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February 9, 2012 3:03 PM EST
Updated: Feb 26, 2010 6:32 AM EST  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,321.03 -53.13 -0.51%
S & P 1102.94 -2.30 -0.21%
NASDAQ 2234.22 -1.68 -0.06%
NYSE 7013.45 -17.22 -0.24%
Russell 2000 630.46 +0.03 +0.00%
10-Yr T-Yield 3.6324% -0.585% -1.59%
FTSE 5322.26 +44.04 +0.83%
NIKKEI 225 10,126.03 +24.07 +0.24%

 

You have to be impressed with how the bulls fought back on a day where the momentum clearly favored the bears. Jobless claims popped back up near 500,000, causing the estimates for February’s employment to fall to -40,000 on the consensus, and it’s probably headed lower. The Durable Goods Orders were all aircraft. The possibility of the debt issued by Greece causing a downgrade seems likely. The Dollar rallied and crude fell. The banks suffered the most on the day, hurt by weaker economic data, jobs, a tick over 5% on 30-year mortgages, CoreLogic reporting that 11.3 million homeowners were underwater, and FHFA reporting December home prices off 1.6%. The catalyst for the turnaround was an excellent 7-year note auction. The yield was slightly below expectations. The bid-to-cover was extremely strong at just under 3. Indirect bidders took 40.3%. A solid Treasury auction kicked off the rally, but it was the comeback rally in Technology stocks that made the rally stick. Apple said that they were sitting on $40 billion in cash in liquid securities. The NDX rallied all the way back up to turn positive on the day. The broader NASDAQ almost made it, as well. This doesn’t negate the likelihood of a test over the next few weeks, but it increases the odds of holding at or above the prior low. That is extremely constructive for the anticipated late March/early April “earnings inspired” rally. This attempt at a reversal came up short, but investors should have a sigh of relief going into a heavy news day.


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  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,321 10,044 10,603 9835 10,730 ADV 1483 1074
S & P 1103 1060 1130 1035 1150 DECL 1545 1482
COMP 2234 2148 2282 2114 22321 TRIN 1.04 1.31
NDX 1813 1739 1865 1712 1900 UVOL 544,854k 790,574k
10-Yld 3.631 3.667 3.855 3.572 3.910 DVOL 584,153k 1,425,532k
RUT 630 600 633 586 650 TVOL 1,145,027k 2,268,997k