a vast “brown-field” property portfolio, are still subject to
speculation that one of their largest holders, John Whittaker of Peel Holdings
has been approached for his stake. The stock closed 3 pence stronger yesterday
(52.5p) and continued to rise this morning (currently up 10% @ 57.75. 09.40
GMT). Whittaker rejected the offer because he is currently working on his own
plans to launch a cash offer for the group.
BBG,
·
Scott Wilson Group: Design and Engineering consultancy said that
underlying business performance was consistent with current market
expectations. Continued growth abroad in China, India and Eastern Europe. 7.25
% better at 92 pence. 09.57 GMT.
·
China
Life, the nation’s biggest insurer, advanced 3.3 percent
after saying 2009 profit probably more than tripled.
·
Poly
Real Estate, China’s second-largest developer by market value,
gained 4.4 percent to 20.28 yuan after saying sales rose 41 percent in the
first two months
·
China
Southern Airlines Co. rallied to a seven-month high as it
announced a share sale
OVERSEAS
ACTION***
·
Europe
dn 0.7%
·
Nikkei
(0.17%);
·
Hang Seng +0.05%;
·
Shanghai
Composite +0.52%
·
Asian
indices closed mixed as investors waited for Chinese economic data due later in
the week
·
Data:
o UK Trade deficit widens in Jan
o Fitch analysts cautious on Portugal despite
recent austerity targets
o Strong set of economic data from Australia
o Japan Feb preliminary Machine Tool orders
+217.3% vs prior +189.4%.
o Australia Feb NAB Business Confidence 19 vs
year ago 15.
o Norway Q1 Consumer Confidence: 18.5 v 17.0e
o New Zealand Feb Card Spending m/m: -0.4% v
0.4% (first negative figure since June 2009)
o (UK) UK Feb RICS House Price Balance: 17% v
30%e (6-month low)
o (UK)
UK Feb BRC Retail Sales Monitor SSS: 2.2% v -0.7% prior; Total Sales: 4.5% v
1.2% prior
o Australia FEB NAB Business Conditions: 8 v 3
prior; Business Confidence: 19 v 15 Prior (3-month high)
o Australia FEB ANZ Job Advertisements m/m:
19.1% v -8.1% prior (multi-year high)
INVESTMENT BANKING WRAP
Cisco
(CSCO) offers remedies in EU review of Tandberg acquistion; EU review of deal
extended to 29-Mar – wires
Daimler (DAI.GR) confirms sale of Tata
Motors (TTM) stake, proceeds will be booked in Q1. Royal Wessanen (WES.LN)
launches after yesterday's close and prices secondary offer.
M&A
·
GGP General Growth Properties has bolstered its case for exiting from bankruptcy as a
stand-alone company by lining up nearly $4 billion in commitments from
creditors Fairholme Capital Management and Pershing Square Capital Managemen
o
The pledges -- added to $2.6 billion
that Canadian property investor Brookfield Asset Management already has agreed
to sink into General Growth -- would allow the mall owner to eliminate most of
its $7 billion in unsecured debt
o
General Growth's board has yet to vote on the
proposal.
o
“If BAM moves ahead with this
structure, it removes most if not all uncertainty from their previous bid, and
removes any doubt to whether it’s credible or not,” - BBG
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0819641920100309
o
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aUPUeMe9OHKI&pos=5
·
RDS, PTRl May Need to Increase Arrow Bids,
Bernstein Says- BBG
o
Royal Dutch Shell
Plc and PetroChina may need to increase their bid for Arrow Energy Ltd. by as
much as 18 percent to A$3.9 billion ($3.5 billion) based on similar
transactions in Australia
o
“This is relatively
cheap compared to historic deals, suggesting there may be possible upside to
come for Arrow shareholders,”
o
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aOyrutLdExfY&pos=4
·
XOM Exxon Lowers Bar,
Buys Assets Previously Deemed Unattractive- BBG
o
Exxon Mobil Corp.,
BP, and Total SA are investing in assets that previously weren’t worth their
time or money after oil-rich nations reduced access to reserves and exploration
drilling faltered
o
major producers are
investing in projects they once eschewed, including geologically complex oil
and gas fields, called “unconventional” by the industry to distinguish them
from the easy-to-get oil and gas of earlier years
o
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601085&sid=a5a4C5TNqjpA
·
Barclays was speculated yesterday to be set
to receive a significant investment from a China-based party- the Times
·
Total Says Refinery Sales ‘Possible’ Amid
Weak Demand, Margins - BBG
o
Total SA, Europe’s
biggest refiner, will press ahead with plant sales to reduce oil-processing
capacity by about a fifth amid expectations that demand won’t pick up anytime
soon
o
“Deals are still
possible,” Michel Benezit, Total’s head of refining, said in a telephone
interview late yesterday from Paris. “Buyers can be found. It’s a select market
so things will take time.”
·
Autos:
Tata Motors Falls After Daimler Said to Sell Stake- BBG
o
The German
automaker offloaded its 25.6 million shares, equal to 5.3 percent of Tata, for
750 rupees each, the person said. That’s a 6 percent discount to yesterday’s
close
o
The market is
giving a good price,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, chief strategist at SMC
Capitals Ltd. in New Delhi. “Daimler and other European automobile makers are
facing pressure.”
o
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601091&sid=aUAhMcmug4R4
·
CME agrees Bolsa Mexicana tie-up- FT
o
CME Group, the
largest US futures exchange, deepened ties with Central and Latin American
derivatives markets on Monday by agreeing a partnership with Bolsa Mexicana de
Valores, operator of Mexico’s MexDer futures exchange
o
The move comes
weeks after CME expanded an existing alliance with BM&FBovespa, the
Brazilian exchange group, after the São Paolo-based company raised its stake in
the Chicago operator to 5%. The CME already owns 5% of BM&FBovespa
·
SKS Shanks Falls Most in Nine Years After
Carlyle Talks End- BBG
o
Shanks Group Plc
fell the most in nine years in London trading after saying talks with a fund
managed by Washington, D.C.-based leveraged-buyout firm Carlyle Group over a
possible takeover offer ended
o
“The board’s
response to the approach has always been about price,” Chairman Adrian Auer
said in today’s statement.
o
“Although the
timing of their approach was not of our choosing, we have engaged fully and
professionally, but Carlyle has failed to offer a price which (in the view of
the board) properly reflects the value of the group.”
·
Unfriendly deals get
even less friendly these days- Reuters
o
In recent weeks,
Novartis AG has launched an offer for Alcon (ACL.N) that includes a lesser
value or squeeze-out for minority shareholders. Astellas Pharma launched a
hostile bid for OSI Pharmaceuticals (OSIP.O) and sued to block OSI's poison
pill. Meanwhile, Air Products and Chemicals (APD.N) launched a hostile bid for
Airgas Inc (ARG.N) and the two companies traded lawsuits.
o
"Hostile
activity picks up when merger activity picks up, and generally there is
litigation associated with it,"
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0824432820100308
·
CSCO Cisco offers remedies in EU review of
Tandberg acquisition
·
RBS identifies partner for
China securities JV- Reuters
o
RBS's long-awaited
entry into the Chinese securities market will enable the lender to underwrite
stock and bond offerings in China, which is seen as a source of strong growth
by many global investment banks
o
UBS UBS.VX, Credit
Suisse (CSGN.VX), Goldman Sachs (GS.N), Morgan Stanley (MS.N), Deutsche Bank
(DBKGn.DE) are among global banks with securities joint ventures in China.
Citigroup (C.N) has an interbank government bond joint venture, but not a JV
which allows it to underwrite equity.
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE62801P20100309
·
Deutsche Telekom Seeks All of Clickandbuy-
FT
o
Deutsche Telekom AG
is in talks to buy the stake in Internet payment service Clickandbuy that it
doesn’t already own
o
The German company
owns about 20 percent of Clickandbuy through a subsidiary
·
Banco Popular Shares in Banco de Sabadell
rose 3.4% yesterday amid talks that Banco Popular might make a takeover offer -
BBG
·
MMC Marsh & McLennan selling Kroll for
$1.3 bln-FT
o
Marsh &
McLennan Cos Inc (MMC.N), the No 2. global insurance broker, has put up its
security consulting business Kroll up for sale for $1.3 billion and received
offers from several major private equity firms in the first round of bidding
o
Three firms, The Carlyle
Group [CYL.UL], Apax Partners and General Atlantic, submitted bids in late
February by the deadline for first expressions of interest
o
Those people also
said BC Partners may also want to make an offer along with one or two trade
bidders
·
Worthington Industries called ripe for a
takeover- Columbus Dispatch
o
Steel Business
Briefing said on Sunday that Nucor Corp.'s recent announcement of a venture to
operate a steel processor might prompt other large steel producers to acquire
processors as well.
o
"Worthington
has been on the radar screen of a number of international and domestic
players," said Christopher Plummer, managing director of Metal Strategies.
He was speaking in general, not about any specific takeover possibility.
·
Ciments Francais, Italcementi dea impossible
says Italcementi CEO- S&P
·
Maersk Says Won’t Comment on DRYS DryShips
Acquisition Speculation- BBG
o
A.P. Moeller-Maersk
A/S said it won’t comment on speculation that it may acquire DryShips the Greek
owner of deep-water drilling rigs and dry-bulk vessels whose shares rose
yesterday on such reports
·
Spurned by banks, China property firms
court PE funds- Reuters
o
Capital-hungry
Chinese developers are turning to real estate private equity funds this year as
big domestic banks tighten lending to help Beijing curb property prices, a top
concern for most Chinese
o
Foreign banks and
buyout funds have been in active discussions with private equity specialist
lawyers to form property funds since the start of the year, and some
multi-hundred-million dollar funds are ready to go, according to people
involved in these fund-raising plans
o
http://www.reuters.com/
article/idUSTOE62803W20100309
·
Hochschild Mining raises its stake in Gold
Resource Corp to 29% from 27% at a cost of $5.2M- BBG
·
Russia Sberbank to seek Turkish bank stake-
Reuters
o
Sberbank, Russia's
biggest lender, is lining up a bid for the 20.85 percent stake in Turkey's
Garanti Bank being sold by General Electric Co (GE.N)
o
"GE is delighted
that Sberbank is going to be one of five or six bidders for its stake in
Garanti," the source told Reuters, on condition of anonymity. He said bids
were due by March 12
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE6272D820100308
·
U.K. Coal Says No Cash Offer Received,
Investigating Proposal- BBG
o
UK Coal Plc said it
is unaware of a cash offer for the group but is “at a very early stage” of
investigating an approach.
·
SNY Sanofi, MRK Merck to
create animal health leader- Reuters
o
Sanofi will pay
Merck $250 million as part of the deal, giving both companies a 50 percent
share in their pets and livestock joint-venture that could take the top spot
from Pfizer Animal Health (PFE.N), if it wins anti-trust clearance
o
At a conference
call Sanofi and Merck chief executives declined to indicate what possible
anti-trust challenges their joint-venture might face and as a result, did not
say what cost benefits the combination could yield, or give growth targets
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSGEE5AO0OJ20100309
·
A2A
will nominate advisors for the division of assets in group Edison by
April- Il Sole 24
·
MRK Merck May Expand Presence in Middle
East- National Reports
o
Merck & Co.,
the second-largest U.S. drugmaker, may acquire or collaborate with five
health-care companies in the Middle East to increase sales in the region by 30
percent
·
Delta is unlikely to seek a higher bid-
S&P
o
Hopes that Delta
might see a counteroffer to the cash bid received last week were dampened by
news that shareholder Schroders had sold stock
o
Schroders announced
it had disposed of 1.4m shares in the manufacturer at GBP 1.90 apiece. Delta
last week recommended a takeover offer, which was worth GBP 1.85 per share.
·
Bidding War Pits Pfizer And Teva-
NYTimes
o
a three-way bidding
war has broken out for Ratiopharm, a leading generic-drug maker with
headquarters in Ulm
o
The auction is
riveting drug makers and analysts because it pits the world’s biggest maker of
brand-name drugs, the American company Pfizer, against the global leader in
generics, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, with headquarters in Israel. The
other bidder I Actavis
o
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/09/business/09drug.html?ref=todayspaper
·
UNILEVER NV: Management to up stake – S&P
·
DBD, U.S. undoes key part of
voting machine deal- Reuters
o
The U.S. Justice
Department required Election Systems & Software to partially undo a deal
last year between it and a unit of Diebold Inc (DBD.N), the two largest U.S.
makers of voting machines
o
"The proposed
settlement will restore competition, provide a greater range of choices and
create incentives to provide secure, accurate and reliable voting equipment
systems now and in the future,"
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0819404720100308
·
OFIX Orthofix sells vascular business to
COV Covidien- Reuters
o
Orthofix
International NV (OFIX.O) said it sold its vascular business, including its
AV-Impulse mechanical compression technology, to Covidien (COV.N), and expects
net cash proceeds of up to $19 million
·
ARK TherapeuticsSAYS WILL UNDERTAKE REVIEW OF
BUSINESS- BBG
·
Lender putting www.sex.com domain on auction
block- Reuters
o
DOM Partners LLC, a
New Jersey lender that backed a 2006 purchase of the domain name for a reported
$14 million, is foreclosing on the Internet property, and is due to auction it
on March 18 at New York law firm Windels Marx Lane & Mittendorf LLP,
according to legal notices
o
"We don't know
who's serious and who's not, but prospective bidders need a $1 million
certified check. It should be interesting."
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0819496920100309
·
Shanghai Pharmaceutical Rises by 10
Percent Limit on Merger Plan- BBG
o
Shanghai
Pharmaceutical rose by the 10 percent daily limit in Shanghai trading after
completing a merger of two local drugmakers through a share swap
·
Telefonica eyes group to bid on Mexico
fiber optic- Reuters
o
Spain's Telefonica
(TEF.MC) may team up with small telephone and cable operators in Mexico to bid
on a fiber optic network meant to challenge tycoon Carlos Slim's empire
o
Last month,
executives of Mexican cable operator Megacable said they would likely form a
group with Telefonica, broadcaster Televisa and smaller local operators to bid
together in the auction, which is due to be completed by June
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0820097520100309
·
SL Standard Life is thinking about selling
its health insurance arm- Telegraph
·
LII Liberty Intl unveils demerger, fall in
NAV- Reuters
o
Britain's biggest
mall owner, Liberty International (LII.L), is carving up its 6.2 billion pounds
($9.3 billion) portfolio to drive shareholder value, a likely watershed for the
rebounding UK listed property sector
o
“The demerger will
enable Capital Shopping Centres and Capital & Counties to achieve greater
value for shareholders over time, than the current Liberty would as one
combined business”
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE62713X20100309
·
F&C Asset Says It Will Offer 12.5 Euros a
Share for C-Quadrat- BBG
·
Hypermarcas in talks to buy Brazil drugmaker-
Reuters
o
Hypermarcas, the
largest Brazilian multibrand consumer goods manufacturer, said late on Monday
it is in talks to buy over-the-counter drugmaker Luper for 52.2 million reais
($29.2 million) in cash
·
SLE Sara Lee May Invest in Strauss
Coffee Business- Calcalist
o
Sara Lee Corp. is
in talks with Strauss Group Ltd. to
purchase 20 percent to 30 percent of the Israeli company’s coffee business
o
Strauss told Calcalist
in response to the report that it is in
contact with various companies from time
to time and has nothing to report regarding Sara Lee at this time
·
Galp Chairman Confirms Contacts on
Shareholdings- Jornal
o
Galp Energia SGPS
SA Chairman Francisco Murteira Nabo said there have been “informal conversations” about the Portuguese oil
company’s shareholder structure
·
ARCADIS Looking for M&A targets – S&P
$
Raising
IPOs
·
Consumer pos?: Merlin may be planning an IPO
o
Merlin said last
month it was considering all options for future ownership structure, including
an initial public offering.
o
Merlin
Entertainments Group Ltd., the U.K. owner of Legoland and Madame Tussauds, said
full-year profit increased 17 percent as it attracted visitors with new rides
and attractions at its theme parks. – BBG
o
Canada's TRX Terrane plans to spin-off Berg
project- reuters
o
Canadian
exploration company Terrane Metals Corp (TRX.V) is focusing on becoming a
junior gold producer and plans to spin-off its Berg copper-molybdenum project
o
“We are going to
try and position Terrane as a gold company, as gold companies get premiums in
the market," said CEO Pease, while speaking along the sidelines of the
PDAC mining convention in Toronto.
·
Cebu Air Revives 12 Billion Peso IPO
for Expansion- BBG
o
The airline’s share
sale will be held “as soon as regulatory approval” is obtained and “market
conditions are ripe,” “If a window opens up we want to be ready to hold a
sale.”
o
The airline will
use proceeds from the share sale to boost its fleet of 29 jets, Sebastian said.
The company plans to sell 235.6 million shares at up to 95 pesos each
·
IPO could value Kabel at $3.5bn- FT
o
The owners of Kabel
Deutschland, Europe’s largest cable network provider, plan to sell off part of
the group in a deal that could value the company at about €2.5bn ($3.5bn) and
become one of Germany’s biggest IPOs in three years
o
The current
stakeholders – primarily buy-out firm Providence Equity, with 88% – are seeking
an equity valuation of €2.5bn, while the company’s net debt stood at almost
€3bn as of Dec 31
·
Zhongsheng Said to Start Taking Orders for
Downsized H.K. IPO- BBG
o
Zhongsheng Group
Holdings Ltd., aChinese automobile dealer, will begin taking orders for a Hong
Kong initial public offering tomorrow after delaying its start last week
o
The Dalian,
northeastern China-based company may seek to raise as much as HK$3.67 billion
($473 million) selling 286.2 million shares, or a 15.5 percent stake, at
HK$9.54 to HK$12.83 each, said one of the people
o
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&sid=azZ5J8t1mseE
·
China Publishing Group Plans Shanghai
Listing in 2010- BBG
o
China Publishing
Group plans to raise as much as 1.8 billion yuan ($264 million) in an initial
public offering in Shanghai by the end of this year
o
The state-owned
publisher will form a new company for the listing within the next two month.
The group is also establishing a digital publishing Web site, as well as
developing e-book readers
·
C&W arm eyes Asian expansion after
listing- FT
o
C&W Worldwide
is one of two listed companies resulting from the C&W group demerger that
takes place on March 26. Based on the group’s old UK business, C&W
Worldwide provides telecom services to corporate rather than residential
consumers
o
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/8088cfda-2af5-11df-886b-00144feabdc0.html
Pricings
Initial Offerings
·
AVEO Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AVEO)--7 million shares expected to price Wednesday
via J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley. Price talk: $13 to $15.
·
Baltic Trading Ltd. (BALT)--16.3 million shares expected to price Tuesday
via Morgan Stanley and Dahlman Rose. Price talk: $14 to $16.
·
Sensata Technologies Holding BV (ST)--31.6 million shares expected to price Wednesday
via Morgan Stanley, Barclays Capital, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America-Merrill
Lynch, J.P. Morgan, Citigroup and Credit Suisse. Price talk $18 to $20.
·
Film Department Holdings (TFDI)--6.5 million shares expected to price
one day this week
via Girard Securities Corp. Price talk: $12 to $14.
Secondary or Follow-On Offerings:
·
GT Solar International Inc. (SOLR)--25 million shares expected to price Tuesday
via UBS, Credit Suisse and Thomas Weisel
News
·
Extended Stay hotels could exit bankruptcy
in June- Reuters
o
The company, which
runs over 650 hotels, said in court documents that it is seeking confirmation
of its proposed bankruptcy reorganization in June, and could emerge from court
protection as a privately held firm, backed by a new $450 million investment from
private equity firms Centerbridge Partners L.P. and Paulson & Co
o
The company said
the new cash would help it fund operations, make regular debt payments and
allow it to spend money on hotel improvements
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0816626420100308
·
Lyondell restructuring plan
includes Apollo role- Reuters
o
LyondellBasell
filed a restructuring plan on Monday, rejecting a takeover bid from India's
Reliance Industries in favor of commitments from private equity firms,
including Apollo Management LP, to help the chemicals maker exit bankruptcy
o
“We will have a new
management team in place, we will have considerably less debt, and we will be
adequately capitalized with the equity from the rights offering as well as exit
financing,"
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE6270CQ20100308
·
GAS NATURAL: Negociations over EUR 4bn loan refinancing – press –
S&P
·
Hoku gets second portion of
$50 mln loan from Tianwei- Reuters
o
Hoku Materials Inc,
a unit of Hoku Scientific Inc (HOKU.O), said it received the final portion of
the $50 million-loan from Tianwei New Energy Holdings Co Ltd, and plans to use
the proceeds to continue construction at its Idaho polysilicon plant
o
Hoku Materials Inc,
a unit of Hoku Scientific Inc (HOKU.O), said it received the final portion of
the $50 million-loan from Tianwei New Energy Holdings Co Ltd, and plans to use
the proceeds to continue construction at its Idaho polysilicon plant
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE6270LF20100308
·
Bankruptcy Exit:
Tropicana casinos exit bankruptcy under Icahn deal- Reuters
o
U.S. casino
operator Tropicana Entertainment on Monday emerged from bankruptcy protection
under a $200 million deal backed by billionaire investor Carl Icahn.
o
Tropicana is the
first major company in the gaming industry to successfully complete a Chapter
11 reorganization necessitated in part by the combined effects of collapsed
commercial credit markets and associated declines in the U.S. consumer
economy,"
·
CMA Comerica, SUSQ Susquehanna to raise
funds to repay TARP- Reuters
o
Comerica, a large U.S. regional bank, said it
will offer common shares to raise about $800 million as it intends to repay the
U.S. Treasury's funds, sending its shares down 2 percent after the bell
o
Separately,
Susquehanna Bancshares said it will offer common shares to raise $300 million
partly to support future acquisitions, including FDIC-assisted acquisition
transactions or to pay back U.S. Treasury's funds
o
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSSGE6270L020100308
·
India Cements Said to Have Raised $65
Million From Share Sale- BBG
·
Ascension Health Comes to Market With
$1.35 Billion Bond Sale- BBG
o
Ascension Health,
the largest nonprofit health-care system in the U.S., plans to sell about
$1.35B in tax-exempt revenue bonds starting tomorrow as yields hover near record
lows
o
“On the long end,
the rates are very favorable,” said the director of capital finance. “We think
it’s a great opportunity to fix in our rates. Between the refunding and the new
money, we’re getting to the place where we want to be with respect to our
overall debt profile.”
o
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aQ6VoyzLWm14
·
China Southern Jumps Most in Two Months on
Share Sale- BBG
o
China Southern
Airlines Co., the nation’s biggest carrier, rose the most in almost two months
in Hong Kong trading after announcing plans to sell at least 10.75 billion yuan
($1.6 billion) of new shares to pare debts
o
The airline’s
parent will buy 1.5 billion yuan of new shares in the sale using money it
received from the government as part of efforts to bail out unprofitable
carriers
o
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&sid=ai5ehBpCkXg0
·
USG People announces the launch of a
placement of up to 7,019,994 new ordinary shares- S&P
·
Wessanen launches an equity offering of up to
6,835,910 newly issued ordinary shares- S&P
·
Financials: Royal Wessanen says
issued approx 6.835M new shares at €2.69/share
·
Energy: PCX Patriot Coal files to register
13.1M shares for holder ArcLight Energy Partners
·
Financials: SUSQ SUSQ Susquehanna files mixed shelf
of indeterminate amount
·
Financials: CMA Comerica commences offering of
~$800M in common stock through JPMorgan
UPCOMING EVENTS
Top
Events
·
Tuesday March 9:
o Greece's
prime minister visits President Obama
in Washington
o National
Association for Business Economics conference (3/7-9)
§ White
House economist Cristina Romer and the Chicago Fed's Charles Evans,speak
o Health Care Conference- Cowen (3/8-11)
o Institutional
Investors Conference- Raymond James
(3/7-10)
o Global
Technology Conference- Jefferies (3/8-10)
o China
Investment Conference – Rodman & Renshaw (3/7-9)
o Consumer
Analyst Group of Europe Conference (3/8-10)
o Global
Media and Communications Conference 2010 (3/8-10)
o CFO
Rising Conference & Expo (3/7-10)
o Technology
Conference- Montgomery (3/9-10)
o Consumer/Retail
Leveraged Finance Conference- Goldman
o Aviation
& Transportation Conference- JPM (3/9-10)
o Global
Ag Productivity Conference- Credit Suisse (3/9-10)
o Musculoskeletal
Conference- Canaccord
o Management
Access Conference- Wedbush (3/9-11)
o RBC
Capital Markets Cap Intro
o Sovereign
Hotspots: Diverging Trends
o ITB,
the big travel fair, begins- Barron’s
o FL, CVX
analyst meetings
o ADI shareholder
meeting
o TSM monthly sales
LOOKING AHEAD
·
Economics
o Tuesday
March 9:
§ 0000
Manpower employment survey
§ 0730
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
§ 0745
ICSC/Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales
§ 0855
Redbook Index
