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February 9, 2012 3:06 PM EST
Updated: Feb 17, 2010 6:44 AM EST  

Morning Comment

Close Change % Change
DJ Industrials 10,268.81 +169.67 +1.68%
S & P 1094.87 +196.36 +1.80%
NASDAQ 2214.19 +30.66 +1.40%
NYSE 7013.35 +138.79 +2.02%
Russell 2000 620.84 +10.12 +1.66%
10-Yr T-Yield 3.6607% -0.0302% -0.82%
FTSE 5278.69 +34.63 +0.66%
NIKKEI 225 10,306.83 +272.58 +2.72%

 

The market found a bull case on Tuesday, as investors returned from a long, snowy weekend. We were hitting on all cylinders, buoyed by hopes that the EU would be ready with details on Greece’s debt soon. The Euro rallied and the Dollar declined. It was more than just a little pullback in the Dollar Index. The sharp uptrend line from the last month was broken, causing a reversal in the typical Dollar carry trade commodities and stocks. Both gold and crude led the Basic Material and Energy sectors higher. Barclay’s Bank beat on earnings and posted credit losses below expectations. That bolstered the banks, giving an extra push to Dow component Bank of America, which said it had made “significant gains” in modifying mortgages. The Financial Sector SPDR, XLF, finally made it back above 14. This was a massive top formation that broke at 14. Getting back above that only enters the overhead supply, but it was impressive to do nonetheless. Technology was strong as the Mobile World Congress 2010 kicked off. So, all the key groups, Basic Materials, Energy, Financials, and Technology were atop the leader board. Add a surprisingly good Empire State Index, which is a February number, and the bulls had control. Given the late pop, it looked like a bit of short covering, as the averages pushed to or slightly above those targets, which were Dow 10,270 (right on), S & P 1104 (close), and NASDAQ 2200 (slightly above). Expect some resistance, but it turned a pathetic bounce into something better.


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click graph for larger image


  Last Hrly Support Hrly Resist ST Support ST Resist   NYSE NASDAQ
INDU 10,269 9685 10,370 9487 10,513 ADV 2533 1892
S & P 1095 1035 1104 1019 1120 DECL 522 746
COMP 2214 2049 2227 2114 2321 TRIN 0.50 0.45
NDX 1802 1730 1821 1652 1862 UVOL 976,084K 1,691,585K
10-Yld 3.663 3.510 3.707 3.400 3.855 DVOL 99,112K 297,198K
RUT 621 567 633 552 650 TVOL 1,081,302K 2,010,260K